redraft

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Many Veteran WRs Are Weirdly Overdrafted, But These 2 Standouts Offer Upside, Safety, and a Great Price

Looking for extremely inexpensive target volume from established veteran receivers? Shawn Siegele provides two very cheap ways to buy Amari Cooper’s profile. Amari Cooper and Allen Lazard are the two most obvious volume plays in 2022. Lazard is a far less decorated player, but he’s younger and more athletic. He also gets to catch passes from Aaron Rodgers, a legend who has turned mere mortals…...

Pure Zero RB Allows You to Stay Ahead of the Evolving Fantasy Landscape in 2022

Shawn Siegele breaks down all 18 rounds of the Apex Experts draft, providing 13 insights from a draft extravaganza with 11 of the top analysts in the world.  The Apex Experts League is annually one of my favorite drafts. It’s a great opportunity to find out how the best minds in the industry are playing that season’s unique dynamics. It frequently foreshadows big shifts in…...

The 2022 RotoViz Auction Draft Strategy Guide

Auction drafts are easy to “win” but even easier to “lose.” Dave Caban overviews the preparation, thought processes, and in-auction strategies needed to ensure that you’re ready for the intensity and challenges auctions will throw at you and are poised to leave your draft with a contender. Heading into the 2020 season, I compiled a list of auction-related articles that I had written over the…...

20 Bold Predictions and Other Observations Following a Thrilling Preseason Weekend

Shawn Siegele breaks down 20 of the most exciting developments from the first week of preseason action. He has some fun with bold predictions and dives into a few below-the-radar developments with import for managers in deep leagues. Depending on your perspective, the first week of extensive preseason action was a welcome respite from the summer doldrums or a brutal reminder that football is more…...

To Hero or to Zero? This Keeper Decision Will Help You Choose in 2022

Happy draft season, RotoViz crew. Whether you’ve been hammering best ball drafts all summer, or are just starting to get back in the swing, the most fun part of the year is right around the corner. As we enter prime draft season, I thought I’d share a difficult keeper decision in my most important league (a home league filled with guys I’ve known my entire…...

The Tight Ends Poised to Smash in the FFPC and Beyond

Your tight end strategy is one of the defining pillars of a draft. It is arguably the most important decision you will ever make (in fantasy football). Like quarterback, it is also often one of the most overlooked elements of roster construction. A key part of this decision is whether or not to use an early pick on a tight end. The factors that drive…...

Using the Range of Outcomes and Projection Machine to Crush Your TE Selections

Your tight end strategy is one of the defining pillars of a draft. It is arguably the most important decision you will ever make (in fantasy football). Like quarterback, it is also often one of the most overlooked elements of roster construction. A key part of this decision is whether or not to use an early pick on a tight end. The factors that drive…...

Mind the Gap: Finding Value in Unclear Backfields and Uncertain Offenses

In July, we parsed through the three small-gap backfields. We know from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small-gap backs and previous work by Charlie Kleinheksel that the ADP gap between a team’s RB1 and their RB2 has significant implications for how we should expect them to perform. A reminder – B1 and B2 running backs refer to the team’s RB1 and…...

Tired of Paying for Najee Harris or Joe Mixon? 3 Undervalued Foundation Backs With Extreme Upside

Shawn Siegele looks at three extreme RB values from the ROO and judges whether human or machine is right. One of my favorite things about the RotoViz tools is the way they allow you to ask different questions and come at player value from different angles. When we use the Projection Machine, we can use the data on team tendencies, player histories, and teammate competition to…...

The Key to Predicting Future Pass Rates Is Hiding in Plain Sight: How to Use The NFL Pace App to Find High-Powered Stacks

A team’s pass rate is one of the most important variables in deciding how many fantasy points each player will score. The first order impact is on aggregate rushing attempt and target volume, but it’s also a huge determinant in the overall production of an offense. Pass attempts are more efficient than rush attempts, earning more yards (7.1 versus 4.3) and scoring more touchdowns (4.4%…...

The Real Risk With Evans Before and After the Jones Signing

Shawn Siegele looks at Tampa Bay’s addition of Julio Jones and discusses the fantasy fallout for their other trio of receivers. Reports indicate that the Buccaneers have signed Julio Jones to a one-year contract. We’re still a ways from knowing if Tampa is serious about a role for the former star and if he can generate the type of glowing practice reports that made Antonio…...

Late Round Tight Ends to Target in 2022

I know, I know. There must be literally dozens of people out there, unable to begin firmly crafting their redraft strategy for 2022 without knowing which late-round tight ends Neil Dutton, the position-obsessed writer from the UK, thinks could be in for a big year. The delay on my part has been inexcusable, and I beg forgiveness. But nonetheless, we are here now, ready and…...

Why Rondale Moore Will Emerge as a Star in 2022

Second-year wide receivers have long been one of the cornerstones of winning in fantasy football. However, recent ADPs have made it more challenging to draft these breakouts, particularly on Underdog. This means that we need to pay particular attention when these players carry discounts. Rondale Moore goes at the end of the 10th round on Underdog and the 12th on FFPC. That he plays with Kyler Murray…...

Don’t Give Up on These Exciting Receivers: 2 Teams with Sneaky Quarterback Upgrades

The new season brings with it several quarterback changes: Pittsburgh, Carolina, Denver, Washington, and more. For some of these receivers, it was an upgrade. For many, it looks like a downgrade. A few situations are ambiguous, particularly weaker offenses with receivers who have been productive in the past. With their ADPs dropping, could they present low-risk, high-reward options we want to chase? Today we’ll take…...

The Next James Conner? 5 Veteran Running Backs With Gaudy Peripherals and the Potential to Smash ADP

Shawn Siegele breaks down the key metrics that help you find the next group of league-shattering running backs. When we debuted the Advanced Stats Explorer last summer, I wanted to share some of the cool information, so I wrote 5 Veteran RBs Who Were Much Better Than Advertised in 2020. Three of those backs ended up on the Zero RB Candidates list, and each member…...

Can the Range of Outcomes Tool Find 3 Ways to Save Big on Ezekiel Elliott?

Shawn Siegele begins the 2022 Discount Series. Is there an easy way to draft Ezekiel Elliott’s upside without having to spring for his increasing price? Over the past several years, the Discount Series has led us to drafting league-winning players like Diontae Johnson, D’Andre Swift, Chris Godwin, and Devin Singletary. Locating those mispriced players goes a long way to winning leagues and taking down tournaments,…...

Scott Fish Bowl: RotoViz’s Guide To #SFB12 Scoring And Strategy

The 2022 Scott Fish Bowl (#SFB12) kicks off today! The scoring format is mainly unchanged from prior Fish Bowls, with the largest changes impacting the kicker and quarterback positions. Matt Spencer ran several simulations and noted that only 42 points separate draft positions in average projected points, underscoring the balance in scoring for this format. Before I jump into the changes, here’s a quick primer…...

Mind the Gap: 3 Backfields with Buying Opportunities

Last summer, I looked at big gap and small gap running backs to identify undervalued backs based on their ADP. The idea comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small gap backs, and from similar research by Charlie Kleinheksel before that. First, let’s define our terms: B1 and B2 running backs refer to a team’s RB1 and RB2 in backfields where there is…...

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