Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

3 Wide Receiver Prospects Who Won The Combine

Earlier this week, I posted the results of my wide receiver regression tree analysis on what NFL combine measurements and drills, and in which combinations, matter for early career success. …...

3 Running Back Prospects Who Won The NFL Combine

Earlier this week, I posted the results of my running back regression tree analysis on what NFL Combine measurements and drills, and in which combinations, matter for early career success…....

5 Athletic Studs Who Can Breakout in 2016

Earlier this week, I posted the NFL combine decision tree models for running back, wide receiver and tight end fantasy success. Those trees allow you to run a player’s combine measurables through a series of yes-or-no questions to determine his likelihood of putting up at least an RB1, WR2 or TE1, respectively, year in his first three seasons. …...

Should We Be Worried About Jeremy Langford’s Inefficient 2015?

Though we haven’t even gotten into the thick of free agency, and the NFL draft is months away, there is already some discussion about whether we should be worried about presumed lead back Jeremy Langford’s poor rushing efficiency last year…....

Which Combine Drills Really Matter For Running Backs?

The NFL combine workouts start Friday in Indianapolis, and football fans across the nation will dissect every result. We can gather that being bigger, stronger, faster, quicker, and having jumping ability are desirable traits. But what do they mean for NFL success?…...

Which Players Should You Target in Early MFL10s?

The My Fantasy League MFL10 season has finally started and degenerates everywhere rejoice! For those who don’t know, MFL10s are draft-only, best-ball leagues that allow you to draft it and forget it until after Week 16 of the 2016 season. It’s a winner-takes-all format, so timid drafters need not apply. If you want more info on how the format works, you can check out our guide from last offseason, or you can get check out my 2014 wrap-up. What I want to do in this article is look back at 2015’s early drafts — those that occurred around now — and see which players…...

The Most Proficient Touchdown Scorers of the Last 15 Years

Last week I attempted to find a better way of identifying the best touchdown scoring running backs of 2015. Rather than group rushing attempts in large and heterogenous buckets like redzone or with the 10-yard line, I adjusted every carry for expected touchdown rate (based on historical averages at each yard line) and compared actual to expected touchdowns…....

rb watch list

Who are the Most Proficient Touchdown Scoring Running Backs?

In the most recent Numbers Game Podcast, I mentioned that presenting stats in seemingly similar groupings can be misleading if the events grouped together, in fact, have very dissimilar expected results. One of the oft-used groupings that jumped out to me is looking at touchdown scoring efficiency in the redzone, or inside the 5/10 yard line…....

Has Dan Campbell Saved Lamar Miller’s Season?

It was a rough four weeks to open the year for Lamar Miller owners this season. The RB9 in PPR leagues last year, Miller began his 2015 campaign with a whimper: four games, 37 carries, 111 rushing yards, and only 31.8 total fantasy points…....

Zero RB Drafting In Action: FFPC Edition

I’ve participated in a handful of high-stakes leagues in the past. This year, I decided to start a little early and enter a few mid-stakes drafts1 before the high-stakes season gets started. There are a number of providers of high-stakes leagues, and I’ll be playing in most of them this year. We have lots of content on the site dedicated to the Zero RB drafting philosophy. Fantasy Football savant Shawn Siegele many not have invented the strategy, but his seminal article “Zero RB, Antifragility, and the Myth of Value-Based Drafting” captured the fake football zeitgeist following the 2013 NFL season where…...

The RotoViz Reality Sports Online Strategy Guide: Our Writers Tell All

We gathered 16 of our finest writers to compete in the RotoViz Reality Sports Online league. The startup process had two stages: A rookie snake draft and a veteran auction. The number of strategies employed were as diverse as the motley crew of drafters. Here are seven of our writers explaining how they approached the one-of-a-kind format that replicates the NFL front office experience with salary caps, multi-year contracts, and “dead money.” As with all drafts, not everything went according to plan. But you can pull together a winning strategy by learning from our triumphs, and mistakes…....

Look Out Above: Todd Gurley is a Great Risk/Reward Pick

Todd Gurley has been called the greatest running back prospect since Adrian Peterson, the RotoViz staff had Gurley significantly higher than other rookie RBs in the post-draft rankings, and he was being drafted in early off-season MFL10s in the late-third round before he went the the St Louis Rams at number 10 overall. …...

Projecting Usage: Shane Vereen, Duke Johnson and the rest of Tier 3

This is the third in a series of articles where I’m looking at the historical relationship between running back usage and PPR year-end finishes. We apply that relationship to 2015’s RBs using the composite projections for carries and receptions our staff put together with the Projection Machine App. This series is similar to the articles I wrote on the relationship between targets and wide receiver ADP ranks…....

Projecting Usage: CJ Spiller, Frank Gore and the rest of the Second Tier

This is the second in a series of articles where I’m looking at the historical relationship between running back usage and PPR year-end finishes. We apply that relationship to 2015’s RBs using the composite projections for carries and receptions our staff put together with the Projection Machine App. This series is similar to the articles I wrote on the relationship between targets and wide receiver ADP ranks…....

Projecting Usage: LeSean McCoy, DeMarco Murray and more Top-Tier Running Backs

I just finished a series of articles on the relationship between targets and wide receiver ADP ranks. I was able to identify receivers that were under- and overvalued based on how many targets the RotoViz staff were forecasting in our Projection Machine App. I wanted to do something similar for running backs, but there isn’t a single number like targets we can use as a proxy for fantasy scoring opportunity. We certainly can’t just use rushing attempts because RBs score on the ground and through the air. Plus, we’re using PPR ADP ranks, making receiving production that much more important…....

3 Wide Receiver Prospects Who Won The Combine

Earlier this week, I posted the results of my wide receiver regression tree analysis on what NFL combine measurements and drills, and in which combinations, matter for early career success. …...

3 Running Back Prospects Who Won The NFL Combine

Earlier this week, I posted the results of my running back regression tree analysis on what NFL Combine measurements and drills, and in which combinations, matter for early career success…....

5 Athletic Studs Who Can Breakout in 2016

Earlier this week, I posted the NFL combine decision tree models for running back, wide receiver and tight end fantasy success. Those trees allow you to run a player’s combine measurables through a series of yes-or-no questions to determine his likelihood of putting up at least an RB1, WR2 or TE1, respectively, year in his first three seasons. …...

Should We Be Worried About Jeremy Langford’s Inefficient 2015?

Though we haven’t even gotten into the thick of free agency, and the NFL draft is months away, there is already some discussion about whether we should be worried about presumed lead back Jeremy Langford’s poor rushing efficiency last year…....

Which Combine Drills Really Matter For Running Backs?

The NFL combine workouts start Friday in Indianapolis, and football fans across the nation will dissect every result. We can gather that being bigger, stronger, faster, quicker, and having jumping ability are desirable traits. But what do they mean for NFL success?…...

Which Players Should You Target in Early MFL10s?

The My Fantasy League MFL10 season has finally started and degenerates everywhere rejoice! For those who don’t know, MFL10s are draft-only, best-ball leagues that allow you to draft it and forget it until after Week 16 of the 2016 season. It’s a winner-takes-all format, so timid drafters need not apply. If you want more info on how the format works, you can check out our guide from last offseason, or you can get check out my 2014 wrap-up. What I want to do in this article is look back at 2015’s early drafts — those that occurred around now — and see which players…...

The Most Proficient Touchdown Scorers of the Last 15 Years

Last week I attempted to find a better way of identifying the best touchdown scoring running backs of 2015. Rather than group rushing attempts in large and heterogenous buckets like redzone or with the 10-yard line, I adjusted every carry for expected touchdown rate (based on historical averages at each yard line) and compared actual to expected touchdowns…....

rb watch list

Who are the Most Proficient Touchdown Scoring Running Backs?

In the most recent Numbers Game Podcast, I mentioned that presenting stats in seemingly similar groupings can be misleading if the events grouped together, in fact, have very dissimilar expected results. One of the oft-used groupings that jumped out to me is looking at touchdown scoring efficiency in the redzone, or inside the 5/10 yard line…....

Has Dan Campbell Saved Lamar Miller’s Season?

It was a rough four weeks to open the year for Lamar Miller owners this season. The RB9 in PPR leagues last year, Miller began his 2015 campaign with a whimper: four games, 37 carries, 111 rushing yards, and only 31.8 total fantasy points…....

Zero RB Drafting In Action: FFPC Edition

I’ve participated in a handful of high-stakes leagues in the past. This year, I decided to start a little early and enter a few mid-stakes drafts1 before the high-stakes season gets started. There are a number of providers of high-stakes leagues, and I’ll be playing in most of them this year. We have lots of content on the site dedicated to the Zero RB drafting philosophy. Fantasy Football savant Shawn Siegele many not have invented the strategy, but his seminal article “Zero RB, Antifragility, and the Myth of Value-Based Drafting” captured the fake football zeitgeist following the 2013 NFL season where…...

The RotoViz Reality Sports Online Strategy Guide: Our Writers Tell All

We gathered 16 of our finest writers to compete in the RotoViz Reality Sports Online league. The startup process had two stages: A rookie snake draft and a veteran auction. The number of strategies employed were as diverse as the motley crew of drafters. Here are seven of our writers explaining how they approached the one-of-a-kind format that replicates the NFL front office experience with salary caps, multi-year contracts, and “dead money.” As with all drafts, not everything went according to plan. But you can pull together a winning strategy by learning from our triumphs, and mistakes…....

Look Out Above: Todd Gurley is a Great Risk/Reward Pick

Todd Gurley has been called the greatest running back prospect since Adrian Peterson, the RotoViz staff had Gurley significantly higher than other rookie RBs in the post-draft rankings, and he was being drafted in early off-season MFL10s in the late-third round before he went the the St Louis Rams at number 10 overall. …...

Projecting Usage: Shane Vereen, Duke Johnson and the rest of Tier 3

This is the third in a series of articles where I’m looking at the historical relationship between running back usage and PPR year-end finishes. We apply that relationship to 2015’s RBs using the composite projections for carries and receptions our staff put together with the Projection Machine App. This series is similar to the articles I wrote on the relationship between targets and wide receiver ADP ranks…....

Projecting Usage: CJ Spiller, Frank Gore and the rest of the Second Tier

This is the second in a series of articles where I’m looking at the historical relationship between running back usage and PPR year-end finishes. We apply that relationship to 2015’s RBs using the composite projections for carries and receptions our staff put together with the Projection Machine App. This series is similar to the articles I wrote on the relationship between targets and wide receiver ADP ranks…....

Projecting Usage: LeSean McCoy, DeMarco Murray and more Top-Tier Running Backs

I just finished a series of articles on the relationship between targets and wide receiver ADP ranks. I was able to identify receivers that were under- and overvalued based on how many targets the RotoViz staff were forecasting in our Projection Machine App. I wanted to do something similar for running backs, but there isn’t a single number like targets we can use as a proxy for fantasy scoring opportunity. We certainly can’t just use rushing attempts because RBs score on the ground and through the air. Plus, we’re using PPR ADP ranks, making receiving production that much more important…....

3 Wide Receiver Prospects Who Won The Combine

Earlier this week, I posted the results of my wide receiver regression tree analysis on what NFL combine measurements and drills, and in which combinations, matter for early career success. …...

3 Running Back Prospects Who Won The NFL Combine

Earlier this week, I posted the results of my running back regression tree analysis on what NFL Combine measurements and drills, and in which combinations, matter for early career success…....

5 Athletic Studs Who Can Breakout in 2016

Earlier this week, I posted the NFL combine decision tree models for running back, wide receiver and tight end fantasy success. Those trees allow you to run a player’s combine measurables through a series of yes-or-no questions to determine his likelihood of putting up at least an RB1, WR2 or…...

Should We Be Worried About Jeremy Langford’s Inefficient 2015?

Though we haven’t even gotten into the thick of free agency, and the NFL draft is months away, there is already some discussion about whether we should be worried about presumed lead back Jeremy Langford’s poor rushing efficiency last year…....

Which Combine Drills Really Matter For Running Backs?

The NFL combine workouts start Friday in Indianapolis, and football fans across the nation will dissect every result. We can gather that being bigger, stronger, faster, quicker, and having jumping ability are desirable traits. But what do they mean for NFL success?…...

Which Players Should You Target in Early MFL10s?

The My Fantasy League MFL10 season has finally started and degenerates everywhere rejoice! For those who don’t know, MFL10s are draft-only, best-ball leagues that allow you to draft it and forget it until after Week 16 of the 2016 season. It’s a winner-takes-all format, so timid drafters need not apply. If you want…...

The Most Proficient Touchdown Scorers of the Last 15 Years

Last week I attempted to find a better way of identifying the best touchdown scoring running backs of 2015. Rather than group rushing attempts in large and heterogenous buckets like redzone or with the 10-yard line, I adjusted every carry for expected touchdown rate (based on historical averages at each yard…...

rb watch list

Who are the Most Proficient Touchdown Scoring Running Backs?

In the most recent Numbers Game Podcast, I mentioned that presenting stats in seemingly similar groupings can be misleading if the events grouped together, in fact, have very dissimilar expected results. One of the oft-used groupings that jumped out to me is looking at touchdown scoring efficiency in the redzone, or…...

Has Dan Campbell Saved Lamar Miller’s Season?

It was a rough four weeks to open the year for Lamar Miller owners this season. The RB9 in PPR leagues last year, Miller began his 2015 campaign with a whimper: four games, 37 carries, 111 rushing yards, and only 31.8 total fantasy points…....

Zero RB Drafting In Action: FFPC Edition

I’ve participated in a handful of high-stakes leagues in the past. This year, I decided to start a little early and enter a few mid-stakes drafts1 before the high-stakes season gets started. There are a number of providers of high-stakes leagues, and I’ll be playing in most of them this…...

The RotoViz Reality Sports Online Strategy Guide: Our Writers Tell All

We gathered 16 of our finest writers to compete in the RotoViz Reality Sports Online league. The startup process had two stages: A rookie snake draft and a veteran auction. The number of strategies employed were as diverse as the motley crew of drafters. Here are seven of our writers…...

Look Out Above: Todd Gurley is a Great Risk/Reward Pick

Todd Gurley has been called the greatest running back prospect since Adrian Peterson, the RotoViz staff had Gurley significantly higher than other rookie RBs in the post-draft rankings, and he was being drafted in early off-season MFL10s in the late-third round before he went the the St Louis Rams at…...

Projecting Usage: Shane Vereen, Duke Johnson and the rest of Tier 3

This is the third in a series of articles where I’m looking at the historical relationship between running back usage and PPR year-end finishes. We apply that relationship to 2015’s RBs using the composite projections for carries and receptions our staff put together with the Projection Machine App. This series is similar…...

Projecting Usage: CJ Spiller, Frank Gore and the rest of the Second Tier

This is the second in a series of articles where I’m looking at the historical relationship between running back usage and PPR year-end finishes. We apply that relationship to 2015’s RBs using the composite projections for carries and receptions our staff put together with the Projection Machine App. This series is…...

Projecting Usage: LeSean McCoy, DeMarco Murray and more Top-Tier Running Backs

I just finished a series of articles on the relationship between targets and wide receiver ADP ranks. I was able to identify receivers that were under- and overvalued based on how many targets the RotoViz staff were forecasting in our Projection Machine App. I wanted to do something similar for…...

What we do
Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

© 2020 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.

Welcome Back to RotoViz...

– IF YOU HAVE ISSUES LOGGING IN PLEASE CONTACT ROTOVIZMAIN@GMAIL.COM

– PLEASE NOTE THAT ROTOVIZ USES WORDPRESS FOR ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT. IF RESETTING YOUR PASSWORD YOU MAY BE FOWARDED TO A WORDPRESS PAGE.