Josh Hermsmeyer

Air yards, Numbers Game, and predictive modeling.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Structural Drafting in Dynasty Leagues

Where do our edges in fantasy football come from? Some believe a sustainable edge comes from player evaluation. Put another way, this is the theory that you can win by being better at picking the right players more often than your competitors.

JuJu Smith-Schuster, Mike Williams, and the Air Yards FBS Receiver Database

For the past two years the folks behind the site cfbfilmroom have been charting players at select FBS schools and publishing the results of their efforts. In 2016 they covered 13 teams from the major conferences. Along with things like contested catches and YAC, cfbfilmroom also publishes Air Yards Per Target for quarterbacks and receivers.

2016 Air Yards Database

Last week over at Rotoworld I wrote a primer on Receiver Air Yards. In this article I’m publishing a full list of all receivers who were targeted in 2016 along with their Air Yards per Target, RACR (Receiver Air Conversion Ratio) and WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating).

The 2017 FBS Receiver Market Share Database

On the heels of 14teammocker’s draft age database, today I’m releasing a full accounting of FBS receiver production for the 2016 season. It includes a full list of players who caught passes, including tight ends, running backs, and wide receivers.

Is it Time to Scrap Zero RB?

Zero RB appears to be in trouble, and its creator saw it coming. Last August in an article about the 2016 Apex Expert’s League, Shawn Siegele wrote the following about the impending decline of Zero RB as the top fantasy drafting strategy:

Week 12 Air Yards Buy Lows

Each week I break out air yards data to attempt to find the wide receivers that stand the best chance to see an increase in their fantasy production.

Week 10 Air Yards Buy Low Receivers

Each week I break out air yards data to attempt to find the wide receivers that stand the best chance to see an increase in their fantasy production.

Week 9 Air Yards Buy Low WRs

Each week I break out air yards data to attempt to find the wide receivers that stand the best chance to see an increase in their fantasy production. AIR YARDS EXPLAINED Air yards give us a complete view of a wide receiver’s game. They show us the volume of yards that are thrown at a guy, the amount of those yards he caught, and how many yards after the catch he created on passes he did catch.

Week 8 Air Yards Buy Lows

Each week I break out air yards data to attempt to find the wide receivers that stand the best chance to see an increase in their fantasy production.

Structural Drafting in Dynasty Leagues

Where do our edges in fantasy football come from? Some believe a sustainable edge comes from player evaluation. Put another way, this is the theory that you can win by being better at picking the right players more often than your competitors.

JuJu Smith-Schuster, Mike Williams, and the Air Yards FBS Receiver Database

For the past two years the folks behind the site cfbfilmroom have been charting players at select FBS schools and publishing the results of their efforts. In 2016 they covered 13 teams from the major conferences. Along with things like contested catches and YAC, cfbfilmroom also publishes Air Yards Per Target for quarterbacks and receivers.

2016 Air Yards Database

Last week over at Rotoworld I wrote a primer on Receiver Air Yards. In this article I’m publishing a full list of all receivers who were targeted in 2016 along with their Air Yards per Target, RACR (Receiver Air Conversion Ratio) and WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating).

The 2017 FBS Receiver Market Share Database

On the heels of 14teammocker’s draft age database, today I’m releasing a full accounting of FBS receiver production for the 2016 season. It includes a full list of players who caught passes, including tight ends, running backs, and wide receivers.

Is it Time to Scrap Zero RB?

Zero RB appears to be in trouble, and its creator saw it coming. Last August in an article about the 2016 Apex Expert’s League, Shawn Siegele wrote the following about the impending decline of Zero RB as the top fantasy drafting strategy:

Week 12 Air Yards Buy Lows

Each week I break out air yards data to attempt to find the wide receivers that stand the best chance to see an increase in their fantasy production.

Week 10 Air Yards Buy Low Receivers

Each week I break out air yards data to attempt to find the wide receivers that stand the best chance to see an increase in their fantasy production.

Week 9 Air Yards Buy Low WRs

Each week I break out air yards data to attempt to find the wide receivers that stand the best chance to see an increase in their fantasy production. AIR YARDS EXPLAINED Air yards give us a complete view of a wide receiver’s game. They show us the volume of yards that are thrown at a guy, the amount of those yards he caught, and how many yards after the catch he created on passes he did catch.

Week 8 Air Yards Buy Lows

Each week I break out air yards data to attempt to find the wide receivers that stand the best chance to see an increase in their fantasy production.

Structural Drafting in Dynasty Leagues

Where do our edges in fantasy football come from? Some believe a sustainable edge comes from player evaluation. Put another way, this is the theory that you can win by being better at picking the right players more often than your competitors.

JuJu Smith-Schuster, Mike Williams, and the Air Yards FBS Receiver Database

For the past two years the folks behind the site cfbfilmroom have been charting players at select FBS schools and publishing the results of their efforts. In 2016 they covered 13 teams from the major conferences. Along with things like contested catches and YAC, cfbfilmroom also publishes Air Yards Per

2016 Air Yards Database

Last week over at Rotoworld I wrote a primer on Receiver Air Yards. In this article I’m publishing a full list of all receivers who were targeted in 2016 along with their Air Yards per Target, RACR (Receiver Air Conversion Ratio) and WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating).

The 2017 FBS Receiver Market Share Database

On the heels of 14teammocker’s draft age database, today I’m releasing a full accounting of FBS receiver production for the 2016 season. It includes a full list of players who caught passes, including tight ends, running backs, and wide receivers.

Is it Time to Scrap Zero RB?

Zero RB appears to be in trouble, and its creator saw it coming. Last August in an article about the 2016 Apex Expert’s League, Shawn Siegele wrote the following about the impending decline of Zero RB as the top fantasy drafting strategy:

Week 12 Air Yards Buy Lows

Each week I break out air yards data to attempt to find the wide receivers that stand the best chance to see an increase in their fantasy production.

Week 10 Air Yards Buy Low Receivers

Each week I break out air yards data to attempt to find the wide receivers that stand the best chance to see an increase in their fantasy production.

Week 9 Air Yards Buy Low WRs

Each week I break out air yards data to attempt to find the wide receivers that stand the best chance to see an increase in their fantasy production. AIR YARDS EXPLAINED Air yards give us a complete view of a wide receiver’s game. They show us the volume of yards

Week 8 Air Yards Buy Lows

Each week I break out air yards data to attempt to find the wide receivers that stand the best chance to see an increase in their fantasy production.

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