This is the fourth draft class in a series on dynasty hit rates. The goal of this analysis is to find the real hit rates of players  and possibly some insights in future valuations. The 2010 class gave us several perennial studs, as did the 2011 class. The 2012 class was hit or miss past the QBs. I tweeted about 2012 and some very distinguished dynasty…...

In 2012, six rookies finished top 12 at their position. The future was looking very bright for this class. Then it quickly fell off a cliff. 2013 first-round start up pick, Trent Richardson, just played in the AAF. Robert Griffin III is a backup QB while his backup QB, Kirk Cousins, is starting in Minnesota. Doug Martin and Alfred Morris remain unsigned having largely been non-factors…...

Long time readers are familiar with Matthew Freedman’s Workhorse Score and Blair Andrews’ Backfield Dominator Rating. Today we dig into the new Box Score Scout and examine the roles that the top 2019 NFL draft prospects played in their respective offenses. Production translates. That’s the key you need to remember as you prepare for your upcoming rookie drafts. Sure, athleticism matters, especially at RB. That’s…...

The 2011 class gave us A.J. Green and Julio Jones. For years, dynasty players have been hoarding rookie picks with expectations of drafting the next Green or Jones. The problem with this narrative is there isn’t a Green or Jones in every class. Also both players are still in the league. There are only 24 top spots available and both have finished in the top…...

Welcome to the first iteration of this off-season dynasty buy low series! This article series will identify players who the public is too low on right now, or whose value is set to spike soon. Today, I am focusing on two elite wide receivers who crack the top-15 in my dynasty wide receiver rankings who the public is lower on than I am. Tyler Boyd…...

As we inch closer to the NFL Draft, it’s time for a quick review of former Memphis Tigers’ running back Darrell Henderson.[1]The original, pre-combine version of this article was published on January 14, 2019. THE EARLY YEARS As a three-star prospect per 247 Sports, Henderson had zero offers from Power Five programs, eventually committing to Memphis in February of 2016. As a freshman he was part…...

This is the first article in a series looking at previous dynasty rookie draft class ADPs and their hit rates. There are some historical clues inside this analysis that may be advantageous to dynasty as well as redraft players at present. The final article of this series will examine the historical hit rate percentages of nine years of draft classes. Here is the 2010 dynasty…...