Should We Fade Golfers Coming Off a Tournament Win?

Every week, there’s a discussion of whether or not to play golfers coming off of a victory. It’s easy to say “well, this guy has been celebrating so we should fade” or “he’s obviously playing great golf so we should keep riding them until the wheels fall off.” Those are narratives, though — the stories we tell ourselves with little to no proof. We’re going to dive into winning performances and see if we can…...

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PGA Tools

Should We Fade Golfers Coming Off a Tournament Win?

Every week, there’s a discussion of whether or not to play golfers coming off of a victory. It’s easy to say “well, this guy has been celebrating so we should fade” or “he’s obviously playing great golf so we should keep riding them until the wheels fall off.” Those are narratives, though — the stories we tell ourselves with little to no proof. We’re going to dive into winning performances and see if we can make heads or tails of this question. Who Wins Tournaments? It should come as no surprise that the most expensive golfers are the most likely…...

full access to all pga content...

For the 2019 season, full access to all PGA content will be included with a RotoViz subscription. 

PGA - Tools

3 Golfers Under 30 to Watch in 2020: PGA DFS

An eventful President’s Cup is over and we have a few weeks before the tour heads out to Hawaii to tee it up for the official start of the golf year in 2020. Here at RotoViz, we like to think that we can uncover some hidden gems or guys under the radar. Whether it’s something like the Zero-RB Report or the excellent devy content, we try to gain an edge wherever we can. I figured our PGA content should be no different. So, I set out to find some golfers worth highlighting that are under 30 and outside of the top 50 in the OWGR.  Quick Refresher on Power Ranking Some of the visuals I’m going to use reference something called “Power Ranking.” I wrote an introduction to Power Ranking when I rolled it out in July. The too long; didn’t read version is that Power Ranking (PRK) takes into…...

PGA DFS: Plays and Pivots for the TOUR Championship on DraftKings

The field is set at 30 for the TOUR Championship. The field will take on East Lake Golf Course as it has every year since 2004. The course is a par 70 that plays just over 7,300 yards. The greens are around 6,300 square feet and are bermudagrass. Golfers that were lucky enough to qualify for the TOUR Championship will make have to deal with 74 bunkers and six water hazards as they make their way around the track. Make sure you dive into the preview and trends article so you know which stats are important in limiting your player pool this week. Most of the win equity for this week’s tournament is up at the top of the leaderboard. Given the staggered scoring from the start, it would take a herculean effort from someone at the bottom of the leaderboard to make up the strokes necessary to win the…...

PGA DFS: Values and Pivots for the TOUR Championship on Yahoo!

The field is set at 30 for the TOUR Championship. The field will take on East Lake Golf Course as it has every year since 2004. The course is a par 70 that plays just over 7,300 yards. The greens are around 6,300 square feet and are bermudagrass. Golfers that were lucky enough to qualify for the TOUR Championship will make have to deal with 74 bunkers and six water hazards as they make their way around the track. Make sure you dive into the preview and trends article so you know which stats are important in limiting your player pool this week.  Vegas Values We’ve got a humdinger of a week on our hands for the TOUR Championship. The golfers are starting with staggered scoring before they even tee off this week. There’s no way around it, you’ll need the winner this week. Most of the field is frankly…...

PGA DFS: East Lake Golf Course Preview and Trends

The field is set at 30 for the TOUR Championship. The field will take on East Lake Golf Course as it has every year since 2004. The course is a par 70 that plays just over 7,300 yards. The greens are around 6,300 square feet and are bermudagrass. Golfers that were lucky enough to qualify for the TOUR Championship will make have to deal with 74 bunkers and six water hazards as they make their way around the track.  The course itself has been somewhere between 20th and 30th most difficult on tour in any year over the past half-decade. With winning scores ranging anywhere from -9 to -12 over that span, it will be interesting to see how the new format plays out. Before anyone sticks a tee in the ground, the golfers will start with staggered scores. They’ll range from Justin Thomas ($15,500) starting at 10-under all the…...

Justin Thomas is Knocking on the Door: PGA Plays and Pivots for the BMW Championship on DraftKings

We’re off and running in the sprint to the FedEx Cup with the second leg of the playoffs.1 The BMW Championship will be held at Medinah Country Club No. 3 this year. It has been the host of its fair share of majors and even a Ryder Cup. Medinah plays as a Par 72 and the scorecard this week has it at over 7,600 yards. With three of the four par 5s playing over 575 yards and each of the par 3s playing over 190 yards, distance will be important this week. Golfers will contend with average sized bentgrass greens that are set to run around 12 on the stimp. They’ll also have to deal with 71 bunkers and two water hazards.  Checking the Chalk Justin Thomas ($10,000) continues knocking on the door lately. His ball-striking has really picked up over his past four starts. Over that span, he has…...

PGA DFS: Vegas Values and Pivots for the BMW Championship on Yahoo!

We’re off and running in the sprint to the FedEx Cup with the second leg of the playoffs.1 The BMW Championship will be held at Medinah Country Club No. 3 this year. It has been the host of its fair share of majors and even a Ryder Cup. Medinah plays as a par 72 and the scorecard this week has it at over 7,600 yards. With three of the four par 5s playing over 575 yards and each of the par 3s playing over 190 yards, distance will be of some importance this week. The golfers will contend with average-sized bentgrass greens that are set to run around 12 on the stimp. They’ll also have to deal with 71 bunkers and two water hazards.  Vegas Values Tiger Woods ($45) and Francesco Molinari ($43) are anti-values this week. They are fourth and seventh, respectively, in Yahoo! pricing but are 17th and…...

Patrick Cantlay is Ready for the Playoffs: Picks and Plays for The Northern Trust on DraftKings

The field is set and we’re ready for the first leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. The Northern Trust will be held at Liberty National GC this year. The scorecard for this year’s event shows it playing as a 7,370-yard par 71.  With such a small sample of prior results here, there’s no course preview. That doesn’t mean there aren’t some trends we can check out, though. It’s been pretty even between distance and accuracy. There have been 48 golfers to finish in the top 20 of DK scoring in those two events. Of that group, 10 have hit the top 10 in distance compared to eight that got there in accuracy off the tee. In weeks like these, there has to be a higher emphasis on ball striking.  Checking the Chalk Justin Thomas ($10,000) is on the upswing once again. After struggling with a wrist issue for a bit…...

Collin Morikawa is Still Too Cheap: Values and Pivots for The Northern Trust on Yahoo!

The field is set and we’re ready for the first leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. The Northern Trust will be held at Liberty National GC this year. The scorecard for this year’s event shows it playing as a 7,370-yard par 71.  With such a small sample of prior results here, there’s no course preview. That doesn’t mean there aren’t some trends we can check out, though. It’s been pretty even between distance and accuracy. There have been 48 golfers to finish in the top 20 of DK scoring in those two events. Of that group, 10 have hit the top 10 in distance compared to eight that got there in accuracy off the tee. In weeks like these, there has to be a higher emphasis on ball-striking.  Vegas Values Jon Rahm ($44) continues to be undervalued in Yahoo! pricing this week. He’s the eighth highest priced golfer but has…...

Values and Pivots for the Wyndham Championship on Yahoo!

The Tour is heading to Greensboro, NC for this year’s Wyndham Championship. The course, as usual, is Sedgefield Country Club. It’s a par-70 course that plays just a touch over 7,100 yards, and the greens are bermudagrass. There are only 48 bunkers on the course to go along with the 13 water hazards. It’s not the most difficult course around, despite all of that water. In fact, you have to go all the way back to 2013 for it to be inside of the top 30 most difficult courses for a given season. Last year, there was only one hole in the top 125 most difficult holes on tour. As you’ll see with the winning scores, there are birdies to be had. Be sure to check out the course preview article for more information on Sedgefield CC. Vegas Value Martin Kaymer ($34) jumps out as a value this week. At…...

PGA DFS: Plays and Pivots for the Wyndham Championship on DraftKings

The Tour is heading to Greensboro, NC for this year’s Wyndham Championship. The course, as usual, is Sedgefield Country Club. It’s a par-70 course that plays just a touch over 7,100 yards, and the greens are bermudagrass. There are only 48 bunkers on the course to go along with the 13 water hazards. It’s not the most difficult course around, despite all of that water. In fact, you have to go all the way back to 2013 for it to be inside of the top 30 most difficult courses for a given season. Last year, there was only one hole in the top 125 most difficult holes on tour. As you’ll see with the winning scores, there are birdies to be had. Be sure to check out the course preview article for more information on Sedgefield CC.   Checking The Chalk Webb Simpson ($11,200) is way up at the top…...

3 Golfers Under 30 to Watch in 2020: PGA DFS

An eventful President’s Cup is over and we have a few weeks before the tour heads out to Hawaii to tee it up for the official start of the golf year in 2020. Here at RotoViz, we like to think that we can uncover some hidden gems or guys under…...

PGA DFS: Plays and Pivots for the TOUR Championship on DraftKings

The field is set at 30 for the TOUR Championship. The field will take on East Lake Golf Course as it has every year since 2004. The course is a par 70 that plays just over 7,300 yards. The greens are around 6,300 square feet and are bermudagrass. Golfers that…...

PGA DFS: Values and Pivots for the TOUR Championship on Yahoo!

The field is set at 30 for the TOUR Championship. The field will take on East Lake Golf Course as it has every year since 2004. The course is a par 70 that plays just over 7,300 yards. The greens are around 6,300 square feet and are bermudagrass. Golfers that…...

PGA DFS: East Lake Golf Course Preview and Trends

The field is set at 30 for the TOUR Championship. The field will take on East Lake Golf Course as it has every year since 2004. The course is a par 70 that plays just over 7,300 yards. The greens are around 6,300 square feet and are bermudagrass. Golfers that…...

PGA DFS: Vegas Values and Pivots for the BMW Championship on Yahoo!

We’re off and running in the sprint to the FedEx Cup with the second leg of the playoffs.1 The BMW Championship will be held at Medinah Country Club No. 3 this year. It has been the host of its fair share of majors and even a Ryder Cup. Medinah plays…...

Values and Pivots for the Wyndham Championship on Yahoo!

The Tour is heading to Greensboro, NC for this year’s Wyndham Championship. The course, as usual, is Sedgefield Country Club. It’s a par-70 course that plays just a touch over 7,100 yards, and the greens are bermudagrass. There are only 48 bunkers on the course to go along with the…...

PGA DFS: Plays and Pivots for the Wyndham Championship on DraftKings

The Tour is heading to Greensboro, NC for this year’s Wyndham Championship. The course, as usual, is Sedgefield Country Club. It’s a par-70 course that plays just a touch over 7,100 yards, and the greens are bermudagrass. There are only 48 bunkers on the course to go along with the…...

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