NOTE: Our tools will be updated each week as soon as data from our stats provider is available. Generally, data from Sunday’s games will be available early Tuesday afternoon. For an immediate look at the games from the previous weekend, please check out our Monday Review tool which includes a collection of preliminary stats.
Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Carolina Panthers while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...
An embarrassment of riches in the receiving game is never a bad problem to have for an NFL quarterback, but it can lead to some difficult decisions for fantasy managers. While there are some interesting situations playing out in both Houston and Chicago, perhaps the most crowded — and potentially most ambiguous — receiving corps in the league for 2024 may reside in Green Bay…....
Scott Fish Bowl online drafts start today. The kickoff of the annual charity tournament — now in its 14th season — has for years marked the unofficial start of draft season. Yes, many of us have been drafting best ball teams all offseason. We degenerates marked the start of “draft season” a long time ago. Still, few events can energize you for the return of…...
Last time, we looked at small gap running backs on two teams with new offensive coordinators to identify undervalued players based on their ADP. Today we’ll cover two more small gap running backs, including a veteran and a younger option. The idea of small gap and big gap RBs comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small gap backs,…...
Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Atlanta Falcons while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...
Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Atlanta Falcons while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...
Welcome to our first team-specific projection of 2024. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands of times. This year, I have added steps to better understand how a player’s fantasy scoring could…...
In the past, we’ve looked at big gap and small gap running backs to identify undervalued players based on their ADP. The idea comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small gap backs, and from similar research by Charlie Kleinheksel before that. First, let’s define our terms: B1 and B2 running backs refer to a team’s RB1 and…...
Heading into the 2023 season, I revamped the Range of Outcomes app, one of our favorite tools on the site. We will spend some time considering its results in the coming months. If you are not familiar with the tool, I encourage you to quickly read through what I wrote last year and watch the tutorial video. 2023 Synopsis The RotoViz Range Of Outcomes tool…...
Background In the offseason I’m always reading articles and consuming fantasy football content trying to catch the latest new theory in the fantasy analysis world. I came across a theory by Scott Simpson (@NimbleWNumbers) he calls “Wide Receiver 2 Theory.” The theory is that drafters tend to overdraft the team’s WR1, but often the player with the higher ADP can end up finishing the season…...
Shawn and Blair are updating their redraft/best ball rankings live during the NFL Draft. Follow along as they explain their thought process, where the new rookies slot in, and how the picks impact the veteran options. Tier 1 – The Undisputed Superstars No rookies are yet in Tier 1, and unless there are some really surprising landing spots or trades, it’s difficult to see any…...
POP QUIZ, HOTSHOT: Who was the Seattle Seahawks’ last head coach prior to Pete Carroll getting the job in 2010? THE ANSWER: Jim Mora Jr.? Yes, Mora Jr. had one forgettable (at least to me, apparently) 5-11 season as the head coach of the Seahawks following Mike Holmgren’s 10-year run in the Pacific Northwest. Maybe I’m the one getting old, but I find it hard…...
After being released by the Chargers on March 13, Mike Williams signed a one-year deal with the New York Jets five days later. Williams and the Jets fill each other’s needs quite well. Coming off of a significant injury at a mature age, Williams gets a one-year “prove-it deal” and a chance to rebuild his stock for one more run at a bigger free agent…...
Running back Devin Singletary will depart Houston and join the New York Giants after agreeing to a free-agent contract last month. The deal has been announced as a three-year $16.5 million contract worth up to $19.5 million, with $9.5 million in guaranteed money and a potential out after the 2025 season. This represents one of the more significant offseason moves for the Giants, who have…...
Sam LaPorta enjoyed one of the better rookie seasons for a tight end in NFL history. But he wasn’t the only fresh-faced newbie to come into the NFL at fantasy sports’ most toxic position in 2023. Indeed, the position has received a healthy boost of young talent in recent years. This talent is set to fill the void left by the inevitable drop-off from Travis…...
Kadarius Toney, Skyy Moore, Mecole Hardman, and Marquez Valdez-Scantling are just a few of the names we have seen propped up over the past few seasons under the pretense that being part of an offense led by Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid could, should, and would take their games to a higher level. In 2023, we finally saw one of those bets pay off as Rashee Rice…...
Jim Harbaugh is trying to outflank me on the importance of offensive line play — he must’ve known my pre-draft OL continuity update for all 32 teams was about to drop. We actually now kick off Year 10 of this series on the importance of incumbency in the trenches and its relation to offensive production. Granted, Harbaugh was running it back each year with a…...
The most significant contract handed out to a WR during this free agency period was a four-year, $92 million pact the Tennessee Titans made with Calvin Ridley. The deal comes with $50 million guaranteed, a $10 million cap hit in 2024, and a potential out in two years. Ridley is coming off his first complete season since 2020 after sitting out most of 2021 to…...
The Chicago Bears have acquired Keenan Allen from the Los Angeles Chargers for a fourth-round pick (110th overall) in this year’s draft. For the second year in a row, the Chicago Bears are at the forefront of the NFL offseason. Choosing to stack future assets by passing on 2023’s crop of rookie QBs is looking like a smart move (especially if they had Bryce Young…...
Last week, the New England Patriots signed RB Antonio Gibson to a three-year $11.25 million contract with a max value of $17.25 million. The Patriots could get out next year to save less than a million on the cap or in 2026, which would save $3.5 million before Gibson’s age-28 season. The Patriots added Gibson to an RB room with Rhamondre Stevenson, Kevin Harris, Ja’Mycal…...
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