Mat Irby

RotoViz contributor since 2023, fantasy player since 1991, and someone who occasionally dabbles in full-time film work when no one's looking - even on a thing or two you've seen. Atlanta is for sleeping, but Dallas will always be home.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Looking for Those 2023 Home League Stars? These 3 Middle-Round RBs Are Like The Dude’s Rug

It’s now August Twentysomething, which means home league draft season is all the way live. If you’re just getting around to thinking about your home league, first of all: Welcome. I live here and have been preparing the place since around March. I hope you find the accommodations amenable. I cleared out the top shelf of the fridge for your six-pack. Feel free to take…...

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Will Multiple Paths to Success Be the Key to a Deshaun Watson Bounceback?

In 1964, Muhammad Ali seized the heavyweight throne from slugger Sonny Liston, dubbing himself “The Greatest” over a jubilant Miami crowd. Rattling off 29 consecutive victories with no defeats, Ali had already been written in antiquity’s memoir. But Vietnam loomed, and Ali rejected the war, becoming its most famed protester. Exile followed as the WBA and WBC suspended Ali’s license and stripped him of his…...

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The 4 Key Elements of Fantasy Football Home Leagues and a 3-Part Plan to Build a Bulletproof Draft

Shawn Siegele looks at four key elements of fantasy football home leagues and outlines the three planks of a bulletproof home-league draft plan. The biggest draft weekend of the 2023 fantasy season is on the horizon. That means it’s time to dust off your draft plan and prepare to do battle with your extended family, college friends, and long-time co-workers. Whether you’ve got a couple…...

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How to Spot RB Breakout Profiles With Too Much Trap Potential, Plus 4 Positional Groups You Must Fade

Michael Dubner exposes the team positional groups he’s fading in 2023 best ball tournaments.  In fantasy football, it’s not just about knowing who you draft, but it’s also who you do not draft. When reviewing my best ball portfolio, I like to get a sense of what individual players I’m over- and underweight on. I want to see what roster constructions I’m implementing. And what…...

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Can You Go Too Far In Scooping ADP Value?

The frenzied search for quantifiable edges in best ball tournaments is heating up this offseason with average draft position (ADP) value emerging as one of the most promising. ADP value is a metric that quantifies the extent to which a drafter is reaching or scooping falling players throughout the draft. Preliminary findings have shown correlation between higher ADP value (less reaching, more scooping) and higher…...

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4 Lessons from the Apex Experts League That Will Make You a Better Drafter Down the Stretch

Mike Braude’s fantasy platform provides an excellent window into the 2023 draft landscape and gives us insights into the player targets of top analysts. The Apex Experts League is one of my favorite drafts every year. It gives us a feel of how the best minds in the industry are playing it from both a tactical and player-specific perspective, and it offers a window into…...

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Double-Digit Draft Slots Could be the Key to Countering the WR Avalanche

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet shares why he thinks double-digit best ball draft slots could have a big advantage again in 2023. Over a large enough sample size, best ball drafters should get every draft slot once in every 12 drafts. However, for drafters like myself, whose full-time job is not drafting best ball teams, I am at the mercy of the random number generator (RNG) program in…...

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These Marquee Signings Just Gave Us Huge Discounts on the Dynasty Assets We Really Want

Certain weeks can yield unforeseen dynasty game-changers this time of year, and well-anchored core beliefs about the coming season can suddenly feel precarious. The dynasty community is highly reactive to high-profile free agent signings at fantasy-relevant positions, but sudden shifts in the current only amplify our advantages. RotoViz builds its evaluation primarily on specific combinations of highly predictive data that can point us toward a…...

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The 2023 RotoViz Auction Draft Strategy Guide, Part 2

Auction drafts are easy to “win” but even easier to “lose.” Dave Caban overviews the preparation, thought processes, and in-auction strategies needed to ensure that you’re ready for the intensity and challenges auctions will throw at you and are poised to leave your draft with a contender. Heading into the 2020 season, I compiled a list of auction-related articles that I had written over the…...

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The Range of Outcomes Tool Has Been Revamped And Is Primed To Help You Attack Your 2023 Drafts

Dave Caban provides a video tutorial on the revamped Range of Outcomes tool.  The RotoViz Range Of Outcomes tool uses historical data to help users to better understand a player’s realistic range of outcomes for the coming season. The tool reviews a player’s statistics from his two most recent seasons to match him with players from prior seasons that produced similar statistics. By looking at…...

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Dynasty Startups Are All About Guts and Patience: 13 Trade Ideas to Navigate Any Draft Environment

Shawn Siegele explains the mechanism that makes trading down your dynasty startup superpower and details the types of trades you can and should make in real leagues. This weekend we posted Completely Revamp Your Startup Strategy With These 3 Key Insights, and in a year where I’ve had more fun writing than ever before, this was probably the piece that I enjoyed the most. If…...

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A Couple of Stats That Might Change Your Mind About the Highest-Profile Running Back Committees

Shawn Siegele offers a couple of contrarian stats to help you process – or grieve – the Dalvin Cook and Ezekiel Elliott signings. A few weeks ago, I wrote a piece arguing for Breece Hall as the most important player in fantasy. On Monday afternoon, Ben Gretch and I recorded our favorite podcast – the one where we give our first-round predictions for next year’s…...

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The 2023 RotoViz Auction Draft Strategy Guide And The Approach That Brought Home An “Expert League” Title to RV

Auction drafts are easy to “win” but even easier to “lose.” Dave Caban overviews the preparation, thought processes, and in-auction strategies needed to ensure that you’re ready for the intensity and challenges auctions will throw at you and are poised to leave your draft with a contender. Dave brought the 2022 USA Today Huddle Auction title home to RotoViz last year and maps out his…...

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Stacking Kickers Provides a Massive Edge for the Non-Tournament Player: How to Win Standalone Best Ball Leagues

Daily fantasy drafters have been stacking NFL offenses for years. Best ball tournament stacking has exploded recently. But nearly all tournament formats leave out a position that offers a massive benefit when stacked. This is one area in which the cash game best ball player has a distinct edge. One look at the Stack Analysis tool in the RotoViz Win Rate Explorer shows us what…...

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My Favorite Targets in Each Round: August Edition Part 2 – Filling Out a $3 Million Squad

Earlier in the offseason I looked at my favorite targets in Best Ball Mania IV. But a lot has changed since then. Now that we’re in the home stretch of best ball drafting season, let’s look again at some of the top targets in each round. Using our Underdog ADP tool — now with the ability to show an ADP Draft Grid — we can…...

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Frustrating Co-Worker Always Winning Your Unusual Home League? A Simple Hack Opens Up Multiple Strategies

RotoViz readers know that winning in any given format you win your league by winning the race to fill the Flex. In huge formats like FFPC’s Main Event or BBT or Underdog’s Best Ball Mania, we’ve got deep strategy guides to help you take advantage of every twist and quirk. You also know how to approach an unusual but ubiquitous format like the Scott Fish…...

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Dynasty Workshop: Completely Revamp Your Superflex Startup Approach With 3 First-Round Insights

Shawn Siegele looks at the first round of his 2023 dynasty startup and helps you avoid the mistakes that effectively eliminate squads from both short- and long-term contention. Bjorn Yang-Vaernet and I are currently involved in a dynasty startup in the RV TriFlex format at the FFPC. Since this lineup and scoring format have become the default for new dynasty leagues across the industry, these…...

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The Quote That Shook Fantasy May Have Also Solved Your WR Window Problem

A surprising source of depth comes from the 1996 Sci-Fi Comedy Men in Black when Will Smith’s Agent J is coming to grips with the certainty of life on other planets. He and Tommy Lee Jones’ Agent K sit on a bench in Battery Park as K carries on his rehearsed defense of National Security: “A thousand years ago, everybody knew the Earth was the…...

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My Favorite Targets in Each Round: The August Edition Part 1 – Foundation Picks

Earlier in the offseason I looked at my favorite targets in Best Ball Mania IV. But a lot has changed since then. Now that we’re in the home stretch of best ball drafting season, let’s look again at some of the top targets in each round. Using our Underdog ADP tool — now with the ability to show an ADP Draft Grid — we can…...

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Jahmyr Gibbs Is Already Extremely Expensive, But He’s Set to Outperform Even That Lofty Price

Seamus Carr examines the overall profile for RB receiving sensation Jahmyr Gibbs and breaks down the impact an excellent training camp is having on the prices you should be willing to pay for one of 2023’s most dynamic rookies. When Gibbs was drafted by the Detroit Lions with the 12th overall selection, it was a bit of a head-scratcher. The Lions used high draft capital…...

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Looking for Those 2023 Home League Stars? These 3 Middle-Round RBs Are Like The Dude’s Rug

It’s now August Twentysomething, which means home league draft season is all the way live. If you’re just getting around to thinking about your home league, first of all: Welcome. I live here and have been preparing the place since around March. I hope you find the accommodations amenable. I cleared out the top shelf of the fridge for your six-pack. Feel free to take…...

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Will Multiple Paths to Success Be the Key to a Deshaun Watson Bounceback?

In 1964, Muhammad Ali seized the heavyweight throne from slugger Sonny Liston, dubbing himself “The Greatest” over a jubilant Miami crowd. Rattling off 29 consecutive victories with no defeats, Ali had already been written in antiquity’s memoir. But Vietnam loomed, and Ali rejected the war, becoming its most famed protester. Exile followed as the WBA and WBC suspended Ali’s license and stripped him of his…...

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The 4 Key Elements of Fantasy Football Home Leagues and a 3-Part Plan to Build a Bulletproof Draft

Shawn Siegele looks at four key elements of fantasy football home leagues and outlines the three planks of a bulletproof home-league draft plan. The biggest draft weekend of the 2023 fantasy season is on the horizon. That means it’s time to dust off your draft plan and prepare to do battle with your extended family, college friends, and long-time co-workers. Whether you’ve got a couple…...

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How to Spot RB Breakout Profiles With Too Much Trap Potential, Plus 4 Positional Groups You Must Fade

Michael Dubner exposes the team positional groups he’s fading in 2023 best ball tournaments.  In fantasy football, it’s not just about knowing who you draft, but it’s also who you do not draft. When reviewing my best ball portfolio, I like to get a sense of what individual players I’m over- and underweight on. I want to see what roster constructions I’m implementing. And what…...

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Can You Go Too Far In Scooping ADP Value?

The frenzied search for quantifiable edges in best ball tournaments is heating up this offseason with average draft position (ADP) value emerging as one of the most promising. ADP value is a metric that quantifies the extent to which a drafter is reaching or scooping falling players throughout the draft. Preliminary findings have shown correlation between higher ADP value (less reaching, more scooping) and higher…...

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4 Lessons from the Apex Experts League That Will Make You a Better Drafter Down the Stretch

Mike Braude’s fantasy platform provides an excellent window into the 2023 draft landscape and gives us insights into the player targets of top analysts. The Apex Experts League is one of my favorite drafts every year. It gives us a feel of how the best minds in the industry are playing it from both a tactical and player-specific perspective, and it offers a window into…...

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Double-Digit Draft Slots Could be the Key to Countering the WR Avalanche

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet shares why he thinks double-digit best ball draft slots could have a big advantage again in 2023. Over a large enough sample size, best ball drafters should get every draft slot once in every 12 drafts. However, for drafters like myself, whose full-time job is not drafting best ball teams, I am at the mercy of the random number generator (RNG) program in…...

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These Marquee Signings Just Gave Us Huge Discounts on the Dynasty Assets We Really Want

Certain weeks can yield unforeseen dynasty game-changers this time of year, and well-anchored core beliefs about the coming season can suddenly feel precarious. The dynasty community is highly reactive to high-profile free agent signings at fantasy-relevant positions, but sudden shifts in the current only amplify our advantages. RotoViz builds its evaluation primarily on specific combinations of highly predictive data that can point us toward a…...

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The 2023 RotoViz Auction Draft Strategy Guide, Part 2

Auction drafts are easy to “win” but even easier to “lose.” Dave Caban overviews the preparation, thought processes, and in-auction strategies needed to ensure that you’re ready for the intensity and challenges auctions will throw at you and are poised to leave your draft with a contender. Heading into the 2020 season, I compiled a list of auction-related articles that I had written over the…...

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The Range of Outcomes Tool Has Been Revamped And Is Primed To Help You Attack Your 2023 Drafts

Dave Caban provides a video tutorial on the revamped Range of Outcomes tool.  The RotoViz Range Of Outcomes tool uses historical data to help users to better understand a player’s realistic range of outcomes for the coming season. The tool reviews a player’s statistics from his two most recent seasons to match him with players from prior seasons that produced similar statistics. By looking at…...

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Dynasty Startups Are All About Guts and Patience: 13 Trade Ideas to Navigate Any Draft Environment

Shawn Siegele explains the mechanism that makes trading down your dynasty startup superpower and details the types of trades you can and should make in real leagues. This weekend we posted Completely Revamp Your Startup Strategy With These 3 Key Insights, and in a year where I’ve had more fun writing than ever before, this was probably the piece that I enjoyed the most. If…...

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A Couple of Stats That Might Change Your Mind About the Highest-Profile Running Back Committees

Shawn Siegele offers a couple of contrarian stats to help you process – or grieve – the Dalvin Cook and Ezekiel Elliott signings. A few weeks ago, I wrote a piece arguing for Breece Hall as the most important player in fantasy. On Monday afternoon, Ben Gretch and I recorded our favorite podcast – the one where we give our first-round predictions for next year’s…...

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The 2023 RotoViz Auction Draft Strategy Guide And The Approach That Brought Home An “Expert League” Title to RV

Auction drafts are easy to “win” but even easier to “lose.” Dave Caban overviews the preparation, thought processes, and in-auction strategies needed to ensure that you’re ready for the intensity and challenges auctions will throw at you and are poised to leave your draft with a contender. Dave brought the 2022 USA Today Huddle Auction title home to RotoViz last year and maps out his…...

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Stacking Kickers Provides a Massive Edge for the Non-Tournament Player: How to Win Standalone Best Ball Leagues

Daily fantasy drafters have been stacking NFL offenses for years. Best ball tournament stacking has exploded recently. But nearly all tournament formats leave out a position that offers a massive benefit when stacked. This is one area in which the cash game best ball player has a distinct edge. One look at the Stack Analysis tool in the RotoViz Win Rate Explorer shows us what…...

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My Favorite Targets in Each Round: August Edition Part 2 – Filling Out a $3 Million Squad

Earlier in the offseason I looked at my favorite targets in Best Ball Mania IV. But a lot has changed since then. Now that we’re in the home stretch of best ball drafting season, let’s look again at some of the top targets in each round. Using our Underdog ADP tool — now with the ability to show an ADP Draft Grid — we can…...

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Frustrating Co-Worker Always Winning Your Unusual Home League? A Simple Hack Opens Up Multiple Strategies

RotoViz readers know that winning in any given format you win your league by winning the race to fill the Flex. In huge formats like FFPC’s Main Event or BBT or Underdog’s Best Ball Mania, we’ve got deep strategy guides to help you take advantage of every twist and quirk. You also know how to approach an unusual but ubiquitous format like the Scott Fish…...

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Dynasty Workshop: Completely Revamp Your Superflex Startup Approach With 3 First-Round Insights

Shawn Siegele looks at the first round of his 2023 dynasty startup and helps you avoid the mistakes that effectively eliminate squads from both short- and long-term contention. Bjorn Yang-Vaernet and I are currently involved in a dynasty startup in the RV TriFlex format at the FFPC. Since this lineup and scoring format have become the default for new dynasty leagues across the industry, these…...

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The Quote That Shook Fantasy May Have Also Solved Your WR Window Problem

A surprising source of depth comes from the 1996 Sci-Fi Comedy Men in Black when Will Smith’s Agent J is coming to grips with the certainty of life on other planets. He and Tommy Lee Jones’ Agent K sit on a bench in Battery Park as K carries on his rehearsed defense of National Security: “A thousand years ago, everybody knew the Earth was the…...

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My Favorite Targets in Each Round: The August Edition Part 1 – Foundation Picks

Earlier in the offseason I looked at my favorite targets in Best Ball Mania IV. But a lot has changed since then. Now that we’re in the home stretch of best ball drafting season, let’s look again at some of the top targets in each round. Using our Underdog ADP tool — now with the ability to show an ADP Draft Grid — we can…...

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Jahmyr Gibbs Is Already Extremely Expensive, But He’s Set to Outperform Even That Lofty Price

Seamus Carr examines the overall profile for RB receiving sensation Jahmyr Gibbs and breaks down the impact an excellent training camp is having on the prices you should be willing to pay for one of 2023’s most dynamic rookies. When Gibbs was drafted by the Detroit Lions with the 12th overall selection, it was a bit of a head-scratcher. The Lions used high draft capital…...

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Looking for Those 2023 Home League Stars? These 3 Middle-Round RBs Are Like The Dude’s Rug

It’s now August Twentysomething, which means home league draft season is all the way live. If you’re just getting around to thinking about your home league, first of all: Welcome. I live here and have been preparing the place since around March. I hope you find the accommodations amenable. I cleared out the top shelf of the fridge for your six-pack. Feel free to take…...

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Will Multiple Paths to Success Be the Key to a Deshaun Watson Bounceback?

In 1964, Muhammad Ali seized the heavyweight throne from slugger Sonny Liston, dubbing himself “The Greatest” over a jubilant Miami crowd. Rattling off 29 consecutive victories with no defeats, Ali had already been written in antiquity’s memoir. But Vietnam loomed, and Ali rejected the war, becoming its most famed protester. Exile followed as the WBA and WBC suspended Ali’s license and stripped him of his…...

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The 4 Key Elements of Fantasy Football Home Leagues and a 3-Part Plan to Build a Bulletproof Draft

Shawn Siegele looks at four key elements of fantasy football home leagues and outlines the three planks of a bulletproof home-league draft plan. The biggest draft weekend of the 2023 fantasy season is on the horizon. That means it’s time to dust off your draft plan and prepare to do battle with your extended family, college friends, and long-time co-workers. Whether you’ve got a couple…...

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How to Spot RB Breakout Profiles With Too Much Trap Potential, Plus 4 Positional Groups You Must Fade

Michael Dubner exposes the team positional groups he’s fading in 2023 best ball tournaments.  In fantasy football, it’s not just about knowing who you draft, but it’s also who you do not draft. When reviewing my best ball portfolio, I like to get a sense of what individual players I’m over- and underweight on. I want to see what roster constructions I’m implementing. And what…...

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Can You Go Too Far In Scooping ADP Value?

The frenzied search for quantifiable edges in best ball tournaments is heating up this offseason with average draft position (ADP) value emerging as one of the most promising. ADP value is a metric that quantifies the extent to which a drafter is reaching or scooping falling players throughout the draft. Preliminary findings have shown correlation between higher ADP value (less reaching, more scooping) and higher…...

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4 Lessons from the Apex Experts League That Will Make You a Better Drafter Down the Stretch

Mike Braude’s fantasy platform provides an excellent window into the 2023 draft landscape and gives us insights into the player targets of top analysts. The Apex Experts League is one of my favorite drafts every year. It gives us a feel of how the best minds in the industry are playing it from both a tactical and player-specific perspective, and it offers a window into…...

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Double-Digit Draft Slots Could be the Key to Countering the WR Avalanche

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet shares why he thinks double-digit best ball draft slots could have a big advantage again in 2023. Over a large enough sample size, best ball drafters should get every draft slot once in every 12 drafts. However, for drafters like myself, whose full-time job is not drafting best ball teams, I am at the mercy of the random number generator (RNG) program in…...

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These Marquee Signings Just Gave Us Huge Discounts on the Dynasty Assets We Really Want

Certain weeks can yield unforeseen dynasty game-changers this time of year, and well-anchored core beliefs about the coming season can suddenly feel precarious. The dynasty community is highly reactive to high-profile free agent signings at fantasy-relevant positions, but sudden shifts in the current only amplify our advantages. RotoViz builds its evaluation primarily on specific combinations of highly predictive data that can point us toward a…...

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The 2023 RotoViz Auction Draft Strategy Guide, Part 2

Auction drafts are easy to “win” but even easier to “lose.” Dave Caban overviews the preparation, thought processes, and in-auction strategies needed to ensure that you’re ready for the intensity and challenges auctions will throw at you and are poised to leave your draft with a contender. Heading into the 2020 season, I compiled a list of auction-related articles that I had written over the…...

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The Range of Outcomes Tool Has Been Revamped And Is Primed To Help You Attack Your 2023 Drafts

Dave Caban provides a video tutorial on the revamped Range of Outcomes tool.  The RotoViz Range Of Outcomes tool uses historical data to help users to better understand a player’s realistic range of outcomes for the coming season. The tool reviews a player’s statistics from his two most recent seasons to match him with players from prior seasons that produced similar statistics. By looking at…...

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Dynasty Startups Are All About Guts and Patience: 13 Trade Ideas to Navigate Any Draft Environment

Shawn Siegele explains the mechanism that makes trading down your dynasty startup superpower and details the types of trades you can and should make in real leagues. This weekend we posted Completely Revamp Your Startup Strategy With These 3 Key Insights, and in a year where I’ve had more fun writing than ever before, this was probably the piece that I enjoyed the most. If…...

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A Couple of Stats That Might Change Your Mind About the Highest-Profile Running Back Committees

Shawn Siegele offers a couple of contrarian stats to help you process – or grieve – the Dalvin Cook and Ezekiel Elliott signings. A few weeks ago, I wrote a piece arguing for Breece Hall as the most important player in fantasy. On Monday afternoon, Ben Gretch and I recorded our favorite podcast – the one where we give our first-round predictions for next year’s…...

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The 2023 RotoViz Auction Draft Strategy Guide And The Approach That Brought Home An “Expert League” Title to RV

Auction drafts are easy to “win” but even easier to “lose.” Dave Caban overviews the preparation, thought processes, and in-auction strategies needed to ensure that you’re ready for the intensity and challenges auctions will throw at you and are poised to leave your draft with a contender. Dave brought the 2022 USA Today Huddle Auction title home to RotoViz last year and maps out his…...

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Stacking Kickers Provides a Massive Edge for the Non-Tournament Player: How to Win Standalone Best Ball Leagues

Daily fantasy drafters have been stacking NFL offenses for years. Best ball tournament stacking has exploded recently. But nearly all tournament formats leave out a position that offers a massive benefit when stacked. This is one area in which the cash game best ball player has a distinct edge. One look at the Stack Analysis tool in the RotoViz Win Rate Explorer shows us what…...

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My Favorite Targets in Each Round: August Edition Part 2 – Filling Out a $3 Million Squad

Earlier in the offseason I looked at my favorite targets in Best Ball Mania IV. But a lot has changed since then. Now that we’re in the home stretch of best ball drafting season, let’s look again at some of the top targets in each round. Using our Underdog ADP tool — now with the ability to show an ADP Draft Grid — we can…...

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Frustrating Co-Worker Always Winning Your Unusual Home League? A Simple Hack Opens Up Multiple Strategies

RotoViz readers know that winning in any given format you win your league by winning the race to fill the Flex. In huge formats like FFPC’s Main Event or BBT or Underdog’s Best Ball Mania, we’ve got deep strategy guides to help you take advantage of every twist and quirk. You also know how to approach an unusual but ubiquitous format like the Scott Fish…...

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Dynasty Workshop: Completely Revamp Your Superflex Startup Approach With 3 First-Round Insights

Shawn Siegele looks at the first round of his 2023 dynasty startup and helps you avoid the mistakes that effectively eliminate squads from both short- and long-term contention. Bjorn Yang-Vaernet and I are currently involved in a dynasty startup in the RV TriFlex format at the FFPC. Since this lineup and scoring format have become the default for new dynasty leagues across the industry, these…...

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The Quote That Shook Fantasy May Have Also Solved Your WR Window Problem

A surprising source of depth comes from the 1996 Sci-Fi Comedy Men in Black when Will Smith’s Agent J is coming to grips with the certainty of life on other planets. He and Tommy Lee Jones’ Agent K sit on a bench in Battery Park as K carries on his rehearsed defense of National Security: “A thousand years ago, everybody knew the Earth was the…...

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My Favorite Targets in Each Round: The August Edition Part 1 – Foundation Picks

Earlier in the offseason I looked at my favorite targets in Best Ball Mania IV. But a lot has changed since then. Now that we’re in the home stretch of best ball drafting season, let’s look again at some of the top targets in each round. Using our Underdog ADP tool — now with the ability to show an ADP Draft Grid — we can…...

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Jahmyr Gibbs Is Already Extremely Expensive, But He’s Set to Outperform Even That Lofty Price

Seamus Carr examines the overall profile for RB receiving sensation Jahmyr Gibbs and breaks down the impact an excellent training camp is having on the prices you should be willing to pay for one of 2023’s most dynamic rookies. When Gibbs was drafted by the Detroit Lions with the 12th overall selection, it was a bit of a head-scratcher. The Lions used high draft capital…...

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