Curtis Patrick

RotoViz Co-Owner. Host, Dynasty Command Center Podcast. High Stakes Dynasty Force. Top-12 FFPC Main Event Finisher. 3-time Champion, Pro Football Hall of Fame King’s Classic.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Dynasty Trade Targets 2020 – Running Back Edition

In Dynasty Trade Targets 2020 – Running Back Edition, Curtis Patrick gives away the names of three running backs he’s buying right now. As rookie fever sets in across the dynasty community, the offseason trade window also begins to crack open. I’m sharing three of my top dynasty trade targets at the running back position for the 2020 offseason. One of these players is an…...

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Will the NFL Fall in Love with Jordan Love? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Joe Burrow is the first quarterback who will be taken in the 2020 NFL Draft. But the QB talent of this class does not start and end with Burrow. Jordan Love will hear his name called not long after Burrow. BACKGROUND Love attended Liberty High School in Bakersfield, California. He played football and basketball in high school, and in his senior year, he was a…...

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Dynasty Fallout From the End of the Philip Rivers Era

Last week, the quarterback taken by the San Diego Chargers with the first overall selection in the 2004 NFL Draft announced his retirement. On Monday, Jay Glazer reported that the Chargers were set to move on from the QB they got when they traded the first to the New York Giants. If Glazer’s report is accurate, Philip Rivers’ time with the Chargers ends after 228 regular-season…...

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Forgotten But Not Gone: 2 Wide Receivers You Need to Target in the Final Rounds of Best Ball Drafts

Tyler Boyd was an afterthought. He entered the 2018 season as the Bengals’ WR3 behind A.J. Green and John Ross. He was coming off of a season in which he averaged just 3.2 targets and 22.5 receiving yards per contest. His best ball ADP was WR143. Boyd didn’t get the message. He racked up 1,028 yards and seven touchdowns in only 14 games en route…...

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Putting 2019 in Context: So How Should We Approach 2020 Best Ball Drafts?

In the first three parts of this series, we looked at running backs and wide receivers drafted in the “RB Dead Zone” — Rounds 3 through 6 — and those drafted in the double-digit rounds. Today, we’ll combine everything we’ve learned (with some help from the Fanball Roster Construction Explorer) to talk about one of the most potent strategies in fantasy football. A Quick Refresher…...

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Could Colby Parkinson Be the Next Graduate from Tight End U? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Since 2010 there have been seven tight ends out of Stanford drafting by NFL teams. This includes players like Coby Fleener, Zach Ertz and Austin Hooper. 2020 should see this number rise to eight. Colby Parkinson is heading for the NFL. BACKGROUND Parkinson attended Oaks Christian School in Westlake Village, California. In a revelation that will come as no shock to anyone, he dabbled in…...

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Mecole Hardman Checks Almost Every Single Box as a 2020 Breakout

It was an awesome year for rookie wide receivers. Six rookie wideouts finished with a double-digit best ball win rate, matching the total from the previous four years combined. As such, you can expect guys like A.J. Brown, D.K. Metcalf, Terry McLaurin, and Deebo Samuel to fly off the board fairly early in drafts this offseason. But who’s going to be the unheralded sophomore who…...

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Is Isaiah Hodgins the Next A.J. Green or Another Hakeem Butler? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

At first glance, Isaiah Hodgins checks several boxes that we here at Rotoviz like to see. How is it that so few seem to be excited about this young A.J. Green clone? “Whoa, slow your roll with that hyperbole!” Okay, fine. but we’ll get to why that comp may make sense here soon. Today we’ll dive into Hodgins, the good and the bad of his…...

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Is Clyde Edwards-Helaire a Three-Down Bell Cow? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Although not considered to be among the elite tier of running back prospects, Clyde Edwards-Helaire is sure to garner some hype after his recent performance in the National Championship game. Let’s see how his profile stacks up compared to the other running backs in this draft class. Past Production Although Edwards-Helaire played in all 13 games for LSU as a true freshman, he was behind…...

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Dynasty Trade Targets 2020 – Wide Receiver Edition

In Dynasty Trade Targets 2020 – Wide Receiver Edition, Curtis Patrick gives away the names of three wide receivers he’s buying right now. As rookie fever sets in across the dynasty community, the offseason trade window also begins to crack open. I’m sharing three of my top dynasty trade targets at the wide receiver position for the 2020 offseason. One of these players should be…...

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Putting 2019 in Context: It Was a Really Weird Year for Late-Round Running Backs and Wide Receivers

In the first two parts of this series, we looked at running backs and wide receivers picked in Rounds 3-6 of best ball drafts in 2019 and talked about what your strategy should be in those rounds in 2020. Today, we’re going to do the same thing for RBs and WRs drafted in Round 10 or later. How did late-round RBs do in 2019? Not…...

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Game Splits: How Have the Conference Title Contenders Fared Against Similar Defenses?

The Green Packers and San Francisco 49ers square off in the NFC Championship Game as the Tennessee Titans try to spring another Arrowhead upset and knock off Kansas City in the AFC. Shawn Siegele uses the Team Splits app to examine the defensive matchups. Last week we used two of our most popular tools to dive into some crazy splits for playoff teams. Today we use…...

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Laviska Shenault Can Succeed Despite A Down Year: A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

The 2020 wide receiver class has the potential to be one of the best in recent memory with likes of Tee Higgins, CeeDee Lamb, Henry Ruggs, Jerry Jeudy, and Justin Jefferson all with a realistic shot of going in the first-round. Laviska Shenualt needs to be a part of the first-round discussion as well. The Colorado prospect certainly has the “big wide receiver” frame at…...

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What If the 2019 Rookie Draft Happened Today: Round 2

Last week we examined what the first round of the 2019 rookie draft would look like if we made the selections now. Big risers like A.J. Brown, Terry McLaurin, and Deebo Samuel shook up the top of the draft. Meanwhile, one high-profile running back fell into Round 2. In today’s exercise, we learn just how far he falls after a miserable rookie season. After some…...

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Davante Adams Previews 2020 in Carrying Green Bay to the NFC Championship Game

Davante Adams caught eight passes for 160 yards and two scores as Green Bay held off Seattle to advance to the NFC Championship. Despite a 2019 campaign plagued by injury, Adams could be the second wide receiver off the board in 2020 fantasy drafts. In a divisional round full of fireworks, a host of big names came in at the top of the fantasy points…...

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J.K. Dobbins Looks Like a Future RB1: A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

A top 2020 NFL running back prospect, J.K. Dobbins is sure to be coveted in dynasty fantasy football rookie drafts. How does his profile measure up when considering RotoViz’s extensive work on indicators of future fantasy success? Let’s explore. As a Recruit Dobbins was one of the top running back prospects in the class of 2017. Per 247 Composite rankings, he was the No. 46 overall…...

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Tua Tagovailoa Remains An Elite Prospect: A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Tua Tagovailoa was long considered the easily the top quarterback available in the 2020 NFL Draft until two things happened late in 2019. The first is Joe Burrow‘s rapid ascension in 2019. The second more significant occurrence was the dislocated hip he suffered against Mississippi State, ending his season. What does his future hold after the injury? Can he still be the extremely high-end quarterback…...

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Examining Wide Receiver Production After a Team Change: Can You Trust Odell Beckham in 2020?

Odell Beckham was primed to go absolutely nuts. He had never averaged fewer than 75.5 yards per game in a season and had consistently been an elite WR1 when healthy. And he did it with Eli Manning at quarterback. Now that he had Baker Mayfield — who was coming off of a season in which he set the rookie passing touchdown record — the sky appeared to…...

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Joe Burrow: One-Year Wonder, or Future Field General? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Joe Burrow has risen from mid- to late-round obscurity to almost certainly the first overall pick to the Bengals in 2019 NFL Draft discussions in just a few short months. But how did that happen? Was he always good and everyone missed it? Did he develop into a true future NFL stud or was it just a young quarterback catching magic in a bottle for…...

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Which WR Prospect Metrics Tell Us Something Unique? The Wrong Read, No. 60

I seem to have become obsessed with correlation matrices, so I’m just going to lean into it. Below you’ll find a correlation matrix with many of our favorite WR prospect evaluation metrics. This is admittedly a simplistic way to look at the predictiveness of various metrics. But there are a number of interesting things going on here, which I’ll point out below. Keep in mind…...

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Dynasty Trade Targets 2020 – Running Back Edition

In Dynasty Trade Targets 2020 – Running Back Edition, Curtis Patrick gives away the names of three running backs he’s buying right now. As rookie fever sets in across the dynasty community, the offseason trade window also begins to crack open. I’m sharing three of my top dynasty trade targets at the running back position for the 2020 offseason. One of these players is an…...

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Will the NFL Fall in Love with Jordan Love? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Joe Burrow is the first quarterback who will be taken in the 2020 NFL Draft. But the QB talent of this class does not start and end with Burrow. Jordan Love will hear his name called not long after Burrow. BACKGROUND Love attended Liberty High School in Bakersfield, California. He played football and basketball in high school, and in his senior year, he was a…...

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Dynasty Fallout From the End of the Philip Rivers Era

Last week, the quarterback taken by the San Diego Chargers with the first overall selection in the 2004 NFL Draft announced his retirement. On Monday, Jay Glazer reported that the Chargers were set to move on from the QB they got when they traded the first to the New York Giants. If Glazer’s report is accurate, Philip Rivers’ time with the Chargers ends after 228 regular-season…...

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Forgotten But Not Gone: 2 Wide Receivers You Need to Target in the Final Rounds of Best Ball Drafts

Tyler Boyd was an afterthought. He entered the 2018 season as the Bengals’ WR3 behind A.J. Green and John Ross. He was coming off of a season in which he averaged just 3.2 targets and 22.5 receiving yards per contest. His best ball ADP was WR143. Boyd didn’t get the message. He racked up 1,028 yards and seven touchdowns in only 14 games en route…...

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Putting 2019 in Context: So How Should We Approach 2020 Best Ball Drafts?

In the first three parts of this series, we looked at running backs and wide receivers drafted in the “RB Dead Zone” — Rounds 3 through 6 — and those drafted in the double-digit rounds. Today, we’ll combine everything we’ve learned (with some help from the Fanball Roster Construction Explorer) to talk about one of the most potent strategies in fantasy football. A Quick Refresher…...

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Could Colby Parkinson Be the Next Graduate from Tight End U? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Since 2010 there have been seven tight ends out of Stanford drafting by NFL teams. This includes players like Coby Fleener, Zach Ertz and Austin Hooper. 2020 should see this number rise to eight. Colby Parkinson is heading for the NFL. BACKGROUND Parkinson attended Oaks Christian School in Westlake Village, California. In a revelation that will come as no shock to anyone, he dabbled in…...

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Mecole Hardman Checks Almost Every Single Box as a 2020 Breakout

It was an awesome year for rookie wide receivers. Six rookie wideouts finished with a double-digit best ball win rate, matching the total from the previous four years combined. As such, you can expect guys like A.J. Brown, D.K. Metcalf, Terry McLaurin, and Deebo Samuel to fly off the board fairly early in drafts this offseason. But who’s going to be the unheralded sophomore who…...

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Is Isaiah Hodgins the Next A.J. Green or Another Hakeem Butler? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

At first glance, Isaiah Hodgins checks several boxes that we here at Rotoviz like to see. How is it that so few seem to be excited about this young A.J. Green clone? “Whoa, slow your roll with that hyperbole!” Okay, fine. but we’ll get to why that comp may make sense here soon. Today we’ll dive into Hodgins, the good and the bad of his…...

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Is Clyde Edwards-Helaire a Three-Down Bell Cow? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Although not considered to be among the elite tier of running back prospects, Clyde Edwards-Helaire is sure to garner some hype after his recent performance in the National Championship game. Let’s see how his profile stacks up compared to the other running backs in this draft class. Past Production Although Edwards-Helaire played in all 13 games for LSU as a true freshman, he was behind…...

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Dynasty Trade Targets 2020 – Wide Receiver Edition

In Dynasty Trade Targets 2020 – Wide Receiver Edition, Curtis Patrick gives away the names of three wide receivers he’s buying right now. As rookie fever sets in across the dynasty community, the offseason trade window also begins to crack open. I’m sharing three of my top dynasty trade targets at the wide receiver position for the 2020 offseason. One of these players should be…...

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Putting 2019 in Context: It Was a Really Weird Year for Late-Round Running Backs and Wide Receivers

In the first two parts of this series, we looked at running backs and wide receivers picked in Rounds 3-6 of best ball drafts in 2019 and talked about what your strategy should be in those rounds in 2020. Today, we’re going to do the same thing for RBs and WRs drafted in Round 10 or later. How did late-round RBs do in 2019? Not…...

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Game Splits: How Have the Conference Title Contenders Fared Against Similar Defenses?

The Green Packers and San Francisco 49ers square off in the NFC Championship Game as the Tennessee Titans try to spring another Arrowhead upset and knock off Kansas City in the AFC. Shawn Siegele uses the Team Splits app to examine the defensive matchups. Last week we used two of our most popular tools to dive into some crazy splits for playoff teams. Today we use…...

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Laviska Shenault Can Succeed Despite A Down Year: A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

The 2020 wide receiver class has the potential to be one of the best in recent memory with likes of Tee Higgins, CeeDee Lamb, Henry Ruggs, Jerry Jeudy, and Justin Jefferson all with a realistic shot of going in the first-round. Laviska Shenualt needs to be a part of the first-round discussion as well. The Colorado prospect certainly has the “big wide receiver” frame at…...

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What If the 2019 Rookie Draft Happened Today: Round 2

Last week we examined what the first round of the 2019 rookie draft would look like if we made the selections now. Big risers like A.J. Brown, Terry McLaurin, and Deebo Samuel shook up the top of the draft. Meanwhile, one high-profile running back fell into Round 2. In today’s exercise, we learn just how far he falls after a miserable rookie season. After some…...

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Davante Adams Previews 2020 in Carrying Green Bay to the NFC Championship Game

Davante Adams caught eight passes for 160 yards and two scores as Green Bay held off Seattle to advance to the NFC Championship. Despite a 2019 campaign plagued by injury, Adams could be the second wide receiver off the board in 2020 fantasy drafts. In a divisional round full of fireworks, a host of big names came in at the top of the fantasy points…...

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J.K. Dobbins Looks Like a Future RB1: A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

A top 2020 NFL running back prospect, J.K. Dobbins is sure to be coveted in dynasty fantasy football rookie drafts. How does his profile measure up when considering RotoViz’s extensive work on indicators of future fantasy success? Let’s explore. As a Recruit Dobbins was one of the top running back prospects in the class of 2017. Per 247 Composite rankings, he was the No. 46 overall…...

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Tua Tagovailoa Remains An Elite Prospect: A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Tua Tagovailoa was long considered the easily the top quarterback available in the 2020 NFL Draft until two things happened late in 2019. The first is Joe Burrow‘s rapid ascension in 2019. The second more significant occurrence was the dislocated hip he suffered against Mississippi State, ending his season. What does his future hold after the injury? Can he still be the extremely high-end quarterback…...

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Examining Wide Receiver Production After a Team Change: Can You Trust Odell Beckham in 2020?

Odell Beckham was primed to go absolutely nuts. He had never averaged fewer than 75.5 yards per game in a season and had consistently been an elite WR1 when healthy. And he did it with Eli Manning at quarterback. Now that he had Baker Mayfield — who was coming off of a season in which he set the rookie passing touchdown record — the sky appeared to…...

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Joe Burrow: One-Year Wonder, or Future Field General? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Joe Burrow has risen from mid- to late-round obscurity to almost certainly the first overall pick to the Bengals in 2019 NFL Draft discussions in just a few short months. But how did that happen? Was he always good and everyone missed it? Did he develop into a true future NFL stud or was it just a young quarterback catching magic in a bottle for…...

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Which WR Prospect Metrics Tell Us Something Unique? The Wrong Read, No. 60

I seem to have become obsessed with correlation matrices, so I’m just going to lean into it. Below you’ll find a correlation matrix with many of our favorite WR prospect evaluation metrics. This is admittedly a simplistic way to look at the predictiveness of various metrics. But there are a number of interesting things going on here, which I’ll point out below. Keep in mind…...

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Dynasty Trade Targets 2020 – Running Back Edition

In Dynasty Trade Targets 2020 – Running Back Edition, Curtis Patrick gives away the names of three running backs he’s buying right now. As rookie fever sets in across the dynasty community, the offseason trade window also begins to crack open. I’m sharing three of my top dynasty trade targets at the running back position for the 2020 offseason. One of these players is an…...

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Will the NFL Fall in Love with Jordan Love? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Joe Burrow is the first quarterback who will be taken in the 2020 NFL Draft. But the QB talent of this class does not start and end with Burrow. Jordan Love will hear his name called not long after Burrow. BACKGROUND Love attended Liberty High School in Bakersfield, California. He played football and basketball in high school, and in his senior year, he was a…...

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Dynasty Fallout From the End of the Philip Rivers Era

Last week, the quarterback taken by the San Diego Chargers with the first overall selection in the 2004 NFL Draft announced his retirement. On Monday, Jay Glazer reported that the Chargers were set to move on from the QB they got when they traded the first to the New York Giants. If Glazer’s report is accurate, Philip Rivers’ time with the Chargers ends after 228 regular-season…...

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Forgotten But Not Gone: 2 Wide Receivers You Need to Target in the Final Rounds of Best Ball Drafts

Tyler Boyd was an afterthought. He entered the 2018 season as the Bengals’ WR3 behind A.J. Green and John Ross. He was coming off of a season in which he averaged just 3.2 targets and 22.5 receiving yards per contest. His best ball ADP was WR143. Boyd didn’t get the message. He racked up 1,028 yards and seven touchdowns in only 14 games en route…...

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Putting 2019 in Context: So How Should We Approach 2020 Best Ball Drafts?

In the first three parts of this series, we looked at running backs and wide receivers drafted in the “RB Dead Zone” — Rounds 3 through 6 — and those drafted in the double-digit rounds. Today, we’ll combine everything we’ve learned (with some help from the Fanball Roster Construction Explorer) to talk about one of the most potent strategies in fantasy football. A Quick Refresher…...

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Could Colby Parkinson Be the Next Graduate from Tight End U? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Since 2010 there have been seven tight ends out of Stanford drafting by NFL teams. This includes players like Coby Fleener, Zach Ertz and Austin Hooper. 2020 should see this number rise to eight. Colby Parkinson is heading for the NFL. BACKGROUND Parkinson attended Oaks Christian School in Westlake Village, California. In a revelation that will come as no shock to anyone, he dabbled in…...

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Mecole Hardman Checks Almost Every Single Box as a 2020 Breakout

It was an awesome year for rookie wide receivers. Six rookie wideouts finished with a double-digit best ball win rate, matching the total from the previous four years combined. As such, you can expect guys like A.J. Brown, D.K. Metcalf, Terry McLaurin, and Deebo Samuel to fly off the board fairly early in drafts this offseason. But who’s going to be the unheralded sophomore who…...

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Is Isaiah Hodgins the Next A.J. Green or Another Hakeem Butler? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

At first glance, Isaiah Hodgins checks several boxes that we here at Rotoviz like to see. How is it that so few seem to be excited about this young A.J. Green clone? “Whoa, slow your roll with that hyperbole!” Okay, fine. but we’ll get to why that comp may make sense here soon. Today we’ll dive into Hodgins, the good and the bad of his…...

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Is Clyde Edwards-Helaire a Three-Down Bell Cow? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Although not considered to be among the elite tier of running back prospects, Clyde Edwards-Helaire is sure to garner some hype after his recent performance in the National Championship game. Let’s see how his profile stacks up compared to the other running backs in this draft class. Past Production Although Edwards-Helaire played in all 13 games for LSU as a true freshman, he was behind…...

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Dynasty Trade Targets 2020 – Wide Receiver Edition

In Dynasty Trade Targets 2020 – Wide Receiver Edition, Curtis Patrick gives away the names of three wide receivers he’s buying right now. As rookie fever sets in across the dynasty community, the offseason trade window also begins to crack open. I’m sharing three of my top dynasty trade targets at the wide receiver position for the 2020 offseason. One of these players should be…...

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Putting 2019 in Context: It Was a Really Weird Year for Late-Round Running Backs and Wide Receivers

In the first two parts of this series, we looked at running backs and wide receivers picked in Rounds 3-6 of best ball drafts in 2019 and talked about what your strategy should be in those rounds in 2020. Today, we’re going to do the same thing for RBs and WRs drafted in Round 10 or later. How did late-round RBs do in 2019? Not…...

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Game Splits: How Have the Conference Title Contenders Fared Against Similar Defenses?

The Green Packers and San Francisco 49ers square off in the NFC Championship Game as the Tennessee Titans try to spring another Arrowhead upset and knock off Kansas City in the AFC. Shawn Siegele uses the Team Splits app to examine the defensive matchups. Last week we used two of our most popular tools to dive into some crazy splits for playoff teams. Today we use…...

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Laviska Shenault Can Succeed Despite A Down Year: A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

The 2020 wide receiver class has the potential to be one of the best in recent memory with likes of Tee Higgins, CeeDee Lamb, Henry Ruggs, Jerry Jeudy, and Justin Jefferson all with a realistic shot of going in the first-round. Laviska Shenualt needs to be a part of the first-round discussion as well. The Colorado prospect certainly has the “big wide receiver” frame at…...

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What If the 2019 Rookie Draft Happened Today: Round 2

Last week we examined what the first round of the 2019 rookie draft would look like if we made the selections now. Big risers like A.J. Brown, Terry McLaurin, and Deebo Samuel shook up the top of the draft. Meanwhile, one high-profile running back fell into Round 2. In today’s exercise, we learn just how far he falls after a miserable rookie season. After some…...

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Davante Adams Previews 2020 in Carrying Green Bay to the NFC Championship Game

Davante Adams caught eight passes for 160 yards and two scores as Green Bay held off Seattle to advance to the NFC Championship. Despite a 2019 campaign plagued by injury, Adams could be the second wide receiver off the board in 2020 fantasy drafts. In a divisional round full of fireworks, a host of big names came in at the top of the fantasy points…...

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J.K. Dobbins Looks Like a Future RB1: A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

A top 2020 NFL running back prospect, J.K. Dobbins is sure to be coveted in dynasty fantasy football rookie drafts. How does his profile measure up when considering RotoViz’s extensive work on indicators of future fantasy success? Let’s explore. As a Recruit Dobbins was one of the top running back prospects in the class of 2017. Per 247 Composite rankings, he was the No. 46 overall…...

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Tua Tagovailoa Remains An Elite Prospect: A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Tua Tagovailoa was long considered the easily the top quarterback available in the 2020 NFL Draft until two things happened late in 2019. The first is Joe Burrow‘s rapid ascension in 2019. The second more significant occurrence was the dislocated hip he suffered against Mississippi State, ending his season. What does his future hold after the injury? Can he still be the extremely high-end quarterback…...

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Examining Wide Receiver Production After a Team Change: Can You Trust Odell Beckham in 2020?

Odell Beckham was primed to go absolutely nuts. He had never averaged fewer than 75.5 yards per game in a season and had consistently been an elite WR1 when healthy. And he did it with Eli Manning at quarterback. Now that he had Baker Mayfield — who was coming off of a season in which he set the rookie passing touchdown record — the sky appeared to…...

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Joe Burrow: One-Year Wonder, or Future Field General? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Joe Burrow has risen from mid- to late-round obscurity to almost certainly the first overall pick to the Bengals in 2019 NFL Draft discussions in just a few short months. But how did that happen? Was he always good and everyone missed it? Did he develop into a true future NFL stud or was it just a young quarterback catching magic in a bottle for…...

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Which WR Prospect Metrics Tell Us Something Unique? The Wrong Read, No. 60

I seem to have become obsessed with correlation matrices, so I’m just going to lean into it. Below you’ll find a correlation matrix with many of our favorite WR prospect evaluation metrics. This is admittedly a simplistic way to look at the predictiveness of various metrics. But there are a number of interesting things going on here, which I’ll point out below. Keep in mind…...

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