Neil Dutton

Lead Writer, soft spot for the tight end position. Will never stop loving Duke Johnson.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Could Hunter Bryant Be the First Tight End Off the Board? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Hunter Bryant is one of the best young tight ends in the nation. His 2019 success in concert with his athletic gifts no doubt played a part in his deciding to enter the draft in 2020. Bryant’s skills and pedigree will make him one of the top prospects at his position. BACKGROUND Bryant was born in Issaquah, Washington and attended Eastside Catholic High School in…...

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What If the 2019 Rookie Draft Happened Today? Redrafting Round 1

With the 2019 regular season wrapped up and our 2020 prospect coverage in full swing, the arrival of a new year offers an opportunity to look forward and look back. It provides a chance to play with the past. What would 2019 rookie drafts look like if they took place today? The RotoViz dynasty crew had some serious hits back in May. We were much…...

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The FFPC Playoff Challenge: Chalk Plays, Pivots and Ownership Projections

The FFPC Playoff Challenge is a contest playoff tournament with 6,500 teams and over $1.1 million in prizes and a $500,000 grand prize. The rules of the contest are simple — as you can see in Hasan Rahim’s 2018 write up: There is no draft, each owner simply selects a roster of 10 players (1-QB, 2-RB, 2-WR, 1-TE, 2-Flex, 1-K, 1-D; Flex can be RB, WR…...

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Is Antonio Gandy-Golden the Next Cooper Kupp? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

On December 21, Antonio Gandy-Golden and Liberty defeated Georgia Southern 23 to 16 in the FBC Mortgage Cure Bowl. Liberty joined the FBS in 2018 and Gandy-Golden proved in those two seasons that he would remain productive even with the step up in competition. Background Gandy-Golden was an unheralded prospect. He wasn’t ranked by 247Sports and he was only ranked as a two-star prospect by Rivals…....

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Henry Ruggs: Is He More Than Just Speed? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

There’s far more to Henry Ruggs III than what his statistics will tell you on paper. The “third receiver” on the Alabama Crimson Tide is quite certainly one of the most intriguing prospects in the entire 2020 NFL Draft class. But is there more to his game than simply speed? Let’s dive in. Speed from the Beginning Like many other gifted NFL Draft prospects, Ruggs…...

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Putting 2019 in Context: The Middle Rounds Still Belong to Wide Receivers

In Part 1 of this series, we looked at the performance of running backs who were drafted in Rounds 3 through 6 of best ball drafts — also known as the “RB Dead Zone” — and found that the 2019 group scored 29.2% more fantasy points than the 2015-18 average. However, despite posting such high point totals, the average win rate for these RBs was…...

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Is Jonathan Taylor the Perfect Running Back Prospect: A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Jonathan Taylor has been a hot devy item for two full seasons now, and it is highly likely the time has finally come for him to make his much anticipated graduation to the NFL. While it is more than likely Taylor will be playing on Sundays next season, we will get one more opportunity to watch him play in a Badgers uniform. Wisconsin plays Oregon…...

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The RotoViz Screener Locates 15 Breakout Wide Receiver Candidates for 2020

Now that the 2019 regular season is in the books, Shawn Siegele utilizes a quick hack and the RotoViz Screener to locate 15 breakout wide receiver candidates for 2020. Each offseason I write an in-depth series on the characteristics of breakout players. Receivers with different experience levels break out at different rates, to different scores, and for different reasons. It hurts our chances to select the…...

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Putting 2019 in Context: Is the Running Back Dead Zone Dead?

Last July, I wrote an article about the running back dead zone — basically, RBs picked in Rounds 3 through 6 have busted at incredible rates since 2015. That article — along with several others which had similar findings — fundamentally changed my strategy in best ball drafts. Oops.[1]Maybe. Leonard Fournette, Aaron Jones, Chris Carson, Josh Jacobs, Derrick Henry, Mark Ingram, and James White (just…...

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Brycen Hopkins Is Old, but Does It Matter? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

If Brycen Hopkins needs any help in how to deal with the pressures of being a top draft prospect, he only needs to turn to his family for advice. Hopkins’s father, Brad Hopkins, was a first-round selection by the Houston Oilers in the 1993 NFL Draft. Hopkins Sr. played 13 seasons in the NFL, earning two Pro Bowl nods as well as an All-Pro berth…...

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Jerry Jeudy Never Broke Out, But Does it Matter? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

A top 2020 NFL wide receiver prospect, Jerry Jeudy is sure to be coveted in dynasty fantasy football rookie drafts, too. How does his profile measure up when considering RotoViz’s extensive work on indicators of future fantasy success? Let’s explore. As a Recruit Jeudy has been a household name in devy fantasy football circles since February 2017 when he signed with Alabama as a five-star recruit…...

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DK Buffet Week 17: 15 Key Stats for the Main Slate on DraftKings

When I’m looking into the DFS slate each week, I like to go game by game and identify players or situations that intrigue me. In every game, on every team, there’s a situation that’s relevant for DFS purposes, for either a positive or negative reason. These situations inform us of how we should be attacking each slate. Arizona Cardinals Spread: +7 @ Los Angeles Rams…...

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FanDuel NFL Cash Plays – Week 17

The Fantasy Football Ghost helps us close out the regular season with his picks for FanDuel cash lineups in Week 17 Week 17 is traditionally one of the most difficult weeks to forecast as playoff bound teams sit their starting players and non-playoff teams up their game in an attempt to play spoiler. Part of the difficultly revolves around trying to determine if a playoff…...

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Week 17 DraftKings Targets: The News Cycle Is Key

As is the case with Week 17 historically, teams locked into the playoffs with little or nothing to gain from a Week 17 win will often be cautious with their key players. This is already reported to be the case with the Bills this week. We could also see the Vikings and/or Texans take this route as well. There is also the possibility of non-playoff…...

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16 Stats to Know for DFS in Week 17

Utilizing RotoViz’s suite of creative tools, metrics, and filterable stats (all of which just keep getting better!), I unearthed 16 key stats to help you crush your Week 17 NFL DFS lineups. Vegas lines for Week 17 Reported lines are current as of December 26, 2019.[1]Provided by footballlocks.com. CLE @ CIN: The Browns have allowed the 7th-most FP to RBs IMPLIED: CLE 23.5, CIN 21…...

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Does Travis Etienne Deserve to Be the Top RB in Rookie Drafts? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

On December 28, 2019, Travis Etienne and the Clemson Tigers take on the Ohio State Buckeyes in the Fiesta Bowl. Following an undefeated regular season, he and the Tigers will looks to repeat as National Champions. Background Etienne was one of the top RBs in the class of 2017. Per 247 Composite rankings, he was the No. 216 overall player and the No. 16 RB…...

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Best Ball Win Rates: 2019 Awards

Shawn Siegele uses the Best Ball Win Rates tool to hand out awards to the top performances in six categories.  Each week I’ve been using our Best Ball tools to evaluate a different fantasy position. We’ve already begun grading the Best Ball Workshop, a series of how-to strategy articles built on the insights from Mike Beers’ Roster Construction Explorer. Today we pause to hand out some…...

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Is Najee Harris the Next Star RB Out of Alabama? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Death, taxes, and Alabama producing running backs that the NFL and fantasy owners should be aware of are three of the only things in this universe we can 100% rely on. Najee Harris is one such player heading into 2020. Harris has played only three seasons for the Crimson Tide and may yet return for the fourth year of his eligibility. But if he decides…...

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Week 17 Quarterback Streaming and DFS Options

Though we recapped last week, I could not in good conscience leave those hanging who either use this article for DFS or are in a league that plays throughout the entirety of the regular season. If it’s the latter, you should probably consider not participating in such a league moving forward. I say that because Lamar Jackson, who brought many fantasy owners to victory with…...

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Could Chuba Hubbard be the Feature Back of the Future? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Chuba Hubbard has quickly become a household name in college football, but the jury is still out on when he’ll head to the NFL. Regardless, we’ll get to see Hubbard in at least one more college game before he makes his draft decision. Hubbard and Oklahoma State face off with Texas A&M this week in the Texas Bowl. But for now, let’s take a look…...

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Could Hunter Bryant Be the First Tight End Off the Board? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Hunter Bryant is one of the best young tight ends in the nation. His 2019 success in concert with his athletic gifts no doubt played a part in his deciding to enter the draft in 2020. Bryant’s skills and pedigree will make him one of the top prospects at his position. BACKGROUND Bryant was born in Issaquah, Washington and attended Eastside Catholic High School in…...

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What If the 2019 Rookie Draft Happened Today? Redrafting Round 1

With the 2019 regular season wrapped up and our 2020 prospect coverage in full swing, the arrival of a new year offers an opportunity to look forward and look back. It provides a chance to play with the past. What would 2019 rookie drafts look like if they took place today? The RotoViz dynasty crew had some serious hits back in May. We were much…...

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The FFPC Playoff Challenge: Chalk Plays, Pivots and Ownership Projections

The FFPC Playoff Challenge is a contest playoff tournament with 6,500 teams and over $1.1 million in prizes and a $500,000 grand prize. The rules of the contest are simple — as you can see in Hasan Rahim’s 2018 write up: There is no draft, each owner simply selects a roster of 10 players (1-QB, 2-RB, 2-WR, 1-TE, 2-Flex, 1-K, 1-D; Flex can be RB, WR…...

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Is Antonio Gandy-Golden the Next Cooper Kupp? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

On December 21, Antonio Gandy-Golden and Liberty defeated Georgia Southern 23 to 16 in the FBC Mortgage Cure Bowl. Liberty joined the FBS in 2018 and Gandy-Golden proved in those two seasons that he would remain productive even with the step up in competition. Background Gandy-Golden was an unheralded prospect. He wasn’t ranked by 247Sports and he was only ranked as a two-star prospect by Rivals…....

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Henry Ruggs: Is He More Than Just Speed? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

There’s far more to Henry Ruggs III than what his statistics will tell you on paper. The “third receiver” on the Alabama Crimson Tide is quite certainly one of the most intriguing prospects in the entire 2020 NFL Draft class. But is there more to his game than simply speed? Let’s dive in. Speed from the Beginning Like many other gifted NFL Draft prospects, Ruggs…...

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Putting 2019 in Context: The Middle Rounds Still Belong to Wide Receivers

In Part 1 of this series, we looked at the performance of running backs who were drafted in Rounds 3 through 6 of best ball drafts — also known as the “RB Dead Zone” — and found that the 2019 group scored 29.2% more fantasy points than the 2015-18 average. However, despite posting such high point totals, the average win rate for these RBs was…...

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Is Jonathan Taylor the Perfect Running Back Prospect: A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Jonathan Taylor has been a hot devy item for two full seasons now, and it is highly likely the time has finally come for him to make his much anticipated graduation to the NFL. While it is more than likely Taylor will be playing on Sundays next season, we will get one more opportunity to watch him play in a Badgers uniform. Wisconsin plays Oregon…...

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The RotoViz Screener Locates 15 Breakout Wide Receiver Candidates for 2020

Now that the 2019 regular season is in the books, Shawn Siegele utilizes a quick hack and the RotoViz Screener to locate 15 breakout wide receiver candidates for 2020. Each offseason I write an in-depth series on the characteristics of breakout players. Receivers with different experience levels break out at different rates, to different scores, and for different reasons. It hurts our chances to select the…...

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Putting 2019 in Context: Is the Running Back Dead Zone Dead?

Last July, I wrote an article about the running back dead zone — basically, RBs picked in Rounds 3 through 6 have busted at incredible rates since 2015. That article — along with several others which had similar findings — fundamentally changed my strategy in best ball drafts. Oops.[1]Maybe. Leonard Fournette, Aaron Jones, Chris Carson, Josh Jacobs, Derrick Henry, Mark Ingram, and James White (just…...

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Brycen Hopkins Is Old, but Does It Matter? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

If Brycen Hopkins needs any help in how to deal with the pressures of being a top draft prospect, he only needs to turn to his family for advice. Hopkins’s father, Brad Hopkins, was a first-round selection by the Houston Oilers in the 1993 NFL Draft. Hopkins Sr. played 13 seasons in the NFL, earning two Pro Bowl nods as well as an All-Pro berth…...

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Jerry Jeudy Never Broke Out, But Does it Matter? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

A top 2020 NFL wide receiver prospect, Jerry Jeudy is sure to be coveted in dynasty fantasy football rookie drafts, too. How does his profile measure up when considering RotoViz’s extensive work on indicators of future fantasy success? Let’s explore. As a Recruit Jeudy has been a household name in devy fantasy football circles since February 2017 when he signed with Alabama as a five-star recruit…...

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DK Buffet Week 17: 15 Key Stats for the Main Slate on DraftKings

When I’m looking into the DFS slate each week, I like to go game by game and identify players or situations that intrigue me. In every game, on every team, there’s a situation that’s relevant for DFS purposes, for either a positive or negative reason. These situations inform us of how we should be attacking each slate. Arizona Cardinals Spread: +7 @ Los Angeles Rams…...

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FanDuel NFL Cash Plays – Week 17

The Fantasy Football Ghost helps us close out the regular season with his picks for FanDuel cash lineups in Week 17 Week 17 is traditionally one of the most difficult weeks to forecast as playoff bound teams sit their starting players and non-playoff teams up their game in an attempt to play spoiler. Part of the difficultly revolves around trying to determine if a playoff…...

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Week 17 DraftKings Targets: The News Cycle Is Key

As is the case with Week 17 historically, teams locked into the playoffs with little or nothing to gain from a Week 17 win will often be cautious with their key players. This is already reported to be the case with the Bills this week. We could also see the Vikings and/or Texans take this route as well. There is also the possibility of non-playoff…...

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16 Stats to Know for DFS in Week 17

Utilizing RotoViz’s suite of creative tools, metrics, and filterable stats (all of which just keep getting better!), I unearthed 16 key stats to help you crush your Week 17 NFL DFS lineups. Vegas lines for Week 17 Reported lines are current as of December 26, 2019.[1]Provided by footballlocks.com. CLE @ CIN: The Browns have allowed the 7th-most FP to RBs IMPLIED: CLE 23.5, CIN 21…...

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Does Travis Etienne Deserve to Be the Top RB in Rookie Drafts? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

On December 28, 2019, Travis Etienne and the Clemson Tigers take on the Ohio State Buckeyes in the Fiesta Bowl. Following an undefeated regular season, he and the Tigers will looks to repeat as National Champions. Background Etienne was one of the top RBs in the class of 2017. Per 247 Composite rankings, he was the No. 216 overall player and the No. 16 RB…...

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Best Ball Win Rates: 2019 Awards

Shawn Siegele uses the Best Ball Win Rates tool to hand out awards to the top performances in six categories.  Each week I’ve been using our Best Ball tools to evaluate a different fantasy position. We’ve already begun grading the Best Ball Workshop, a series of how-to strategy articles built on the insights from Mike Beers’ Roster Construction Explorer. Today we pause to hand out some…...

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Is Najee Harris the Next Star RB Out of Alabama? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Death, taxes, and Alabama producing running backs that the NFL and fantasy owners should be aware of are three of the only things in this universe we can 100% rely on. Najee Harris is one such player heading into 2020. Harris has played only three seasons for the Crimson Tide and may yet return for the fourth year of his eligibility. But if he decides…...

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Week 17 Quarterback Streaming and DFS Options

Though we recapped last week, I could not in good conscience leave those hanging who either use this article for DFS or are in a league that plays throughout the entirety of the regular season. If it’s the latter, you should probably consider not participating in such a league moving forward. I say that because Lamar Jackson, who brought many fantasy owners to victory with…...

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Could Chuba Hubbard be the Feature Back of the Future? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Chuba Hubbard has quickly become a household name in college football, but the jury is still out on when he’ll head to the NFL. Regardless, we’ll get to see Hubbard in at least one more college game before he makes his draft decision. Hubbard and Oklahoma State face off with Texas A&M this week in the Texas Bowl. But for now, let’s take a look…...

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Could Hunter Bryant Be the First Tight End Off the Board? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Hunter Bryant is one of the best young tight ends in the nation. His 2019 success in concert with his athletic gifts no doubt played a part in his deciding to enter the draft in 2020. Bryant’s skills and pedigree will make him one of the top prospects at his position. BACKGROUND Bryant was born in Issaquah, Washington and attended Eastside Catholic High School in…...

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What If the 2019 Rookie Draft Happened Today? Redrafting Round 1

With the 2019 regular season wrapped up and our 2020 prospect coverage in full swing, the arrival of a new year offers an opportunity to look forward and look back. It provides a chance to play with the past. What would 2019 rookie drafts look like if they took place today? The RotoViz dynasty crew had some serious hits back in May. We were much…...

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The FFPC Playoff Challenge: Chalk Plays, Pivots and Ownership Projections

The FFPC Playoff Challenge is a contest playoff tournament with 6,500 teams and over $1.1 million in prizes and a $500,000 grand prize. The rules of the contest are simple — as you can see in Hasan Rahim’s 2018 write up: There is no draft, each owner simply selects a roster of 10 players (1-QB, 2-RB, 2-WR, 1-TE, 2-Flex, 1-K, 1-D; Flex can be RB, WR…...

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Is Antonio Gandy-Golden the Next Cooper Kupp? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

On December 21, Antonio Gandy-Golden and Liberty defeated Georgia Southern 23 to 16 in the FBC Mortgage Cure Bowl. Liberty joined the FBS in 2018 and Gandy-Golden proved in those two seasons that he would remain productive even with the step up in competition. Background Gandy-Golden was an unheralded prospect. He wasn’t ranked by 247Sports and he was only ranked as a two-star prospect by Rivals…....

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Henry Ruggs: Is He More Than Just Speed? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

There’s far more to Henry Ruggs III than what his statistics will tell you on paper. The “third receiver” on the Alabama Crimson Tide is quite certainly one of the most intriguing prospects in the entire 2020 NFL Draft class. But is there more to his game than simply speed? Let’s dive in. Speed from the Beginning Like many other gifted NFL Draft prospects, Ruggs…...

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Putting 2019 in Context: The Middle Rounds Still Belong to Wide Receivers

In Part 1 of this series, we looked at the performance of running backs who were drafted in Rounds 3 through 6 of best ball drafts — also known as the “RB Dead Zone” — and found that the 2019 group scored 29.2% more fantasy points than the 2015-18 average. However, despite posting such high point totals, the average win rate for these RBs was…...

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Is Jonathan Taylor the Perfect Running Back Prospect: A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Jonathan Taylor has been a hot devy item for two full seasons now, and it is highly likely the time has finally come for him to make his much anticipated graduation to the NFL. While it is more than likely Taylor will be playing on Sundays next season, we will get one more opportunity to watch him play in a Badgers uniform. Wisconsin plays Oregon…...

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The RotoViz Screener Locates 15 Breakout Wide Receiver Candidates for 2020

Now that the 2019 regular season is in the books, Shawn Siegele utilizes a quick hack and the RotoViz Screener to locate 15 breakout wide receiver candidates for 2020. Each offseason I write an in-depth series on the characteristics of breakout players. Receivers with different experience levels break out at different rates, to different scores, and for different reasons. It hurts our chances to select the…...

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Putting 2019 in Context: Is the Running Back Dead Zone Dead?

Last July, I wrote an article about the running back dead zone — basically, RBs picked in Rounds 3 through 6 have busted at incredible rates since 2015. That article — along with several others which had similar findings — fundamentally changed my strategy in best ball drafts. Oops.[1]Maybe. Leonard Fournette, Aaron Jones, Chris Carson, Josh Jacobs, Derrick Henry, Mark Ingram, and James White (just…...

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Brycen Hopkins Is Old, but Does It Matter? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

If Brycen Hopkins needs any help in how to deal with the pressures of being a top draft prospect, he only needs to turn to his family for advice. Hopkins’s father, Brad Hopkins, was a first-round selection by the Houston Oilers in the 1993 NFL Draft. Hopkins Sr. played 13 seasons in the NFL, earning two Pro Bowl nods as well as an All-Pro berth…...

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Jerry Jeudy Never Broke Out, But Does it Matter? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

A top 2020 NFL wide receiver prospect, Jerry Jeudy is sure to be coveted in dynasty fantasy football rookie drafts, too. How does his profile measure up when considering RotoViz’s extensive work on indicators of future fantasy success? Let’s explore. As a Recruit Jeudy has been a household name in devy fantasy football circles since February 2017 when he signed with Alabama as a five-star recruit…...

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DK Buffet Week 17: 15 Key Stats for the Main Slate on DraftKings

When I’m looking into the DFS slate each week, I like to go game by game and identify players or situations that intrigue me. In every game, on every team, there’s a situation that’s relevant for DFS purposes, for either a positive or negative reason. These situations inform us of how we should be attacking each slate. Arizona Cardinals Spread: +7 @ Los Angeles Rams…...

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FanDuel NFL Cash Plays – Week 17

The Fantasy Football Ghost helps us close out the regular season with his picks for FanDuel cash lineups in Week 17 Week 17 is traditionally one of the most difficult weeks to forecast as playoff bound teams sit their starting players and non-playoff teams up their game in an attempt to play spoiler. Part of the difficultly revolves around trying to determine if a playoff…...

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Week 17 DraftKings Targets: The News Cycle Is Key

As is the case with Week 17 historically, teams locked into the playoffs with little or nothing to gain from a Week 17 win will often be cautious with their key players. This is already reported to be the case with the Bills this week. We could also see the Vikings and/or Texans take this route as well. There is also the possibility of non-playoff…...

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16 Stats to Know for DFS in Week 17

Utilizing RotoViz’s suite of creative tools, metrics, and filterable stats (all of which just keep getting better!), I unearthed 16 key stats to help you crush your Week 17 NFL DFS lineups. Vegas lines for Week 17 Reported lines are current as of December 26, 2019.[1]Provided by footballlocks.com. CLE @ CIN: The Browns have allowed the 7th-most FP to RBs IMPLIED: CLE 23.5, CIN 21…...

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Does Travis Etienne Deserve to Be the Top RB in Rookie Drafts? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

On December 28, 2019, Travis Etienne and the Clemson Tigers take on the Ohio State Buckeyes in the Fiesta Bowl. Following an undefeated regular season, he and the Tigers will looks to repeat as National Champions. Background Etienne was one of the top RBs in the class of 2017. Per 247 Composite rankings, he was the No. 216 overall player and the No. 16 RB…...

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Best Ball Win Rates: 2019 Awards

Shawn Siegele uses the Best Ball Win Rates tool to hand out awards to the top performances in six categories.  Each week I’ve been using our Best Ball tools to evaluate a different fantasy position. We’ve already begun grading the Best Ball Workshop, a series of how-to strategy articles built on the insights from Mike Beers’ Roster Construction Explorer. Today we pause to hand out some…...

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Is Najee Harris the Next Star RB Out of Alabama? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Death, taxes, and Alabama producing running backs that the NFL and fantasy owners should be aware of are three of the only things in this universe we can 100% rely on. Najee Harris is one such player heading into 2020. Harris has played only three seasons for the Crimson Tide and may yet return for the fourth year of his eligibility. But if he decides…...

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Week 17 Quarterback Streaming and DFS Options

Though we recapped last week, I could not in good conscience leave those hanging who either use this article for DFS or are in a league that plays throughout the entirety of the regular season. If it’s the latter, you should probably consider not participating in such a league moving forward. I say that because Lamar Jackson, who brought many fantasy owners to victory with…...

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Could Chuba Hubbard be the Feature Back of the Future? A 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile

Chuba Hubbard has quickly become a household name in college football, but the jury is still out on when he’ll head to the NFL. Regardless, we’ll get to see Hubbard in at least one more college game before he makes his draft decision. Hubbard and Oklahoma State face off with Texas A&M this week in the Texas Bowl. But for now, let’s take a look…...

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