Analysis

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

What Does Evan Engram’s Lisfranc Surgery Mean for His 2020 Outlook?

Evan Engram, the New York Giants’ 25-year-old star tight end, underwent surgical fixation of a Lisfranc fracture of his foot in late December. A Lisfranc injury that requires surgery is a significant injury. It’s a subluxation (partial dislocation) of the usually very stable joints of the mid-foot that are required to run, cut and jump. It may or may not also involve a fracture. Lisfranc…...

Scott Fish Bowl: #SFBX Projections and Historical Scoring

We are less than two weeks from the kickoff of the 2020 Scott Fish Bowl (#SFBX)! The scoring format is largely unchanged from #SFB8 and includes a points-per-first-down scoring component and a points-per-reception component.   The biggest scoring change for this season is at the quarterback spot. However, for those of you who are new to the Scott Fish Bowl/points per first down (PP1D) formats,…...

Should Deebo Samuel’s Jones Fracture Move Him to Your Do Not Draft List?

Deebo Samuel, San Francisco’s top returning wide receiver, suffered a Jones fracture of his fifth metatarsal, a bone in his foot, and underwent surgical fixation on June 18, 2020.   Jones Fracture Fixation, Courtesy of Mark Adickes, MD. The obvious question for fantasy football managers is what should we expect from a WR many of us were planning on targeting in our drafts? I’ll just…...

Running Quarterbacks Are Fun, But Can You Trust Their Pass-Catchers?

Lamar Jackson’s 2019 season gave us the greatest single-season rushing performance by a quarterback in NFL history. Jackson set the NFL record for rushing yards by a quarterback with 1,206 rushing yards and also the record for most carries by a quarterback (176). This resulted in Jackson finishing as the overall QB1, and the league MVP. With that being said, there are certain draft strategies…...

The Best Draft Picks For Best Ball: Rounds 5-8

NFL training camps are a little more than a month away, and fantasy football drafts are picking up steam. And what better way to hone your craft than Best Ball leagues – the draft-and-forget league that puts your draft skills to the test. Today, we will be looking at the best picks in Rounds 5-8 of Best Ball drafts. Check out my previous article for…...

Chris Carson’s Hip Fracture and What It Means for His 2020 Outlook

Chris Carson, Seattle’s lead running back, fractured his hip on December 30, 2019, playing against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 16. His hip fracture did not require surgery. This means that it was a stable fracture, almost assuredly of the proximal femur. That’s the end of the thigh bone that articulates at the hip, near the ball of that ball and socket joint…....

The Best Draft Picks For Best Ball: Rounds 1-4

NFL training camps are a little more than a month away, and fantasy football drafts are picking up steam. And what better way to hone your craft than Best Ball leagues – the draft-and-forget league that puts your draft skills to the test. Today, we will be looking at the best picks in Rounds 1-4 of Best Ball drafts. We’re revisiting this series after doing…...

8 Quarterbacks to Target for Predictable Production

The late-round quarterback strategy is the norm today, so I won’t recap it much. In short, choosing to wait at quarterback allows us to take another impact player at a more valuable position. However, this decision comes at a cost. We don’t have the privilege of starting Lamar Jackson or Patrick Mahomes every week. Instead, our goal is to hit on a later-round guy in…...

Should We Be Worried About Jarvis Landry’s Hip Surgery?

Jarvis Landry’s hip started bothering him during the 2019 preseason training camp. He was held out of much of camp and practiced sparingly throughout the season. He rested it three weeks after the season, trying to avoid surgery, and then played in the Pro Bowl. It was during that game, when he flared it up while just “jogging around” that he realized how much pain…...

Predicting Future NFL Draft Capital for Wide Receivers

First off, predicting the NFL Draft pick by pick is truly impossible. That’s not what we’re trying to do here. When it comes to fantasy football we like to see wide receivers drafted in Rounds 1-3 of the NFL Draft. Those receivers typically produce fantasy points at a much higher rate than those drafted later or not at all. “Okay, cool. Yeah. Draft capital matters…....

The Adjusted Production Index: Top 2020 Rookie Wide Receivers

In case you missed everything else that RotoViz has ever done, production metrics matter when it comes to predicting future NFL success for wide receivers. However, finding what really matters, and how much it matters is tough. So, last year I took a look at some of the most impactful production variables and combined them to create what I call the Adjusted Production Index. It’s…...

Should We Be Worried About Ben Roethlisberger’s Elbow?

Ben Roethlisberger injured his elbow during Week 2 of the 2019 season. He underwent an MRI, surgery and was placed on injured reserve. His back-ups, Mason Rudolph and Devlin “Duck” Hodges, performed suboptimally following Roethlisberger’s injury. I’m being kind here. The Steelers are regarded by many fantasy analysts as a ‘bounce-back’ or ‘buy low’ offense for the 2020 season. But the ability of Pittsburgh’s skill…...

4 Mental Frameworks That Will Change The Way You Think About Fantasy Football

Michael Dubner reveals the mental frameworks that make him a successful Fantasy Football player and will take you from sacko to champion. The NFL offseason provides us with time to reflect. We have the luxury of time to take a birds-eye view and refine our process. Here we’ll be stepping away from the fantasy football sleepers, busts, and start-sit decisions for a minute to focus…...

Can J.K. Dobbins Be a League Winner in a Crowded Baltimore Backfield?

J.K. Dobbins’ price varies greatly among best ball sites. Among the higher stake sites, such as the FFPC and Fanball, he has an ADP of 51 and an ADP of 53, respectively. At sites that offer cheaper contests such as Drafters and Yahoo, Dobbins has an ADP of 70 and an ADP of 107, respectively. This sparks two questions: Why is the gap this large?…...

The Top 100 Rookies for 2020: 21-40

Hello and welcome to the fourth post-NFL-Draft installment of my annual Top 100 Rookies series! If you’re new to the series, every year I put together 100 rookies entering the NFL and rank them based on the impact I believe they’ll have for fantasy football purposes (of course). So no, this is not a “how good this player will be for real football game impact”…...

Teddy Bridgewater is 2020’s Late Round Quarterback

After the Panthers traded Kyle Allen this spring and elected to not draft a quarterback last weekend, Teddy Bridgewater is cemented as their 2020 starting quarterback. His case as 2020’s late-round quarterback boils down to three simple predictions. Bridgewater will likely be near the top of the league in pass attempts. He will likely be slightly above league average in passing efficiency. He has rushing upside…...

Stefon Diggs Still Offers an Elite Ceiling

The Bills and Vikings completed a blockbuster deal that sent 26-year-old star WR Stefon Diggs to the Bills for a package of picks. Diggs was rumored to have wanted out of Minnesota since the middle of last season, as the Vikings shifted to a run-centric offense. At first glance, the transition to Josh Allen and the Bills is far from a dream landing spot, especially considering…...

The Perfect Best Ball Draft: Rounds 1-4

The NFL Draft is rapidly approaching, and before Bill O’Brien has a chance to accidentally trade away Deshaun Watson for a fourth-round pick live on Zoom, we’re going to run through the best current Best Ball Value Picks in each round. This is the first part of a series, starting with the first four rounds. (Keep in mind, nailing your early-round Best Ball picks doesn’t…...

DeAndre Hopkins: A WR2 in 2020?

No, it’s not clickbait. It was the trade that shook the universe: DeAndre Hopkins and a 2020 fourth-round pick for David Johnson, a 2020 second-round pick, and 2021 fourth-round pick. We don’t have to say it, but I will anyway; the math doesn’t check out. Hopkins will move on to the Arizona Cardinals, where he will catch passes from 2019’s No. 1 overall pick, alongside…...

What Can You Expect From Miles Sanders in 2020?

It didn’t happen exactly like we planned, but Miles Sanders did come on in the second half of his rookie season, ending the year with 1,327 total yards and six touchdowns. Many fantasy players expected the Penn State product to simply overtake Jordan Howard — a one-dimensional runner who lacked the sterling profile of the second-round pick Sanders — over the course of the season,…...

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