Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

2020 Free Agency: Winners, Losers, and 5 New Sleepers You Need to Buy Now

Shawn Siegele covers the fantasy winners and losers in 2020 free agency, and then dives into his favorite sleepers in the aftermath. Despite the limited moves at wide receiver, 2020 free agency hasn’t been a disappointment. Last week I discussed the shock waves emanating through Superflex leagues, and today we move to the marquee positions with a look at Todd Gurley, Melvin Gordon, and David Johnson. Since it’s never a bad time to talk sleepers, I also dive into a few of my favorite post-FA values. Advanced stats from the NFL Stat Explorer and RotoViz Screener help us find bargains…...

Game Splits: How Have the Conference Title Contenders Fared Against Similar Defenses?

The Green Packers and San Francisco 49ers square off in the NFC Championship Game as the Tennessee Titans try to spring another Arrowhead upset and knock off Kansas City in the AFC. Shawn Siegele uses the Team Splits app to examine the defensive matchups. Last week we used two of our most popular tools to dive into some crazy splits for playoff teams. Today we use the Team and Game Splits apps to break down how the four remaining contenders have fared against the types of defenses they’ll face on Sunday. NFC Green Bay Packers The 49ers fielded the NFL’s premier defense…...

Davante Adams Previews 2020 in Carrying Green Bay to the NFC Championship Game

Davante Adams caught eight passes for 160 yards and two scores as Green Bay held off Seattle to advance to the NFC Championship. Despite a 2019 campaign plagued by injury, Adams could be the second wide receiver off the board in 2020 fantasy drafts. In a divisional round full of fireworks, a host of big names came in at the top of the fantasy points over expectation (reFPOE) leaderboard. Receiving Fantasy Points Over Expectation Leaders – Divisional Round Davante Adams In researching the Game Splits series last week, I ran across a bizarre result. Aaron Rodgers was significantly better during…...

Game Splits: Texans and Chiefs Traveled Different Paths Without Impact Receivers

The Houston Texans upset the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 6. This Sunday they look to do the same in the divisional round of the playoffs. Shawn Siegele uses the Team Splits app to explore two crucial players who could make the difference. This week we’re using two of our most popular tools to dive into fun stats for playoff teams. Yesterday we used the Game Splits app to investigate the difference Ryan Tannehill has made in Tennessee. Today we use the Team Splits app to break down a key element of the matchup between Kansas City…...

Game Splits: Titans Become Offensive Power Under Ryan Tannehill

With the Tennessee Titans hoping to spring the big upset this weekend at Baltimore, Shawn Siegele goes under the hood with the Games Splits app to analyze the impact of Ryan Tannehill. The Game Splits app is one of our most popular offerings. It allows users to create splits based on teammates, defenses, game situations, and much more. While we want to keep in mind that some of these results are merely coincidental, it’s fun to dive into the tool and see how players have performed in different situations. Offensive Impact of Ryan Tannehill We’ll start by using the our…...

The FFPC Playoff Challenge: Chalk Plays, Pivots and Ownership Projections

The FFPC Playoff Challenge is a contest playoff tournament with 6,500 teams and over $1.1 million in prizes and a $500,000 grand prize. The rules of the contest are simple — as you can see in Hasan Rahim’s 2018 write up: There is no draft, each owner simply selects a roster of 10 players (1-QB, 2-RB, 2-WR, 1-TE, 2-Flex, 1-K, 1-D; Flex can be RB, WR or TE) with the caveat being that you may only select one player from each team. This team is your roster for the entire duration of the playoffs. No add/drops, no setting line-ups. The only…...

Best Ball Win Rates: 2019 Awards

Shawn Siegele uses the Best Ball Win Rates tool to hand out awards to the top performances in six categories.  Each week I’ve been using our Best Ball tools to evaluate a different fantasy position. We’ve already begun grading the Best Ball Workshop, a series of how-to strategy articles built on the insights from Mike Beers’ Roster Construction Explorer. Today we pause to hand out some much-deserved hardware after a record-breaking fantasy season. MVP Christian McCaffrey The MVP category hasn’t featured much suspense since mid-season, but McCaffrey’s ability to maintain his ridiculous performance levels was nonetheless astonishing. He first jumped over…...

Week 17 Quarterback Streaming and DFS Options

Though we recapped last week, I could not in good conscience leave those hanging who either use this article for DFS or are in a league that plays throughout the entirety of the regular season. If it’s the latter, you should probably consider not participating in such a league moving forward. I say that because Lamar Jackson, who brought many fantasy owners to victory with three touchdowns and 30 ESPN fantasy points last week, will be out for Week 17. I do not expect Josh Allen to play either, and quarterbacks like Deshaun Watson and Drew Brees will more than…...

Zero RB Watch List: Week 17 – Deep Dynasty Stashes Emerge Amid a Flurry of Injuries

Shawn Siegele examines running back depth charts in flux and recommends stashing four deep dynasty sleepers before the offseason.  The heavyweights battled it out during championship weekend as 2019’s first three picks combined for 107 fantasy points. Saquon Barkley and Alvin Kamara were disappointments this season, but they came through in a huge way for any owners who found themselves in the title game. Following in the footsteps of their predecessors, our top Zero RB recommendations broke out to league-winning campaigns. Austin Ekeler finished No. 2 in best ball win rate among RBs, and Miles Sanders jumped to No. 4…...

How to Use Expected Points in the Offseason: 4 More Correlation Matrices

Last week I looked at a variety of Expected-Points-based metrics to determine which were the most stable from one week to the next and which were the most predictive of fantasy scoring in future weeks. However, fantasy football is not only a weekly game — in most formats your lineup won’t vary much from one week to the next. Also, for most of our fantasy teams, 2019 is already in the books. So this week I want to do the same thing as last week, only with a longer time horizon. Which metrics are the most stable and most predictive…...

2020 Free Agency: Winners, Losers, and 5 New Sleepers You Need to Buy Now

Shawn Siegele covers the fantasy winners and losers in 2020 free agency, and then dives into his favorite sleepers in the aftermath. Despite the limited moves at wide receiver, 2020 free agency hasn’t been a disappointment. Last week I discussed the shock waves emanating through Superflex leagues, and today we move to the marquee positions with a look at Todd Gurley, Melvin Gordon, and David Johnson. Since it’s never a bad time to talk sleepers, I also dive into a few of my favorite post-FA values. Advanced stats from the NFL Stat Explorer and RotoViz Screener help us find bargains…...

Game Splits: How Have the Conference Title Contenders Fared Against Similar Defenses?

The Green Packers and San Francisco 49ers square off in the NFC Championship Game as the Tennessee Titans try to spring another Arrowhead upset and knock off Kansas City in the AFC. Shawn Siegele uses the Team Splits app to examine the defensive matchups. Last week we used two of our most popular tools to dive into some crazy splits for playoff teams. Today we use the Team and Game Splits apps to break down how the four remaining contenders have fared against the types of defenses they’ll face on Sunday. NFC Green Bay Packers The 49ers fielded the NFL’s premier defense…...

Davante Adams Previews 2020 in Carrying Green Bay to the NFC Championship Game

Davante Adams caught eight passes for 160 yards and two scores as Green Bay held off Seattle to advance to the NFC Championship. Despite a 2019 campaign plagued by injury, Adams could be the second wide receiver off the board in 2020 fantasy drafts. In a divisional round full of fireworks, a host of big names came in at the top of the fantasy points over expectation (reFPOE) leaderboard. Receiving Fantasy Points Over Expectation Leaders – Divisional Round Davante Adams In researching the Game Splits series last week, I ran across a bizarre result. Aaron Rodgers was significantly better during…...

Game Splits: Texans and Chiefs Traveled Different Paths Without Impact Receivers

The Houston Texans upset the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 6. This Sunday they look to do the same in the divisional round of the playoffs. Shawn Siegele uses the Team Splits app to explore two crucial players who could make the difference. This week we’re using two of our most popular tools to dive into fun stats for playoff teams. Yesterday we used the Game Splits app to investigate the difference Ryan Tannehill has made in Tennessee. Today we use the Team Splits app to break down a key element of the matchup between Kansas City…...

Game Splits: Titans Become Offensive Power Under Ryan Tannehill

With the Tennessee Titans hoping to spring the big upset this weekend at Baltimore, Shawn Siegele goes under the hood with the Games Splits app to analyze the impact of Ryan Tannehill. The Game Splits app is one of our most popular offerings. It allows users to create splits based on teammates, defenses, game situations, and much more. While we want to keep in mind that some of these results are merely coincidental, it’s fun to dive into the tool and see how players have performed in different situations. Offensive Impact of Ryan Tannehill We’ll start by using the our…...

The FFPC Playoff Challenge: Chalk Plays, Pivots and Ownership Projections

The FFPC Playoff Challenge is a contest playoff tournament with 6,500 teams and over $1.1 million in prizes and a $500,000 grand prize. The rules of the contest are simple — as you can see in Hasan Rahim’s 2018 write up: There is no draft, each owner simply selects a roster of 10 players (1-QB, 2-RB, 2-WR, 1-TE, 2-Flex, 1-K, 1-D; Flex can be RB, WR or TE) with the caveat being that you may only select one player from each team. This team is your roster for the entire duration of the playoffs. No add/drops, no setting line-ups. The only…...

Best Ball Win Rates: 2019 Awards

Shawn Siegele uses the Best Ball Win Rates tool to hand out awards to the top performances in six categories.  Each week I’ve been using our Best Ball tools to evaluate a different fantasy position. We’ve already begun grading the Best Ball Workshop, a series of how-to strategy articles built on the insights from Mike Beers’ Roster Construction Explorer. Today we pause to hand out some much-deserved hardware after a record-breaking fantasy season. MVP Christian McCaffrey The MVP category hasn’t featured much suspense since mid-season, but McCaffrey’s ability to maintain his ridiculous performance levels was nonetheless astonishing. He first jumped over…...

Week 17 Quarterback Streaming and DFS Options

Though we recapped last week, I could not in good conscience leave those hanging who either use this article for DFS or are in a league that plays throughout the entirety of the regular season. If it’s the latter, you should probably consider not participating in such a league moving forward. I say that because Lamar Jackson, who brought many fantasy owners to victory with three touchdowns and 30 ESPN fantasy points last week, will be out for Week 17. I do not expect Josh Allen to play either, and quarterbacks like Deshaun Watson and Drew Brees will more than…...

Zero RB Watch List: Week 17 – Deep Dynasty Stashes Emerge Amid a Flurry of Injuries

Shawn Siegele examines running back depth charts in flux and recommends stashing four deep dynasty sleepers before the offseason.  The heavyweights battled it out during championship weekend as 2019’s first three picks combined for 107 fantasy points. Saquon Barkley and Alvin Kamara were disappointments this season, but they came through in a huge way for any owners who found themselves in the title game. Following in the footsteps of their predecessors, our top Zero RB recommendations broke out to league-winning campaigns. Austin Ekeler finished No. 2 in best ball win rate among RBs, and Miles Sanders jumped to No. 4…...

How to Use Expected Points in the Offseason: 4 More Correlation Matrices

Last week I looked at a variety of Expected-Points-based metrics to determine which were the most stable from one week to the next and which were the most predictive of fantasy scoring in future weeks. However, fantasy football is not only a weekly game — in most formats your lineup won’t vary much from one week to the next. Also, for most of our fantasy teams, 2019 is already in the books. So this week I want to do the same thing as last week, only with a longer time horizon. Which metrics are the most stable and most predictive…...

2020 Free Agency: Winners, Losers, and 5 New Sleepers You Need to Buy Now

Shawn Siegele covers the fantasy winners and losers in 2020 free agency, and then dives into his favorite sleepers in the aftermath. Despite the limited moves at wide receiver, 2020 free agency hasn’t been a disappointment. Last week I discussed the shock waves emanating through Superflex leagues, and today we…...

Game Splits: Titans Become Offensive Power Under Ryan Tannehill

With the Tennessee Titans hoping to spring the big upset this weekend at Baltimore, Shawn Siegele goes under the hood with the Games Splits app to analyze the impact of Ryan Tannehill. The Game Splits app is one of our most popular offerings. It allows users to create splits based…...

The FFPC Playoff Challenge: Chalk Plays, Pivots and Ownership Projections

The FFPC Playoff Challenge is a contest playoff tournament with 6,500 teams and over $1.1 million in prizes and a $500,000 grand prize. The rules of the contest are simple — as you can see in Hasan Rahim’s 2018 write up: There is no draft, each owner simply selects a roster…...

Best Ball Win Rates: 2019 Awards

Shawn Siegele uses the Best Ball Win Rates tool to hand out awards to the top performances in six categories.  Each week I’ve been using our Best Ball tools to evaluate a different fantasy position. We’ve already begun grading the Best Ball Workshop, a series of how-to strategy articles built on…...

Week 17 Quarterback Streaming and DFS Options

Though we recapped last week, I could not in good conscience leave those hanging who either use this article for DFS or are in a league that plays throughout the entirety of the regular season. If it’s the latter, you should probably consider not participating in such a league moving…...

Zero RB Watch List: Week 17 – Deep Dynasty Stashes Emerge Amid a Flurry of Injuries

Shawn Siegele examines running back depth charts in flux and recommends stashing four deep dynasty sleepers before the offseason.  The heavyweights battled it out during championship weekend as 2019’s first three picks combined for 107 fantasy points. Saquon Barkley and Alvin Kamara were disappointments this season, but they came through…...

How to Use Expected Points in the Offseason: 4 More Correlation Matrices

Last week I looked at a variety of Expected-Points-based metrics to determine which were the most stable from one week to the next and which were the most predictive of fantasy scoring in future weeks. However, fantasy football is not only a weekly game — in most formats your lineup…...

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