The Running Back Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools on the site. It’s not the most powerful or precise predictive engine — it uses a simple linear model to predict an RB’s early NFL career based on a few important college metrics — but the simplicity ends up being a benefit. It knows what to look for and isn’t often fooled by outliers…....

Collegiate production is still among the most undervalued measurements for running back prospects. In large part this is because we lack a lot of good ways to measure it. Both rushing and receiving numbers depend on scheme, personnel, offensive and defensive strength, and a host of other factors. This can make many of the raw counting stats misleading. The solution is to control for these…...

More than a decade ago, RotoViz changed how the NFL saw the intersection of age and production through metrics like the Phenom Index and breakout age. Back in 2015 Jon Moore introduced the Phenom Index, a revolutionary way to measure a college wide receiver’s age-adjusted production. He continued to refine it over the years to develop a metric that has identified some of the top…...