Drafters Are Still Paying Too Much for the Wrong Numbers: How You Can Exploit RB Advanced Stats in Your Draft – The Wrong Read, No. 73
Image Credit: Kevin Abele/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: J.D. McKissic.

Blair Andrews explores some of the advanced running back metrics available in the new Advanced Stats Explorer. Are drafters chasing the right stats when making draft day decisions? Or are certain metrics persistently undervalued?

In a previous article, I looked at some advanced wide receiver metrics we’ve added to the site to find some with hidden value, and to see how much they change the way we understand and predict wide receiver scoring. While the new metrics provide a ton of new insight, the old standbys more than hold their own.

But how does the picture look at running back?

The metrics I’m looking at today give us additional information on exactly how rushers tend to accumulate yardage. How often are they hit behind the line of scrimmage? How many tackles do they break? How many yards do they generate after being hit? While rushing yards in themselves are highly predictive, this extra layer of detail gives us new information about how sticky and predictive an individual rusher’s yards are compared to his peers.

How to Exploit the Advanced Stats and the Players Who Give You an Edge

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

 

What’s included in your subscription??

  • Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
    • A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
  • Revolutionary Tools
    • Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
  • Groundbreaking Articles
    • RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
  • Weekly Projections
    • Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
  • Expert Rankings
  • And a whole lot more…

Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

This Contrarian Strategy Helped Me Finish No. 2 Overall in the 2024 Scott Fish Bowl . . . and It’s Even More Potent in 2025

Despite many recent successes, as a site we’re generally quite modest. This has mainly to do with the personalities of the central players. I’m not a fantasy analyst who likes to toot my own horn, as it were. That’s why, unless you were paying close attention, you might not know that I finished second overall in the Scott Fish Bowl last season (SFB14), out of…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

How Much Do Yards Per Route Run Matter for Wide Receiver Prospects? Checking All the Boxes, Part 1

If you must forecast, then forecast often — and be the first one to prove yourself wrong. — Paul Saffo Things are constantly changing in the NFL and the fantasy football landscape. As a site, we’ve changed our minds on many things and have come to discover that the ways we’ve understood certain elements in the past no longer hold, for whatever reason. FantasyDouche once…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

2025 Post-Draft Running Back Prospect Lab Scores

The Running Back Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools on the site, but it’s not exactly a precision instrument. It uses a simple linear model to predict an RB’s early NFL career based on a few important college metrics. However, the simplicity ends up being a benefit — it knows what to look for and isn’t often fooled by outliers. I’m updating this…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

This Contrarian Strategy Helped Me Finish No. 2 Overall in the 2024 Scott Fish Bowl . . . and It’s Even More Potent in 2025

Despite many recent successes, as a site we’re generally quite modest. This has mainly to do with the personalities of the central players. I’m not a fantasy analyst who likes to toot my own horn, as it were. That’s why, unless you were paying close attention, you might not know that I finished second overall in the Scott Fish Bowl last season (SFB14), out of…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

How Much Do Yards Per Route Run Matter for Wide Receiver Prospects? Checking All the Boxes, Part 1

If you must forecast, then forecast often — and be the first one to prove yourself wrong. — Paul Saffo Things are constantly changing in the NFL and the fantasy football landscape. As a site, we’ve changed our minds on many things and have come to discover that the ways we’ve understood certain elements in the past no longer hold, for whatever reason. FantasyDouche once…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

2025 Post-Draft Running Back Prospect Lab Scores

The Running Back Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools on the site, but it’s not exactly a precision instrument. It uses a simple linear model to predict an RB’s early NFL career based on a few important college metrics. However, the simplicity ends up being a benefit — it knows what to look for and isn’t often fooled by outliers. I’m updating this…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Blitz

Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

Data provided by

© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.

Welcome Back to RotoViz...

– IF YOU HAVE ISSUES LOGGING IN PLEASE CONTACT ROTOVIZMAIN@GMAIL.COM

– PLEASE NOTE THAT ROTOVIZ USES WORDPRESS FOR ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT. IF RESETTING YOUR PASSWORD YOU MAY BE FOWARDED TO A WORDPRESS PAGE.