Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Best Ball Workshop: Owners Are Always Getting Better at Fantasy, But There’s One Weird Area Where They’ve Gotten Worse … A Lot Worse

In Lesson 4 of the 2020 Best Ball Workshop, Shawn Siegele uses the Roster Construction Explorer to highlight Team Defense. The message is clear: fantasy owners are destroying their win rates by ignoring key insights at this underappreciated position. In the first two lessons of the series, we looked at the quarterback and tight end positions. Readers who followed the tactics from the 2019 Workshop…...

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Can Hayden Hurst Become The Next Austin Hooper In Atlanta?

The free agency period of the offseason never fails to disappoint. Some years are more exciting than others, and this year did not disappoint. Big-name wide receivers and running backs changed teams, arguably the greatest quarterback of all time headed south, and several high-profile quarterbacks were either released or are looking for other opportunities. If you peel back the layers of free agency, you’ll find…...

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BestBall10s: 7 Must-Own Players Based on Intel from the First 2 Workshop Lessons

Based on intel from the first two lessons of the 2020 Best Ball Workshop, Shawn Siegele recommends seven players as the foundation of your BestBall10s lineup. The RotoViz Best Ball Workshop uses intelligence from Mike Beers’ Roster Construction Explorer to help you put together a team that has an edge on your opponents at every position. Last year, our individual lessons helped you to a…...

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Ready to Run? Checking in on Rookie Best Ball ADP Before a Potential Combine Bounce

Combine testing begins today and runs through the weekend. With the 2020 class loaded at both running back and wide receiver, just how expensive are these prospects in early best ball drafts?  Using the FFPC Dashboard, we can track the progress of tomorrow’s stars. The Player Win Rate tool helps us put these ADPs in perspective and look at how they compare to the draft…...

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Does Offensive Line Strength Impact Fantasy RB Production?

One of the topics of discussion during 2019 fantasy drafts had to do with Joe Mixon’s ADP. If you remember those early days of September just before the start of the season, Mixon’s ADP was 20.6 overall, or RB11. That wasn’t a great deviation from what Mixon had done in 2018 finishing the season as the RB10. The difference is that he finished there while…...

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2020 Best Ball Workshop – George Kittle, Mark Andrews, and Why Unpopular TE Tactics Are the Key to Success

Thanks to the tools of best-ball guru Mike Beers, the 2019 Best Ball Workshop returned impressive win rates at every position. As we move into Lesson 2 of the 2020 Workshop, Shawn Siegele uses the Roster Construction Explorer to help you dominate your league again at the TE position.  In Lesson 1, we examined the QB position and located a key hack that provided owners…...

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Is It Time to Give Up On Mike Williams?

A lot of digital ink has been spilled musing about what the deal is with Mike Williams. Just days after he Williams was drafted we were already wondering about the future of Keenan Allen. One year later and after an injury-plagued rookie season, Shawn Siegele kept buying him. Fast-forward to last August and we were giving Williams the highest of potential floors. Just this past…...

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Is Allen Lazard Green Bay’s True WR2?

It’s safe to say no one predicted Allen Lazard’s second season given just what he did as an undrafted rookie in 2018. Lazard played exactly one game — one snap, actually — for the Packers in 2018. He was targeted by DeShone Kizer, caught the pass, and gained 7 yards. That’s some efficiency right there! Jokes aside, Lazard’s “real” debut-season took place in 2019 as…...

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Which Anthony Miller Should We Expect in 2020?

Two years in the NFL, two years outside of the top-50 best wide receivers in fantasy football. That’s the quickest of ways I can think of to give you an overly simplified summary of what Anthony Miller’s career has been up to the end of the 2019 season. It’s not pretty and gets less so when you consider he will be playing his third season…...

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Go From Novice to Expert With the Best Ball Workshop – Lesson 1 Shows How to Boost Your Win Rate With a Rare QB Hack

The RotoViz Best Ball Workshop uses intelligence from the Roster Construction Explorer to beat your competitors at every position. Did the lessons lead to success last year? Why are drafters still not utilizing one of the three key pillars to QB selection? Just how much can you boost your win rate with a counterintuitive hack? Shawn Siegele has the answers in the debut of the…...

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Is There Anything Left In David Johnson’s Tank?

There is nothing official — at least at the time of this writing — regarding David Johnson’s future (or lack of it) as a member of the Arizona Cardinals. Johnson, in fact, is in the middle of one of the most lucrative contracts in the NFL after signing a three-year extension to become the face of Arizona back in 2018 in a deal that would…...

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Derrick Henry is Awesome. Do Not Draft Derrick Henry

In the 2019 regular season, Derrick Henry led all running backs in fantasy points over expectation (FPOE) with 82.5. It was the 15th-highest FPOE mark among all RBs since 2000. In 2018, he was 11th among RBs with 37.4. In fact, he’s never had a season with negative FPOE. He carried the underdog Titans past the Patriots and Ravens, rushing for 377 yards on 64…...

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Will Dissly Keeps Flying Under The Radar: Is The Breakout Coming?

With the 2019 season already over I was looking at potential bargains entering the 2020 preseason with my eyes locked on the upcoming draft season. There are plenty of things that can turn a player into a buy-low candidate and put a bargain-tag next to his name: a drop in performance, a new teammate being used more on offense, a set of bad game scripts,…...

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Is a Secondary Breakout in Store for Michael Gallup?

If you drafted Michael Gallup as a rookie, you were admittedly disappointed. However, like everything in fantasy football, context matters. Gallup’s incoming measurables and draft capital were strong but not elite. His landing spot in 2018 came with some question marks such as: A quarterback who failed to eclipse 4,000 passing yards in a season during his career A team that averaged 26th in the…...

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Finding an Edge in Roster Construction: How to Approach the Single-Digit Rounds of Best Ball Drafts

I drafted so much Brandin Cooks last offseason. He was coming off of four consecutive 1,000-yard seasons and seemed destined for another in what looked like one of the league’s most potent offenses. He finished the season with 110.5 points and a 2.9% win rate — the fourth-lowest win rate among all players drafted in at least 200 drafts. Here’s the thing: I’m going to…...

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Positive Regression is Coming to Minnesota: What to Expect for the Vikings in 2020

If you’re not weak of memory you’d remember how Minnesota started the 2019 season. It was something bizarre, so strange, in fact, that there were virtually no modern-era comparisons to what Kirk Cousins and the rest of the Vikings put together during the first three to four weeks of the season. For those who have forgotten about it, here is a quick refresher: Through three…...

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Forgotten But Not Gone: 2 Wide Receivers You Need to Target in the Final Rounds of Best Ball Drafts

Tyler Boyd was an afterthought. He entered the 2018 season as the Bengals’ WR3 behind A.J. Green and John Ross. He was coming off of a season in which he averaged just 3.2 targets and 22.5 receiving yards per contest. His best ball ADP was WR143. Boyd didn’t get the message. He racked up 1,028 yards and seven touchdowns in only 14 games en route…...

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Putting 2019 in Context: So How Should We Approach 2020 Best Ball Drafts?

In the first three parts of this series, we looked at running backs and wide receivers drafted in the “RB Dead Zone” — Rounds 3 through 6 — and those drafted in the double-digit rounds. Today, we’ll combine everything we’ve learned (with some help from the Fanball Roster Construction Explorer) to talk about one of the most potent strategies in fantasy football. A Quick Refresher…...

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Mecole Hardman Checks Almost Every Single Box as a 2020 Breakout

It was an awesome year for rookie wide receivers. Six rookie wideouts finished with a double-digit best ball win rate, matching the total from the previous four years combined. As such, you can expect guys like A.J. Brown, D.K. Metcalf, Terry McLaurin, and Deebo Samuel to fly off the board fairly early in drafts this offseason. But who’s going to be the unheralded sophomore who…...

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Putting 2019 in Context: It Was a Really Weird Year for Late-Round Running Backs and Wide Receivers

In the first two parts of this series, we looked at running backs and wide receivers picked in Rounds 3-6 of best ball drafts in 2019 and talked about what your strategy should be in those rounds in 2020. Today, we’re going to do the same thing for RBs and WRs drafted in Round 10 or later. How did late-round RBs do in 2019? Not…...

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Best Ball Workshop: Owners Are Always Getting Better at Fantasy, But There’s One Weird Area Where They’ve Gotten Worse … A Lot Worse

In Lesson 4 of the 2020 Best Ball Workshop, Shawn Siegele uses the Roster Construction Explorer to highlight Team Defense. The message is clear: fantasy owners are destroying their win rates by ignoring key insights at this underappreciated position. In the first two lessons of the series, we looked at the quarterback and tight end positions. Readers who followed the tactics from the 2019 Workshop…...

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Can Hayden Hurst Become The Next Austin Hooper In Atlanta?

The free agency period of the offseason never fails to disappoint. Some years are more exciting than others, and this year did not disappoint. Big-name wide receivers and running backs changed teams, arguably the greatest quarterback of all time headed south, and several high-profile quarterbacks were either released or are looking for other opportunities. If you peel back the layers of free agency, you’ll find…...

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BestBall10s: 7 Must-Own Players Based on Intel from the First 2 Workshop Lessons

Based on intel from the first two lessons of the 2020 Best Ball Workshop, Shawn Siegele recommends seven players as the foundation of your BestBall10s lineup. The RotoViz Best Ball Workshop uses intelligence from Mike Beers’ Roster Construction Explorer to help you put together a team that has an edge on your opponents at every position. Last year, our individual lessons helped you to a…...

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Ready to Run? Checking in on Rookie Best Ball ADP Before a Potential Combine Bounce

Combine testing begins today and runs through the weekend. With the 2020 class loaded at both running back and wide receiver, just how expensive are these prospects in early best ball drafts?  Using the FFPC Dashboard, we can track the progress of tomorrow’s stars. The Player Win Rate tool helps us put these ADPs in perspective and look at how they compare to the draft…...

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Does Offensive Line Strength Impact Fantasy RB Production?

One of the topics of discussion during 2019 fantasy drafts had to do with Joe Mixon’s ADP. If you remember those early days of September just before the start of the season, Mixon’s ADP was 20.6 overall, or RB11. That wasn’t a great deviation from what Mixon had done in 2018 finishing the season as the RB10. The difference is that he finished there while…...

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2020 Best Ball Workshop – George Kittle, Mark Andrews, and Why Unpopular TE Tactics Are the Key to Success

Thanks to the tools of best-ball guru Mike Beers, the 2019 Best Ball Workshop returned impressive win rates at every position. As we move into Lesson 2 of the 2020 Workshop, Shawn Siegele uses the Roster Construction Explorer to help you dominate your league again at the TE position.  In Lesson 1, we examined the QB position and located a key hack that provided owners…...

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Is It Time to Give Up On Mike Williams?

A lot of digital ink has been spilled musing about what the deal is with Mike Williams. Just days after he Williams was drafted we were already wondering about the future of Keenan Allen. One year later and after an injury-plagued rookie season, Shawn Siegele kept buying him. Fast-forward to last August and we were giving Williams the highest of potential floors. Just this past…...

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Is Allen Lazard Green Bay’s True WR2?

It’s safe to say no one predicted Allen Lazard’s second season given just what he did as an undrafted rookie in 2018. Lazard played exactly one game — one snap, actually — for the Packers in 2018. He was targeted by DeShone Kizer, caught the pass, and gained 7 yards. That’s some efficiency right there! Jokes aside, Lazard’s “real” debut-season took place in 2019 as…...

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Which Anthony Miller Should We Expect in 2020?

Two years in the NFL, two years outside of the top-50 best wide receivers in fantasy football. That’s the quickest of ways I can think of to give you an overly simplified summary of what Anthony Miller’s career has been up to the end of the 2019 season. It’s not pretty and gets less so when you consider he will be playing his third season…...

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Go From Novice to Expert With the Best Ball Workshop – Lesson 1 Shows How to Boost Your Win Rate With a Rare QB Hack

The RotoViz Best Ball Workshop uses intelligence from the Roster Construction Explorer to beat your competitors at every position. Did the lessons lead to success last year? Why are drafters still not utilizing one of the three key pillars to QB selection? Just how much can you boost your win rate with a counterintuitive hack? Shawn Siegele has the answers in the debut of the…...

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Is There Anything Left In David Johnson’s Tank?

There is nothing official — at least at the time of this writing — regarding David Johnson’s future (or lack of it) as a member of the Arizona Cardinals. Johnson, in fact, is in the middle of one of the most lucrative contracts in the NFL after signing a three-year extension to become the face of Arizona back in 2018 in a deal that would…...

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Derrick Henry is Awesome. Do Not Draft Derrick Henry

In the 2019 regular season, Derrick Henry led all running backs in fantasy points over expectation (FPOE) with 82.5. It was the 15th-highest FPOE mark among all RBs since 2000. In 2018, he was 11th among RBs with 37.4. In fact, he’s never had a season with negative FPOE. He carried the underdog Titans past the Patriots and Ravens, rushing for 377 yards on 64…...

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Will Dissly Keeps Flying Under The Radar: Is The Breakout Coming?

With the 2019 season already over I was looking at potential bargains entering the 2020 preseason with my eyes locked on the upcoming draft season. There are plenty of things that can turn a player into a buy-low candidate and put a bargain-tag next to his name: a drop in performance, a new teammate being used more on offense, a set of bad game scripts,…...

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Is a Secondary Breakout in Store for Michael Gallup?

If you drafted Michael Gallup as a rookie, you were admittedly disappointed. However, like everything in fantasy football, context matters. Gallup’s incoming measurables and draft capital were strong but not elite. His landing spot in 2018 came with some question marks such as: A quarterback who failed to eclipse 4,000 passing yards in a season during his career A team that averaged 26th in the…...

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Finding an Edge in Roster Construction: How to Approach the Single-Digit Rounds of Best Ball Drafts

I drafted so much Brandin Cooks last offseason. He was coming off of four consecutive 1,000-yard seasons and seemed destined for another in what looked like one of the league’s most potent offenses. He finished the season with 110.5 points and a 2.9% win rate — the fourth-lowest win rate among all players drafted in at least 200 drafts. Here’s the thing: I’m going to…...

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Positive Regression is Coming to Minnesota: What to Expect for the Vikings in 2020

If you’re not weak of memory you’d remember how Minnesota started the 2019 season. It was something bizarre, so strange, in fact, that there were virtually no modern-era comparisons to what Kirk Cousins and the rest of the Vikings put together during the first three to four weeks of the season. For those who have forgotten about it, here is a quick refresher: Through three…...

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Forgotten But Not Gone: 2 Wide Receivers You Need to Target in the Final Rounds of Best Ball Drafts

Tyler Boyd was an afterthought. He entered the 2018 season as the Bengals’ WR3 behind A.J. Green and John Ross. He was coming off of a season in which he averaged just 3.2 targets and 22.5 receiving yards per contest. His best ball ADP was WR143. Boyd didn’t get the message. He racked up 1,028 yards and seven touchdowns in only 14 games en route…...

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Putting 2019 in Context: So How Should We Approach 2020 Best Ball Drafts?

In the first three parts of this series, we looked at running backs and wide receivers drafted in the “RB Dead Zone” — Rounds 3 through 6 — and those drafted in the double-digit rounds. Today, we’ll combine everything we’ve learned (with some help from the Fanball Roster Construction Explorer) to talk about one of the most potent strategies in fantasy football. A Quick Refresher…...

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Mecole Hardman Checks Almost Every Single Box as a 2020 Breakout

It was an awesome year for rookie wide receivers. Six rookie wideouts finished with a double-digit best ball win rate, matching the total from the previous four years combined. As such, you can expect guys like A.J. Brown, D.K. Metcalf, Terry McLaurin, and Deebo Samuel to fly off the board fairly early in drafts this offseason. But who’s going to be the unheralded sophomore who…...

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Putting 2019 in Context: It Was a Really Weird Year for Late-Round Running Backs and Wide Receivers

In the first two parts of this series, we looked at running backs and wide receivers picked in Rounds 3-6 of best ball drafts in 2019 and talked about what your strategy should be in those rounds in 2020. Today, we’re going to do the same thing for RBs and WRs drafted in Round 10 or later. How did late-round RBs do in 2019? Not…...

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Best Ball Workshop: Owners Are Always Getting Better at Fantasy, But There’s One Weird Area Where They’ve Gotten Worse … A Lot Worse

In Lesson 4 of the 2020 Best Ball Workshop, Shawn Siegele uses the Roster Construction Explorer to highlight Team Defense. The message is clear: fantasy owners are destroying their win rates by ignoring key insights at this underappreciated position. In the first two lessons of the series, we looked at the quarterback and tight end positions. Readers who followed the tactics from the 2019 Workshop…...

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Can Hayden Hurst Become The Next Austin Hooper In Atlanta?

The free agency period of the offseason never fails to disappoint. Some years are more exciting than others, and this year did not disappoint. Big-name wide receivers and running backs changed teams, arguably the greatest quarterback of all time headed south, and several high-profile quarterbacks were either released or are looking for other opportunities. If you peel back the layers of free agency, you’ll find…...

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BestBall10s: 7 Must-Own Players Based on Intel from the First 2 Workshop Lessons

Based on intel from the first two lessons of the 2020 Best Ball Workshop, Shawn Siegele recommends seven players as the foundation of your BestBall10s lineup. The RotoViz Best Ball Workshop uses intelligence from Mike Beers’ Roster Construction Explorer to help you put together a team that has an edge on your opponents at every position. Last year, our individual lessons helped you to a…...

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Ready to Run? Checking in on Rookie Best Ball ADP Before a Potential Combine Bounce

Combine testing begins today and runs through the weekend. With the 2020 class loaded at both running back and wide receiver, just how expensive are these prospects in early best ball drafts?  Using the FFPC Dashboard, we can track the progress of tomorrow’s stars. The Player Win Rate tool helps us put these ADPs in perspective and look at how they compare to the draft…...

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Does Offensive Line Strength Impact Fantasy RB Production?

One of the topics of discussion during 2019 fantasy drafts had to do with Joe Mixon’s ADP. If you remember those early days of September just before the start of the season, Mixon’s ADP was 20.6 overall, or RB11. That wasn’t a great deviation from what Mixon had done in 2018 finishing the season as the RB10. The difference is that he finished there while…...

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2020 Best Ball Workshop – George Kittle, Mark Andrews, and Why Unpopular TE Tactics Are the Key to Success

Thanks to the tools of best-ball guru Mike Beers, the 2019 Best Ball Workshop returned impressive win rates at every position. As we move into Lesson 2 of the 2020 Workshop, Shawn Siegele uses the Roster Construction Explorer to help you dominate your league again at the TE position.  In Lesson 1, we examined the QB position and located a key hack that provided owners…...

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Is It Time to Give Up On Mike Williams?

A lot of digital ink has been spilled musing about what the deal is with Mike Williams. Just days after he Williams was drafted we were already wondering about the future of Keenan Allen. One year later and after an injury-plagued rookie season, Shawn Siegele kept buying him. Fast-forward to last August and we were giving Williams the highest of potential floors. Just this past…...

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Is Allen Lazard Green Bay’s True WR2?

It’s safe to say no one predicted Allen Lazard’s second season given just what he did as an undrafted rookie in 2018. Lazard played exactly one game — one snap, actually — for the Packers in 2018. He was targeted by DeShone Kizer, caught the pass, and gained 7 yards. That’s some efficiency right there! Jokes aside, Lazard’s “real” debut-season took place in 2019 as…...

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Which Anthony Miller Should We Expect in 2020?

Two years in the NFL, two years outside of the top-50 best wide receivers in fantasy football. That’s the quickest of ways I can think of to give you an overly simplified summary of what Anthony Miller’s career has been up to the end of the 2019 season. It’s not pretty and gets less so when you consider he will be playing his third season…...

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Go From Novice to Expert With the Best Ball Workshop – Lesson 1 Shows How to Boost Your Win Rate With a Rare QB Hack

The RotoViz Best Ball Workshop uses intelligence from the Roster Construction Explorer to beat your competitors at every position. Did the lessons lead to success last year? Why are drafters still not utilizing one of the three key pillars to QB selection? Just how much can you boost your win rate with a counterintuitive hack? Shawn Siegele has the answers in the debut of the…...

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Is There Anything Left In David Johnson’s Tank?

There is nothing official — at least at the time of this writing — regarding David Johnson’s future (or lack of it) as a member of the Arizona Cardinals. Johnson, in fact, is in the middle of one of the most lucrative contracts in the NFL after signing a three-year extension to become the face of Arizona back in 2018 in a deal that would…...

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Derrick Henry is Awesome. Do Not Draft Derrick Henry

In the 2019 regular season, Derrick Henry led all running backs in fantasy points over expectation (FPOE) with 82.5. It was the 15th-highest FPOE mark among all RBs since 2000. In 2018, he was 11th among RBs with 37.4. In fact, he’s never had a season with negative FPOE. He carried the underdog Titans past the Patriots and Ravens, rushing for 377 yards on 64…...

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Will Dissly Keeps Flying Under The Radar: Is The Breakout Coming?

With the 2019 season already over I was looking at potential bargains entering the 2020 preseason with my eyes locked on the upcoming draft season. There are plenty of things that can turn a player into a buy-low candidate and put a bargain-tag next to his name: a drop in performance, a new teammate being used more on offense, a set of bad game scripts,…...

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Is a Secondary Breakout in Store for Michael Gallup?

If you drafted Michael Gallup as a rookie, you were admittedly disappointed. However, like everything in fantasy football, context matters. Gallup’s incoming measurables and draft capital were strong but not elite. His landing spot in 2018 came with some question marks such as: A quarterback who failed to eclipse 4,000 passing yards in a season during his career A team that averaged 26th in the…...

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Finding an Edge in Roster Construction: How to Approach the Single-Digit Rounds of Best Ball Drafts

I drafted so much Brandin Cooks last offseason. He was coming off of four consecutive 1,000-yard seasons and seemed destined for another in what looked like one of the league’s most potent offenses. He finished the season with 110.5 points and a 2.9% win rate — the fourth-lowest win rate among all players drafted in at least 200 drafts. Here’s the thing: I’m going to…...

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Positive Regression is Coming to Minnesota: What to Expect for the Vikings in 2020

If you’re not weak of memory you’d remember how Minnesota started the 2019 season. It was something bizarre, so strange, in fact, that there were virtually no modern-era comparisons to what Kirk Cousins and the rest of the Vikings put together during the first three to four weeks of the season. For those who have forgotten about it, here is a quick refresher: Through three…...

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Forgotten But Not Gone: 2 Wide Receivers You Need to Target in the Final Rounds of Best Ball Drafts

Tyler Boyd was an afterthought. He entered the 2018 season as the Bengals’ WR3 behind A.J. Green and John Ross. He was coming off of a season in which he averaged just 3.2 targets and 22.5 receiving yards per contest. His best ball ADP was WR143. Boyd didn’t get the message. He racked up 1,028 yards and seven touchdowns in only 14 games en route…...

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Putting 2019 in Context: So How Should We Approach 2020 Best Ball Drafts?

In the first three parts of this series, we looked at running backs and wide receivers drafted in the “RB Dead Zone” — Rounds 3 through 6 — and those drafted in the double-digit rounds. Today, we’ll combine everything we’ve learned (with some help from the Fanball Roster Construction Explorer) to talk about one of the most potent strategies in fantasy football. A Quick Refresher…...

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Mecole Hardman Checks Almost Every Single Box as a 2020 Breakout

It was an awesome year for rookie wide receivers. Six rookie wideouts finished with a double-digit best ball win rate, matching the total from the previous four years combined. As such, you can expect guys like A.J. Brown, D.K. Metcalf, Terry McLaurin, and Deebo Samuel to fly off the board fairly early in drafts this offseason. But who’s going to be the unheralded sophomore who…...

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Putting 2019 in Context: It Was a Really Weird Year for Late-Round Running Backs and Wide Receivers

In the first two parts of this series, we looked at running backs and wide receivers picked in Rounds 3-6 of best ball drafts in 2019 and talked about what your strategy should be in those rounds in 2020. Today, we’re going to do the same thing for RBs and WRs drafted in Round 10 or later. How did late-round RBs do in 2019? Not…...

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