Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

4 Lessons from the Apex Experts League That Will Make You a Better Drafter Down the Stretch

Mike Braude’s fantasy platform provides an excellent window into the 2023 draft landscape and gives us insights into the player targets of top analysts. The Apex Experts League is one of my favorite drafts every year. It gives us a feel of how the best minds in the industry are playing it from both a tactical and player-specific perspective, and it offers a window into…...

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The 2023 RotoViz Auction Draft Strategy Guide, Part 2

Auction drafts are easy to “win” but even easier to “lose.” Dave Caban overviews the preparation, thought processes, and in-auction strategies needed to ensure that you’re ready for the intensity and challenges auctions will throw at you and are poised to leave your draft with a contender. Heading into the 2020 season, I compiled a list of auction-related articles that I had written over the…...

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A Couple of Stats That Might Change Your Mind About the Highest-Profile Running Back Committees

Shawn Siegele offers a couple of contrarian stats to help you process – or grieve – the Dalvin Cook and Ezekiel Elliott signings. A few weeks ago, I wrote a piece arguing for Breece Hall as the most important player in fantasy. On Monday afternoon, Ben Gretch and I recorded our favorite podcast – the one where we give our first-round predictions for next year’s…...

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The 2023 RotoViz Auction Draft Strategy Guide And The Approach That Brought Home An “Expert League” Title to RV

Auction drafts are easy to “win” but even easier to “lose.” Dave Caban overviews the preparation, thought processes, and in-auction strategies needed to ensure that you’re ready for the intensity and challenges auctions will throw at you and are poised to leave your draft with a contender. Dave brought the 2022 USA Today Huddle Auction title home to RotoViz last year and maps out his…...

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Frustrating Co-Worker Always Winning Your Unusual Home League? A Simple Hack Opens Up Multiple Strategies

RotoViz readers know that winning in any given format you win your league by winning the race to fill the Flex. In huge formats like FFPC’s Main Event or BBT or Underdog’s Best Ball Mania, we’ve got deep strategy guides to help you take advantage of every twist and quirk. You also know how to approach an unusual but ubiquitous format like the Scott Fish…...

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The Quote That Shook Fantasy May Have Also Solved Your WR Window Problem

A surprising source of depth comes from the 1996 Sci-Fi Comedy Men in Black when Will Smith’s Agent J is coming to grips with the certainty of life on other planets. He and Tommy Lee Jones’ Agent K sit on a bench in Battery Park as K carries on his rehearsed defense of National Security: “A thousand years ago, everybody knew the Earth was the…...

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Jahmyr Gibbs Is Already Extremely Expensive, But He’s Set to Outperform Even That Lofty Price

Seamus Carr examines the overall profile for RB receiving sensation Jahmyr Gibbs and breaks down the impact an excellent training camp is having on the prices you should be willing to pay for one of 2023’s most dynamic rookies. When Gibbs was drafted by the Detroit Lions with the 12th overall selection, it was a bit of a head-scratcher. The Lions used high draft capital…...

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Good First Impressions: Rookie Tight Ends Winning Plaudits in Camp

Apparently, the great Oscar Wilde once said that you never get a second chance to make a good first impression. This mantra has been taken onboard by a host of rookies this summer, with many first-year players wowing observers across the NFL. There are two rookie tight ends in particular that are impressing the people that matter, early in training camp. But how excited should…...

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5 Priority Wide Receiver Targets Who Are Also Dominating Early in Training Camp

Shawn Siegele explains why these five WRs have been the foundation of his summer draft plans and why training camp developments are making them even better picks for your big redraft leagues this August. One consistent and justified refrain from our subscribers is that you want my 2023 Draft Plan early enough for most drafters to use it on the big day. While I’ll still…...

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Derrick Henry’s Big Shakeup in the Trenches and the Offensive Line Continuity Picture for 2023

Offensive line continuity is one slice of the giant onion in projecting the NFL. A quarterback can overcome a lot and it’s more important to fill gaping holes up front than it is to have continuity just for continuity’s sake. But all things equal, there’s an edge in having the dance line get in sync. This does especially come in handy with a weak-link system…....

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We’re Starting to Get Serious Jamaal Charles Vibes From a Young Star in an Ascending Offense

Shawn Siegele looks at a young back who appears ready to make the leap to stardom, perhaps even infringing upon that rarefied air that’s usually saved for discussing Jamaal Charles. There’s never been a better season for buying superstar RBs at reasonable prices, and that includes the next wave of backs floundering in what used to be the Dead Zone. We’re only getting eight RBs…...

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The Crucial Wide Receiver Stat That Drafters Forgot: How to Use Advanced WR Metrics to Beat ADP

My previous article examined which metrics are most predictive for wide receivers. I was concerned in that piece to show which metrics were both stable (predicted themselves) and useful (predicted fantasy points.) Today I want to ask a slightly different but even more important question: which WR metrics are most valuable? That is, which metrics give us an edge in fantasy drafts? It doesn’t help…...

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The Next Tony Pollard Has Less Backfield Competition and Is Already Blowing Up Camp

Shawn Siegele breaks down the thesis for one of his favorite undervalued RBs and explains why the early-camp star could be the 2023 Tony Pollard . . . but with even more ceiling. Last year, we had four backs absolutely crush formats from what is traditionally the RB Dead Zone. Josh Jacobs and Miles Sanders were pure dead zoners, but two of their compatriots came…...

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A Must-Draft Player from Each of the First 5 Rounds in FFPC Main Event and Fantasy Pros Drafts

Shawn Siegele starts his redraft strategy sessions with a look at the best pick in each of the first five rounds of the FFPC Main Event. The best part of fantasy football has arrived. We’ve reached redraft season. In 2023 drafters can win $1 million in both the $2,000 (Main Event) and $350 (Fantasy Pros) levels at the FFPC. You can plot to win the…...

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What’s the Possible Upside for Aggressive Javonte Williams Drafters?

Shawn Siegele looks at what it means for Javonte Williams to avoid PUP and what his trajectory will likely be if he stays healthy in 2023. Where should we be selecting him now in fantasy drafts? On a few podcasts last week, I mentioned that if the prices for Breece Hall and Williams were reversed, I’d still be trying to create at least some exposure…...

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I’m Always Too High on Breece Hall, But Is That About to Pay Off?

Breece Hall may be the most controversial fantasy selection this summer. The second-year player for New York took the league by storm last season before suffering an ACL tear in Week 7. Will he be the second coming of Adrian Peterson, or will his trajectory follow the path taken by J.K. Dobbins a year ago? Hall was put on PUP to begin training camp, but…...

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Tournaments Are About to Give Us 1 Must-Draft WR to Go With 1 Do-Not-Draft Bust

Shawn Siegele explains why the hardest click in your draft also might be the player who wins you $3 million. In the 2023 FFPC and Underdog Best Ball Workshops, we’ve put together plans for balancing four objectives: Deploying draft structures that exploit the current year ADP landscape Selecting player archetypes with asymmetrical risk/reward profiles Generating additional ADP value within individual leagues Embracing the right type…...

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The Next DeVonta Smith Could Be the Perfect Way to Beat 2023’s WR Dead Zone

Shawn Siegele dives deep into the evidence and breaks out the full RotoViz toolkit to help you find a receiver who profiles as the 2023 version of DeVonta Smith. In Part 1 of this series, I framed the project this way: You only have so many early-round selections. Players on the same NFL team are frequently dealing with the same team-level risks. That leads to…...

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Do Fantasy’s Best Sleepers and Biggest Reaches (at Both RB and WR) Reside on the Same NFL Team?

Could 2022’s top WR breakout candidate and the best Zero RB option come from the same team? Shawn Siegele debates the best way to play a controversial offense. When RotoViz subscribers talk about crafting a roster, they’re usually thinking about a mix of structural drafting at the squad level and contingency-based drafting at the player level. They’re building their rosters out from back to front…...

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Will Ty Chandler and DeWayne McBride Emerge as Zero RB Stars After Dalvin Cook’s Release?

Shawn Siegele examines the fantasy fallout from Dalvin Cook’s release and asks whether Ty Chandler or DeWayne McBride could become the 2023 league winner as Alexander Mattison disappoints. It’s been an open secret that the Minnesota Vikings would move on from Cook this summer. The former star generated 101.5 fantasy points over expectation (FPOE) across the 2019 and 2020 seasons, but that dropped into the…...

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4 Lessons from the Apex Experts League That Will Make You a Better Drafter Down the Stretch

Mike Braude’s fantasy platform provides an excellent window into the 2023 draft landscape and gives us insights into the player targets of top analysts. The Apex Experts League is one of my favorite drafts every year. It gives us a feel of how the best minds in the industry are playing it from both a tactical and player-specific perspective, and it offers a window into…...

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The 2023 RotoViz Auction Draft Strategy Guide, Part 2

Auction drafts are easy to “win” but even easier to “lose.” Dave Caban overviews the preparation, thought processes, and in-auction strategies needed to ensure that you’re ready for the intensity and challenges auctions will throw at you and are poised to leave your draft with a contender. Heading into the 2020 season, I compiled a list of auction-related articles that I had written over the…...

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A Couple of Stats That Might Change Your Mind About the Highest-Profile Running Back Committees

Shawn Siegele offers a couple of contrarian stats to help you process – or grieve – the Dalvin Cook and Ezekiel Elliott signings. A few weeks ago, I wrote a piece arguing for Breece Hall as the most important player in fantasy. On Monday afternoon, Ben Gretch and I recorded our favorite podcast – the one where we give our first-round predictions for next year’s…...

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The 2023 RotoViz Auction Draft Strategy Guide And The Approach That Brought Home An “Expert League” Title to RV

Auction drafts are easy to “win” but even easier to “lose.” Dave Caban overviews the preparation, thought processes, and in-auction strategies needed to ensure that you’re ready for the intensity and challenges auctions will throw at you and are poised to leave your draft with a contender. Dave brought the 2022 USA Today Huddle Auction title home to RotoViz last year and maps out his…...

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Frustrating Co-Worker Always Winning Your Unusual Home League? A Simple Hack Opens Up Multiple Strategies

RotoViz readers know that winning in any given format you win your league by winning the race to fill the Flex. In huge formats like FFPC’s Main Event or BBT or Underdog’s Best Ball Mania, we’ve got deep strategy guides to help you take advantage of every twist and quirk. You also know how to approach an unusual but ubiquitous format like the Scott Fish…...

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The Quote That Shook Fantasy May Have Also Solved Your WR Window Problem

A surprising source of depth comes from the 1996 Sci-Fi Comedy Men in Black when Will Smith’s Agent J is coming to grips with the certainty of life on other planets. He and Tommy Lee Jones’ Agent K sit on a bench in Battery Park as K carries on his rehearsed defense of National Security: “A thousand years ago, everybody knew the Earth was the…...

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Jahmyr Gibbs Is Already Extremely Expensive, But He’s Set to Outperform Even That Lofty Price

Seamus Carr examines the overall profile for RB receiving sensation Jahmyr Gibbs and breaks down the impact an excellent training camp is having on the prices you should be willing to pay for one of 2023’s most dynamic rookies. When Gibbs was drafted by the Detroit Lions with the 12th overall selection, it was a bit of a head-scratcher. The Lions used high draft capital…...

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Good First Impressions: Rookie Tight Ends Winning Plaudits in Camp

Apparently, the great Oscar Wilde once said that you never get a second chance to make a good first impression. This mantra has been taken onboard by a host of rookies this summer, with many first-year players wowing observers across the NFL. There are two rookie tight ends in particular that are impressing the people that matter, early in training camp. But how excited should…...

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5 Priority Wide Receiver Targets Who Are Also Dominating Early in Training Camp

Shawn Siegele explains why these five WRs have been the foundation of his summer draft plans and why training camp developments are making them even better picks for your big redraft leagues this August. One consistent and justified refrain from our subscribers is that you want my 2023 Draft Plan early enough for most drafters to use it on the big day. While I’ll still…...

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Derrick Henry’s Big Shakeup in the Trenches and the Offensive Line Continuity Picture for 2023

Offensive line continuity is one slice of the giant onion in projecting the NFL. A quarterback can overcome a lot and it’s more important to fill gaping holes up front than it is to have continuity just for continuity’s sake. But all things equal, there’s an edge in having the dance line get in sync. This does especially come in handy with a weak-link system…....

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We’re Starting to Get Serious Jamaal Charles Vibes From a Young Star in an Ascending Offense

Shawn Siegele looks at a young back who appears ready to make the leap to stardom, perhaps even infringing upon that rarefied air that’s usually saved for discussing Jamaal Charles. There’s never been a better season for buying superstar RBs at reasonable prices, and that includes the next wave of backs floundering in what used to be the Dead Zone. We’re only getting eight RBs…...

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The Crucial Wide Receiver Stat That Drafters Forgot: How to Use Advanced WR Metrics to Beat ADP

My previous article examined which metrics are most predictive for wide receivers. I was concerned in that piece to show which metrics were both stable (predicted themselves) and useful (predicted fantasy points.) Today I want to ask a slightly different but even more important question: which WR metrics are most valuable? That is, which metrics give us an edge in fantasy drafts? It doesn’t help…...

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The Next Tony Pollard Has Less Backfield Competition and Is Already Blowing Up Camp

Shawn Siegele breaks down the thesis for one of his favorite undervalued RBs and explains why the early-camp star could be the 2023 Tony Pollard . . . but with even more ceiling. Last year, we had four backs absolutely crush formats from what is traditionally the RB Dead Zone. Josh Jacobs and Miles Sanders were pure dead zoners, but two of their compatriots came…...

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A Must-Draft Player from Each of the First 5 Rounds in FFPC Main Event and Fantasy Pros Drafts

Shawn Siegele starts his redraft strategy sessions with a look at the best pick in each of the first five rounds of the FFPC Main Event. The best part of fantasy football has arrived. We’ve reached redraft season. In 2023 drafters can win $1 million in both the $2,000 (Main Event) and $350 (Fantasy Pros) levels at the FFPC. You can plot to win the…...

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What’s the Possible Upside for Aggressive Javonte Williams Drafters?

Shawn Siegele looks at what it means for Javonte Williams to avoid PUP and what his trajectory will likely be if he stays healthy in 2023. Where should we be selecting him now in fantasy drafts? On a few podcasts last week, I mentioned that if the prices for Breece Hall and Williams were reversed, I’d still be trying to create at least some exposure…...

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I’m Always Too High on Breece Hall, But Is That About to Pay Off?

Breece Hall may be the most controversial fantasy selection this summer. The second-year player for New York took the league by storm last season before suffering an ACL tear in Week 7. Will he be the second coming of Adrian Peterson, or will his trajectory follow the path taken by J.K. Dobbins a year ago? Hall was put on PUP to begin training camp, but…...

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Tournaments Are About to Give Us 1 Must-Draft WR to Go With 1 Do-Not-Draft Bust

Shawn Siegele explains why the hardest click in your draft also might be the player who wins you $3 million. In the 2023 FFPC and Underdog Best Ball Workshops, we’ve put together plans for balancing four objectives: Deploying draft structures that exploit the current year ADP landscape Selecting player archetypes with asymmetrical risk/reward profiles Generating additional ADP value within individual leagues Embracing the right type…...

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The Next DeVonta Smith Could Be the Perfect Way to Beat 2023’s WR Dead Zone

Shawn Siegele dives deep into the evidence and breaks out the full RotoViz toolkit to help you find a receiver who profiles as the 2023 version of DeVonta Smith. In Part 1 of this series, I framed the project this way: You only have so many early-round selections. Players on the same NFL team are frequently dealing with the same team-level risks. That leads to…...

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Do Fantasy’s Best Sleepers and Biggest Reaches (at Both RB and WR) Reside on the Same NFL Team?

Could 2022’s top WR breakout candidate and the best Zero RB option come from the same team? Shawn Siegele debates the best way to play a controversial offense. When RotoViz subscribers talk about crafting a roster, they’re usually thinking about a mix of structural drafting at the squad level and contingency-based drafting at the player level. They’re building their rosters out from back to front…...

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Will Ty Chandler and DeWayne McBride Emerge as Zero RB Stars After Dalvin Cook’s Release?

Shawn Siegele examines the fantasy fallout from Dalvin Cook’s release and asks whether Ty Chandler or DeWayne McBride could become the 2023 league winner as Alexander Mattison disappoints. It’s been an open secret that the Minnesota Vikings would move on from Cook this summer. The former star generated 101.5 fantasy points over expectation (FPOE) across the 2019 and 2020 seasons, but that dropped into the…...

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4 Lessons from the Apex Experts League That Will Make You a Better Drafter Down the Stretch

Mike Braude’s fantasy platform provides an excellent window into the 2023 draft landscape and gives us insights into the player targets of top analysts. The Apex Experts League is one of my favorite drafts every year. It gives us a feel of how the best minds in the industry are playing it from both a tactical and player-specific perspective, and it offers a window into…...

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The 2023 RotoViz Auction Draft Strategy Guide, Part 2

Auction drafts are easy to “win” but even easier to “lose.” Dave Caban overviews the preparation, thought processes, and in-auction strategies needed to ensure that you’re ready for the intensity and challenges auctions will throw at you and are poised to leave your draft with a contender. Heading into the 2020 season, I compiled a list of auction-related articles that I had written over the…...

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A Couple of Stats That Might Change Your Mind About the Highest-Profile Running Back Committees

Shawn Siegele offers a couple of contrarian stats to help you process – or grieve – the Dalvin Cook and Ezekiel Elliott signings. A few weeks ago, I wrote a piece arguing for Breece Hall as the most important player in fantasy. On Monday afternoon, Ben Gretch and I recorded our favorite podcast – the one where we give our first-round predictions for next year’s…...

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The 2023 RotoViz Auction Draft Strategy Guide And The Approach That Brought Home An “Expert League” Title to RV

Auction drafts are easy to “win” but even easier to “lose.” Dave Caban overviews the preparation, thought processes, and in-auction strategies needed to ensure that you’re ready for the intensity and challenges auctions will throw at you and are poised to leave your draft with a contender. Dave brought the 2022 USA Today Huddle Auction title home to RotoViz last year and maps out his…...

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Frustrating Co-Worker Always Winning Your Unusual Home League? A Simple Hack Opens Up Multiple Strategies

RotoViz readers know that winning in any given format you win your league by winning the race to fill the Flex. In huge formats like FFPC’s Main Event or BBT or Underdog’s Best Ball Mania, we’ve got deep strategy guides to help you take advantage of every twist and quirk. You also know how to approach an unusual but ubiquitous format like the Scott Fish…...

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The Quote That Shook Fantasy May Have Also Solved Your WR Window Problem

A surprising source of depth comes from the 1996 Sci-Fi Comedy Men in Black when Will Smith’s Agent J is coming to grips with the certainty of life on other planets. He and Tommy Lee Jones’ Agent K sit on a bench in Battery Park as K carries on his rehearsed defense of National Security: “A thousand years ago, everybody knew the Earth was the…...

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Jahmyr Gibbs Is Already Extremely Expensive, But He’s Set to Outperform Even That Lofty Price

Seamus Carr examines the overall profile for RB receiving sensation Jahmyr Gibbs and breaks down the impact an excellent training camp is having on the prices you should be willing to pay for one of 2023’s most dynamic rookies. When Gibbs was drafted by the Detroit Lions with the 12th overall selection, it was a bit of a head-scratcher. The Lions used high draft capital…...

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Good First Impressions: Rookie Tight Ends Winning Plaudits in Camp

Apparently, the great Oscar Wilde once said that you never get a second chance to make a good first impression. This mantra has been taken onboard by a host of rookies this summer, with many first-year players wowing observers across the NFL. There are two rookie tight ends in particular that are impressing the people that matter, early in training camp. But how excited should…...

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5 Priority Wide Receiver Targets Who Are Also Dominating Early in Training Camp

Shawn Siegele explains why these five WRs have been the foundation of his summer draft plans and why training camp developments are making them even better picks for your big redraft leagues this August. One consistent and justified refrain from our subscribers is that you want my 2023 Draft Plan early enough for most drafters to use it on the big day. While I’ll still…...

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Derrick Henry’s Big Shakeup in the Trenches and the Offensive Line Continuity Picture for 2023

Offensive line continuity is one slice of the giant onion in projecting the NFL. A quarterback can overcome a lot and it’s more important to fill gaping holes up front than it is to have continuity just for continuity’s sake. But all things equal, there’s an edge in having the dance line get in sync. This does especially come in handy with a weak-link system…....

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We’re Starting to Get Serious Jamaal Charles Vibes From a Young Star in an Ascending Offense

Shawn Siegele looks at a young back who appears ready to make the leap to stardom, perhaps even infringing upon that rarefied air that’s usually saved for discussing Jamaal Charles. There’s never been a better season for buying superstar RBs at reasonable prices, and that includes the next wave of backs floundering in what used to be the Dead Zone. We’re only getting eight RBs…...

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The Crucial Wide Receiver Stat That Drafters Forgot: How to Use Advanced WR Metrics to Beat ADP

My previous article examined which metrics are most predictive for wide receivers. I was concerned in that piece to show which metrics were both stable (predicted themselves) and useful (predicted fantasy points.) Today I want to ask a slightly different but even more important question: which WR metrics are most valuable? That is, which metrics give us an edge in fantasy drafts? It doesn’t help…...

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The Next Tony Pollard Has Less Backfield Competition and Is Already Blowing Up Camp

Shawn Siegele breaks down the thesis for one of his favorite undervalued RBs and explains why the early-camp star could be the 2023 Tony Pollard . . . but with even more ceiling. Last year, we had four backs absolutely crush formats from what is traditionally the RB Dead Zone. Josh Jacobs and Miles Sanders were pure dead zoners, but two of their compatriots came…...

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A Must-Draft Player from Each of the First 5 Rounds in FFPC Main Event and Fantasy Pros Drafts

Shawn Siegele starts his redraft strategy sessions with a look at the best pick in each of the first five rounds of the FFPC Main Event. The best part of fantasy football has arrived. We’ve reached redraft season. In 2023 drafters can win $1 million in both the $2,000 (Main Event) and $350 (Fantasy Pros) levels at the FFPC. You can plot to win the…...

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What’s the Possible Upside for Aggressive Javonte Williams Drafters?

Shawn Siegele looks at what it means for Javonte Williams to avoid PUP and what his trajectory will likely be if he stays healthy in 2023. Where should we be selecting him now in fantasy drafts? On a few podcasts last week, I mentioned that if the prices for Breece Hall and Williams were reversed, I’d still be trying to create at least some exposure…...

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I’m Always Too High on Breece Hall, But Is That About to Pay Off?

Breece Hall may be the most controversial fantasy selection this summer. The second-year player for New York took the league by storm last season before suffering an ACL tear in Week 7. Will he be the second coming of Adrian Peterson, or will his trajectory follow the path taken by J.K. Dobbins a year ago? Hall was put on PUP to begin training camp, but…...

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Tournaments Are About to Give Us 1 Must-Draft WR to Go With 1 Do-Not-Draft Bust

Shawn Siegele explains why the hardest click in your draft also might be the player who wins you $3 million. In the 2023 FFPC and Underdog Best Ball Workshops, we’ve put together plans for balancing four objectives: Deploying draft structures that exploit the current year ADP landscape Selecting player archetypes with asymmetrical risk/reward profiles Generating additional ADP value within individual leagues Embracing the right type…...

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The Next DeVonta Smith Could Be the Perfect Way to Beat 2023’s WR Dead Zone

Shawn Siegele dives deep into the evidence and breaks out the full RotoViz toolkit to help you find a receiver who profiles as the 2023 version of DeVonta Smith. In Part 1 of this series, I framed the project this way: You only have so many early-round selections. Players on the same NFL team are frequently dealing with the same team-level risks. That leads to…...

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Do Fantasy’s Best Sleepers and Biggest Reaches (at Both RB and WR) Reside on the Same NFL Team?

Could 2022’s top WR breakout candidate and the best Zero RB option come from the same team? Shawn Siegele debates the best way to play a controversial offense. When RotoViz subscribers talk about crafting a roster, they’re usually thinking about a mix of structural drafting at the squad level and contingency-based drafting at the player level. They’re building their rosters out from back to front…...

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Will Ty Chandler and DeWayne McBride Emerge as Zero RB Stars After Dalvin Cook’s Release?

Shawn Siegele examines the fantasy fallout from Dalvin Cook’s release and asks whether Ty Chandler or DeWayne McBride could become the 2023 league winner as Alexander Mattison disappoints. It’s been an open secret that the Minnesota Vikings would move on from Cook this summer. The former star generated 101.5 fantasy points over expectation (FPOE) across the 2019 and 2020 seasons, but that dropped into the…...

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