Range of Outcomes Projections: Overlooked WRs Presenting Tremendous Upside at ADP
Image Credit: Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: CeeDee Lamb.

Dave Caban uses his detailed projections process to visualize ranges of outcomes for the top 72 wide receivers, factoring in shifts in market shares and team play volumes.

Over the past three months, I’ve dedicated significant time to working on the RotoViz 2024 Fantasy Football Player Projections. This year, I introduced a new element by analyzing how potential shifts in market share and team play volume could affect a player’s projection. If you haven’t been following the projections series, I recommend checking out this article for a detailed overview of the process.

In this article, I’ve compiled the top-72 wide receivers based on recent FFPC ADP and visualized each player’s range of outcomes using the projection method described in the linked article. The point totals are based on PPR scoring, and players are ranked No. 1 to No. 72 by ADP. The bar next to each player represents the range between their “Downside” and “Upside” projection, with a red dot indicating their PPR in a baseline scenario. This visual provides a quick snapshot of each player’s spread between “Downside” and “Upside,” helping us identify players who stand out compared to others drafted in similar ranges.

Ranges of Outcomes Visualized

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Dave Caban

Senior Fantasy Analyst, app developer, hosts the RotoViz Radio Flagship, auction draft enthusiast.

Going Deep: Week 14 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 2

Dave Caban uses the Passing Game Matchup Rater and other RotoViz tools to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. Will Jake Ferguson have a big impact in his return to the lineup?

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Going Deep: Week 13 Passing Matchups Preview

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an hour to watch the tutorial/walkthrough and…...

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Going Deep: Week 14 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 2

Dave Caban uses the Passing Game Matchup Rater and other RotoViz tools to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. Will Jake Ferguson have a big impact in his return to the lineup?

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

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Going Deep: Week 13 Passing Matchups Preview

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an hour to watch the tutorial/walkthrough and…...

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