Michael Dubner

RotoViz Featured Writer. Emphasis on NFL DFS and Best Ball.

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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

WRs Who Shouldn’t Have Scored So Much: Negative Touchdown Regression Candidates

Due to the variance in wide receiver touchdowns year-to-year and other stats only weakly predicting next-season receiving TDs, regression can be used to identify wide receivers whose 2017 receiving touchdowns didn’t align with their expected touchdown total…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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3 Hyper-Productive Rookies In Great Spots Who Also Happen To Be Absolutely Free

NFL draft position dictates early career fantasy scoring, but looking for prospects with elite college production is the best way to find bargains and players who will outscore draft expectation. Sure, it may take a while for some of those players to emerge when the deck is stacked against them, but we can afford to be patient with our final roster spots…. Membership Required You...

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NBA Finals Update and World Cup Preview: Laying the Points

Laying the Points: The RotoViz Sports Betting Podcast, powered by Rotoviz Radio, hosted by Anthony Amico (@amicsta) and Matt LaMarca (@MattLaMarca)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 2 Best Fantasy Values in Round 12

Fantasy football is a game of finding inefficiencies in the market. Armed with the MFL10 ADP app, we have the visual means to help us find the players who have the best chance at beating the market and paying off at their current cost in MFL 10 best ball drafts…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The Dynasty Exchange – Austin Seferian-Jenkins

For most football fans, it’s the NFL offseason. If you play dynasty fantasy football, you already know: there is no off-season. In the Dynasty Exchange, I’m going to be looking at various dynasty topics, such as over- and undervalued players, often-overlooked elements that can help turn your team into a perennial champion, or what roster moves we need to make to be in the best possible shape come Week 1…....

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Kenyan Drake Has Tremendous Upside – Mike Beers: Fantasy Football Report

The Fantasy Football Report: A RotoViz Radio News Show, covering the serious and mocking the ridiculous NFL news of the last week, featuring Jordan Howard, Kenyan Drake, Dez Bryant, and Kerryon Johnson…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Scott Fish Bowl

A Historical Perspective On #SFB8 Scoring

Last week Anthony Amico presented some early projections for the upcoming Scott Fish Bowl (#SFB8). To test if the #SFB8 scoring format adversely altered end-of-season rankings on an annual basis, I calculated the final #SFB8 finishes for non-quarterback positions over the past five seasons, using 2018 scoring. Additionally, I tested each position to see if they were at maximum capacity under the #SFB8 rules…. Membership Required You...

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What Happens When You Reach at Every Pick?

If you want more content like this, join the RotoViz Blitz email newsletter. You’ll get short articles by me delivered free to your inbox most weekdays…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Garcon vs Goodwin: Who is the WR to Own in SF?

The offseason’s trendiest team is the San Francisco 49ers. Their late-season turnaround, powered by the arrival of Jimmy Garoppolo, has drafters expecting big things for the offense in 2018. However, there is some doubt as to who will be the big benefactor at wide receiver — Pierre Garcon or Marquise Goodwin…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in...

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Kenyan Drake is an RB1: RotoViz Radio

RotoViz Radio: The Flagship RotoViz Podcast, hosted by Dave Caban and Matthew Freedman…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Wide Receivers Who Should Have Scored More: Positive Touchdown Regression Candidates

Due to the variance in wide receiver touchdowns year-to-year and other stats only weakly predicting next-season receiving TDs, regression can be used to identify wide receivers whose 2017 receiving touchdowns didn’t align with their expected touchdown total…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 2 Best Fantasy Values in Round 13

Fantasy football is essentially a game of finding inefficiencies in the market. Armed with the MFL10 ADP app, we have the visual means to help us find the players who have the best chance at beating the market and paying off at their current cost in MFL10 best ball drafts…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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This Is Fine: The Damage Of Early Injuries To Your Best Ball Team

“So, just how screwed am I?” That’s a question you’re asking yourself if you had been drafting Hunter Henry in your best ball drafts. It’s a question you asked yourself frequently last year if you owned players like Julian Edelman, Spencer Ware, Andrew Luck, or Cameron Meredith. You know your team can overcome an injury if the rest of your guys ball out, but how…...

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When The Devy Breaks: ACC Opportunity Report

Opportunity is paramount in fantasy football. Whether it’s redraft, dynasty, or devy, getting an idea of how changing situations may alter the distribution of playing time and production in the upcoming season is important. Now is the time of the year to identify players looking at expanded roles, particularly in devy formats where getting an early jump can pay major dividends…. Membership Required You must...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

NASCAR DFS Picks, Fades, Projections for Pocono

NASCAR heads to Pocono Raceway, AKA the Tricky Triangle this weekend for 160 laps at the 2.5-mile circuit. As always, I’ll give you my NASCAR DFS picks, fades, and projections for this weekend’s race. Also, the NASCAR DFS Multi-Lineup Optimizer, Sim Scores, and Splits apps are updated for your NASCAR DFS needs…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

Pocono Preview, Post Qualifying Thoughts

This weekend NASCAR heads to Pocono Raceway, a 2.5-mile track dubbed the tricky triangle. Pocono has three distinct corners that all handle differently, which makes car setup a bit of a compromise…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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How Accurate is Average Draft Position? The Wrong Read, No. 38

Welcome to the 38th installment of the “The Wrong Read.” This article series started as one that reflected on recent podcast episodes and extended the ideas discussed there to logical conclusions with broader applications. Since then it’s become a space for me to write about whatever I want, with irregular references to various podcast episodes. Nevertheless, I’ll link to the episode that started my train…...

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Scott Fish Bowl

Early Scott Fish Bowl Projections

The Scott Fish Bowl is back again, and that means tons of strategy discussion is on the way here at RotoViz. For those of you who don’t know, the Scott Fish Bowl is a yearly pro-am fantasy league hosted by Scott Fish in an effort to raise money for his charity, Fantasy Cares. It is a terrific cause, and one worth researching regardless of your…...

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Draft Doug Martin Instead of Marshawn Lynch

Marshawn Lynch surprised the league with an abrupt retirement prior to the 2016 season, and then proceeded to surprise again by returning for 2017. During last year’s campaign, Lynch rushed for a respectable 891 yards and seven touchdowns while posting a 4.3 yards-per-carry average. After a disappointing season for Oakland, Jack Del Rio was fired and Jon Gruden was brought in, and with him has…...

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WRs Who Shouldn’t Have Scored So Much: Negative Touchdown Regression Candidates

Due to the variance in wide receiver touchdowns year-to-year and other stats only weakly predicting next-season receiving TDs, regression can be used to identify wide receivers whose 2017 receiving touchdowns didn’t align with their expected touchdown total…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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3 Hyper-Productive Rookies In Great Spots Who Also Happen To Be Absolutely Free

NFL draft position dictates early career fantasy scoring, but looking for prospects with elite college production is the best way to find bargains and players who will outscore draft expectation. Sure, it may take a while for some of those players to emerge when the deck is stacked against them, but we can afford to be patient with our final roster spots…. Membership Required You...

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NBA Finals Update and World Cup Preview: Laying the Points

Laying the Points: The RotoViz Sports Betting Podcast, powered by Rotoviz Radio, hosted by Anthony Amico (@amicsta) and Matt LaMarca (@MattLaMarca)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 2 Best Fantasy Values in Round 12

Fantasy football is a game of finding inefficiencies in the market. Armed with the MFL10 ADP app, we have the visual means to help us find the players who have the best chance at beating the market and paying off at their current cost in MFL 10 best ball drafts…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The Dynasty Exchange – Austin Seferian-Jenkins

For most football fans, it’s the NFL offseason. If you play dynasty fantasy football, you already know: there is no off-season. In the Dynasty Exchange, I’m going to be looking at various dynasty topics, such as over- and undervalued players, often-overlooked elements that can help turn your team into a perennial champion, or what roster moves we need to make to be in the best possible shape come Week 1…....

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Kenyan Drake Has Tremendous Upside – Mike Beers: Fantasy Football Report

The Fantasy Football Report: A RotoViz Radio News Show, covering the serious and mocking the ridiculous NFL news of the last week, featuring Jordan Howard, Kenyan Drake, Dez Bryant, and Kerryon Johnson…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Scott Fish Bowl

A Historical Perspective On #SFB8 Scoring

Last week Anthony Amico presented some early projections for the upcoming Scott Fish Bowl (#SFB8). To test if the #SFB8 scoring format adversely altered end-of-season rankings on an annual basis, I calculated the final #SFB8 finishes for non-quarterback positions over the past five seasons, using 2018 scoring. Additionally, I tested each position to see if they were at maximum capacity under the #SFB8 rules…. Membership Required You...

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What Happens When You Reach at Every Pick?

If you want more content like this, join the RotoViz Blitz email newsletter. You’ll get short articles by me delivered free to your inbox most weekdays…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Garcon vs Goodwin: Who is the WR to Own in SF?

The offseason’s trendiest team is the San Francisco 49ers. Their late-season turnaround, powered by the arrival of Jimmy Garoppolo, has drafters expecting big things for the offense in 2018. However, there is some doubt as to who will be the big benefactor at wide receiver — Pierre Garcon or Marquise Goodwin…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in...

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Kenyan Drake is an RB1: RotoViz Radio

RotoViz Radio: The Flagship RotoViz Podcast, hosted by Dave Caban and Matthew Freedman…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Wide Receivers Who Should Have Scored More: Positive Touchdown Regression Candidates

Due to the variance in wide receiver touchdowns year-to-year and other stats only weakly predicting next-season receiving TDs, regression can be used to identify wide receivers whose 2017 receiving touchdowns didn’t align with their expected touchdown total…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 2 Best Fantasy Values in Round 13

Fantasy football is essentially a game of finding inefficiencies in the market. Armed with the MFL10 ADP app, we have the visual means to help us find the players who have the best chance at beating the market and paying off at their current cost in MFL10 best ball drafts…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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This Is Fine: The Damage Of Early Injuries To Your Best Ball Team

“So, just how screwed am I?” That’s a question you’re asking yourself if you had been drafting Hunter Henry in your best ball drafts. It’s a question you asked yourself frequently last year if you owned players like Julian Edelman, Spencer Ware, Andrew Luck, or Cameron Meredith. You know your team can overcome an injury if the rest of your guys ball out, but how…...

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When The Devy Breaks: ACC Opportunity Report

Opportunity is paramount in fantasy football. Whether it’s redraft, dynasty, or devy, getting an idea of how changing situations may alter the distribution of playing time and production in the upcoming season is important. Now is the time of the year to identify players looking at expanded roles, particularly in devy formats where getting an early jump can pay major dividends…. Membership Required You must...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

NASCAR DFS Picks, Fades, Projections for Pocono

NASCAR heads to Pocono Raceway, AKA the Tricky Triangle this weekend for 160 laps at the 2.5-mile circuit. As always, I’ll give you my NASCAR DFS picks, fades, and projections for this weekend’s race. Also, the NASCAR DFS Multi-Lineup Optimizer, Sim Scores, and Splits apps are updated for your NASCAR DFS needs…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

Pocono Preview, Post Qualifying Thoughts

This weekend NASCAR heads to Pocono Raceway, a 2.5-mile track dubbed the tricky triangle. Pocono has three distinct corners that all handle differently, which makes car setup a bit of a compromise…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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How Accurate is Average Draft Position? The Wrong Read, No. 38

Welcome to the 38th installment of the “The Wrong Read.” This article series started as one that reflected on recent podcast episodes and extended the ideas discussed there to logical conclusions with broader applications. Since then it’s become a space for me to write about whatever I want, with irregular references to various podcast episodes. Nevertheless, I’ll link to the episode that started my train…...

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Scott Fish Bowl

Early Scott Fish Bowl Projections

The Scott Fish Bowl is back again, and that means tons of strategy discussion is on the way here at RotoViz. For those of you who don’t know, the Scott Fish Bowl is a yearly pro-am fantasy league hosted by Scott Fish in an effort to raise money for his charity, Fantasy Cares. It is a terrific cause, and one worth researching regardless of your…...

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Draft Doug Martin Instead of Marshawn Lynch

Marshawn Lynch surprised the league with an abrupt retirement prior to the 2016 season, and then proceeded to surprise again by returning for 2017. During last year’s campaign, Lynch rushed for a respectable 891 yards and seven touchdowns while posting a 4.3 yards-per-carry average. After a disappointing season for Oakland, Jack Del Rio was fired and Jon Gruden was brought in, and with him has…...

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WRs Who Shouldn’t Have Scored So Much: Negative Touchdown Regression Candidates

Due to the variance in wide receiver touchdowns year-to-year and other stats only weakly predicting next-season receiving TDs, regression can be used to identify wide receivers whose 2017 receiving touchdowns didn’t align with their expected touchdown total…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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3 Hyper-Productive Rookies In Great Spots Who Also Happen To Be Absolutely Free

NFL draft position dictates early career fantasy scoring, but looking for prospects with elite college production is the best way to find bargains and players who will outscore draft expectation. Sure, it may take a while for some of those players to emerge when the deck is stacked against them, but we can afford to be patient with our final roster spots…. Membership Required You...

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NBA Finals Update and World Cup Preview: Laying the Points

Laying the Points: The RotoViz Sports Betting Podcast, powered by Rotoviz Radio, hosted by Anthony Amico (@amicsta) and Matt LaMarca (@MattLaMarca)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 2 Best Fantasy Values in Round 12

Fantasy football is a game of finding inefficiencies in the market. Armed with the MFL10 ADP app, we have the visual means to help us find the players who have the best chance at beating the market and paying off at their current cost in MFL 10 best ball drafts…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The Dynasty Exchange – Austin Seferian-Jenkins

For most football fans, it’s the NFL offseason. If you play dynasty fantasy football, you already know: there is no off-season. In the Dynasty Exchange, I’m going to be looking at various dynasty topics, such as over- and undervalued players, often-overlooked elements that can help turn your team into a perennial champion, or what roster moves we need to make to be in the best possible shape come Week 1…....

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Kenyan Drake Has Tremendous Upside – Mike Beers: Fantasy Football Report

The Fantasy Football Report: A RotoViz Radio News Show, covering the serious and mocking the ridiculous NFL news of the last week, featuring Jordan Howard, Kenyan Drake, Dez Bryant, and Kerryon Johnson…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Scott Fish Bowl

A Historical Perspective On #SFB8 Scoring

Last week Anthony Amico presented some early projections for the upcoming Scott Fish Bowl (#SFB8). To test if the #SFB8 scoring format adversely altered end-of-season rankings on an annual basis, I calculated the final #SFB8 finishes for non-quarterback positions over the past five seasons, using 2018 scoring. Additionally, I tested each position to see if they were at maximum capacity under the #SFB8 rules…. Membership Required You...

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What Happens When You Reach at Every Pick?

If you want more content like this, join the RotoViz Blitz email newsletter. You’ll get short articles by me delivered free to your inbox most weekdays…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Garcon vs Goodwin: Who is the WR to Own in SF?

The offseason’s trendiest team is the San Francisco 49ers. Their late-season turnaround, powered by the arrival of Jimmy Garoppolo, has drafters expecting big things for the offense in 2018. However, there is some doubt as to who will be the big benefactor at wide receiver — Pierre Garcon or Marquise Goodwin…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in...

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Kenyan Drake is an RB1: RotoViz Radio

RotoViz Radio: The Flagship RotoViz Podcast, hosted by Dave Caban and Matthew Freedman…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Wide Receivers Who Should Have Scored More: Positive Touchdown Regression Candidates

Due to the variance in wide receiver touchdowns year-to-year and other stats only weakly predicting next-season receiving TDs, regression can be used to identify wide receivers whose 2017 receiving touchdowns didn’t align with their expected touchdown total…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The 2 Best Fantasy Values in Round 13

Fantasy football is essentially a game of finding inefficiencies in the market. Armed with the MFL10 ADP app, we have the visual means to help us find the players who have the best chance at beating the market and paying off at their current cost in MFL10 best ball drafts…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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This Is Fine: The Damage Of Early Injuries To Your Best Ball Team

“So, just how screwed am I?” That’s a question you’re asking yourself if you had been drafting Hunter Henry in your best ball drafts. It’s a question you asked yourself frequently last year if you owned players like Julian Edelman, Spencer Ware, Andrew Luck, or Cameron Meredith. You know your team can overcome an injury if the rest of your guys ball out, but how…...

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When The Devy Breaks: ACC Opportunity Report

Opportunity is paramount in fantasy football. Whether it’s redraft, dynasty, or devy, getting an idea of how changing situations may alter the distribution of playing time and production in the upcoming season is important. Now is the time of the year to identify players looking at expanded roles, particularly in devy formats where getting an early jump can pay major dividends…. Membership Required You must...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

NASCAR DFS Picks, Fades, Projections for Pocono

NASCAR heads to Pocono Raceway, AKA the Tricky Triangle this weekend for 160 laps at the 2.5-mile circuit. As always, I’ll give you my NASCAR DFS picks, fades, and projections for this weekend’s race. Also, the NASCAR DFS Multi-Lineup Optimizer, Sim Scores, and Splits apps are updated for your NASCAR DFS needs…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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NASCAR DFS Picks

Pocono Preview, Post Qualifying Thoughts

This weekend NASCAR heads to Pocono Raceway, a 2.5-mile track dubbed the tricky triangle. Pocono has three distinct corners that all handle differently, which makes car setup a bit of a compromise…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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How Accurate is Average Draft Position? The Wrong Read, No. 38

Welcome to the 38th installment of the “The Wrong Read.” This article series started as one that reflected on recent podcast episodes and extended the ideas discussed there to logical conclusions with broader applications. Since then it’s become a space for me to write about whatever I want, with irregular references to various podcast episodes. Nevertheless, I’ll link to the episode that started my train…...

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Scott Fish Bowl

Early Scott Fish Bowl Projections

The Scott Fish Bowl is back again, and that means tons of strategy discussion is on the way here at RotoViz. For those of you who don’t know, the Scott Fish Bowl is a yearly pro-am fantasy league hosted by Scott Fish in an effort to raise money for his charity, Fantasy Cares. It is a terrific cause, and one worth researching regardless of your…...

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Draft Doug Martin Instead of Marshawn Lynch

Marshawn Lynch surprised the league with an abrupt retirement prior to the 2016 season, and then proceeded to surprise again by returning for 2017. During last year’s campaign, Lynch rushed for a respectable 891 yards and seven touchdowns while posting a 4.3 yards-per-carry average. After a disappointing season for Oakland, Jack Del Rio was fired and Jon Gruden was brought in, and with him has…...

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