Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Will Fuller Is Healthy And Ready To Join The NFL’s Elite In 2019

Will Fuller was averaging 15.2 PPG in 2018 when he tore his ACL in Week 8. Expected to be close to 100% in Week 1, the young field-stretcher is set to star this season. Dynasty owners and swashbuckling best ball drafters everywhere breathed a huge sigh of relief when Fuller arrived at training camp healthy. “It feels good to be back out there, running routes…...

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Is Damien Williams Still Worth a Second-Round Pick?

As we inch closer to the start of the regular NFL season and the injuries continue to mount, it’s become clear that there is one backfield to keep our eyes on. That backfield is Kansas City. Damien Williams is consistently being drafted in the second round. Much to the chagrin of fantasy owners, he’s come down with a hamstring early in training camp that’s kept…...

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2019 Dynasty Rookie Rankings and Tiers: Pre-Season Edition

Curtis Patrick is the Dynasty Coordinator for team RotoViz. Pre-Season 2019 Dynasty fantasy football rookie rankings are here! The RotoViz dynasty rankings team has been adjusting the outlook on which players are the best dynasty investments as more has been learned about depth charts and immediate opportunity since we first saw the landing spots for this new wave of players. I’ve drawn in the tiers…...

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Austin Ekeler is Alvin Kamara-in-Waiting: How Season-Long Game Script Affects Running Back Production, Part 2

Welcome back to my NFL Game Script series, where I examine how game script affects running back fantasy production in season-long redraft and best ball formats. In Part 1 of this series, I examined game script from a bird’s eye view. Let’s recap some of the important findings from Part 1: Game condition (leading vs. trailing) has a significant effect on league-wide pass-rates. On average,…...

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RotoViz 12-Person PPR Mock Draft 1.0 on Yahoo!

Last week, I had the privilege of jumping in a mock draft with nine other RotoViz analysts and two fans. I’ve only been writing for this site for about a month, so this was my first time drafting with other RV-ers. I went in knowing it was going to be difficult because most of us have a similar draft philosophy, but it was still the…...

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How Early Is Too Early For Kicker: FFPC Best Ball Roster Construction

The kicker. Many fantasy sites have never had, or are doing away with, the kicker position, but the FFPC stands alone in the best ball community, a bulwark against the rising tide of anti-kickerism. Not only do you need to draft a kicker in FFPC best ball leagues, you need to draft multiple kickers. You thought after years of fantasy football you were finally done…...

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WRS That Will Score Less: Negative Touchdown Regression Candidates

Last year I found that while it may be difficult to project touchdowns year-over-year, touchdowns usually regress to the mean based on a wide receiver’s targets and receiving yards. Every year there are outliers who catch touchdowns at a higher or lower rate than one would expect based on their targets and yards in that season. Perception about a player’s abilitay to score touchdowns — and thus…...

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Dynasty Keep or Cut? How to Make the Choice With Young Players

Saying bye is never easy. Saying bye is even harder when you have to do it to someone you had faith in, but they let you down.[1]Jeff Janis, I’m looking at you. Choosing who to keep or cut in dynasty will bring up these feelings every year. Each offseason, you are inevitably forced to say goodbye to players every year to make room for new…...

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The Cowboys Are All Undervalued, and 5 Other Players to Target in Fantasy Drafts: NFC East Division Preview

This is the first part in an eight-part series previewing each NFL division. I will predict team’s records, order of finish, and point out fantasy studs, mid-round values, late-round gems, and a breakout player from each division. First up, the NFC East. NFC East Dallas (11-5) Philadelphia (10-6) Washington (6-10) NY Giants (5-11) This division is divided between the have and the have nots. Dallas…...

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Rookie Wide Receiver Breakouts – 7 Key Stats to Know About an Accelerating Trend

Rookie wide receivers tend to struggle in redraft. Dave Caban recently showed that even first-round picks are rarely startable in their initial campaigns. The numbers for second-rounders are far worse. We know second-year WRs are the class to target, and rookies don’t break out as frequently as the third-year players either. However, rookies aren’t worthless by any stretch, and the receivers who do emerge go…...

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2019 Apex Experts Draft – Live Results

The 2019 Apex Experts draft kicked off its annual festivities on the first day of August. This is one of my favorite events every year, and it’s again stocked with the best minds in the fantasy industry. Last year, I was lucky enough to make the finals where I fell to Denny Carter.((Denny never picks a QB during the Apex draft itself, but he provided…...

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The 3 and 10 Rule – A Pair of Rookie Wide Receiver Metrics with an Astonishing Hit Rate

Author’s Note, August 2, 2019: so this piece can be used for research, I’ve changed the title and updated the piece with findings for 22-year old rookies since the year 2000. This piece originally posted on June 17, 2019 and featured only the 21-year-old findings. In my opinion, the RotoViz Screener is the most powerful, most useful, and most creative research tool in the fantasy football industry…....

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Kalen Ballage Is One of the Easiest Plays in Fantasy And Also One of the Most Difficult

Kalen Ballage is probably the easiest play in all of fantasy football. He’s also one of the most difficult, because he violates a key principle for selecting middle-round Zero RB candidates – target good players. It created a fantasy hullabaloo when Ballage took the first training camp snap over not-quite-incumbent Kenyan Drake. Some covering the team hypothesized that the call might have been simply sending…...

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Could Doogie Howser Help Oakland’s Receiving Corps? 2 Raiders Deep Sleepers

Most fantasy analysis is devoted to sorting the order of players likely to have an immediate impact, but every year there are a handful of overlooked deep sleepers who emerge to fill a starting role in redraft. Last year, it was guys like Phillip Lindsay and James Conner at running back. Deep sleepers at WR are a little harder to find, but we did tell you to watch out for Curtis Samuel,…...

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Dalvin Cook’s Physical Clone Resides in Carolina’s Backfield: 2 Panthers Deep Sleepers

Most fantasy analysis is devoted to sorting the order of players likely to have an immediate impact, but every year there are a handful of overlooked deep sleepers who emerge to fill a starting role in redraft. Last year, it was guys like Phillip Lindsay and James Conner at running back. Deep sleepers at WR are a little harder to find, but we did tell you to watch out for Curtis Samuel,…...

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Which School Produces the Best Tight Ends? NFL University – The Real TE U

Welcome to the final installment of my NFL University series, Tight End U. We’ve already covered the true NFL University, WR U, and RB U so far. But now it’s on to tight ends. Tight ends get neglected sometimes in NFL and fantasy football analysis, but it’s one of the most difficult positions to play and consistently produce in the NFL. Over 500 tight ends…...

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The Cardinals WR Draft Picks Were Fantastic And That Includes Camp Star KeeSean Johnson

The Arizona Cardinals nailed the 2019 NFL draft with three shrewd wide receiver selections to bolster the depth chart behind Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk. Having landed two trendy names in Andy Isabella and Hakeem Butler, is it possible that pick 174, KeeSean Johnson, will have the best rookie campaign? A blistering deep threat with a 4.31 forty and impressive production,((Isabella earned the top score…...

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How Game Script Affects Running Backs in Redraft and Best Ball Formats

Game script: A concept easy to understand in the abstract but difficult to distill into quantifiable data. Those of us who play DFS understand game script through experience. A team gets down two scores early and begins to take more risks in the passing game. At the same time, the team with the lead begins to run the ball conservatively to burn time and keep…...

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2019’s WR Phenom Index Scores and the Buccaneers Deep Sleeper Who Tops Them All

We’re rolling along in our deep sleeper series, and by now you know the drill — these are guys who have something in their profile that gives us hope, despite what their depressed ADP is telling us. Something a little different for this one, as we’re getting our first look at this year’s wide receiver Phenom Index numbers, a Jon Moore metric which measures age-adjusted…...

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This Rookie Speedster Could Be the One to Emerge from the WR Wreckage in New York: 2 Giants Deep Sleepers

Most fantasy analysis is devoted to sorting the order of players likely to have an immediate impact, but every year there are a handful of overlooked deep sleepers who emerge to fill a starting role in redraft. Last year, it was guys like Phillip Lindsay and James Conner at running back. Deep sleepers at WR are a little harder to find, but we did tell you to watch out for Curtis Samuel,…...

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Will Fuller Is Healthy And Ready To Join The NFL’s Elite In 2019

Will Fuller was averaging 15.2 PPG in 2018 when he tore his ACL in Week 8. Expected to be close to 100% in Week 1, the young field-stretcher is set to star this season. Dynasty owners and swashbuckling best ball drafters everywhere breathed a huge sigh of relief when Fuller arrived at training camp healthy. “It feels good to be back out there, running routes…...

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Is Damien Williams Still Worth a Second-Round Pick?

As we inch closer to the start of the regular NFL season and the injuries continue to mount, it’s become clear that there is one backfield to keep our eyes on. That backfield is Kansas City. Damien Williams is consistently being drafted in the second round. Much to the chagrin of fantasy owners, he’s come down with a hamstring early in training camp that’s kept…...

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2019 Dynasty Rookie Rankings and Tiers: Pre-Season Edition

Curtis Patrick is the Dynasty Coordinator for team RotoViz. Pre-Season 2019 Dynasty fantasy football rookie rankings are here! The RotoViz dynasty rankings team has been adjusting the outlook on which players are the best dynasty investments as more has been learned about depth charts and immediate opportunity since we first saw the landing spots for this new wave of players. I’ve drawn in the tiers…...

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Austin Ekeler is Alvin Kamara-in-Waiting: How Season-Long Game Script Affects Running Back Production, Part 2

Welcome back to my NFL Game Script series, where I examine how game script affects running back fantasy production in season-long redraft and best ball formats. In Part 1 of this series, I examined game script from a bird’s eye view. Let’s recap some of the important findings from Part 1: Game condition (leading vs. trailing) has a significant effect on league-wide pass-rates. On average,…...

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RotoViz 12-Person PPR Mock Draft 1.0 on Yahoo!

Last week, I had the privilege of jumping in a mock draft with nine other RotoViz analysts and two fans. I’ve only been writing for this site for about a month, so this was my first time drafting with other RV-ers. I went in knowing it was going to be difficult because most of us have a similar draft philosophy, but it was still the…...

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How Early Is Too Early For Kicker: FFPC Best Ball Roster Construction

The kicker. Many fantasy sites have never had, or are doing away with, the kicker position, but the FFPC stands alone in the best ball community, a bulwark against the rising tide of anti-kickerism. Not only do you need to draft a kicker in FFPC best ball leagues, you need to draft multiple kickers. You thought after years of fantasy football you were finally done…...

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WRS That Will Score Less: Negative Touchdown Regression Candidates

Last year I found that while it may be difficult to project touchdowns year-over-year, touchdowns usually regress to the mean based on a wide receiver’s targets and receiving yards. Every year there are outliers who catch touchdowns at a higher or lower rate than one would expect based on their targets and yards in that season. Perception about a player’s abilitay to score touchdowns — and thus…...

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Dynasty Keep or Cut? How to Make the Choice With Young Players

Saying bye is never easy. Saying bye is even harder when you have to do it to someone you had faith in, but they let you down.[1]Jeff Janis, I’m looking at you. Choosing who to keep or cut in dynasty will bring up these feelings every year. Each offseason, you are inevitably forced to say goodbye to players every year to make room for new…...

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The Cowboys Are All Undervalued, and 5 Other Players to Target in Fantasy Drafts: NFC East Division Preview

This is the first part in an eight-part series previewing each NFL division. I will predict team’s records, order of finish, and point out fantasy studs, mid-round values, late-round gems, and a breakout player from each division. First up, the NFC East. NFC East Dallas (11-5) Philadelphia (10-6) Washington (6-10) NY Giants (5-11) This division is divided between the have and the have nots. Dallas…...

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Rookie Wide Receiver Breakouts – 7 Key Stats to Know About an Accelerating Trend

Rookie wide receivers tend to struggle in redraft. Dave Caban recently showed that even first-round picks are rarely startable in their initial campaigns. The numbers for second-rounders are far worse. We know second-year WRs are the class to target, and rookies don’t break out as frequently as the third-year players either. However, rookies aren’t worthless by any stretch, and the receivers who do emerge go…...

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2019 Apex Experts Draft – Live Results

The 2019 Apex Experts draft kicked off its annual festivities on the first day of August. This is one of my favorite events every year, and it’s again stocked with the best minds in the fantasy industry. Last year, I was lucky enough to make the finals where I fell to Denny Carter.((Denny never picks a QB during the Apex draft itself, but he provided…...

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The 3 and 10 Rule – A Pair of Rookie Wide Receiver Metrics with an Astonishing Hit Rate

Author’s Note, August 2, 2019: so this piece can be used for research, I’ve changed the title and updated the piece with findings for 22-year old rookies since the year 2000. This piece originally posted on June 17, 2019 and featured only the 21-year-old findings. In my opinion, the RotoViz Screener is the most powerful, most useful, and most creative research tool in the fantasy football industry…....

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Kalen Ballage Is One of the Easiest Plays in Fantasy And Also One of the Most Difficult

Kalen Ballage is probably the easiest play in all of fantasy football. He’s also one of the most difficult, because he violates a key principle for selecting middle-round Zero RB candidates – target good players. It created a fantasy hullabaloo when Ballage took the first training camp snap over not-quite-incumbent Kenyan Drake. Some covering the team hypothesized that the call might have been simply sending…...

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Could Doogie Howser Help Oakland’s Receiving Corps? 2 Raiders Deep Sleepers

Most fantasy analysis is devoted to sorting the order of players likely to have an immediate impact, but every year there are a handful of overlooked deep sleepers who emerge to fill a starting role in redraft. Last year, it was guys like Phillip Lindsay and James Conner at running back. Deep sleepers at WR are a little harder to find, but we did tell you to watch out for Curtis Samuel,…...

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Dalvin Cook’s Physical Clone Resides in Carolina’s Backfield: 2 Panthers Deep Sleepers

Most fantasy analysis is devoted to sorting the order of players likely to have an immediate impact, but every year there are a handful of overlooked deep sleepers who emerge to fill a starting role in redraft. Last year, it was guys like Phillip Lindsay and James Conner at running back. Deep sleepers at WR are a little harder to find, but we did tell you to watch out for Curtis Samuel,…...

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Which School Produces the Best Tight Ends? NFL University – The Real TE U

Welcome to the final installment of my NFL University series, Tight End U. We’ve already covered the true NFL University, WR U, and RB U so far. But now it’s on to tight ends. Tight ends get neglected sometimes in NFL and fantasy football analysis, but it’s one of the most difficult positions to play and consistently produce in the NFL. Over 500 tight ends…...

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The Cardinals WR Draft Picks Were Fantastic And That Includes Camp Star KeeSean Johnson

The Arizona Cardinals nailed the 2019 NFL draft with three shrewd wide receiver selections to bolster the depth chart behind Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk. Having landed two trendy names in Andy Isabella and Hakeem Butler, is it possible that pick 174, KeeSean Johnson, will have the best rookie campaign? A blistering deep threat with a 4.31 forty and impressive production,((Isabella earned the top score…...

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How Game Script Affects Running Backs in Redraft and Best Ball Formats

Game script: A concept easy to understand in the abstract but difficult to distill into quantifiable data. Those of us who play DFS understand game script through experience. A team gets down two scores early and begins to take more risks in the passing game. At the same time, the team with the lead begins to run the ball conservatively to burn time and keep…...

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2019’s WR Phenom Index Scores and the Buccaneers Deep Sleeper Who Tops Them All

We’re rolling along in our deep sleeper series, and by now you know the drill — these are guys who have something in their profile that gives us hope, despite what their depressed ADP is telling us. Something a little different for this one, as we’re getting our first look at this year’s wide receiver Phenom Index numbers, a Jon Moore metric which measures age-adjusted…...

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This Rookie Speedster Could Be the One to Emerge from the WR Wreckage in New York: 2 Giants Deep Sleepers

Most fantasy analysis is devoted to sorting the order of players likely to have an immediate impact, but every year there are a handful of overlooked deep sleepers who emerge to fill a starting role in redraft. Last year, it was guys like Phillip Lindsay and James Conner at running back. Deep sleepers at WR are a little harder to find, but we did tell you to watch out for Curtis Samuel,…...

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Will Fuller Is Healthy And Ready To Join The NFL’s Elite In 2019

Will Fuller was averaging 15.2 PPG in 2018 when he tore his ACL in Week 8. Expected to be close to 100% in Week 1, the young field-stretcher is set to star this season. Dynasty owners and swashbuckling best ball drafters everywhere breathed a huge sigh of relief when Fuller arrived at training camp healthy. “It feels good to be back out there, running routes…...

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Is Damien Williams Still Worth a Second-Round Pick?

As we inch closer to the start of the regular NFL season and the injuries continue to mount, it’s become clear that there is one backfield to keep our eyes on. That backfield is Kansas City. Damien Williams is consistently being drafted in the second round. Much to the chagrin of fantasy owners, he’s come down with a hamstring early in training camp that’s kept…...

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2019 Dynasty Rookie Rankings and Tiers: Pre-Season Edition

Curtis Patrick is the Dynasty Coordinator for team RotoViz. Pre-Season 2019 Dynasty fantasy football rookie rankings are here! The RotoViz dynasty rankings team has been adjusting the outlook on which players are the best dynasty investments as more has been learned about depth charts and immediate opportunity since we first saw the landing spots for this new wave of players. I’ve drawn in the tiers…...

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Austin Ekeler is Alvin Kamara-in-Waiting: How Season-Long Game Script Affects Running Back Production, Part 2

Welcome back to my NFL Game Script series, where I examine how game script affects running back fantasy production in season-long redraft and best ball formats. In Part 1 of this series, I examined game script from a bird’s eye view. Let’s recap some of the important findings from Part 1: Game condition (leading vs. trailing) has a significant effect on league-wide pass-rates. On average,…...

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RotoViz 12-Person PPR Mock Draft 1.0 on Yahoo!

Last week, I had the privilege of jumping in a mock draft with nine other RotoViz analysts and two fans. I’ve only been writing for this site for about a month, so this was my first time drafting with other RV-ers. I went in knowing it was going to be difficult because most of us have a similar draft philosophy, but it was still the…...

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How Early Is Too Early For Kicker: FFPC Best Ball Roster Construction

The kicker. Many fantasy sites have never had, or are doing away with, the kicker position, but the FFPC stands alone in the best ball community, a bulwark against the rising tide of anti-kickerism. Not only do you need to draft a kicker in FFPC best ball leagues, you need to draft multiple kickers. You thought after years of fantasy football you were finally done…...

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WRS That Will Score Less: Negative Touchdown Regression Candidates

Last year I found that while it may be difficult to project touchdowns year-over-year, touchdowns usually regress to the mean based on a wide receiver’s targets and receiving yards. Every year there are outliers who catch touchdowns at a higher or lower rate than one would expect based on their targets and yards in that season. Perception about a player’s abilitay to score touchdowns — and thus…...

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Dynasty Keep or Cut? How to Make the Choice With Young Players

Saying bye is never easy. Saying bye is even harder when you have to do it to someone you had faith in, but they let you down.[1]Jeff Janis, I’m looking at you. Choosing who to keep or cut in dynasty will bring up these feelings every year. Each offseason, you are inevitably forced to say goodbye to players every year to make room for new…...

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The Cowboys Are All Undervalued, and 5 Other Players to Target in Fantasy Drafts: NFC East Division Preview

This is the first part in an eight-part series previewing each NFL division. I will predict team’s records, order of finish, and point out fantasy studs, mid-round values, late-round gems, and a breakout player from each division. First up, the NFC East. NFC East Dallas (11-5) Philadelphia (10-6) Washington (6-10) NY Giants (5-11) This division is divided between the have and the have nots. Dallas…...

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Rookie Wide Receiver Breakouts – 7 Key Stats to Know About an Accelerating Trend

Rookie wide receivers tend to struggle in redraft. Dave Caban recently showed that even first-round picks are rarely startable in their initial campaigns. The numbers for second-rounders are far worse. We know second-year WRs are the class to target, and rookies don’t break out as frequently as the third-year players either. However, rookies aren’t worthless by any stretch, and the receivers who do emerge go…...

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2019 Apex Experts Draft – Live Results

The 2019 Apex Experts draft kicked off its annual festivities on the first day of August. This is one of my favorite events every year, and it’s again stocked with the best minds in the fantasy industry. Last year, I was lucky enough to make the finals where I fell to Denny Carter.((Denny never picks a QB during the Apex draft itself, but he provided…...

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The 3 and 10 Rule – A Pair of Rookie Wide Receiver Metrics with an Astonishing Hit Rate

Author’s Note, August 2, 2019: so this piece can be used for research, I’ve changed the title and updated the piece with findings for 22-year old rookies since the year 2000. This piece originally posted on June 17, 2019 and featured only the 21-year-old findings. In my opinion, the RotoViz Screener is the most powerful, most useful, and most creative research tool in the fantasy football industry…....

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Kalen Ballage Is One of the Easiest Plays in Fantasy And Also One of the Most Difficult

Kalen Ballage is probably the easiest play in all of fantasy football. He’s also one of the most difficult, because he violates a key principle for selecting middle-round Zero RB candidates – target good players. It created a fantasy hullabaloo when Ballage took the first training camp snap over not-quite-incumbent Kenyan Drake. Some covering the team hypothesized that the call might have been simply sending…...

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Could Doogie Howser Help Oakland’s Receiving Corps? 2 Raiders Deep Sleepers

Most fantasy analysis is devoted to sorting the order of players likely to have an immediate impact, but every year there are a handful of overlooked deep sleepers who emerge to fill a starting role in redraft. Last year, it was guys like Phillip Lindsay and James Conner at running back. Deep sleepers at WR are a little harder to find, but we did tell you to watch out for Curtis Samuel,…...

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Dalvin Cook’s Physical Clone Resides in Carolina’s Backfield: 2 Panthers Deep Sleepers

Most fantasy analysis is devoted to sorting the order of players likely to have an immediate impact, but every year there are a handful of overlooked deep sleepers who emerge to fill a starting role in redraft. Last year, it was guys like Phillip Lindsay and James Conner at running back. Deep sleepers at WR are a little harder to find, but we did tell you to watch out for Curtis Samuel,…...

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Which School Produces the Best Tight Ends? NFL University – The Real TE U

Welcome to the final installment of my NFL University series, Tight End U. We’ve already covered the true NFL University, WR U, and RB U so far. But now it’s on to tight ends. Tight ends get neglected sometimes in NFL and fantasy football analysis, but it’s one of the most difficult positions to play and consistently produce in the NFL. Over 500 tight ends…...

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The Cardinals WR Draft Picks Were Fantastic And That Includes Camp Star KeeSean Johnson

The Arizona Cardinals nailed the 2019 NFL draft with three shrewd wide receiver selections to bolster the depth chart behind Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk. Having landed two trendy names in Andy Isabella and Hakeem Butler, is it possible that pick 174, KeeSean Johnson, will have the best rookie campaign? A blistering deep threat with a 4.31 forty and impressive production,((Isabella earned the top score…...

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How Game Script Affects Running Backs in Redraft and Best Ball Formats

Game script: A concept easy to understand in the abstract but difficult to distill into quantifiable data. Those of us who play DFS understand game script through experience. A team gets down two scores early and begins to take more risks in the passing game. At the same time, the team with the lead begins to run the ball conservatively to burn time and keep…...

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2019’s WR Phenom Index Scores and the Buccaneers Deep Sleeper Who Tops Them All

We’re rolling along in our deep sleeper series, and by now you know the drill — these are guys who have something in their profile that gives us hope, despite what their depressed ADP is telling us. Something a little different for this one, as we’re getting our first look at this year’s wide receiver Phenom Index numbers, a Jon Moore metric which measures age-adjusted…...

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This Rookie Speedster Could Be the One to Emerge from the WR Wreckage in New York: 2 Giants Deep Sleepers

Most fantasy analysis is devoted to sorting the order of players likely to have an immediate impact, but every year there are a handful of overlooked deep sleepers who emerge to fill a starting role in redraft. Last year, it was guys like Phillip Lindsay and James Conner at running back. Deep sleepers at WR are a little harder to find, but we did tell you to watch out for Curtis Samuel,…...

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