Analysis

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Should You Handcuff Your Running Backs? Backfield Stacks and Their Effects on Win Rates

Matt Spencer August 31, 2021

Matt Spencer uses the Best Ball Win Rate Explorer to determine whether handcuffing your RBs is a good strategy. Does it improve your floor or ceiling outcomes? Or is it simply a wasted roster spot? Football is still a week away and we’ve already lost J.K. Dobbins, Cam Akers, and Travis Etienne Jr., along with another 33 running backs listed on the injury report. If…...

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The 2021 RotoViz Auction Draft Strategy Guide

Dave Caban August 26, 2021

Auction drafts are easy to “win” but even easier to “lose.” Dave Caban overviews the preparation, thought processes, and in-auction strategies needed to ensure that you’re ready for the intensity and challenges auctions will throw at you and are poised to leave your draft with a contender. Heading into the 2020 season, I compiled a list of auction-related articles that I had written over the…...

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Supercharged Start: Teams to Target and Fade in the First Month

Madison Parkhill August 23, 2021

When analyzing strength of schedule, I prefer to focus on the first four weeks of the season. Vegas win totals and the previous year’s correlation are strongest early on, as injuries and variance often play an increasing role as the season continues. My goal is to target teams and players with easy starts (and fade those with tough starts), increasing their value as October arrives…...

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Darrell Henderson’s Value Jumps to a Top-24 RB in the Wake of the Cam Akers Injury

Monty Phan July 21, 2021

Back in April, before the NFL Draft, Shawn Siegele and I drafted a team together in one of the new RotoViz TriFlex FFPC dynasty leagues that had just launched. After drafting our first running back, Chuba Hubbard, in the 10th round, and our second RB, Tony Pollard, in the 12th, we waited until the 15th round to draft our third RB: Darrell Henderson. You probably…...

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Offensive Line Continuity Shake-Ups Entering NFL Training Camp

Thomas Emerick July 19, 2021

The offensive line continuity prospects of several NFL teams will enter the kiln come training camp. Fortunately, enough is in place to provide an outlook on 2021 fantasy football impact by tracing from the trenches to offensive production over the years. I’ll concede and even emphasize that OL continuity isn’t a first-order factor. However, you will see that the best and most consistent offenses usually…...

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Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasley, and Why Fantasy Football Doesn’t Have to Be That Hard: An Introduction to Some New (and Old) Advanced Wide Receiver Metrics

Blair Andrews July 13, 2021

Blair Andrews examines some new advanced metrics in a massive correlation matrix. Should we still be focusing on the same statistics when predicting wide receiver performance? At RotoViz, we always aim to have the most advanced and predictive fantasy metrics in the industry. This means not only having access to many different metrics but also teasing out which metrics give us actual signal, and which…...

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Dynasty Trade Targets 2021 – A Potential Top-5 WR Valued Outside the Dynasty Top-85

Curtis Patrick July 2, 2021

In this edition of Dynasty Trade Targets 2021, Curtis Patrick reviews a prime-age, potential WR1 who’s being drafted in Round 8 of startups at WR28. I love writing dynasty trade target articles. I am constantly on the prowl for opportunities to improve my rosters, and I want you prowling around with me. Earlier this offseason, I revealed an RB who is being drafted like an RB4…...

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Simulating Optimal Roster Construction With The Scott Fish Bowl

Matt Spencer June 30, 2021

Last week I went through the process of transforming your projections to include expected first downs. Now that Dave Caban dropped the official RotoViz projections, we can explore the snake draft simulation tool I created. I was lucky enough to be invited to participate in the Scott Fish Bowl Tournament again this year. One of Scott’s goals with this format is to create a really balanced…...

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Estimating Expected First Downs for the Scott Fish Bowl

Matt Spencer June 21, 2021

I was lucky enough to be invited to participate in the Scott Fish Bowl Tournament again this year. If you are not familiar, it is a massive charity tournament run by the great Scott Fish to raise money for charity. Among its various eccentricities, the unique scoring is always my favorite part of the tournament. This year it is effectively a half-PPR format with additional points…...

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Best Ball: Why WR Depth Functions Differently for Zero RB and Robust RB … and Not the Way You’d Think

Shawn Siegele May 21, 2021

Want to join our writers in winning big contests and turning your best ball entries into a money-making machine? Shawn Siegele helps explain how to generate win rates more than double the average in this edition of the Best Ball Workshop. This week I got a chance to talk to one of my favorite structural drafters – and one of my favorite fantasy writers overall…...

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Dynasty Trade Targets 2021 – A 22-Year-Old Potential Fantasy WR1 at a WR4 Price

Curtis Patrick April 27, 2021

In this edition of Dynasty Trade Targets 2021, Curtis Patrick reviews a 22-year-old potential WR1 who is being valued like a WR4. I love writing dynasty trade target articles. I am constantly on the prowl for opportunities to improve my rosters, and I want you prowling around with me. In 2020, I compiled my offseason shopping list into just a few larger pieces that readers…...

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Dynasty Trade Targets 2021 – A Potential Fantasy RB1 at an RB4 Price

Curtis Patrick April 15, 2021

In this edition of Dynasty Trade Targets 2021, Curtis Patrick reviews a potential fantasy RB1 who is being valued like an RB4. I love writing dynasty trade target articles. I am constantly on the prowl for opportunities to improve my rosters, and I want you prowling around with me. In 2020, I compiled my offseason shopping list into just a few larger pieces that readers…...

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The Offensive Line Continuity Landscape Ahead of the 2021 NFL Draft

Thomas Emerick March 29, 2021

Patrick Mahomes can make up for a lot, but that shocking day in Tampa confirmed the existence of limits, as both his stalwart protectors at offensive tackle yielded to their understudy. Eric Fisher and Mitchell Schwartz bookended an offensive line that had returned a majority of starters in every season since the Chiefs traded up for Mahomes in 2017. Now both free agents recover from…...

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Corey Davis Lands in New York After a Highly Efficient 2020 Season, but Will it Be Wheels Up in 2021?

Zachary Krueger March 16, 2021

Earlier today it was announced that former Titans wide receiver Corey Davis will be continuing his career in New York with the Jets. The former first-round pick signed a three-year, $37.5 million deal ($27 million guaranteed) and now looks to be a part of the new system ushered in under first year head coach Robert Saleh. As a member of the Titans, Davis never quite produced at…...

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The Fantasy Fallout from Aaron Jones’ Decision Offers Big Opportunities for Fantasy Owners

Shawn Siegele March 15, 2021

Aaron Jones re-signed with the Packers on a four-year, $48 million contract with a $13 million signing bonus. The move keeps Jones in Green Bay and causes headaches for A.J. Dillon owners. Over the past two seasons, only Dalvin Cook, Derrick Henry, and Alvin Kamara have scored more fantasy points than Jones. Only Henry has generated more than Jones’ 106.3 fantasy points over expectation (FPOE),…...

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Just How Crazy Was 2020? Insights from the Win the Flex App and Strategies for 2021 Drafts

Blair Andrews March 5, 2021

Drafting successfully means, at least in part, picking the right kinds of players and avoiding the wrong kinds. We provide a lot of guidance at RotoViz on who the right and wrong kind of players to draft are. Still, getting the player selection tactics down is only part of the solution for finding the game-changing win rates we know are possible. Shawn Siegele has detailed…...

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FA Marlon Mack Has an Enticing ADP, But What Should We Expect in His Comeback from an Achilles Injury?

Jeffrey E. Budoff, MD February 19, 2021

Are Achilles tendon tears still devastating injuries for running backs? Dr. Jeffrey E. Budoff answers this question and tells us what it means for Marlon Mack. Traditionally, Achilles tendon tears have been a devastating injury for NFL running backs, robbing them of the speed and burst necessary to play at a competitive level. The Achilles tendon is like a tightly tensioned rope that transmits the…...

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Justin Jefferson and the Value of Checking All the Boxes: Why We Picked Him and How to Do It Again – The Wrong Read, No. 65

Blair Andrews January 14, 2021

Justin Jefferson finished his rookie season with 1,400 receiving yards — the most for a rookie WR this century. His 64.2 receiving FPOE trail only Odell Beckham and A.J. Brown. His 274.2 PPR points trail only Beckham and Anquan Boldin. Yet going into the 2020 season, Jefferson was just the ninth player picked in FFPC rookie drafts. Likewise, Brown was the 10th player picked in…...

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How Zero RB Acts as Rocket Fuel in Superflex and TE Premium Formats

Shawn Siegele December 28, 2020

Shawn Siegele shows how Zero RB can supercharge your fantasy football results in Superflex and TE Premium formats. Last week we looked at the Perfect Draft, how it fit with our preseason recommendations, and the way it will influence our 2021 draft strategy. Today we’re going to look at how the RotoViz tools predicted a Zero RB title in an emerging format. The Perfect Draft…...

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Dynasty Workshop: The RB Dead Zone and Why It Can Help You Keep the Championship Window Always Open

Shawn Siegele November 9, 2020

In the newest edition of the Dynasty Workshop, Shawn Siegele breaks down the RB Dead Zone and explains why understanding this one element of fantasy football is the key to your success in dynasty, redraft, and best ball. Each week in this space, I like to look at new developments through the lens of rankings or trades. In just the last month, we’ve seen big…...

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