Neil Dutton

Lead Writer, soft spot for the tight end position. Will never stop loving Duke Johnson.

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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Wide Receiver Target Report: Week 15

We are back once again with our weekly look at the wide receivers who saw the most targets in the last week of NFL action. Here’s the full list of WRs who commanded at least 10 targets in the last week of NFL action. Double-Digit Targets in Week 15 QUICK THOUGHTS You could be somewhat forgiven for thinking that 2019 has been a down season for Julio Jones. Not scoring touchdowns will do that for a player. In fantasy terms, it has been a disappointing campaign for Jones as he has only averaged 17.9 PPR points per game … that’s…...

Why Do We Care About Expected Points? An Explanation in 4 Correlation Matrices

If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can look at how players actually perform with their opportunity — how many points they actually score — and arrive at a player’s fantasy points over expectation (FPOE). FPOE turns out to be a catch-all efficiency…...

Breshad Perriman’s Career Day Plunges the Fantasy Semifinals Into Chaos and Leads WRs in Points Over Expectation

Shawn Siegele looks at all the top wide receiver performances from Week 15, including big games from Breshad Perriman, Terry McLaurin, and DeVante Parker. The 2019 fantasy semifinals included plenty of shootouts. Thirteen WRs scored 20 or more points. Julio Jones and Chris Conley combined for 36 in the final stanza alone as they led their squads to improbable comebacks. The Week 15 fantasy points over expectation (FPOE) leaderboard featured a blend of emerging stars and out-of-nowhere performances. Fantasy Points Over Expectation Leaderboard – Week 15 Breshad Perriman There’s never been a more on-brand season than what we’ve gotten from Bruce…...

Week 16 Waiver Wire Advice: Top Targets at Each Position

Looking for Week 16 waiver wire advice for fantasy football? You’ve come to the right place. We’ll give you some of the top targets at each position so that when you submit a waiver claim, you do it with confidence. We’re doing things a little different this week and only showing players that are worth consideration for Week 16, since fantasy’s championship weekend has finally arrived. This article will run through the top players available in most leagues.1 Yahoo! ownership percentages (as of Sunday night) are shown next to each player. Quarterback waiver wire targets: Week 16 Tier 1 Ryan…...

NFL Week 15: Coin Flips

Monty Phan wraps up the weekend of NFL action. If you’re wondering what caused the greatest uproar in the NFL Twitterverse yesterday, it should come as no surprise that it was what everyone believed to be a miscommunicated call between Cowboys coach Jason Garrett and Dak Prescott that could have had a huge effect on the rest of the game. It was the pregame coin toss. As even casual fans are aware, the team that wins the toss can elect to kick or receive the ball to start the game, or it can defer that choice to the second half…....

Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming Week 15

The Process Before I look to Week 15, it is important to observe if the selection process was effective. Here is a recap of last week’s recommendations. If you need a refresher on what to look for when analyzing kickers, read the Week 2 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming article.  Name, Team Stat Line Week 14 Rank 1 Mason Crosby, Green Bay Packers FG 3/3 XP 3/3 T – 13 2 Dan Bailey, Minnesota Vikings FG 2/2 XP 0/1 T – 13 3 New England Kicker FG 2/2 XP 3/3 T – 25 4 Chris Boswell, Pittsburgh Steelers FG 1/1 XP…...

Best Ball Win Rates – Recent Moves by Allen Robinson and Robert Woods, and Why WRs Have Been Better Than Advertised

Shawn Siegele uses the Best Ball Win Rates tool to examine the wide receiver position. He explains why early-round WR dominance is still holding in 2019 and looks at recent risers like Allen Robinson, Robby Anderson, and Robert Woods. Best Ball Workshop – The Key Lesson Using the insights from Mike Beers’ Roster Construction Explorer, the key lessons from the 2019 Best Ball Workshop were clear: Select a running back in the first round but do not load up on RB early. This was also the main takeaway from Blair Andrews’ Win the Flex tool, an application that allows you to…...

The 3 and Out: Placing 2019 WRs In A Historical Context

The 3 and Out uses several RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to The 3 and Out! In this week’s edition, we’ll be placing 2019 wide receiver results into a historical context. To assist with this effort, I hopped into the RotoViz Screener, searched all WR seasons from 2000 to 2019, constrained the results to include Weeks 1-14 only, and then filtered out all players that averaged fewer than three targets per game or seven games played. It’s Hard To Overstate How Exceptional Michael Thomas Has Been Michael Thomas‘…...

Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 15 – He’s No Austin Ekeler, But Can Darwin Thompson Be the Guy for KC?

Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for the most contentious AFC backfields ahead of Week 15. Almost every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether they were drafted as a Zero-RB squad or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and selling based on workload shifts. We’ll use the RotoViz Screener and the NFL Stat Explorer to dive into the Week 14 advanced stats for the AFC backfields that still feature committees and competitions, focusing…...

Week 15 QB Rankings, Streaming Options, and 2-QB Plays

Giana Pacinelli provides QB streaming options, 2-QB plays, and overall QB rankings for Week 15 of the 2019 fantasy football season. Week 15 is here. If you’re still reading this, congrats on being in the playoffs. If you’ve reached this point, chances are you have a comfortable situation at the quarterback position, or you’ve been reading my articles and streaming the right signal caller. So let’s dive right into the semi-final week and win, after a quick recap on how we got here. In Week 14, eight teams scored 35-plus points. If you happened to start one of those quarterbacks this…...

Wide Receiver Target Report: Week 15

We are back once again with our weekly look at the wide receivers who saw the most targets in the last week of NFL action. Here’s the full list of WRs who commanded at least 10 targets in the last week of NFL action. Double-Digit Targets in Week 15 QUICK THOUGHTS You could be somewhat forgiven for thinking that 2019 has been a down season for Julio Jones. Not scoring touchdowns will do that for a player. In fantasy terms, it has been a disappointing campaign for Jones as he has only averaged 17.9 PPR points per game … that’s…...

Why Do We Care About Expected Points? An Explanation in 4 Correlation Matrices

If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can look at how players actually perform with their opportunity — how many points they actually score — and arrive at a player’s fantasy points over expectation (FPOE). FPOE turns out to be a catch-all efficiency…...

Breshad Perriman’s Career Day Plunges the Fantasy Semifinals Into Chaos and Leads WRs in Points Over Expectation

Shawn Siegele looks at all the top wide receiver performances from Week 15, including big games from Breshad Perriman, Terry McLaurin, and DeVante Parker. The 2019 fantasy semifinals included plenty of shootouts. Thirteen WRs scored 20 or more points. Julio Jones and Chris Conley combined for 36 in the final stanza alone as they led their squads to improbable comebacks. The Week 15 fantasy points over expectation (FPOE) leaderboard featured a blend of emerging stars and out-of-nowhere performances. Fantasy Points Over Expectation Leaderboard – Week 15 Breshad Perriman There’s never been a more on-brand season than what we’ve gotten from Bruce…...

Week 16 Waiver Wire Advice: Top Targets at Each Position

Looking for Week 16 waiver wire advice for fantasy football? You’ve come to the right place. We’ll give you some of the top targets at each position so that when you submit a waiver claim, you do it with confidence. We’re doing things a little different this week and only showing players that are worth consideration for Week 16, since fantasy’s championship weekend has finally arrived. This article will run through the top players available in most leagues.1 Yahoo! ownership percentages (as of Sunday night) are shown next to each player. Quarterback waiver wire targets: Week 16 Tier 1 Ryan…...

NFL Week 15: Coin Flips

Monty Phan wraps up the weekend of NFL action. If you’re wondering what caused the greatest uproar in the NFL Twitterverse yesterday, it should come as no surprise that it was what everyone believed to be a miscommunicated call between Cowboys coach Jason Garrett and Dak Prescott that could have had a huge effect on the rest of the game. It was the pregame coin toss. As even casual fans are aware, the team that wins the toss can elect to kick or receive the ball to start the game, or it can defer that choice to the second half…....

Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming Week 15

The Process Before I look to Week 15, it is important to observe if the selection process was effective. Here is a recap of last week’s recommendations. If you need a refresher on what to look for when analyzing kickers, read the Week 2 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming article.  Name, Team Stat Line Week 14 Rank 1 Mason Crosby, Green Bay Packers FG 3/3 XP 3/3 T – 13 2 Dan Bailey, Minnesota Vikings FG 2/2 XP 0/1 T – 13 3 New England Kicker FG 2/2 XP 3/3 T – 25 4 Chris Boswell, Pittsburgh Steelers FG 1/1 XP…...

Best Ball Win Rates – Recent Moves by Allen Robinson and Robert Woods, and Why WRs Have Been Better Than Advertised

Shawn Siegele uses the Best Ball Win Rates tool to examine the wide receiver position. He explains why early-round WR dominance is still holding in 2019 and looks at recent risers like Allen Robinson, Robby Anderson, and Robert Woods. Best Ball Workshop – The Key Lesson Using the insights from Mike Beers’ Roster Construction Explorer, the key lessons from the 2019 Best Ball Workshop were clear: Select a running back in the first round but do not load up on RB early. This was also the main takeaway from Blair Andrews’ Win the Flex tool, an application that allows you to…...

The 3 and Out: Placing 2019 WRs In A Historical Context

The 3 and Out uses several RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to The 3 and Out! In this week’s edition, we’ll be placing 2019 wide receiver results into a historical context. To assist with this effort, I hopped into the RotoViz Screener, searched all WR seasons from 2000 to 2019, constrained the results to include Weeks 1-14 only, and then filtered out all players that averaged fewer than three targets per game or seven games played. It’s Hard To Overstate How Exceptional Michael Thomas Has Been Michael Thomas‘…...

Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 15 – He’s No Austin Ekeler, But Can Darwin Thompson Be the Guy for KC?

Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for the most contentious AFC backfields ahead of Week 15. Almost every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether they were drafted as a Zero-RB squad or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying and selling based on workload shifts. We’ll use the RotoViz Screener and the NFL Stat Explorer to dive into the Week 14 advanced stats for the AFC backfields that still feature committees and competitions, focusing…...

Week 15 QB Rankings, Streaming Options, and 2-QB Plays

Giana Pacinelli provides QB streaming options, 2-QB plays, and overall QB rankings for Week 15 of the 2019 fantasy football season. Week 15 is here. If you’re still reading this, congrats on being in the playoffs. If you’ve reached this point, chances are you have a comfortable situation at the quarterback position, or you’ve been reading my articles and streaming the right signal caller. So let’s dive right into the semi-final week and win, after a quick recap on how we got here. In Week 14, eight teams scored 35-plus points. If you happened to start one of those quarterbacks this…...

Wide Receiver Target Report: Week 15

We are back once again with our weekly look at the wide receivers who saw the most targets in the last week of NFL action. Here’s the full list of WRs who commanded at least 10 targets in the last week of NFL action. Double-Digit Targets in Week 15 QUICK…...

Why Do We Care About Expected Points? An Explanation in 4 Correlation Matrices

If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform…...

Week 16 Waiver Wire Advice: Top Targets at Each Position

Looking for Week 16 waiver wire advice for fantasy football? You’ve come to the right place. We’ll give you some of the top targets at each position so that when you submit a waiver claim, you do it with confidence. We’re doing things a little different this week and only…...

NFL Week 15: Coin Flips

Monty Phan wraps up the weekend of NFL action. If you’re wondering what caused the greatest uproar in the NFL Twitterverse yesterday, it should come as no surprise that it was what everyone believed to be a miscommunicated call between Cowboys coach Jason Garrett and Dak Prescott that could have…...

Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming Week 15

The Process Before I look to Week 15, it is important to observe if the selection process was effective. Here is a recap of last week’s recommendations. If you need a refresher on what to look for when analyzing kickers, read the Week 2 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming article.  Name,…...

The 3 and Out: Placing 2019 WRs In A Historical Context

The 3 and Out uses several RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to The 3 and Out! In this week’s edition, we’ll be placing 2019 wide receiver results into a historical context. To assist with this effort, I hopped…...

Week 15 QB Rankings, Streaming Options, and 2-QB Plays

Giana Pacinelli provides QB streaming options, 2-QB plays, and overall QB rankings for Week 15 of the 2019 fantasy football season. Week 15 is here. If you’re still reading this, congrats on being in the playoffs. If you’ve reached this point, chances are you have a comfortable situation at the quarterback…...

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