Another Potential Superstar RB Could Be Going Off the Board at the 1.01 in 2026 Rookie Drafts
Image Credit: David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Jeremiyah Love.

Check out all of RotoViz’s coverage of the 2025 NFL Draft!

After we were spoiled with a deep rookie running back class in 2025, it will be difficult for any class in the next few years to measure up. Though we may not see similar depth in next year’s RB class, it will not be lacking elite upside at the top. With many of 2024’s best college RBs leaving high-profile programs for the NFL, there will undoubtedly be some names that rise up draft boards that are currently flying under our radars.

The 2026 rookie landscape will change in ways we cannot predict between now and next May, but having a general idea of how things could play out in 2026 rookie drafts is important when fielding offers for future dynasty picks in this year’s draft. Using a combination of advanced metrics, film study, and data analysis, we will attempt to predict who the biggest risers and fallers could be over the course of the college football season.

In the 2025 RotoViz Rookie Draft Guide, Shawn Siegele outlines many of the advanced stats we prefer to use when evaluating RB prospects, and they will be referenced heavily throughout the article.

In this publication, we dive into RB performance through the help of the following advanced stats:

  • Broken and forced missed tackles are intuitive. A broken tackle occurs when a defender is in position for a tackle and makes contact, but fails to bring the ball-carrier down. A ball-carrier forces a missed tackle when the defender is in position for the tackle but fails to make contact.
  • Evaded tackles and evasion rate: the evaded tackle category includes both broken and forced missed tackles. Evasion rate gives us the percentage of evaded tackles per attempt. We generally focus on rushing evasion rate, but Blair’s research has emphasized the importance of total evaded tackles on rushing and passing plays.
  • Points Earned: As was the case with QBs and passing, a back’s Points Earned reflects the distribution of EPA responsibility on rushes. It accounts for offensive line play, run direction, broken tackles, and fumbles. This can also be translated into points above average per attempt.
  • Stuff percentage: Carries which resulted in zero or fewer yards.
  • Positive/Boom/Bust Percentage: These designations refer to rushing attempts that hit specific EPA thresholds. Positive plays are rushes with a positive EPA result. Boom plays are rushes that achieve at least 1.0 EPA, and bust plays are rushes that result in at least -1.0 EPA.
  • Backfield Dominator Rating is a RotoViz metric that measures the back’s percentage of rushing and receiving output at the RB position within the context of his specific offense.

For all of the stats Shawn mentions above and more, go pick up your copy of the 2025 RotoViz Rookie Draft Guide TODAY! With Volume 3 out now, stay up to date on all of the latest information you’ll need to crush your rookie drafts and best ball leagues in 2025!

For a limited time, purchasers of the Rookie Guide can take $29.99 off the first-year cost of a new 1-year RotoViz subscription!

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

 

What’s included in your subscription??

  • Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
    • A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
  • Revolutionary Tools
    • Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
  • Groundbreaking Articles
    • RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
  • Weekly Projections
    • Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
  • Expert Rankings
  • And a whole lot more…

Kevin Szafraniec

Full-time Cat Dad, Sneakerhead, Record Collector, LOTR Fanboy, and Jeopardy Enthusiast. Fantasy football writer and beatmaker in my free time. Follow me on X and Bluesky @thecatdadff

2025 WR Advanced Stats Wrap-Up, Part 2: Alec Pierce’s Air Yard Profile Opened Eyes in 2025 . . . And an Encore Could be Coming in 2026

Kevin Szafraniec breaks down the NFL’s best wide receiver performances of 2025 and compares them to the top seasons of the past seven years using the RotoViz Advanced Stats Explorer.  Prior to the start of the 2024 NFL season, I did a deep dive into the WR data from the Advanced Stat Explorer to get a better feel for exactly what levels of production should…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

2025 WR Advanced Stats Wrap-Up, Part 1: Puka Nacua and Jaxon Smith-Njigba Were in a League of Their Own in 2025

Kevin Szafraniec breaks down the NFL’s best wide receiver performances of 2025 and compares them to the top seasons of the past seven years using the RotoViz Advanced Stats Explorer.  Prior to the start of the 2024 NFL season, I did a deep dive into the WR data from the Advanced Stat Explorer to get a better feel for exactly what levels of production should…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

2026 Tight End Free Agency Preview: Kyle Pitts is the Biggest Boom-or-Bust Play in Free Agency

Kevin Szafraniec breaks down 2026’s impending free agent tight end class in addition to discussing a handful of other players at the position who could become available this offseason. Tight end may not be the most glamorous position in fantasy football, but it can be one of the most profitable. This is especially true when playing in TE-premium formats like the FFPC, where low-end TE1s…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

2025 WR Advanced Stats Wrap-Up, Part 2: Alec Pierce’s Air Yard Profile Opened Eyes in 2025 . . . And an Encore Could be Coming in 2026

Kevin Szafraniec breaks down the NFL’s best wide receiver performances of 2025 and compares them to the top seasons of the past seven years using the RotoViz Advanced Stats Explorer.  Prior to the start of the 2024 NFL season, I did a deep dive into the WR data from the Advanced Stat Explorer to get a better feel for exactly what levels of production should…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

2025 WR Advanced Stats Wrap-Up, Part 1: Puka Nacua and Jaxon Smith-Njigba Were in a League of Their Own in 2025

Kevin Szafraniec breaks down the NFL’s best wide receiver performances of 2025 and compares them to the top seasons of the past seven years using the RotoViz Advanced Stats Explorer.  Prior to the start of the 2024 NFL season, I did a deep dive into the WR data from the Advanced Stat Explorer to get a better feel for exactly what levels of production should…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

2026 Tight End Free Agency Preview: Kyle Pitts is the Biggest Boom-or-Bust Play in Free Agency

Kevin Szafraniec breaks down 2026’s impending free agent tight end class in addition to discussing a handful of other players at the position who could become available this offseason. Tight end may not be the most glamorous position in fantasy football, but it can be one of the most profitable. This is especially true when playing in TE-premium formats like the FFPC, where low-end TE1s…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Blitz

Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

Data provided by

© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.

Welcome Back to RotoViz...

– IF YOU HAVE ISSUES LOGGING IN PLEASE CONTACT ROTOVIZMAIN@GMAIL.COM

– PLEASE NOTE THAT ROTOVIZ USES WORDPRESS FOR ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT. IF RESETTING YOUR PASSWORD YOU MAY BE FOWARDED TO A WORDPRESS PAGE.