Defense is a high-variance position, which has implications for the sort of teams and game environments we want to target. Rather than chasing low-scoring opponents, which are harder to predict than we tend to think, we want to chase turnovers. This means we never want to target slow-paced games, because we won’t have many opportunities for defensive scoring. Instead, target defensive units that will face a lot of pass attempts — the more opportunities we have for interceptions and fumbles, the more likely we are to find a high-scoring defense.
How to Stream Defenses
The formula for success, then, is simple: find teams who are favorites with high Vegas point totals. If possible, we want to target QBs who take risks when throwing the ball.
Every week I will recommend three defenses with sub 50% ESPN ownership. I will provide the rationale for each selection using the above criteria and other useful RotoViz tools, such as the Strength of Schedule Streaming app and the Game Level Similarity Projections app.