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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Using The Game Splits App & Range Of Outcomes Tool To Identify 3 Running Back Values Heading Into 2021

Sam Wallace uses two powerful RotoViz tools to help fantasy managers uncover undervalued running backs as they prepare for the upcoming season. Fantasy managers tend to hold onto old wounds. It’s only human nature, I suppose. We spend significant draft capital on a player, and he gets injured in prime time, costing us a matchup. We leverage our future assets to acquire a depth piece…...

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This Undervalued Offense Could Be An Embarrassment of Fantasy Riches in 2021

Shawn Siegele encourages you to check out the debut of Stealing Bananas and explains why a stealth juggernaut could be the offense you need to target in 2021. This past week has been special for me personally, as Ben Gretch makes his return to RotoViz Radio as my co-host on Stealing Bananas. Ben’s the Stealing half, and I’m the Bananas half, and together we hope…...

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Simulating Optimal Roster Construction With The Scott Fish Bowl

Last week I went through the process of transforming your projections to include expected first downs. Now that Dave Caban dropped the official RotoViz projections, we can explore the snake draft simulation tool I created. I was lucky enough to be invited to participate in the Scott Fish Bowl Tournament again this year. One of Scott’s goals with this format is to create a really balanced…...

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2021 Projections: Jared Cook to The Moon and Some Love For CEH

For the last month and a half, I’ve been knee-deep in preparing for the 2021 fantasy season and my first set of projections for all NFL teams is complete. Building a set of well-reasoned fantasy football projections is a time-consuming process but one that I’ve come to appreciate. It’s a key piece of my annual offseason preparation as it helps me to better understand a…...

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2 Reasons I’m Drafting Nick Chubb Over Ezekiel Elliott

A couple weeks ago, I participated in an NFFC draft and ended up with the fifth pick. Christian McCaffrey, Dalvin Cook, Alvin Kamara and Jonathan Taylor were the first four selections, and I was staring at a few running backs with red flags. Saquon Barkley, who is recovering from a torn ACL and Derrick Henry, facing inevitable regression and an offensive shake up.((New play caller,…...

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History Tells Us These Inexpensive Starting Running Backs Fit a Winning Fantasy Profile

Corbin Young examines the big gap/small gap ADP concept at running back and locates inexpensive RBs who fit a historically winning profile. We all want to find that impact RB1 in the bargain barrel of our drafts. After reading through Jack Miller’s research on the ADP gap between RB teammates, I wanted to see if I could find undervalued runners with a large ADP gap. …...

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How to Get a Stefon Diggs-Level Impact – 2 Players Poised to Destroy ADP in Every Format

Shawn Siegele discusses the players he wants to own in all fantasy leagues, regardless of format. Last weekend I had the chance to draft a $100,000 FFPC best ball tournament team with Zachary Krueger on his show, Roster Locked. In the question-and-answer session, I mentioned that I don’t diversify my rosters quite as much as some fantasy players. I’m willing to own a high concentration…...

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Tyler Boyd Is Always a Value: Check Out 2 Other Veteran Wide Receivers You Can Buy at a Discount

Each NFL offseason has the potential to leave fantasy managers with more questions than answers. Rookies find themselves on their first official rosters, veteran free agents transition to new squads searching for better pay or a shot at a title, and star players returning from injuries light up social media with rehab workouts. During this time, we have so much information available, but we often…...

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3 to Buy Now – You Can Still Get a Discount on the Next Aiyuk or Metcalf But Time Is Running Out

Shawn Siegele discusses the fantasy players he’s buying everywhere before they get too expensive in July. We’ve been focusing a lot lately on the Best Ball Workshop and How to Win $100,000 in the FFPC Best Ball Tournament. Frequent readers know how to structure their drafts and the loopholes they need to exploit. I’ll have more on fantasy tactics soon, but over the next week…...

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Estimating Expected First Downs for the Scott Fish Bowl

I was lucky enough to be invited to participate in the Scott Fish Bowl Tournament again this year. If you are not familiar, it is a massive charity tournament run by the great Scott Fish to raise money for charity. Among its various eccentricities, the unique scoring is always my favorite part of the tournament. This year it is effectively a half-PPR format with additional points…...

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T.J. Hockenson Was the Biggest Winner from the NFL Draft

In the last days of April and the first of May, 256 players were drafted into the National Football League. Given how many thousands of youngsters play football in high school, and how many hundreds play in college, being one of the 256 represents an incredible achievement for every single one of them. Some, like Trevor Lawrence of the Jaguars, have the hopes of a…...

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The Raiders Wanted Henry Ruggs to Be Their Tyreek Hill, But Is He Actually Another Mecole Hardman?

There was great excitement within the Las Vegas Raiders after taking Henry Ruggs III with the 12th overall selection in the 2020 NFL Draft. Ruggs had blazed a 4.27 forty-yard dash time in the pre-draft process, and the feeling was that the Raiders had found their own version of Tyreek Hill. This would give them an offensive piece to use as they attempted to go…...

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Jalen Reagor’s Rookie Campaign Was Disappointing, But You’re Probably Too Low on Him in 2021

Wide receiver is a position that the Philadelphia Eagles have struggled to get production from in recent years. You have to go back to 2014 for the last time an Eagles wideout — Jeremy Maclin — crested 1,000 receiving yards. But they have certainly tried to find playmakers at the WR spot over the years. A year after re-acquiring DeSean Jackson and drafting J.J. Arcega-Whiteside, neither of…...

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Jerry Jeudy’s Rookie Season Comps Display a Wide Range of Outcomes, But a Breakout May Be On the Horizon

Going into the 2020 NFL season, the Denver Broncos offense had the hallmarks of a unit that could surprise the league. While not 100% sure that Drew Lock was the answer at quarterback, the Broncos were going to give him a chance to succeed. They already had Courtland Sutton and Noah Fant, but in the first round of the draft, they added Alabama wide receiver…...

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A.J. Dillon Might Not Be the Next Derrick Henry, but His Comps Suggest We Haven’t Seen His Ceiling Yet

Last week, as part of the RotoViz Rookie Review Series, I took a look at Rams running back Cam Akers and some of his closest rookie comps according to the RotoViz Screener. For this week’s article, I take a look at yet another running back, but one who saw significantly less work than Akers did in 2020. The Green Bay Packers had a controversial rookie draft class. Coming off…...

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Brandon Aiyuk’s Rookie Comps Suggest a Breakout Is Coming, but Are There Enough Targets to Go Around in San Francisco?

Back in March 2020, a revered and much-respected writer for RotoViz[1]This writer looks a bit like me, and even lives in my house. wrote that Arizona State wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk could be the Deebo Samuel of the 2020 NFL Draft. As if to amplify this comparison, the same team that drafted Samuel in 2019, the San Francisco 49ers, took the plunge and spent the…...

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A Late Season Surge Has Drafters High on Cam Akers in 2021, but What Do His Comps Suggest?

The Rams drafted running back Cam Akers in the second round of the 2020 NFL Draft in hopes of replacing former stud Todd Gurley. Often viewed as a solid athlete whose production was capped by a poor supporting cast at Florida State, Akers entered his rookie season with a ceiling some thought was yet to be realized. A strong finish to the season that resulted in two playoff…...

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Justin Jefferson’s Rookie Comps Are Elite, but Is There Value at His Current Price?

Before the 2020 NFL Draft, many NFL analysts, pundits, and prognosticators believed the Philadelphia Eagles would spend their first-round pick on a wide receiver. A large chunk of this group also believed that the player they would choose would be LSU WR Justin Jefferson. The Minnesota Vikings were also sure of this, as evidenced by their joy when the Eagles instead selected TCU speedster, Jalen…...

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Clyde Edwards-Helaire Disappointed in 2020, But His Rookie Comps Include Second-Year Breakout Stars

One of the goals of the fantasy manager is to obtain players who form part of potent offenses. So when the Kansas City Chiefs spent a first-round draft pick on LSU running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire last year, hopes were understandably high that the player would be an asset to fantasy managers as early as his rookie season. While he had his moments, there seemed to…...

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J.K. Dobbins Could Be the Next Nick Chubb, but Is That Enough to Make Him a Good Value?

When the NFL’s most prolific rushing attack adds an explosive rookie running back with an early-round draft pick, people have the right to get excited. This was certainly the case in 2020 when the Baltimore Ravens selected J.K. Dobbins in the second round of the NFL Draft. Dobbins had his moments in his first season. But just how good a year was it? Dobbins is…...

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