Much is made of contract years, and I usually fade the noise. But, like so much in life, there are always exceptions. However, for J.K. Dobbins, it is crystal clear, he is playing for his future!
After three seasons in the NFL, Dobbins enters the final year of his rookie deal with a lot to prove. We have recently seen how difficult it is for RBs to get new contracts for big money. For Dobbins to get an extension he will need to have a healthy and productive year. When on the field, he has been amazing, but he lost a year and a half to injury, and many are asking the question, “Who is the real J.K. Dobbins?”
Recruiting Profile, College Career, Draft Profile, and Capital
Dobbins was a highly rated prospect out of high school having earned All-State awards in Texas all four years. He received a 0.9790 247SportsComposite score and was the second rated all-purpose back in the 2017 class.
In his three seasons at Ohio State he had over 1,000 yards a season, including a season with 2,000 rushing yards and 23 total TDs. Take a look at his career numbers.
It is no surprise that Dobbins’ drill percentiles were very strong.
All this led to Dobbins being selected 55th overall after Baltimore traded up to get him.
Past NFL Production and Advanced Stats
It is no secret that Dobbins has been good when playing. He’s just not been playing as much as we would like.
The raw numbers are impressive, but what does a deeper dive reveal? Using the RotoViz Advanced Stats Explorer gives us a more nuanced look at Dobbins.
Dobbins is a top-tier RB when it comes to key advanced stats. The profile shows an explosive and elusive RB behind a strong line, but with a low TD%. Dobbins Fantasy Points Over Expectation numbers show this as well, with a top 5 rank in 2020 and a top 24 performance last year. Of course, if you remove his early season numbers that ranking skyrockets to top 5 again.
