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Kenneth Dixon Injured – Who Do You Draft in Baltimore?

Ian Rapoport reported on Tuesday that embattled Ravens running back Kenneth Dixon is out for the season.  

The Ravens already planned to be without Dixon’s services for the first four weeks, as he faces a suspension for performance enhancing drugs. With Dixon now out for the season, drafters should quickly adjust their expectations for the Ravens’ backfield. I’ll break down the expected beneficiaries.

Danny Woodhead (ADP: RB27)

Even before Dixon’s injury, drafters were treating Woodhead, a 32-year-old receiving specialist, as the best option in Baltimore. Some of us were already skittish on Woodhead at his price, especially compared to younger pass-catching backs being drafted three rounds later.

Dixon’s injury shouldn’t affect Woodhead’s role much: Woodhead was already slated for the Ravens’ receiving work, and he’s not equipped to take on more as a rusher. But you can expect Woodhead’s price to rise anyway. Folks will want to take advantage of Dixon’s absence, and they’ll look to the team’s top RB for that benefit. Don’t pay a premium for Woodhead in redraft, and explore selling him in dynasty.

Terrance West (ADP: RB45)

West is a limited runner, to be sure. He has respectable straight-line speed for a man his size, but otherwise his athletic profile is underwhelming. But he produced reasonably well in 2016, and the Ravens clearly like him.1

Plus, the team added Greg Roman as a senior offensive assistant. In six seasons as an offensive coordinator, Roman’s teams have never finished worse than eighth in the league in rushing yards, and they’ve usually been atop the standings in yards per carry and rushing touchdowns, too.

Like fellow RotoVizian Cort Smith, I thought West was a running back value before Dixon’s injury. He stands to benefit the most from Dixon’s injury, so I don’t mind drafting him a little earlier than I would have yesterday. So long as he falls outside the top-36 RBs in ADP, I’m likely buying.

Javorius Allen (undrafted)

Allen showed promise as a rookie in 2015, notching two 100-scrimmage-yard games, but he was a healthy scratch for half the season in 2016. The signing of Danny Woodhead threatened to put Allen on the street, but now he’s likely safe as the second-best receiving back on the team. Given Woodhead’s age and injury history — he has suffered season-ending injuries in two of the past three Septembers — that alone makes Allen a worthwhile stash in deep PPR formats.

But Allen’s profile makes him a priority addition. His top Box Score Scout comparables include two or three elite performers (depending on how you treat Knowshon Moreno) and a handful of intriguing prospects.

kenneth dixon injury

If you have the roster space in a dynasty league or deep best ball format, get Allen on your squad.

  1. Recall they wanted to draft him in the third round in 2014 but got sniped by Cleveland.  (back)

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