Training camp is finally here. In a few weeks we’ll even have actual football. I’m pretty damn excited. Yet alongside all the noise and activity that accompanies this time of year there’s also a wretched, unshakable sense of impending doom…....

Investing in wide receiver breakout performances is the key to fantasy championships. This will be especially true in 2016 as ADP changes siphon some of the veteran value…....

Not all quarterbacks are created equal. Thus, when analyzing QB career arcs and individual QB seasons, we really need to treat each type of quarterback differently…....

Predicting future performance in football is a challenging endeavor. To help in that process, we offer both a Game and Team Splits App. They’re very useful for getting at the impact one variable, like the presence or absence of a given player, has on a player’s performance. But there’s a risk involved in using splits to extrapolate future performance…....

During the NFL Draft, San Jose State product Tyler Ervin was selected with the 119th pick. Last season Ervin gained over 1,900 yards from scrimmage, scored 15 touchdowns, and caught 45 passes. He ran a 4.41 forty and jumped 40.5 inches to be a clear combine winner…....

So long and thanks for all the fish. – Douglas Adams When Zero RB, Antifragility, and the Myth of Value-Based Drafting came out in November 2013, I certainly had no idea of what was about to follow. Now with the debut of Fantasyland’s Zero RB episode, it felt appropriate to offer a Hitchhiker’s Guide. Hopefully it answers questions you might have had after listening. As…...

One of the reasons I have started to migrate into more dynasty leagues is the disparity in player valuations. In this case, “disparity” is a kind word I have used in place of “sometimes people lose their freaking minds over-thinking a few years of age difference.” There are edges to be had in redraft and best ball, but generally speaking drafts will go in a…...

Everybody claims they can draft better than the rest of their league. We all do it…....

Over the weekend I was working on creating a machine learning model to predict future trade values for dynasty players. I’m starting with the trade values in our Dynasty ADP app and then using some variables like age and production to estimate a player’s dynasty value 12 months in the future…....

Latavius Murray is a player that we jumped on early due to his college resume of production and his outstanding pro day workout, so you may want to dismiss what I’m about to say as being inherently biased. The rumors that the Raiders are looking to bring in players to compete with Murray, either through the draft or free agency, are silly if you ask…...

The most common example held up to illustrate the value that a running back can have to an NFL offense is the Seattle offense from 2012-2014. Luckily for RB skeptics in the world, the Seahawks took a flamethrower to that example in 2015. For the purposes of beating a dead horse, let’s go over what we know about the Seahawks offense. In 2011 when the Seahawks had…...

The NFL combine has come and gone and now we’re left to make sense of what we learned. Who are the risers and fallers? How will the results affect draft positions? And most importantly, does it even matter?…...

If you watched the wild-card round of the NFL playoffs then you saw the Minnesota Vikings, in need of points to come back and win against the Seahawks, pull Adrian Peterson in favor of Jerick McKinnon on their final drive of the game…....

Football is a difficult sport to analyze because there are often a number of factors that stand between the questions you have and getting clear answers to those questions…....

We’re going to expand the regression tree analysis applied to NFL combine measurables/drills for running backs, and now take a look at the physical profiles for successful NFL wide receivers…....

The NFL combine workouts start Friday in Indianapolis, and football fans across the nation will dissect every result. We can gather that being bigger, stronger, faster, quicker, and having jumping ability are desirable traits. But what do they mean for NFL success?…...

As fantasy interest has heated up over the past few weeks I’ve seen an increasing number of comments on Twitter and various message boards that reflect a sentiment that Zero RB is just a clickbait slogan and isn’t a legitimate draft strategy. As nearly as I can tell this sentiment originates with a certain type of fantasy owner who will keep banging away at running…...

Earlier this month I detailed the hidden value of college special teams stats for wide receiver prospects and how they might help us identify undervalued commodities. Perhaps unsurprisingly, special teams stats matter for running backs too. In a recent round of testing I solved for 24 different variables, including a mix of rush yards, rushing touchdowns, receptions and receiving touchdowns and their per-game siblings over the…...

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