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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Can Jonathon Brooks or Another Rookie Running Back Resurrect This Exciting AFC Running Game? NFL Offseason Primer, Part 3

The 2024 fantasy football season is officially here! With RotoViz TriFlex leagues and the Never-Too-Early Best Ball Tournament in full swing over at the FFPC, along with the Big Board and Little Board tournaments both launching on Underdog, it is a great time to be alive. No matter what type of league we’re competing in, the exercise of researching each NFL team’s salary cap situation,…...

Should the Bears Draft Caleb Williams and Trade Justin Fields? A Look at the Financial Advantage of a Rookie QB Contract Through a RotoViz Lens

Now that an NFL champion has been crowned all eyes turn to free agency in March, and the draft in late April before NFL media outlets corporately begin the Great Summer Filibuster. The most focused scrutiny has already been steadily affixed to the Chicago Bears and what they might do this April. Despite finishing the season with a 7-10 record, they have the NFL’s top…...

Which 2024 RB Draft Prospects Look Like Broken Tackle Monsters?

Shawn Siegele discusses the role of broken tackles in NFL draft evaluation and breaks down the top prospects in the 2024 class. The first edition of the 2024 RotoViz Rookie Guide will be out shortly, and I’m excited for what will be our best product yet. We’ll be using all of the signature RotoViz rookie metrics, as well as a ton of advanced stats from…...

Jayden Daniels or Drake Maye (or Caleb Williams) – Which Rookie QB Will Have Big-Time Upside in this Ascending Offense? NFL Offseason Primer, Part 2

The 2024 fantasy football season is officially here! With RotoViz TriFlex leagues and the Never-Too-Early Best Ball Tournament in full swing over at the FFPC, along with The Big Board and Little Board tournaments both launching on Underdog, it is a great time to be alive. No matter what type of league we’re competing in, the exercise of researching each NFL team’s salary cap situation,…...

A 2023 Self-Appraisal: Transparency, Accountability, and the Pursuit of Betterment, Part 5: What I’ve Learned, and How I’ll Be Better (Until I Forget Again)

We’re here. Part five. The end of the road. I’ve now laid out all the calls I’ve made in 2023 that could be construed in any way as an affirmation or declaration. The next step in my process is to go over each one and consider what made the call go right, wrong, or somewhere in between. After passing through them all, I’m left with…...

A 2023 Self-Appraisal: Transparency, Accountability, and the Pursuit of Betterment, Part 4 – Weeks 13-16

“Self-examination, the observation of one’s own experience, is the very root of the intelligence.” – Jiddu Krishnamurti. Using self-examination to accept the person you are could be worthwhile for your mental health, but it can’t generally improve your performance at a craft. Using self-examination to become better requires action. And it begins with an honest evaluation of what you have been doing and what results…...

Caleb Williams, Justin Jefferson, a Blockbuster Trade, and the Uncertain Situations that Could Define 2024: NFL Offseason Primer, Part 1

The 2024 fantasy football season is officially here! With RotoViz TriFlex leagues and the Never-Too-Early Best Ball Tournament in full swing over at the FFPC, along with The Big Board and Little Board tournaments both launching on Underdog this week, it is a great time to be alive. No matter what type of league we’re competing in, the exercise of researching each NFL team’s salary…...

Did Zero RB Work in 2023? Part 1: A Brief Analysis of Some of the Best Drafts of the Year – The Wrong Read

2023 was a strange season in at least one way. It was the first time that the Win the Flex tool didn’t unapologetically recommend a Zero-RB strategy. As wide receivers got pushed up draft boards and running backs got pushed down, it looked as though value would coalesce around early RBs. In such a season, it may seem that Zero RB is sub-optimal. When it’s…...

The Houston Texans Might Have the Next Andrew Luck at Quarterback in C.J. Stroud

Sometimes, we are successful not because of the decisions we made, but because of the decisions we did not make. And sometimes, we are successful because of the decisions someone else did not make. It is early days, of course, but right now the Houston Texans are the big winners because the Carolina Panthers chose to draft Bryce Young. This left them free to select,…...

A 2023 Self-Appraisal: Transparency, Accountability, and the Pursuit of Betterment, Part 3 – Weeks 9-12

“Self-examination, the observation of one’s own experience, is the very root of the intelligence.” – Jiddu Krishnamurti. Using self-examination to accept the person you are could be worthwhile for your mental health, but it can’t generally improve your performance at a craft. Using self-examination to become better requires action. And it begins with an honest evaluation of what you have been doing and what results…...

Devin Singletary Flashed Immense Upside in His Rookie Year, And This 2023 Rookie Running Back Is Following In His Footsteps

The Bills drafted Devin Singletary in 2019 to pair with veteran Frank Gore in his age-36 season. Singletary bested Gore in snap share (68% vs. 35%) and rush share (42% vs. 36%). He also edged Gore in rushing yards (775 vs. 599). Singletary saw a healthy rush share and a 12% target share (No. 17), and averaged 12.5 PPR/G (No. 27) as a rookie. The…...

A 2023 Self-Appraisal: Transparency, Accountability, and the Pursuit of Betterment, Part 2 – Weeks 5-8

“Self-examination, the observation of one’s own experience, is the very root of the intelligence.” – Jiddu Krishnamurti. Using self-examination to accept the person you are could be worthwhile for your mental health, but it can’t generally improve your performance at a craft. Using self-examination to become better requires action. And it begins with an honest evaluation of what you have been doing and what results…...

Can The Bills And Chiefs Deliver Another Playoff Classic? Divisional Round Slate Breakdown

We will see a large chunk of the field playing “cash” lineups in small-field tournaments. This presents a unique opportunity to play a lineup you would expect to see in a larger field tournament. Even if you hit the right stack in a large field tournament, it may not be enough even to hit the cash line because all the other players in that tournament…...

More Projections and Optimals for FFPC Playoff Contests: The Wrong Read, Divisional Round

Week 2 of the Playoffs also brings Part 2 of the FFPC Playoff Challenge. The rules are a little different, and the prizes are a little smaller, but the games are more important and arguably less predictable. The Divisional Round Playoff Challenge differs from the original version in that it only includes eight roster spots. There are only eight teams remaining in the playoffs, so…...

The Gauntlet Returns: How to Navigate Underdog’s Divisional Round ADP

Shawn Siegele explores the nuances of building Underdog playoff rosters now that we’re down to eight teams as we enter the Divisional Round. Wild Card weekend lived up to its branding and delivered in a way that regular season football generally did not in 2023. As Colm and I broke down on Overtime yesterday, the initial wave of playoff games followed our expected script but…...

Can We Find the Next Michael Thomas in the 2023 Rookie Class?

Michael Thomas immediately earned target volume as a rookie with the Saints. In Thomas’ rookie season, the Saints had three receivers with over 100 targets, including Thomas (121), Brandin Cooks (117), and Willie Snead (104). As a rookie, Thomas ranked 21st in EP/G and third in FPOE/G with a 19% target share. After Year 1, Thomas posted three consecutive seasons with 145 or more targets…....

Bryce Young’s Rookie Season Looks a Lot Like Zach Wilson’s, But Perhaps He Still Has Trevor Lawrence’s Upside In His Range of Outcomes

Being the first overall pick in the NFL Draft is often daunting. Especially if you are a quarterback. There is usually a strong reason behind how that team came to select you with that pick. Namely, they suck. But in the case of Bryce Young, the Carolina Panthers made a blockbuster trade to go up and get their guy. This, they hoped. would help stop…...

A 2023 Self-Appraisal: Transparency, Accountability, and the Pursuit of Betterment, Part 1 – Preseason and Weeks 1-4

“Self-examination, the observation of one’s own experience, is the very root of the intelligence.” — Jiddu Krishnamurti. Using self-examination to accept the person you are could be worthwhile for your mental health, but it can’t generally improve your performance at a craft. Using self-examination to become better requires action. And it begins with an honest evaluation of what you have been doing and what results…...

Dak Prescott and the Cowboys Continue to Roll: DraftKings Wild Card Sunday Slate Breakdown

Welcome to Playoff DFS! Today I will break down both games on the two-game Sunday slate and the best ways to attack them from a DFS perspective, with a focus on small-field tournament play. We will see a large chunk of the field playing “cash” lineups in small-field tournaments. This presents a unique opportunity to play a lineup you would expect to see in a…...

Projections and Optimal FFPC Playoff Challenge Lineups: The Wrong Read, Wild Card Weekend

We’re doing something a little different this week. While I will still include the team-level numbers for the Wild Card round, I want to start elsewhere. One of my favorite fantasy contests is the FFPC Playoff Challenge. Much of the strategy for that contest revolves around the game theory aspect — how do you fill your lineup with players who will score points and help…...

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