NOTE: Our tools will be updated each week as soon as data from our stats provider is available. Generally, data from Sunday’s games will be available early Tuesday afternoon. For an immediate look at the games from the previous weekend, please check out our Monday Review tool which includes a collection of preliminary stats.
In the first five lessons of the 2020 Best Ball Workshop, we used the Roster Construction Explorer to provide the latest intel on each of the onesie positions. The insights from the 2019 Workshop led to sky-high win rates overall and dynamic results at the onesie positions. Now in Lesson 6, we move to the marquee positions of RB and WR. In the next several…...
The RotoViz Team recently released an updated version of our Range of Outcomes App. This tool helps users to better understand a player’s realistic range of outcomes for the coming season. In this article, Dave Caban overviews the process of building the tool and interpreting its results. Austin Ekeler was awesome in 2019. He finished as an RB1 in seven weeks and was the RB6…...
Welcome to summer! Well, not officially yet, I suppose, but Memorial Day Weekend is often seen as the unofficial start of summer. With that in mind, I figured I would debut my first redraft-focused piece of the offseason. For all you dynasty players, no worries. There will still be plenty of content coming for you. Besides, focusing on one-year cycles (like redraft) is a useful…...
First off, predicting the NFL Draft pick by pick is truly impossible. That’s not what we’re trying to do here. When it comes to fantasy football we like to see wide receivers drafted in Rounds 1-3 of the NFL Draft. Those receivers typically produce fantasy points at a much higher rate than those drafted later or not at all. “Okay, cool. Yeah. Draft capital matters…....
Year 2 has always been a big year for wide receivers, and last year’s sophomore class certainly did not disappoint: four different players eclipsed the breakout threshold of 200 PPR points, the most since 2015, rewarding owners who took advantage of perhaps the biggest edge in fantasy football. Success doesn’t come cheap though, as all the previous breakouts from the 2018 draft class are being…...
Last night, Curtis Patrick held the inaugural rookie draft for the Black Crown Dynasty League live on zoom. It was a raucous and festive occasion with many of my favorite writers in the dynasty community – T.J. Calkins, Ryan McDowell, Patrick Kerrane, J.J. Zachariason, Rich Hribar, Matthew Freedman, Scott Barrett, Tyler Buecher, Danny Kelly, and John Daigle. This is a Superflex, TE Premium league with…...
It seems like 100 years or more since the 2020 NFL Draft. But I assure you, it was only last month. Since the last name was called at the event, nearly 150 high stakes drafts have taken place over at the FFPC. I thought it would be interesting to take a look at five players who have experienced something of a drop in popularity since…...
Shawn Siegele goes through the last five rookie drafts and explores what each draft would look like if it took place today. It’s always fun to go back and ask the question What if? It can also help us calibrate our expectations for the future. What should be the core of our dynasty startup teams? What is the hit rate for rookie picks? How well…...
Startup drafts can get long and tedious once you hit a certain point. The eight-hour timer between picks, the endless negotiating and postering for every selection, and the seemingly fewer options the deeper you go. You may find yourself taking guys to keep things moving after a while. Here’s something that we all know to be true but often find hard to remember and put…...
The New York Jets are eagerly looking forward to what they can get out of tight end Chris Herndon in 2020. According to Connor Hughes of The Athletic, “to say the Jets can’t wait to get (him) back in their lineup is a vast understatement.” Hughes doubled down on this sentiment on Tuesday, remarking that they “had sky-high expectations” for him in 2019. But suspension…...
The NFL recently released the 2020 schedule, giving fantasy gamers the opportunity to find an edge in best ball leagues. With some help from the RotoViz Strength of Schedule Streaming App, let’s make sense of the gauntlet that each team will face and as an added bonus, identify a division whose WRs oppose significantly easy schedules. How Does the App Calculate Opponent Difficulty? As a…...
In case you missed everything else that RotoViz has ever done, production metrics matter when it comes to predicting future NFL success for wide receivers. However, finding what really matters, and how much it matters is tough. So, last year I took a look at some of the most impactful production variables and combined them to create what I call the Adjusted Production Index. It’s…...
Yesterday, I wrote an article that used best ball win rate data to examine the impact of efficiency for wide receivers. It built off of what Blair Andrews did in The Wrong Read No. 59, which showed that WRs who post positive Fantasy Points Over Expectation (FPOE) tend to see more volume and continue to be efficient in the following season. That’s certainly good to know,…...
As the dust has settled following the NFL Draft and the bulk of free agency, we can start to project how we think players and offenses will look heading into next season. It’s a tedious exercise, and much can (and likely will) change between now and the fall. However, it provides a chance to uncover some potential values that can be acquired below cost. Last…...
A.J. Brown was special last year. Over the last two decades, Odell Beckham Jr. is the only rookie wide receiver to post more receiving Fantasy Points Over Expectation (reFPOE) than Brown had in 2019. Brown accumulated 1,051 yards on just 84 targets, leading the NFL in yards per target in the process.[1]Minimum 30 targets. Since 1992, he is the only player to finish with over…...
Ben Roethlisberger injured his elbow during Week 2 of the 2019 season. He underwent an MRI, surgery and was placed on injured reserve. His back-ups, Mason Rudolph and Devlin “Duck” Hodges, performed suboptimally following Roethlisberger’s injury. I’m being kind here. The Steelers are regarded by many fantasy analysts as a ‘bounce-back’ or ‘buy low’ offense for the 2020 season. But the ability of Pittsburgh’s skill…...
As startups explode in the aftermath of the NFL Draft, this is the perfect time to develop your dynasty strategy for 2020. Beyond the Dynasty Command Center Rookie Guide and our deep research on the best players and tactics in rookie drafts, we’ve also been focusing on how to build your overall roster. Curtis Patrick’s Dynasty Startup Cheat Sheet helps you build the perfect core…...
Before the NFL Draft, I wrote about why pass-catching is the key to identifying late-round running back breakouts. The evidence is pretty glaring, especially considering it’s not too difficult to predict which RBs will catch passes (as shown in the first article). There weren’t many league-winning RBs picked late in drafts last season, but you can safely expect that to rebound this year. Picking the…...
The 2020 NFL Draft created more carnage than usual at the RB position. Teams selected 10 running backs in the first 100 picks, more than any other draft in the last five years. And it’s not like there were a lot of wide open jobs. Only the Miami Dolphins – who didn’t select an early RB but traded for Matt Breida – appeared to have…...
Michael Dubner reveals the mental frameworks that make him a successful Fantasy Football player and will take you from sacko to champion. The NFL offseason provides us with time to reflect. We have the luxury of time to take a birds-eye view and refine our process. Here we’ll be stepping away from the fantasy football sleepers, busts, and start-sit decisions for a minute to focus…...
In the first five lessons of the 2020 Best Ball Workshop, we used the Roster Construction Explorer to provide the latest intel on each of the onesie positions. The insights from the 2019 Workshop led to sky-high win rates overall and dynamic results at the onesie positions. Now in Lesson 6, we move to the marquee positions of RB and WR. In the next several…...
The RotoViz Team recently released an updated version of our Range of Outcomes App. This tool helps users to better understand a player’s realistic range of outcomes for the coming season. In this article, Dave Caban overviews the process of building the tool and interpreting its results. Austin Ekeler was awesome in 2019. He finished as an RB1 in seven weeks and was the RB6…...
Welcome to summer! Well, not officially yet, I suppose, but Memorial Day Weekend is often seen as the unofficial start of summer. With that in mind, I figured I would debut my first redraft-focused piece of the offseason. For all you dynasty players, no worries. There will still be plenty of content coming for you. Besides, focusing on one-year cycles (like redraft) is a useful…...
First off, predicting the NFL Draft pick by pick is truly impossible. That’s not what we’re trying to do here. When it comes to fantasy football we like to see wide receivers drafted in Rounds 1-3 of the NFL Draft. Those receivers typically produce fantasy points at a much higher rate than those drafted later or not at all. “Okay, cool. Yeah. Draft capital matters…....
Year 2 has always been a big year for wide receivers, and last year’s sophomore class certainly did not disappoint: four different players eclipsed the breakout threshold of 200 PPR points, the most since 2015, rewarding owners who took advantage of perhaps the biggest edge in fantasy football. Success doesn’t come cheap though, as all the previous breakouts from the 2018 draft class are being…...
Last night, Curtis Patrick held the inaugural rookie draft for the Black Crown Dynasty League live on zoom. It was a raucous and festive occasion with many of my favorite writers in the dynasty community – T.J. Calkins, Ryan McDowell, Patrick Kerrane, J.J. Zachariason, Rich Hribar, Matthew Freedman, Scott Barrett, Tyler Buecher, Danny Kelly, and John Daigle. This is a Superflex, TE Premium league with…...
It seems like 100 years or more since the 2020 NFL Draft. But I assure you, it was only last month. Since the last name was called at the event, nearly 150 high stakes drafts have taken place over at the FFPC. I thought it would be interesting to take a look at five players who have experienced something of a drop in popularity since…...
Shawn Siegele goes through the last five rookie drafts and explores what each draft would look like if it took place today. It’s always fun to go back and ask the question What if? It can also help us calibrate our expectations for the future. What should be the core of our dynasty startup teams? What is the hit rate for rookie picks? How well…...
Startup drafts can get long and tedious once you hit a certain point. The eight-hour timer between picks, the endless negotiating and postering for every selection, and the seemingly fewer options the deeper you go. You may find yourself taking guys to keep things moving after a while. Here’s something that we all know to be true but often find hard to remember and put…...
The New York Jets are eagerly looking forward to what they can get out of tight end Chris Herndon in 2020. According to Connor Hughes of The Athletic, “to say the Jets can’t wait to get (him) back in their lineup is a vast understatement.” Hughes doubled down on this sentiment on Tuesday, remarking that they “had sky-high expectations” for him in 2019. But suspension…...
The NFL recently released the 2020 schedule, giving fantasy gamers the opportunity to find an edge in best ball leagues. With some help from the RotoViz Strength of Schedule Streaming App, let’s make sense of the gauntlet that each team will face and as an added bonus, identify a division whose WRs oppose significantly easy schedules. How Does the App Calculate Opponent Difficulty? As a…...
In case you missed everything else that RotoViz has ever done, production metrics matter when it comes to predicting future NFL success for wide receivers. However, finding what really matters, and how much it matters is tough. So, last year I took a look at some of the most impactful production variables and combined them to create what I call the Adjusted Production Index. It’s…...
Yesterday, I wrote an article that used best ball win rate data to examine the impact of efficiency for wide receivers. It built off of what Blair Andrews did in The Wrong Read No. 59, which showed that WRs who post positive Fantasy Points Over Expectation (FPOE) tend to see more volume and continue to be efficient in the following season. That’s certainly good to know,…...
As the dust has settled following the NFL Draft and the bulk of free agency, we can start to project how we think players and offenses will look heading into next season. It’s a tedious exercise, and much can (and likely will) change between now and the fall. However, it provides a chance to uncover some potential values that can be acquired below cost. Last…...
A.J. Brown was special last year. Over the last two decades, Odell Beckham Jr. is the only rookie wide receiver to post more receiving Fantasy Points Over Expectation (reFPOE) than Brown had in 2019. Brown accumulated 1,051 yards on just 84 targets, leading the NFL in yards per target in the process.[1]Minimum 30 targets. Since 1992, he is the only player to finish with over…...
Ben Roethlisberger injured his elbow during Week 2 of the 2019 season. He underwent an MRI, surgery and was placed on injured reserve. His back-ups, Mason Rudolph and Devlin “Duck” Hodges, performed suboptimally following Roethlisberger’s injury. I’m being kind here. The Steelers are regarded by many fantasy analysts as a ‘bounce-back’ or ‘buy low’ offense for the 2020 season. But the ability of Pittsburgh’s skill…...
As startups explode in the aftermath of the NFL Draft, this is the perfect time to develop your dynasty strategy for 2020. Beyond the Dynasty Command Center Rookie Guide and our deep research on the best players and tactics in rookie drafts, we’ve also been focusing on how to build your overall roster. Curtis Patrick’s Dynasty Startup Cheat Sheet helps you build the perfect core…...
Before the NFL Draft, I wrote about why pass-catching is the key to identifying late-round running back breakouts. The evidence is pretty glaring, especially considering it’s not too difficult to predict which RBs will catch passes (as shown in the first article). There weren’t many league-winning RBs picked late in drafts last season, but you can safely expect that to rebound this year. Picking the…...
The 2020 NFL Draft created more carnage than usual at the RB position. Teams selected 10 running backs in the first 100 picks, more than any other draft in the last five years. And it’s not like there were a lot of wide open jobs. Only the Miami Dolphins – who didn’t select an early RB but traded for Matt Breida – appeared to have…...
Michael Dubner reveals the mental frameworks that make him a successful Fantasy Football player and will take you from sacko to champion. The NFL offseason provides us with time to reflect. We have the luxury of time to take a birds-eye view and refine our process. Here we’ll be stepping away from the fantasy football sleepers, busts, and start-sit decisions for a minute to focus…...
In the first five lessons of the 2020 Best Ball Workshop, we used the Roster Construction Explorer to provide the latest intel on each of the onesie positions. The insights from the 2019 Workshop led to sky-high win rates overall and dynamic results at the onesie positions. Now in Lesson 6, we move to the marquee positions of RB and WR. In the next several…...
The RotoViz Team recently released an updated version of our Range of Outcomes App. This tool helps users to better understand a player’s realistic range of outcomes for the coming season. In this article, Dave Caban overviews the process of building the tool and interpreting its results. Austin Ekeler was awesome in 2019. He finished as an RB1 in seven weeks and was the RB6…...
Welcome to summer! Well, not officially yet, I suppose, but Memorial Day Weekend is often seen as the unofficial start of summer. With that in mind, I figured I would debut my first redraft-focused piece of the offseason. For all you dynasty players, no worries. There will still be plenty of content coming for you. Besides, focusing on one-year cycles (like redraft) is a useful…...
First off, predicting the NFL Draft pick by pick is truly impossible. That’s not what we’re trying to do here. When it comes to fantasy football we like to see wide receivers drafted in Rounds 1-3 of the NFL Draft. Those receivers typically produce fantasy points at a much higher rate than those drafted later or not at all. “Okay, cool. Yeah. Draft capital matters…....
Year 2 has always been a big year for wide receivers, and last year’s sophomore class certainly did not disappoint: four different players eclipsed the breakout threshold of 200 PPR points, the most since 2015, rewarding owners who took advantage of perhaps the biggest edge in fantasy football. Success doesn’t come cheap though, as all the previous breakouts from the 2018 draft class are being…...
Last night, Curtis Patrick held the inaugural rookie draft for the Black Crown Dynasty League live on zoom. It was a raucous and festive occasion with many of my favorite writers in the dynasty community – T.J. Calkins, Ryan McDowell, Patrick Kerrane, J.J. Zachariason, Rich Hribar, Matthew Freedman, Scott Barrett, Tyler Buecher, Danny Kelly, and John Daigle. This is a Superflex, TE Premium league with…...
It seems like 100 years or more since the 2020 NFL Draft. But I assure you, it was only last month. Since the last name was called at the event, nearly 150 high stakes drafts have taken place over at the FFPC. I thought it would be interesting to take a look at five players who have experienced something of a drop in popularity since…...
Shawn Siegele goes through the last five rookie drafts and explores what each draft would look like if it took place today. It’s always fun to go back and ask the question What if? It can also help us calibrate our expectations for the future. What should be the core of our dynasty startup teams? What is the hit rate for rookie picks? How well…...
Startup drafts can get long and tedious once you hit a certain point. The eight-hour timer between picks, the endless negotiating and postering for every selection, and the seemingly fewer options the deeper you go. You may find yourself taking guys to keep things moving after a while. Here’s something that we all know to be true but often find hard to remember and put…...
The New York Jets are eagerly looking forward to what they can get out of tight end Chris Herndon in 2020. According to Connor Hughes of The Athletic, “to say the Jets can’t wait to get (him) back in their lineup is a vast understatement.” Hughes doubled down on this sentiment on Tuesday, remarking that they “had sky-high expectations” for him in 2019. But suspension…...
The NFL recently released the 2020 schedule, giving fantasy gamers the opportunity to find an edge in best ball leagues. With some help from the RotoViz Strength of Schedule Streaming App, let’s make sense of the gauntlet that each team will face and as an added bonus, identify a division whose WRs oppose significantly easy schedules. How Does the App Calculate Opponent Difficulty? As a…...
In case you missed everything else that RotoViz has ever done, production metrics matter when it comes to predicting future NFL success for wide receivers. However, finding what really matters, and how much it matters is tough. So, last year I took a look at some of the most impactful production variables and combined them to create what I call the Adjusted Production Index. It’s…...
Yesterday, I wrote an article that used best ball win rate data to examine the impact of efficiency for wide receivers. It built off of what Blair Andrews did in The Wrong Read No. 59, which showed that WRs who post positive Fantasy Points Over Expectation (FPOE) tend to see more volume and continue to be efficient in the following season. That’s certainly good to know,…...
As the dust has settled following the NFL Draft and the bulk of free agency, we can start to project how we think players and offenses will look heading into next season. It’s a tedious exercise, and much can (and likely will) change between now and the fall. However, it provides a chance to uncover some potential values that can be acquired below cost. Last…...
A.J. Brown was special last year. Over the last two decades, Odell Beckham Jr. is the only rookie wide receiver to post more receiving Fantasy Points Over Expectation (reFPOE) than Brown had in 2019. Brown accumulated 1,051 yards on just 84 targets, leading the NFL in yards per target in the process.[1]Minimum 30 targets. Since 1992, he is the only player to finish with over…...
Ben Roethlisberger injured his elbow during Week 2 of the 2019 season. He underwent an MRI, surgery and was placed on injured reserve. His back-ups, Mason Rudolph and Devlin “Duck” Hodges, performed suboptimally following Roethlisberger’s injury. I’m being kind here. The Steelers are regarded by many fantasy analysts as a ‘bounce-back’ or ‘buy low’ offense for the 2020 season. But the ability of Pittsburgh’s skill…...
As startups explode in the aftermath of the NFL Draft, this is the perfect time to develop your dynasty strategy for 2020. Beyond the Dynasty Command Center Rookie Guide and our deep research on the best players and tactics in rookie drafts, we’ve also been focusing on how to build your overall roster. Curtis Patrick’s Dynasty Startup Cheat Sheet helps you build the perfect core…...
Before the NFL Draft, I wrote about why pass-catching is the key to identifying late-round running back breakouts. The evidence is pretty glaring, especially considering it’s not too difficult to predict which RBs will catch passes (as shown in the first article). There weren’t many league-winning RBs picked late in drafts last season, but you can safely expect that to rebound this year. Picking the…...
The 2020 NFL Draft created more carnage than usual at the RB position. Teams selected 10 running backs in the first 100 picks, more than any other draft in the last five years. And it’s not like there were a lot of wide open jobs. Only the Miami Dolphins – who didn’t select an early RB but traded for Matt Breida – appeared to have…...
Michael Dubner reveals the mental frameworks that make him a successful Fantasy Football player and will take you from sacko to champion. The NFL offseason provides us with time to reflect. We have the luxury of time to take a birds-eye view and refine our process. Here we’ll be stepping away from the fantasy football sleepers, busts, and start-sit decisions for a minute to focus…...
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