Drafters Are Still Paying Too Much for the Wrong Numbers: How You Can Exploit RB Advanced Stats in Your Draft – The Wrong Read, No. 73
Image Credit: Kevin Abele/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: J.D. McKissic.

Blair Andrews explores some of the advanced running back metrics available in the new Advanced Stats Explorer. Are drafters chasing the right stats when making draft day decisions? Or are certain metrics persistently undervalued?

In a previous article, I looked at some advanced wide receiver metrics we’ve added to the site to find some with hidden value, and to see how much they change the way we understand and predict wide receiver scoring. While the new metrics provide a ton of new insight, the old standbys more than hold their own.

But how does the picture look at running back?

The metrics I’m looking at today give us additional information on exactly how rushers tend to accumulate yardage. How often are they hit behind the line of scrimmage? How many tackles do they break? How many yards do they generate after being hit? While rushing yards in themselves are highly predictive, this extra layer of detail gives us new information about how sticky and predictive an individual rusher’s yards are compared to his peers.

How to Exploit the Advanced Stats and the Players Who Give You an Edge

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Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

The Untimelies, Part 1: Why We Are So Good at Dynasty Startups

Truly, Zarathustra is a strong wind to everyone low; and he gives this advice to his enemies and to everything that spits and spews: take care not to spit into the wind! — Friedrich Nietzsche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra, Part II, “Of the Rabble” I myself am not yet timely; some are born posthumously. — Nietzsche, Ecce Homo, “Why I Write Such Good Books,” 1 After the…...

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George Costanza, Expected Value, and the Importance of the Regular Season in Best Ball Mania 7: Why Week 17 Doesn’t Matter At All

Matthew Freedman used to write a column called The Dissenting Costanzan. He would peruse recent RotoViz articles for points of possible disagreement, and offer up an alternative take on the matter at hand, always with a sense of camaraderie and the goal of further discussion. While The Dissenting Costanzan is no longer a feature of RotoViz content, it would be a mistake to think that…...

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How Does the Draft Change Our Outlook on the 2026 Running Back Class? Post-Draft RB Prospect Lab Scores – Live Updates

I will be updating the Prospect Lab scores with the post-draft model results as picks come in (or shortly thereafter). Stay tuned to this space for live updates, or check here for the WR scores. And make sure you are also monitoring Kevin’s live updates in his Landing Spot Instant Reactions article. The Running Back Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools on the…...

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The Untimelies, Part 1: Why We Are So Good at Dynasty Startups

Truly, Zarathustra is a strong wind to everyone low; and he gives this advice to his enemies and to everything that spits and spews: take care not to spit into the wind! — Friedrich Nietzsche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra, Part II, “Of the Rabble” I myself am not yet timely; some are born posthumously. — Nietzsche, Ecce Homo, “Why I Write Such Good Books,” 1 After the…...

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George Costanza, Expected Value, and the Importance of the Regular Season in Best Ball Mania 7: Why Week 17 Doesn’t Matter At All

Matthew Freedman used to write a column called The Dissenting Costanzan. He would peruse recent RotoViz articles for points of possible disagreement, and offer up an alternative take on the matter at hand, always with a sense of camaraderie and the goal of further discussion. While The Dissenting Costanzan is no longer a feature of RotoViz content, it would be a mistake to think that…...

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How Does the Draft Change Our Outlook on the 2026 Running Back Class? Post-Draft RB Prospect Lab Scores – Live Updates

I will be updating the Prospect Lab scores with the post-draft model results as picks come in (or shortly thereafter). Stay tuned to this space for live updates, or check here for the WR scores. And make sure you are also monitoring Kevin’s live updates in his Landing Spot Instant Reactions article. The Running Back Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools on the…...

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