Matt Spencer

Machine Learning Approach to Football Analytics with JavaScript

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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

The 2021 WR Class Is Loaded With Breakout Age Stars – 4 Rank in the Top 25 This Century

Earlier this offseason, Matt Spencer improved the WR breakout age metric and made it even more helpful in locating NFL stars. Part 1 is included in this article in order to help readers understand what BOA means and how it’s calculated. If you’re already familiar with Matt’s work, jump down to Part 2 where he presents the top-25 historical results and the breakout ages for…...

2021 RB Prospect Lab Rankings – 2 Sleepers, 1 Red Flag, and 4 Targets for Your Reality and Fantasy Teams

Shawn Siegele breaks down the 2021 RB Prospect Lab rankings. As you make your final pre-draft dynasty moves and prepare to grade your reality team’s decisions, Shawn locates two sleepers, four targets, and one big red flag heading in the NFL draft. The RB Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools. It also has a long legacy. The Fantasy Douche originally designed it in…...

Finding the Next Justin Jefferson: Rashod Bateman, Random Forests, and the Power of Checking All the Boxes – The Wrong Read, No. 69

Blair Andrews builds on the random forest model described in the Wrong Read No. 68 by turning it into actionable rules for choosing rookie wide receivers. Last year Blair told you that Justin Jefferson was the only WR prospect to check all the boxes. Today, he provides the most similar receivers from the 2021 class. The best predictive models have three notable criteria — they’re…...

The Adjusted Production Index: Top 2021 Wide Receivers

Every year we add a layer to our analysis and predictive power in finding the best receiver prospects. In just a few short years we’ve discovered the importance of things like breakout age, dominator rating, yards per team pass attempt, and the Adjusted Production Index in predicting future NFL success. The difficult part comes with putting all that information together for an incoming class and…...

The 2021 WR Class Is Loaded With Breakout Age Stars – 4 Rank in the Top 25 This Century

Earlier this offseason, Matt Spencer improved the WR breakout age metric and made it even more helpful in locating NFL stars. Part 1 is included in this article in order to help readers understand what BOA means and how it’s calculated. If you’re already familiar with Matt’s work, jump down to Part 2 where he presents the top-25 historical results and the breakout ages for…...

2021 RB Prospect Lab Rankings – 2 Sleepers, 1 Red Flag, and 4 Targets for Your Reality and Fantasy Teams

Shawn Siegele breaks down the 2021 RB Prospect Lab rankings. As you make your final pre-draft dynasty moves and prepare to grade your reality team’s decisions, Shawn locates two sleepers, four targets, and one big red flag heading in the NFL draft. The RB Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools. It also has a long legacy. The Fantasy Douche originally designed it in…...

Finding the Next Justin Jefferson: Rashod Bateman, Random Forests, and the Power of Checking All the Boxes – The Wrong Read, No. 69

Blair Andrews builds on the random forest model described in the Wrong Read No. 68 by turning it into actionable rules for choosing rookie wide receivers. Last year Blair told you that Justin Jefferson was the only WR prospect to check all the boxes. Today, he provides the most similar receivers from the 2021 class. The best predictive models have three notable criteria — they’re…...

The Adjusted Production Index: Top 2021 Wide Receivers

Every year we add a layer to our analysis and predictive power in finding the best receiver prospects. In just a few short years we’ve discovered the importance of things like breakout age, dominator rating, yards per team pass attempt, and the Adjusted Production Index in predicting future NFL success. The difficult part comes with putting all that information together for an incoming class and…...

The 2021 WR Class Is Loaded With Breakout Age Stars – 4 Rank in the Top 25 This Century

Earlier this offseason, Matt Spencer improved the WR breakout age metric and made it even more helpful in locating NFL stars. Part 1 is included in this article in order to help readers understand what BOA means and how it’s calculated. If you’re already familiar with Matt’s work, jump down to Part 2 where he presents the top-25 historical results and the breakout ages for…...

2021 RB Prospect Lab Rankings – 2 Sleepers, 1 Red Flag, and 4 Targets for Your Reality and Fantasy Teams

Shawn Siegele breaks down the 2021 RB Prospect Lab rankings. As you make your final pre-draft dynasty moves and prepare to grade your reality team’s decisions, Shawn locates two sleepers, four targets, and one big red flag heading in the NFL draft. The RB Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools. It also has a long legacy. The Fantasy Douche originally designed it in…...

Finding the Next Justin Jefferson: Rashod Bateman, Random Forests, and the Power of Checking All the Boxes – The Wrong Read, No. 69

Blair Andrews builds on the random forest model described in the Wrong Read No. 68 by turning it into actionable rules for choosing rookie wide receivers. Last year Blair told you that Justin Jefferson was the only WR prospect to check all the boxes. Today, he provides the most similar receivers from the 2021 class. The best predictive models have three notable criteria — they’re…...

The Adjusted Production Index: Top 2021 Wide Receivers

Every year we add a layer to our analysis and predictive power in finding the best receiver prospects. In just a few short years we’ve discovered the importance of things like breakout age, dominator rating, yards per team pass attempt, and the Adjusted Production Index in predicting future NFL success. The difficult part comes with putting all that information together for an incoming class and…...

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