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The First Ten Week 1 Fantasy Football Observations

The RotoViz crew offers you their first ten observations about the current NFL week.

1. Waiver Wire Watch

If you missed out on Nyheim Hines, keep an eye on Tyler Ervin’s snaps. Despite his career starting out in the worst fashion possible, including a season-ending patellar tendon tear last year, he somehow has made the roster. The Texans like his all-around athleticism and used him as a wide receiver early in the 2017 season when Will Fuller was out. If Deshaun Watson is the real deal, a Ty Montgomery-esque role could be valuable as the Texans potentially prepare to move on from Lamar Miller. — Devin McIntyre

2. Boston Scott, We Hardly Knew Ye

It’s been a whirlwind few months for the Saints backfield. They’ve cycled through Terrance West, Jonathan Williams, Boston Scott, and now have settled on Mike Gillislee as their backup. With nobody behind him who’s a threat, Alvin Kamara is worthy of his lofty ADP. — Hasan Rahim

3. Jaguar to Watch

Between Allen Hurns’ departure and Marqise Lee’s injury, 50 percent of Jacksonville’s 2017 targets are up for grabs. In Week 1 the Jaguars face the Giants who gave up the most fantasy points on a per game basis to the TE position in 2017. Austin Sefarian-Jenkins is owned in only 23 percent of ESPN leagues and could be the week’s top TE. — Phil Caldwell

4. WR Arbitrage? Yes Please!

Phillip Dorsett remains free. Is it so hard to imagine him as Brandin Cooks lite? They have similar depth of target profiles. Both are former first-round draft picks. Both are blazing fast. Dorsett’s an easy cut if he doesn’t get volume in Week 1, and if he does get volume, he’s a viable flex option going forward. — Brian Malone

5. Bucking Bronco

The Broncos cut down to just three running backs. While all the debate has been over whether Royce Freeman could wrest the starter job from Devontae Booker (he did), the third RB position has been largely overlooked. Phillip Lindsay was electric in the preseason and may play his way into a third-down role sooner rather than later. — John Lapinski

6. Waking Up Wisconsin

Are we sleeping on Green Bays’ young receivers? Jordy Nelson is gone.1 Randall Cobb is on the trade block and has chronic ankle problems per Michael Lombardi. But Aaron Rodgers is too good to only have one fantasy-relevant pass catcher. Unless you believe it’s going to be Jimmy Graham (I don’t), either Geronimo Allison or one of the rookies is going to be relevant sooner rather than later. — Kevin Zatloukal

7. Speaking of Jordy…

I just bought Jordy Nelson for $1 in my home league auction (it’s standard scoring, but still). The hate has gone way too far, possibly because Jon Gruden seems off the rails. Oakland dumped Ryan Switzer and Martavis Bryant, and Griff Whalen went on injured reserve. That is a shockingly thin receiving depth chart. Nelson looks like about the cheapest 120 targets you’re going to buy. — Devin McIntyre

8. Old Running Backs

Alfred Morris and Adrian Peterson were the biggest waiver wire additions heading into the season’s opening weekend. Are they really that different though? They’re both average runners from an efficiency point of view, and neither stands out as a pass catcher.

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In FFPC leagues, they went for similar waiver amounts ($372/$1000 for Morris; $391 for Peterson), which I think is reasonable. The main attraction to adding either at this stage of their careers is the opportunity for volume. Morris’ situation may be a bit better however, and I prefer him.

Peterson’s competition includes three younger RBs, all of whom offer some favorable point of comparison. Morris’ competition seems less of a threat. Matt Breida hasn’t shown well as a pass catcher, and although Kyle Juszczyk has, his body of rushing work is very limited. — Charlie Kleinheksel

9. Optimal Lineup App

Check out our new DFS-focused lineup app. It combines RotoViz projections and site-specific pricing information, as well as the ability to white or blacklist certain players. Kevin Zatloukal walks you through it.

10. Thinking Ahead

In season, we’ll have everything you need to help set your lineups and manage your rosters. We’re also keeping one eye on the future. Ryan Bobbitt’s Returning Dominator series and Jordan Hoover’s When the Devy Breaks will keep you up to speed on college football, so you can enjoy your Saturdays as well as your Sundays.

  1. More importantly, so is Jeff Janis.  (back)

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