redraft

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Robert Woods Is Being Drafted At His Ceiling – His 3 Discount Options Are Going At Or Below Their Floors

Shawn Siegele continues the Discount Series with a look at three WRs who can provide Robert Woods’ production without the WR13 price tag. Robert Woods’ price is crazy. Now Woods is a good player, and the Rams offense should be better. I wouldn’t be surprised if he had a career year. But when relatively minor elements of a 29-year-old receiver’s profile are pushing his ADP…...

The Receiver RotoViz Can’t Stop Drafting – Plus 2 Other Late-Round Second-Year Breakout Candidates

Originally published August 5, Corbin Young reminds us of inexpensive second-year breakout candidates, including one who blew up in the first preseason game. In a recent article, I looked at three second-year breakout wide receivers. We used Blair Andrews’ previous research to help identify players. That article included three second-year receivers ready to breakout in 2021. But none of those three players are particularly cheap, with…...

Finding The Intersection Between Value and Upside: Three Tight Ends To Target In Single-Season Leagues

Sam Wallace uses the Strength of Schedule Streaming App to identify three tight ends with favorable early-season schedules that are also priced at a value. In my latest piece, I sought to identify three quarterbacks with the perfect blend of early-season value and upside for those in single-quarterback leagues. Today, the goal is the same, but the position is different: tight ends. A notoriously tricky…...

This Dead Zone Running Back Anchors Your WR-Heavy Start Like Aaron Jones, but at a Fraction of the Cost

Michael Hitchcock scours the running back dead zone for an option who can provide you with Aaron-Jones-level production, but without the Aaron-Jones-level prices. The running back dead zone is the talk of the fantasy football community this summer, and with good reason. Avoiding backs in Rounds 3-5 is one of the clearest ways to ensure you don’t lose your draft in the early rounds. But…...

These 14 WR Targets Help Turn a Questionable RB-RB Start Into a $500,000 Roster

Sometimes even Shawn gets pulled into the RB-RB start. He walks you through the process of turning this sub-optimal strategy into a juggernaut poised to win $500,000 in the FFPC. If you listened to the Zero RB series on Stealing Bananas, Ben Gretch and I explained why it’s such a dynamic force in PPR formats and how to execute it for optimal results. In an…...

Finding The Intersection Between Value and Upside: 3 Quarterbacks To Target In 1-QB Leagues

Sam Wallace uses the Strength of Schedule Streaming App to identify three quarterbacks with favorable early-season schedules who are also priced at a value. Fantasy football is all about value. Our goal is to maximize the return on every pick consistently. A first-round selection has to live up to lofty expectations, or we feel let down. Consequently, if a late-round pick doesn’t perform as well…...

This Dead Zone RB Is An Even Better Value Than Travis Etienne – And He’s Occasionally Available Much Later

Shawn Siegele looks at why the best running back option in the RB Dead Zone might not be one of the dynamic rookies. And unlike Travis Etienne, this 2021 value occasionally falls out of the Dead Zone entirely. We’ve spent a lot of time at RotoViz the last several years explaining why you want to be careful about exposure to runners who are usually drafted…...

Projecting the First Round of 2022 Fantasy Football Drafts and Using It to Create Upside in 2021

Shawn Siegele presents his 2022 first-round redraft projection and explains how it will help you win this season. On this week’s episodes of Stealing Bananas, Ben Gretch and I looked at the key metrics for predicting breakout seasons and avoiding collapse campaigns. In this exercise, I use the RotoViz research and tools to take a trip forward in our crystal ball. What will 2022 fantasy…...

History Says These 6 Early-Round Studs Are the Key to Winning Even When the Deck Is Stacked Against You

Shawn Siegele outlines the key tactics and the six crucial players to select if you begin your fantasy football draft with a slot-based disadvantage. There is no safe place in a fantasy football draft. The 10 highest-drafted players of the last four years were all RBs. Seven of them posted win rates below 5.5%. Four of those were miniscule win rates below 2.5%. But it’s…...

These 3 Ekeler Discount Options Should Change How You Attack the Dead Zone

Have the guts to search the RB Dead Zone for options? Shawn Siegele begins the Discount Series with a look at three RBs who can provide Austin Ekeler’s production without the first-round price tag. During our recent Zero RB series for Stealing Bananas, Ben Gretch and I suggested that the Dead Zone might be exactly where you want to look if you’re going to employ…...

Using the Draft Dashboard and Range of Outcomes App to Build A Team With Monster Potential

Two of the projects that I’ve spent an inordinate amount of time working on are the Draft Dashboard (DD) and the Range of Outcomes app (ROO). Both tools are focused on helping redraft managers maximize their chances of winning in the coming season. The 2021 version of the DD was recently released. In a nutshell, it’s a drafting tool that helps users to keep track…...

No Stopping the Rise: Buy These 3 Players Before They Blow Up in Camp and the Price Gets Out of Hand

Sam Wallace highlights three players fantasy managers should target before their values dramatically increase once training camp begins in earnest. Player values fluctuate throughout the year even when no football is being played. The offseason is a prime example of this phenomenon. Rookie picks increase in value as the NFL Draft approaches, and veterans who are in danger of losing their roster spot or seeing…...

Following the Emmanuel Sanders Career Path? These Veteran WRs Look Ready to Smash ADP

Shawn Siegele breaks down the criteria we’re looking for in fifth-year breakout wide receivers and explains what it means for the veteran WRs who could become the next Emmanuel Sanders, Doug Baldwin, or Adam Thielen. Every year I publish the full breakout series, helping readers find the key metrics that lead to league-winning jumps at WR. My goal with the series is to help readers…...

The First RB You Take in Your Zero RB Build Could Compete With the Stars From Day 1: Decoding Backfields – Part 3

In the final piece of a three-part series, Sam Wallace helps you decide which running back is worth the price tag on one of the most explosive, running back-friendly offenses in football. The growing narrative is to draft talented players regardless of their landing spot. Good players will make the most of their situation and provide value and fantasy production eventually. It’s solid advice considering…...

Decoding Backfields: Ronald Jones Easily Beat ADP in 2020 and It’s Time to Load Up Again

In part two of a three-part series, Sam Wallace analyzes the difference between regular season and playoff production and how fantasy managers should use that information heading into 2021. In Part 1 of the Decoding Backfields series, I wrote about the value of understanding opportunity cost and how proper roster construction can make you a better fantasy manager. Today, I want to touch on a…...

Will Chasing Austin Ekeler Into Round 1 Wreck Your Draft Or Will He Be the 2021 Kamara?

Shawn Siegele goes deep into the numbers to answer one of fantasy’s most important questions: Can Austin Ekeler be the Alvin Kamara of 2021? It’s no secret that the 2021 first round is full of potholes, if not land mines. After Christian McCaffrey and Dalvin Cook, fantasy drafters are faced with difficult choices between Kamara (QB), Derrick Henry (ceiling), Ezekiel Elliott (declining), Jonathan Taylor (bad…...

The Jaguars Backfield Presents an Opportunity to Boost Your Win Rates, But at What Cost? Small-Gap RBs on 2 Polarizing Teams

Last time we identified a couple of bargains at the running back position with a large ADP gap. We used research by Jack Miller on the ADP gap between RB teammates to identify Myles Gaskin and Mike Davis. Both running backs hold an ADP gap greater than 98.5 with their team’s RB2, which qualifies as a big-gap running back. However, small-gap backfields also provide an opportunity to find…...

10 Players to Target Late If You Want to Win Your League in the Double-Digit Rounds

Shawn Siegele works through a real $100,000 draft to show the importance of executing structurally in the double-digit rounds. In this exercise he profiles the players and tactics necessary to build safety and upside into your rosters.  Recently, Colm Kelly, Blair Andrews, and I drafted an FFPC Best Ball Tournament team with the goal of winning the $100,000. We received the 12 slot in our…...

Decoding Backfields: The Key Concept That Helps Us Choose Between Chase Edmonds & James Conner

In the first of a three-part series, Sam Wallace breaks down a talented backfield on an explosive offense and provides actionable insight for fantasy managers heading into this season. When faced with difficult draft choices, some fantasy managers totally avoid them. They take a hands-off approach and avoid the confusion altogether. Some draft the cheaper of the two options as a way of generating some…...

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