If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...

This article is part of “The Worksheet” from Rich Hribar, one of the fantasy industry’s most-read early week articles that provides unique statistics and expectations on every player for every game. Portions of “The Worksheet” will appear on RotoViz every week throughout the 2020 season. Read the full article at Sharp Football Analysis. Saints at Buccaneers New Orleans Rank @ Tampa Bay Rank 5.5   Spread -5.5  …...

This article is part of “The Worksheet” from Rich Hribar, one of the fantasy industry’s most-read early week articles that provides unique statistics and expectations on every player for every game. Portions of “The Worksheet” will appear on RotoViz every week throughout the 2020 season. Read the full article at Sharp Football Analysis. Raiders at Chargers Las Vegas Rank @ LA Chargers Rank 1.5   Spread -1.5  …...

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome to the Week 8 edition of The 3 and Out! On a weekly basis, we’ll use the RotoViz tools, my weekly research, and some of my favorite resources to find key pieces of information relating to teams, players, and…...

The Process Although I’m filling in for Stefan this week, I’ll be using the same selection process that he has been using all season. In short, we’re looking for kickers who are owned in less than 50% of ESPN leagues, teams with high Vegas point totals, high passing yardage offenses, and potentially low red-zone touchdown rates. This is described more in-depth in Stefan’s Streaming Kickers…...

Welcome to the Game Environment series. This series will provide several weekly games to target and fade, based on macro-level factors that impact fantasy production. For more on these factors, click here. We recommend using this in conjunction with our micro-level analysis, including the Buy Low Report, the Strength in Numbers series, our quarterback, kicker, tight end, and defense streaming articles, and the slate of…...

The Process Before I look at Week 9, it is important to see if my process was successful. Here is a recap of last week’s recommendations. If you need a refresher on what to look for when analyzing defenses, read the first few paragraphs of Streaming Defenses — Week 2 article. That’s the name of the game, sometimes our defenses give us very high weeks and sometimes…...

The Ultimate Zero RB Watch List provides analysis for Zero RB and RB-heavy owners alike. Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for every AFC backfield from Week 8. Check out Shawn Siegele’s companion piece on the NFC. Almost every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether they were drafted as a Zero-RB squad or not. The Ultimate Zero RB Watch List helps to…...

Dave Caban reviews the RB and WR Game Level Similarity Projections (GLSP) to provide a snapshot of expected opportunity and touchdown scoring potential. Welcome to our ninth RB/WR GLSP review of the season. In this weekly article, we’ll take a quick look at expected opportunity and touchdown scoring potential using estimates created by our GLSP tool. To learn more about the process of building GLSP projections,…...

QB rankings and streaming advice for Week 9 of the 2020 fantasy football season. Rookies continued to break records and make headlines through Week 8. Justin Herbert joined Deshaun Watson as the only rookie quarterbacks in NFL history with 3-plus touchdown passes in four consecutive games. Joe Burrow reached 221 completions on the season, the most by a player in his first eight career games in…...

Shawn Siegele examines the historic pace from Alvin Kamara, praises the unheralded talent of Jamaal Williams, and tries to understand the thinking in Detroit. Shawn also recommends a few dark horse pickups as he breaks down the workload for NFC backfields ahead of Week 9. As Blair Andrews and I write the Ultimate Zero RB Watch List, our goal is to help you locate RB breakouts…...