Ultimate Zero RB Watch List: NFC Week 10 – David Montgomery Reminds Us Things Can Always Get Worse
Image Credit: Robin Alam/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: David Montgomery.

The Ultimate Zero RB Watch List provides analysis for Zero RB and RB-heavy owners alike. Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for every NFC backfield from Week 9. Check out Shawn’s companion piece on the AFC.

Almost every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether they were drafted as a Zero-RB squad or not. The Ultimate Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and selling based on workload shifts.

We’ll use the RotoViz tools to dive deep into the Week 9 advanced stats for every NFC backfield, focusing on expected points (EP), fantasy points over expectations (FPOE), and opportunity (snaps, targets, and carries).

Arizona Cardinals

With Kenyan Drake injured, Chase Edmonds took over the entirety of Drake’s role. Yet he somehow managed to give up his previous role entirely, without anyone taking it over. Despite the increased rushing workload, Week 9 marked the second-lowest receiving EP output for Edmonds this season.

The decrease in receiving work meant that even though Edmonds more than tripled his average opportunities per game through the first eight weeks, he still managed to come in below his per-game fantasy scoring average.

Eno Benjamin was inactive once again. Drake is day-to-day, so Benjamin’s best opportunity to get on the field may have come and gone.

Carolina Panthers

Christian McCaffrey returned to the field and promptly put up another EP double-double, his first of the 2020 season. In a slight surprise, Mike Davis had six targets of his own for a fairly useful 8.4 receiving EP.

Unfortunately, McCaffrey hurt his shoulder in this game, so his Week 10 status is already uncertain. If he can’t go, Davis would take on a large workload once again. His recent performances however, even with the large workload, have been disappointing enough that Samuel Wallace recommends selling Davis on the news that McCaffrey might sit.

Chicago Bears

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

 

What’s included in your subscription??

  • Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
    • A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
  • Revolutionary Tools
    • Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
  • Groundbreaking Articles
    • RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
  • Weekly Projections
    • Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
  • Expert Rankings
  • And a whole lot more…

Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

Carnell Tate and a Worrying Trend in Prospect Ages: The 2026 Phenom Index for Rookie Wide Receivers

More than a decade ago, RotoViz changed how the NFL saw the intersection of age and production through metrics like the Phenom Index and breakout age. Back in 2015 Jon Moore introduced the Phenom Index, a revolutionary way to measure a college wide receiver’s age-adjusted production. He continued to refine it over the years to develop a metric that has identified some of the top…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Win Probabilities, Value Picks, and Potential Upsets for Your 2026 March Madness Bracket

The madness of NFL free agency has just about given way to the madness of the college basketball playoff. Just like last year, I’m leveraging advanced team metrics and simulations to find value and potential upset picks for your 2026 March Madness bracket. For a more detailed look at the methodology, check out the introductions to the 2024 and 2025 articles. Below I’ll present our best estimates…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 3: The 2026 Wide Receiver Freak Score Leaderboard

We’ve already explored the top running back and tight end athletes in the 2026 rookie class. In both groups we found players setting new records and forcing us to rethink both our models and our priors. But Freak Scores were designed first and foremost to find wide receiver profiles with an advantage in the red zone and around the goal line. The theory has always…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Carnell Tate and a Worrying Trend in Prospect Ages: The 2026 Phenom Index for Rookie Wide Receivers

More than a decade ago, RotoViz changed how the NFL saw the intersection of age and production through metrics like the Phenom Index and breakout age. Back in 2015 Jon Moore introduced the Phenom Index, a revolutionary way to measure a college wide receiver’s age-adjusted production. He continued to refine it over the years to develop a metric that has identified some of the top…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Win Probabilities, Value Picks, and Potential Upsets for Your 2026 March Madness Bracket

The madness of NFL free agency has just about given way to the madness of the college basketball playoff. Just like last year, I’m leveraging advanced team metrics and simulations to find value and potential upset picks for your 2026 March Madness bracket. For a more detailed look at the methodology, check out the introductions to the 2024 and 2025 articles. Below I’ll present our best estimates…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 3: The 2026 Wide Receiver Freak Score Leaderboard

We’ve already explored the top running back and tight end athletes in the 2026 rookie class. In both groups we found players setting new records and forcing us to rethink both our models and our priors. But Freak Scores were designed first and foremost to find wide receiver profiles with an advantage in the red zone and around the goal line. The theory has always…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Blitz

Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

Data provided by

© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.

Welcome Back to RotoViz...

– IF YOU HAVE ISSUES LOGGING IN PLEASE CONTACT ROTOVIZMAIN@GMAIL.COM

– PLEASE NOTE THAT ROTOVIZ USES WORDPRESS FOR ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT. IF RESETTING YOUR PASSWORD YOU MAY BE FOWARDED TO A WORDPRESS PAGE.