Trey Sermon’s Profile Hints at Massive Dynasty Upside, But Multiple Red Flags Make Him a Controversial Pick at ADP
Image Credit: Robin Alam/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Trey Sermon.

Trey Sermon launched himself into the national consciousness with 264 scrimmage yards in the national semifinal against Clemson. Does the rest of his profile offer enough firepower to confirm his position as a top-30 running back in dynasty startups?

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Kenneth Gainwell’s Comps and RB Prospect Lab Score Point in Very Different Directions

The RotoViz platform provides a variety of tools to help you track a prospect’s transition to the NFL. The Box Score Scout breaks down a prospect’s raw and advanced stats and offers player comps. The Workout Explorer allows you to peruse the athletic measurements, offering percentile context as well as the most similar physical specimens. The RB Prospect Lab allows you to play with the interaction of different metrics, build your own model for RB fantasy scoring, and project both real and hypothetical players to the league.

It’s important not to have a one-size-fits-all approach to prospect evaluation. That’s why I like to look at each prospect through multiple lenses. The RotoViz Rookie Guide gives us more ammunition with analytics pieces that help us understand which advanced metrics are most important. The Backfield Dominator Rating and Breakaway Rush Score are just a few of the additional tools you’ll find there.

But it can also be a lot to digest. That’s why in this series I’ll be providing snapshots of the most important metrics, player comps, and dynasty outlooks for the top players in the 2021 draft class. We’ll also look at their current values in startup drafts and how that interacts with my rankings. I’ll tell you who to target and who to avoid as we eagerly anticipate the NFL draft.

Trey Sermon and the Metric that Could Redeem a Red-Flagged Resume

In contrast to my argument for Kenny Gainwell – a small, early declare with elite pass-catching upside – Sermon’s most obvious characteristics make him a poster child for RB trap prospects. But am I making a mistake in overlooking a key metric? We’ll dive into his advanced stats and player comps to find out how likely he is to return value at current ADP.

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Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

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Shawn Siegele breaks down all the remaining playoff teams for those participating in playoff contests or wanting to get a deeper feel for the reality tournament. This week’s exercise will be a bit different than last week’s contrarian takes. For the eight remaining teams, I’ve used the RotoViz tools, the deep trove of SIS data, and Blair’s matchup tool with a mix of regular and…...

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