Curtis Patrick

RotoViz Co-Owner. Host, Dynasty Command Center Podcast. High Stakes Dynasty Force. Top-12 FFPC Main Event Finisher. 3-time Champion, Pro Football Hall of Fame King’s Classic.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Win the Waiver Wire – Week 13

In this edition of Win the Waiver Wire, Curtis Patrick shares his top waiver targets for Week 13 in seasonal fantasy football leagues. It’s make or break time. Whether you’re trying to secure your spot or improve your seed, getting these claims right is everything this week. Let’s get after it! *For the purposes of this week’s article, I’ll be using ESPN “percentage rostered” data. Players…...

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Ultimate Zero RB Watch – NFC Week 13: Stars Collapse While a Super Weapon Emerges, Plus 4 Stash Options

Shawn Siegele explores the collapse of three stars, details the rise of a new RB super weapon, and locates four backups to watch as he breaks down the workload for NFC backfields ahead of Week 13. It wasn’t a great week for NFC luminaries as Ezekiel Elliott, Alvin Kamara, and Miles Sanders combined for 17.3 points. By contrast, Zero RB squads ran roughshod, underlining the…...

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Week 13 RB/WR Game Level Similarity Projections: Elliott’s Woes to Continue

Dave Caban reviews the RB and WR Game Level Similarity Projections (GLSP) to provide a snapshot of expected opportunity and touchdown scoring potential. Welcome to our 13th RB/WR GLSP review of the season. In this weekly article, we’ll take a quick look at expected opportunity and touchdown scoring potential using estimates created by our GLSP tool. To learn more about the process of building GLSP projections,…...

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Let’s Have Fun(yan) with Tonyan: The Tight End Report – Week 13

Week 12 is still not over, incredibly. The Ravens and Steelers are still waiting to face off in a game that should have been played last Thursday. But while they keep us waiting, the rest of the NFL world goes on spinning around. Below is a positive treasure trove of information about the performances of tight ends from Week 12. The biggest performers, the guys…...

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Strength in Numbers: Alvin Kamara Is Not Okay and 7 Other Things That Matter From Week 12

Welcome back to Strength in Numbers, a weekly article in which we go over the most actionable takeaways from every NFL weekend in a concise, numbers-heavy format. Week 12 is the longest week in NFL history – and I don’t just mean because we had to watch Mitchell Trubisky and Carson Wentz in primetime. I say “is” because it’s not over yet; the Steelers and Ravens are set…...

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Wide Receiver Usage Deep Dive: Week 12 – Collin Johnson Is a Giant and Deebo Samuel Will Win You Leagues

All season long Zachary Krueger will go in-depth with all of the key wide receiver performances. Providing weekly targets, air yards breakdowns, and fantasy points over expectation trends, he’ll help you dominate the waiver wire and make the best start/sit decisions in your upcoming fantasy football matchups. *NOTE* This article and its rankings are as of December 1, 2020. It does not factor in the…...

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Week 12 – Buy Low Report

The Strength of Schedule Streaming app allows you to see which players have the easiest or most difficult upcoming schedules, a potentially league-winning edge that gives you the opportunity to buy players right before they explode in plus matchups. Buy Ryan Fitzpatrick Veteran journeyman quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick of the Miami Dolphins got another chance in Week 12 and made the most of it. After starting…...

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You Can Win by Starting the Worst RB in the NFL, But Probably Not the Worst WR: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 12

Blair Andrews looks back at the leaders in expected points and fantasy points over expectation after Week 12. Some inefficient players still manage performances you can live with, while some will destroy your chance at a title. Some players put up Week 12 performances you couldn’t win without. For an explanation of what expected points and fantasy points over expectation are, head to the end…...

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Top 100 Rookies for the 2021 NFL Draft: 81-100

Hello and welcome to the first installment of my annual Top 100 Rookies series! If you’re new to the series, every year I put together 100 rookies entering the NFL and rank them based on the impact I believe they’ll have for fantasy football purposes. So no, this is not a “how good this player will be for real football game impact” conversation. This is specifically…...

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Zero RB and Dispelling the Playoff Upside Myth

As we enter the fantasy playoffs in many formats, Shawn Siegele discusses the positions that put up big points at the most crucial times and investigates whether Zero RB provides enough upside to win your fantasy title. Since Zero RB is such a core element of our philosophy at RotoViz, it’s incumbent upon us to show that it works. I like to mix hard evidence…...

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MNF Showdown Slate Breakdown Week 12 – Seahawks At Eagles

Implied Totals SEA – 27.25 PHI – 21.25 O/U – 48.5 Key Injuries Jason Peters is questionable, and Lane Johnson has already been ruled out. To make matters worse for Carson Wentz, Jalen Hurts is expected to get some opportunity in this game. Chris Carson has logged limited practices this week, but his status is still up in the air. If he’s active, he should…...

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High Staked: The Taysom Hill We’re Dying On

Welcome to Week 12, also known as The Week We Tilt Our Faces Off. Both of my FFPC Main Event entries that I help run lost their matchups this week. It would be easy to make this personal and turn this space into a Festivus Airing of Grievances, but my guess is that my gripes are going to be common to a lot of fantasy…...

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The Worksheet: Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers

This article is part of “The Worksheet” from Rich Hribar, one of the fantasy industry’s most-read early week articles that provides unique statistics and expectations on every player for every game. Portions of “The Worksheet” will appear on RotoViz every week throughout the 2020 season. Read the full article at Sharp Football Analysis. Bears at Packers Chicago Rank @ Green Bay Rank 8.5   Spread -8.5   18.25…...

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NFL DFS Week 12 Cash Game Core

In NFL DFS Cash Game Core – Week 12, Mark Wemken shares DraftKings cash game targets, complete with analysis and visuals from RotoViz tools. Plays listed are based on Sun 1:00 PM slate pricing. Make no mistake, this is still a fun slate to play. But the amount of news we’ve received has truly made cash game construction a nightmare. With that said, an enormous…...

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The Worksheet: Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

This article is part of “The Worksheet” from Rich Hribar, one of the fantasy industry’s most-read early week articles that provides unique statistics and expectations on every player for every game. Portions of “The Worksheet” will appear on RotoViz every week throughout the 2020 season. Read the full article at Sharp Football Analysis. Chiefs at Buccaneers Kansas City Rank @ Tampa Bay Rank -3   Spread 3  …...

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GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 12

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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Game Environment: Mahomes and Brady Lead the Way in Week 12

Welcome to the game environment series. This series will provide several weekly games to target and fade, based on macro-level factors that impact fantasy production. For more on these factors, click here. We recommend using this in conjunction with our micro-level analysis, including the buy low report, the strength in numbers series, our quarterback, kicker, tight end, and defense streaming articles, and the slate of…...

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THE 3 AND OUT: GAME SCRIPT, OPPORTUNITY, AND TAKEAWAYS FROM WEEK 11

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome to the Week 11 edition of The 3 and Out! On a weekly basis, we’ll use the RotoViz tools, my weekly research, and some of my favorite resources to find key pieces of information relating to teams, players, and…...

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Justin Fields and the Ohio State Offense Should Dominate the College Football DFS Main Slate

Welcome to College Football DFS Main Slate for the Saturday after Thanksgiving! This is your one-stop shop for cash and GPP plays for the main slate of this crazy CFB Friday! Every single week we build a multifaceted projection model for the main slate of college football to help you find the best plays of the week. If you’ve been following along over the past…...

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Holiday Weekend College Football Fun: Week 13 Devy Preview

It’s sort of embarrassing to title an article “Welcome Back Trevor Lawrence!” only for the contest to be canceled on game day. But I guess that’s 2020. This with be a slightly shorter preview than normal due to the holiday, but there’s going to be plenty of football to watch this weekend so I couldn’t leave you without a rundown of players to follow. Southeastern…...

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Win the Waiver Wire – Week 13

In this edition of Win the Waiver Wire, Curtis Patrick shares his top waiver targets for Week 13 in seasonal fantasy football leagues. It’s make or break time. Whether you’re trying to secure your spot or improve your seed, getting these claims right is everything this week. Let’s get after it! *For the purposes of this week’s article, I’ll be using ESPN “percentage rostered” data. Players…...

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Ultimate Zero RB Watch – NFC Week 13: Stars Collapse While a Super Weapon Emerges, Plus 4 Stash Options

Shawn Siegele explores the collapse of three stars, details the rise of a new RB super weapon, and locates four backups to watch as he breaks down the workload for NFC backfields ahead of Week 13. It wasn’t a great week for NFC luminaries as Ezekiel Elliott, Alvin Kamara, and Miles Sanders combined for 17.3 points. By contrast, Zero RB squads ran roughshod, underlining the…...

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Week 13 RB/WR Game Level Similarity Projections: Elliott’s Woes to Continue

Dave Caban reviews the RB and WR Game Level Similarity Projections (GLSP) to provide a snapshot of expected opportunity and touchdown scoring potential. Welcome to our 13th RB/WR GLSP review of the season. In this weekly article, we’ll take a quick look at expected opportunity and touchdown scoring potential using estimates created by our GLSP tool. To learn more about the process of building GLSP projections,…...

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Let’s Have Fun(yan) with Tonyan: The Tight End Report – Week 13

Week 12 is still not over, incredibly. The Ravens and Steelers are still waiting to face off in a game that should have been played last Thursday. But while they keep us waiting, the rest of the NFL world goes on spinning around. Below is a positive treasure trove of information about the performances of tight ends from Week 12. The biggest performers, the guys…...

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Strength in Numbers: Alvin Kamara Is Not Okay and 7 Other Things That Matter From Week 12

Welcome back to Strength in Numbers, a weekly article in which we go over the most actionable takeaways from every NFL weekend in a concise, numbers-heavy format. Week 12 is the longest week in NFL history – and I don’t just mean because we had to watch Mitchell Trubisky and Carson Wentz in primetime. I say “is” because it’s not over yet; the Steelers and Ravens are set…...

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Wide Receiver Usage Deep Dive: Week 12 – Collin Johnson Is a Giant and Deebo Samuel Will Win You Leagues

All season long Zachary Krueger will go in-depth with all of the key wide receiver performances. Providing weekly targets, air yards breakdowns, and fantasy points over expectation trends, he’ll help you dominate the waiver wire and make the best start/sit decisions in your upcoming fantasy football matchups. *NOTE* This article and its rankings are as of December 1, 2020. It does not factor in the…...

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Week 12 – Buy Low Report

The Strength of Schedule Streaming app allows you to see which players have the easiest or most difficult upcoming schedules, a potentially league-winning edge that gives you the opportunity to buy players right before they explode in plus matchups. Buy Ryan Fitzpatrick Veteran journeyman quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick of the Miami Dolphins got another chance in Week 12 and made the most of it. After starting…...

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You Can Win by Starting the Worst RB in the NFL, But Probably Not the Worst WR: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 12

Blair Andrews looks back at the leaders in expected points and fantasy points over expectation after Week 12. Some inefficient players still manage performances you can live with, while some will destroy your chance at a title. Some players put up Week 12 performances you couldn’t win without. For an explanation of what expected points and fantasy points over expectation are, head to the end…...

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Top 100 Rookies for the 2021 NFL Draft: 81-100

Hello and welcome to the first installment of my annual Top 100 Rookies series! If you’re new to the series, every year I put together 100 rookies entering the NFL and rank them based on the impact I believe they’ll have for fantasy football purposes. So no, this is not a “how good this player will be for real football game impact” conversation. This is specifically…...

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Zero RB and Dispelling the Playoff Upside Myth

As we enter the fantasy playoffs in many formats, Shawn Siegele discusses the positions that put up big points at the most crucial times and investigates whether Zero RB provides enough upside to win your fantasy title. Since Zero RB is such a core element of our philosophy at RotoViz, it’s incumbent upon us to show that it works. I like to mix hard evidence…...

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MNF Showdown Slate Breakdown Week 12 – Seahawks At Eagles

Implied Totals SEA – 27.25 PHI – 21.25 O/U – 48.5 Key Injuries Jason Peters is questionable, and Lane Johnson has already been ruled out. To make matters worse for Carson Wentz, Jalen Hurts is expected to get some opportunity in this game. Chris Carson has logged limited practices this week, but his status is still up in the air. If he’s active, he should…...

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High Staked: The Taysom Hill We’re Dying On

Welcome to Week 12, also known as The Week We Tilt Our Faces Off. Both of my FFPC Main Event entries that I help run lost their matchups this week. It would be easy to make this personal and turn this space into a Festivus Airing of Grievances, but my guess is that my gripes are going to be common to a lot of fantasy…...

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The Worksheet: Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers

This article is part of “The Worksheet” from Rich Hribar, one of the fantasy industry’s most-read early week articles that provides unique statistics and expectations on every player for every game. Portions of “The Worksheet” will appear on RotoViz every week throughout the 2020 season. Read the full article at Sharp Football Analysis. Bears at Packers Chicago Rank @ Green Bay Rank 8.5   Spread -8.5   18.25…...

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NFL DFS Week 12 Cash Game Core

In NFL DFS Cash Game Core – Week 12, Mark Wemken shares DraftKings cash game targets, complete with analysis and visuals from RotoViz tools. Plays listed are based on Sun 1:00 PM slate pricing. Make no mistake, this is still a fun slate to play. But the amount of news we’ve received has truly made cash game construction a nightmare. With that said, an enormous…...

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The Worksheet: Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

This article is part of “The Worksheet” from Rich Hribar, one of the fantasy industry’s most-read early week articles that provides unique statistics and expectations on every player for every game. Portions of “The Worksheet” will appear on RotoViz every week throughout the 2020 season. Read the full article at Sharp Football Analysis. Chiefs at Buccaneers Kansas City Rank @ Tampa Bay Rank -3   Spread 3  …...

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GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 12

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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Game Environment: Mahomes and Brady Lead the Way in Week 12

Welcome to the game environment series. This series will provide several weekly games to target and fade, based on macro-level factors that impact fantasy production. For more on these factors, click here. We recommend using this in conjunction with our micro-level analysis, including the buy low report, the strength in numbers series, our quarterback, kicker, tight end, and defense streaming articles, and the slate of…...

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THE 3 AND OUT: GAME SCRIPT, OPPORTUNITY, AND TAKEAWAYS FROM WEEK 11

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome to the Week 11 edition of The 3 and Out! On a weekly basis, we’ll use the RotoViz tools, my weekly research, and some of my favorite resources to find key pieces of information relating to teams, players, and…...

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Justin Fields and the Ohio State Offense Should Dominate the College Football DFS Main Slate

Welcome to College Football DFS Main Slate for the Saturday after Thanksgiving! This is your one-stop shop for cash and GPP plays for the main slate of this crazy CFB Friday! Every single week we build a multifaceted projection model for the main slate of college football to help you find the best plays of the week. If you’ve been following along over the past…...

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Holiday Weekend College Football Fun: Week 13 Devy Preview

It’s sort of embarrassing to title an article “Welcome Back Trevor Lawrence!” only for the contest to be canceled on game day. But I guess that’s 2020. This with be a slightly shorter preview than normal due to the holiday, but there’s going to be plenty of football to watch this weekend so I couldn’t leave you without a rundown of players to follow. Southeastern…...

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Win the Waiver Wire – Week 13

In this edition of Win the Waiver Wire, Curtis Patrick shares his top waiver targets for Week 13 in seasonal fantasy football leagues. It’s make or break time. Whether you’re trying to secure your spot or improve your seed, getting these claims right is everything this week. Let’s get after it! *For the purposes of this week’s article, I’ll be using ESPN “percentage rostered” data. Players…...

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Ultimate Zero RB Watch – NFC Week 13: Stars Collapse While a Super Weapon Emerges, Plus 4 Stash Options

Shawn Siegele explores the collapse of three stars, details the rise of a new RB super weapon, and locates four backups to watch as he breaks down the workload for NFC backfields ahead of Week 13. It wasn’t a great week for NFC luminaries as Ezekiel Elliott, Alvin Kamara, and Miles Sanders combined for 17.3 points. By contrast, Zero RB squads ran roughshod, underlining the…...

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Week 13 RB/WR Game Level Similarity Projections: Elliott’s Woes to Continue

Dave Caban reviews the RB and WR Game Level Similarity Projections (GLSP) to provide a snapshot of expected opportunity and touchdown scoring potential. Welcome to our 13th RB/WR GLSP review of the season. In this weekly article, we’ll take a quick look at expected opportunity and touchdown scoring potential using estimates created by our GLSP tool. To learn more about the process of building GLSP projections,…...

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Let’s Have Fun(yan) with Tonyan: The Tight End Report – Week 13

Week 12 is still not over, incredibly. The Ravens and Steelers are still waiting to face off in a game that should have been played last Thursday. But while they keep us waiting, the rest of the NFL world goes on spinning around. Below is a positive treasure trove of information about the performances of tight ends from Week 12. The biggest performers, the guys…...

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Strength in Numbers: Alvin Kamara Is Not Okay and 7 Other Things That Matter From Week 12

Welcome back to Strength in Numbers, a weekly article in which we go over the most actionable takeaways from every NFL weekend in a concise, numbers-heavy format. Week 12 is the longest week in NFL history – and I don’t just mean because we had to watch Mitchell Trubisky and Carson Wentz in primetime. I say “is” because it’s not over yet; the Steelers and Ravens are set…...

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Wide Receiver Usage Deep Dive: Week 12 – Collin Johnson Is a Giant and Deebo Samuel Will Win You Leagues

All season long Zachary Krueger will go in-depth with all of the key wide receiver performances. Providing weekly targets, air yards breakdowns, and fantasy points over expectation trends, he’ll help you dominate the waiver wire and make the best start/sit decisions in your upcoming fantasy football matchups. *NOTE* This article and its rankings are as of December 1, 2020. It does not factor in the…...

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Week 12 – Buy Low Report

The Strength of Schedule Streaming app allows you to see which players have the easiest or most difficult upcoming schedules, a potentially league-winning edge that gives you the opportunity to buy players right before they explode in plus matchups. Buy Ryan Fitzpatrick Veteran journeyman quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick of the Miami Dolphins got another chance in Week 12 and made the most of it. After starting…...

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You Can Win by Starting the Worst RB in the NFL, But Probably Not the Worst WR: What Expected Points Are Telling Us After Week 12

Blair Andrews looks back at the leaders in expected points and fantasy points over expectation after Week 12. Some inefficient players still manage performances you can live with, while some will destroy your chance at a title. Some players put up Week 12 performances you couldn’t win without. For an explanation of what expected points and fantasy points over expectation are, head to the end…...

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Top 100 Rookies for the 2021 NFL Draft: 81-100

Hello and welcome to the first installment of my annual Top 100 Rookies series! If you’re new to the series, every year I put together 100 rookies entering the NFL and rank them based on the impact I believe they’ll have for fantasy football purposes. So no, this is not a “how good this player will be for real football game impact” conversation. This is specifically…...

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Zero RB and Dispelling the Playoff Upside Myth

As we enter the fantasy playoffs in many formats, Shawn Siegele discusses the positions that put up big points at the most crucial times and investigates whether Zero RB provides enough upside to win your fantasy title. Since Zero RB is such a core element of our philosophy at RotoViz, it’s incumbent upon us to show that it works. I like to mix hard evidence…...

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MNF Showdown Slate Breakdown Week 12 – Seahawks At Eagles

Implied Totals SEA – 27.25 PHI – 21.25 O/U – 48.5 Key Injuries Jason Peters is questionable, and Lane Johnson has already been ruled out. To make matters worse for Carson Wentz, Jalen Hurts is expected to get some opportunity in this game. Chris Carson has logged limited practices this week, but his status is still up in the air. If he’s active, he should…...

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High Staked: The Taysom Hill We’re Dying On

Welcome to Week 12, also known as The Week We Tilt Our Faces Off. Both of my FFPC Main Event entries that I help run lost their matchups this week. It would be easy to make this personal and turn this space into a Festivus Airing of Grievances, but my guess is that my gripes are going to be common to a lot of fantasy…...

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The Worksheet: Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers

This article is part of “The Worksheet” from Rich Hribar, one of the fantasy industry’s most-read early week articles that provides unique statistics and expectations on every player for every game. Portions of “The Worksheet” will appear on RotoViz every week throughout the 2020 season. Read the full article at Sharp Football Analysis. Bears at Packers Chicago Rank @ Green Bay Rank 8.5   Spread -8.5   18.25…...

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NFL DFS Week 12 Cash Game Core

In NFL DFS Cash Game Core – Week 12, Mark Wemken shares DraftKings cash game targets, complete with analysis and visuals from RotoViz tools. Plays listed are based on Sun 1:00 PM slate pricing. Make no mistake, this is still a fun slate to play. But the amount of news we’ve received has truly made cash game construction a nightmare. With that said, an enormous…...

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The Worksheet: Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

This article is part of “The Worksheet” from Rich Hribar, one of the fantasy industry’s most-read early week articles that provides unique statistics and expectations on every player for every game. Portions of “The Worksheet” will appear on RotoViz every week throughout the 2020 season. Read the full article at Sharp Football Analysis. Chiefs at Buccaneers Kansas City Rank @ Tampa Bay Rank -3   Spread 3  …...

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GPP Roster Construction – FanDuel NFL Week 12

Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football community and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once a good play in a vacuum can become sub-optimal as chalk. What may feel thin at first may be plus-EV at low ownership. Because of the salary cap, DFS is about opportunity costs — finding a combination…...

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Game Environment: Mahomes and Brady Lead the Way in Week 12

Welcome to the game environment series. This series will provide several weekly games to target and fade, based on macro-level factors that impact fantasy production. For more on these factors, click here. We recommend using this in conjunction with our micro-level analysis, including the buy low report, the strength in numbers series, our quarterback, kicker, tight end, and defense streaming articles, and the slate of…...

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THE 3 AND OUT: GAME SCRIPT, OPPORTUNITY, AND TAKEAWAYS FROM WEEK 11

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome to the Week 11 edition of The 3 and Out! On a weekly basis, we’ll use the RotoViz tools, my weekly research, and some of my favorite resources to find key pieces of information relating to teams, players, and…...

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Justin Fields and the Ohio State Offense Should Dominate the College Football DFS Main Slate

Welcome to College Football DFS Main Slate for the Saturday after Thanksgiving! This is your one-stop shop for cash and GPP plays for the main slate of this crazy CFB Friday! Every single week we build a multifaceted projection model for the main slate of college football to help you find the best plays of the week. If you’ve been following along over the past…...

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Holiday Weekend College Football Fun: Week 13 Devy Preview

It’s sort of embarrassing to title an article “Welcome Back Trevor Lawrence!” only for the contest to be canceled on game day. But I guess that’s 2020. This with be a slightly shorter preview than normal due to the holiday, but there’s going to be plenty of football to watch this weekend so I couldn’t leave you without a rundown of players to follow. Southeastern…...

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