Not Catchable but Still a Catch: the 2026 Masked Profiles List

Jesse Cohen
August 5, 2026

Jesse Cohen takes a deep dive into the trends surrounding catchable target rate over/under expectation to uncover “masked profiles” — players who underperformed last year but may be poised for a breakout.

Masked Profiles Recap

In Not Catchable but Still a Catch? Finding “Masked Profiles” for 2025, we leveraged the Advanced Stats Explorer to identify a group of buy-low targets ripe for positive regression.

That cohort, which had an aggregate -176.1 FPOE in 2024, finished the 2025 fantasy season with an aggregate +91.5 FPOE — led by strong performances from George Pickens (+59.9 FPOE), Dalton Kincaid (+41.5 FPOE), Christian Watson (+36 FPOE), and Alec Pierce (+29 FPOE) — for a total swing of +267.6 FPOE or +12.2 FPOE per player. For context, that’s about the same positive FPOE that Tetairoa McMillan (+13.1 FPOE) and Davante Adams (+12.1 FPOE) had last year.

It wasn’t all roses; Adonai Mitchell (-23.6 FPOE), Xavier Worthy (-17.1 FPOE), and Calvin Ridley (-11.6 FPOE) each failed to match the hype. And a handful of undraftable players dragged down the overall cohort results like Jalen Tolbert (-7.0 FPOE), Elijah Moore (-5.0 FPOE), and Brandin Cooks (-4.4 FPOE). As noted last year:

The “Masked Profiles” list is not a “breakout score” or a “fantasy hack” — this is still buy-low bin shopping and your discretion is required — but maybe, a helpful nudge in refining mental buckets.

I was excited to jump back into this analysis.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

What’s included in your subscription??

Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
- A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
Revolutionary Tools
- Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
Groundbreaking Articles
- RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
Weekly Projections
- Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
Expert Rankings
And a whole lot more…

Jesse Cohen

Bill’s Still Not Just the Science Guy: The Dynasty Dealbook Reflects on the Pendulum of Fantasy Villainy

Jesse Cohen August 12, 2026

Consistent success in dynasty requires persistent replenishment of value. In this series, Jesse Cohen will spotlight unique opportunities and trade ideas for RV-influenced dynasty managers aiming to keep their Permanent Championship Windows open. Back to the Start Around this time last year we introduced the Dynasty Dealbook: Operationally, the goal is to leverage your leaguemates’ short-term sentiments — maybe they are (over)reacting to what they saw…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Untimelies, Part III: Why the Board Flexes to Us in Startups

Jesse Cohen August 8, 2026

And unexpectedly answers drop into my lap, a little hail of ice and wisdom, of solved problems. — Nietzsche, The Case of Wagner, §1 Round 1-9 Recap As Blair covered in Part I and Part II, the first nine rounds of our quad-managed FFPC RotoViz Triflex Empire Startup went pretty well. We drafted eight skill-position players worth at least a first per the Consensus RotoViz…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Dynasty Buy Score: The Dynasty Dealbook Is Back in the Lab

Jesse Cohen July 21, 2026

Consistent success in dynasty requires persistent replenishment of value. In the Dynasty Dealbook series, Jesse Cohen spotlights unique opportunities and trade ideas for RV-influenced dynasty managers aiming to keep their Permanent Championship Windows open. Back in the Lab After dropping the RotoViz Trade Calculator and Dynasty League Report tools in May, we’re back in the lab working on a portfolio management app that comes jam-packed…...