Each week I will profile three players to buy low based on their upcoming strength of schedule, Vegas totals and simple common sense.
Odell Beckham Jr.
At this point you are probably either firmly in one of two camps:
- Beckham’s early season production has been within an expected range of outcomes given that touchdowns are fairly random.
- Beckham is horribly underperforming and is a prissy Kardashian-dating crybaby that can’t separate what is important to him from what is important to the team.
If you are in group 2 and you’re not selling Beckham, it’s probably because of sunk costs. One more down week may push you over the edge. If you are in group 1 and looking to buy, you want that extra down week to really lock in value for a trade. Unfortunately, another down week is not likely to come. The Giants pass offense has the second best set of matchups in the league heading into the next three weeks according to the Buy Low Machine.
Couple the easy schedule with Beckham’s outstanding air yards numbers, especially his 40 percent share of air yards, and Beckham is a smart buy if you can land him this week. After the LA game he may become unobtainable once again, so your window here is small. Good luck.
C.J. Anderson is the RB 12 thus far, and he has accomplished that performance in spite of a fairly difficult early season slate. Three out of his next four games come against opponents that are soft against the run.
As shown by Kevin Cole’s game script graph, through Week 4 Denver has a slight bias toward the run even when behind. Their defense will continue to keep games close and Anderson should continue to see touches. He is a buy.
Game scripts updated through Week 4. SEA running a pass-heavy offense so far. Russell Wilson's health certainly a factor pic.twitter.com/Xs8Y6QqFtT— Kevin Cole (@colekev) October 4, 2016
Adam Schefter reports that Eifert may not play Week 5 against Dallas. This is bad news for Andy Dalton owners, but does not change the near or long term outlook for Eifert, assuming he is eventually able to come back healthy.
CIN TE Tyler Eifert suffered setback at practice this week, not practicing today, status now uncertain, sources tell @Kat_Terrell and me.— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) October 5, 2016
The Bengals upcoming schedule is a good reason to buy Eifert, but perhaps an even better one is the amount of volume the Bengals offense has been funneling through a guy named C.J. Uzomah. Uzomah, tight end, Bengals, has an 18 percent share of Cincinnati’s air yards (seventh in the league for TEs), and a 15 percent target share (15th in the league). The Bengals want production out of their TE position, and Eifert is a difference maker when he is healthy and on the field. If he is still available, buy.