Analysis

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Estimating Expected First Downs for the Scott Fish Bowl

Matt Spencer June 21, 2021

I was lucky enough to be invited to participate in the Scott Fish Bowl Tournament again this year. If you are not familiar, it is a massive charity tournament run by the great Scott Fish to raise money for charity. Among its various eccentricities, the unique scoring is always my favorite part of the tournament. This year it is effectively a half-PPR format with additional points…...

Best Ball: Why WR Depth Functions Differently for Zero RB and Robust RB … and Not the Way You’d Think

Shawn Siegele May 21, 2021

Want to join our writers in winning big contests and turning your best ball entries into a money-making machine? Shawn Siegele helps explain how to generate win rates more than double the average in this edition of the Best Ball Workshop. This week I got a chance to talk to one of my favorite structural drafters – and one of my favorite fantasy writers overall…...

Dynasty Trade Targets 2021 – A 22-Year-Old Potential Fantasy WR1 at a WR4 Price

Curtis Patrick April 27, 2021

In this edition of Dynasty Trade Targets 2021, Curtis Patrick reviews a 22-year-old potential WR1 who is being valued like a WR4. I love writing dynasty trade target articles. I am constantly on the prowl for opportunities to improve my rosters, and I want you prowling around with me. In 2020, I compiled my offseason shopping list into just a few larger pieces that readers…...

Dynasty Trade Targets 2021 – A Potential Fantasy RB1 at an RB4 Price

Curtis Patrick April 15, 2021

In this edition of Dynasty Trade Targets 2021, Curtis Patrick reviews a potential fantasy RB1 who is being valued like an RB4. I love writing dynasty trade target articles. I am constantly on the prowl for opportunities to improve my rosters, and I want you prowling around with me. In 2020, I compiled my offseason shopping list into just a few larger pieces that readers…...

The Offensive Line Continuity Landscape Ahead of the 2021 NFL Draft

Thomas Emerick March 29, 2021

Patrick Mahomes can make up for a lot, but that shocking day in Tampa confirmed the existence of limits, as both his stalwart protectors at offensive tackle yielded to their understudy. Eric Fisher and Mitchell Schwartz bookended an offensive line that had returned a majority of starters in every season since the Chiefs traded up for Mahomes in 2017. Now both free agents recover from…...

Corey Davis Lands in New York After a Highly Efficient 2020 Season, but Will it Be Wheels Up in 2021?

Zachary Krueger March 16, 2021

Earlier today it was announced that former Titans wide receiver Corey Davis will be continuing his career in New York with the Jets. The former first-round pick signed a three-year, $37.5 million deal ($27 million guaranteed) and now looks to be a part of the new system ushered in under first year head coach Robert Saleh. As a member of the Titans, Davis never quite produced at…...

The Fantasy Fallout from Aaron Jones’ Decision Offers Big Opportunities for Fantasy Owners

Shawn Siegele March 15, 2021

Aaron Jones re-signed with the Packers on a four-year, $48 million contract with a $13 million signing bonus. The move keeps Jones in Green Bay and causes headaches for A.J. Dillon owners. Over the past two seasons, only Dalvin Cook, Derrick Henry, and Alvin Kamara have scored more fantasy points than Jones. Only Henry has generated more than Jones’ 106.3 fantasy points over expectation (FPOE),…...

Just How Crazy Was 2020? Insights from the Win the Flex App and Strategies for 2021 Drafts

Blair Andrews March 5, 2021

Drafting successfully means, at least in part, picking the right kinds of players and avoiding the wrong kinds. We provide a lot of guidance at RotoViz on who the right and wrong kind of players to draft are. Still, getting the player selection tactics down is only part of the solution for finding the game-changing win rates we know are possible. Shawn Siegele has detailed…...

FA Marlon Mack Has an Enticing ADP, But What Should We Expect in His Comeback from an Achilles Injury?

Jeffrey E. Budoff, MD February 19, 2021

Are Achilles tendon tears still devastating injuries for running backs? Dr. Jeffrey E. Budoff answers this question and tells us what it means for Marlon Mack. Traditionally, Achilles tendon tears have been a devastating injury for NFL running backs, robbing them of the speed and burst necessary to play at a competitive level. The Achilles tendon is like a tightly tensioned rope that transmits the…...

Justin Jefferson and the Value of Checking All the Boxes: Why We Picked Him and How to Do It Again – The Wrong Read, No. 65

Blair Andrews January 14, 2021

Justin Jefferson finished his rookie season with 1,400 receiving yards — the most for a rookie WR this century. His 64.2 receiving FPOE trail only Odell Beckham and A.J. Brown. His 274.2 PPR points trail only Beckham and Anquan Boldin. Yet going into the 2020 season, Jefferson was just the ninth player picked in FFPC rookie drafts. Likewise, Brown was the 10th player picked in…...

How Zero RB Acts as Rocket Fuel in Superflex and TE Premium Formats

Shawn Siegele December 28, 2020

Shawn Siegele shows how Zero RB can supercharge your fantasy football results in Superflex and TE Premium formats. Last week we looked at the Perfect Draft, how it fit with our preseason recommendations, and the way it will influence our 2021 draft strategy. Today we’re going to look at how the RotoViz tools predicted a Zero RB title in an emerging format. The Perfect Draft…...

Game Environment: Seahawks-49ers is a Shining Beacon in a Plodding Week 8

Madison Parkhill October 30, 2020

Welcome to the game environment series. This series will provide several weekly games to target and fade, based on macro-level factors that impact fantasy production. For more on these factors, click here. We recommend using this in conjunction with our micro-level analysis, including the buy low report, the strength in numbers series, our quarterback, kicker, tight end, and defense streaming articles, and the slate of…...

Falcons WR Duo, Laviska Shenault, And Revisiting RotoViz’s 2020 Bold Predictions

Michael Dubner October 3, 2020

Just before the start of the 2020 NFL season, the RotoViz staff put together their hottest, fire-iest (?), boldest predictions that will lead us to fantasy championships.  So far, some of these #takes seem like hits, while other staff wish they could have a mulligan. Three weeks into the season we have to decide if we’re being shown the new reality or a small sample…...

NFL Prospects Weekly: Brevin Jordan is the Perfect Modern NFL Tight End

Travis May September 22, 2020

Welcome to the second installment of the 2020 NFL Prospects Weekly series! If you’ve been a RotoViz fan for a while, you may remember a similar series that I put together last year. Well, I’m back again with more NFL prospect analysis this year! Every single week of this college football season, we’ll be diving into the top future NFL studs who just recently improved…...

The 4 “Perfect Storm” Conditions Are in Place for Zero RB in 2020

Shawn Siegele August 27, 2020

If you haven’t been reading him this season, Jack Miller has been on fire. As I get ready to release the 2020 Zero RB Candidates Countdown, I’m often drawn to one of his signature pieces, Recency Bias and Why Zero RB Is Poised to Crush in 2020. It’s a vintage Jack piece, so it’ll challenge your preconceptions, deliver research insights you weren’t expecting, and, in…...

JuJu Smith-Schuster to finish as the WR1 and Other Bold Predictions for 2020

Neil Dutton August 25, 2020

The season is almost here. The time for speculation is almost over. But not quite. With actual live games starting in just a few weeks, there is still time for hot takes to emerge ahead of the 2020 NFL season. With this in mind, the writers at RotoViz got their thinking caps on to come up with a bold, yet not outlandish, prediction for the…...

Supercharged Start: Offenses to Target and Fade in the First Month

Madison Parkhill August 21, 2020

When analyzing strength of schedule, I prefer to focus on the first four weeks of the season. Vegas win totals and the previous year’s correlation are the strongest early on, as injuries and year-to-year variance often play an increasing role as the season continues. My goal is to target teams and players with easy starts (and fade those with tough starts), increasing their value as…...

The Exploitable Relationship Between WR Age and Opportunity Is One of the Biggest Edges in Fantasy – The Wrong Read, No. 63

Blair Andrews July 14, 2020

Much of the research that happens in this space suggests our fantasy teams should nearly always be younger than we tend to think. Breakouts and busts both happen earlier in players’ careers than the traditional age curves would lead you to believe. Although it’s true that many of best WRs in the NFL last year were somewhere between 25 and 30 years old,((Only two of…...

Scott Fish Bowl Strategy: When To Draft Your #SFBX QB1 and When to Go Zero RB

Hasan Rahim July 4, 2020

A few days ago, I provided a quick overview on the impact that the #SFBX scoring system has for historical finishes. Additionally, I converted Dave Caban’s fantastic projections for anyone looking to gain an edge in their #SFBX leagues. If you’re looking to play around with the data, I urge you to check out the new Scott Fish Bowl Points Explorer tool. However, I have…...

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