Palmetto Championship at Congaree: PGA DFS Breakdown

The Palmetto Championship is being held at a course that we’ve never seen before. Congaree Golf Club is down in South Carolina and is a par 71 track. As par 71s go, it’s definitely on the longer side measuring in at 7,655 yards. Greens are about average size with bermudagrass and there is water in play on 10 holes. With no data from the actual

Palmetto Championship at Congaree: PGA DFS Breakdown

The Palmetto Championship is being held at a course that we’ve never seen before. Congaree Golf Club is down in South Carolina and is a par 71 track. As par 71s go, it’s definitely on the longer side measuring in at 7,655 yards. Greens are about average size with bermudagrass and there is water in play on 10 holes. With no data from the actual

Palmetto Championship at Congaree: PGA DFS Breakdown

The Palmetto Championship is being held at a course that we’ve never seen before. Congaree Golf Club is down in South Carolina and is a par 71 track. As par 71s go, it’s definitely on the longer side measuring in at 7,655 yards. Greens are about average size with bermudagrass and there is water in play on 10 holes. With no data from the actual

PGA DFS: Workday Charity Open Slate Breakdown

We are back once again this week to break down the DraftKings slate for the Workday Charity Open. It’s the first of two weeks at Muirfield Village CC. If you’re looking for a more in-depth look at the course itself, you can head over to last year’s course preview. Buy or Sell As we’ve learned, fading the expensive chalk is a viable strategy in PGA…...

Should We Fade Golfers Coming Off a Tournament Win?

Every week, there’s a discussion of whether or not to play golfers coming off of a victory. It’s easy to say “well, this guy has been celebrating so we should fade” or “he’s obviously playing great golf so we should keep riding them until the wheels fall off.” Those are narratives, though — the stories we tell ourselves with little to no proof. We’re going…...

Mega Chalk Is Rare in the $6,500-$7,400 Range, But Is It Worth Chasing When We Find It?

I’ve spent most of the past three months diving into different ways to model PGA Tour performance. As with most things, predicting golf exists on a spectrum. On the “most predictable” side of that spectrum, you have things like Driving Distance. It doesn’t really change from event to event with some, rare exceptions. On the other end, we have things like putting performance. The variance…...

The PGA DFS Optimizer Preview: Lineup Options for the Rocket Mortgage Classic

The PGA DFS Optimizer has been live here at RotoViz for some time now. I use it as a part of my lineup building process to see who the PRK Model likes each week. This week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic features a much weaker field than we’ve seen since the restart. After I run through a couple of different exercises with the optimizer, I get a…...

If You’re Going to Play Chalk, Get It at a Discount: Are We Good at Picking Golfers in the $8,400 to $7,500 Range?

I’ve spent most of the past three months diving into different ways to model PGA Tour performance. As with most things, predicting golf exists on a spectrum. On the “most predictable” side of that spectrum, you have things like Driving Distance. It doesn’t really change from event to event with some, rare exceptions. On the other end, we have things like putting performance. The variance…...

PGA DFS Game Theory: How To Pick Golfers in the $9,400 to $8,500 Range

I’ve spent most of the past three months diving into different ways to model PGA Tour performance. As with most things, predicting golf exists on a spectrum. On the “most predictable” side of that spectrum, you have things like Driving Distance. It doesn’t really change from event to event with some, rare exceptions. On the other end, we have things like putting performance. The variance…...

PGA DFS: Travelers Championship Slate Breakdown

We’re heading up to Cromwell, CT for the Travelers Championship. If you’re looking for a more in-depth statistical breakdown of the course, you can check out last year’s course preview article.  Buy or Sell The expensive chalk this week is shaping up to be Bryson DeChambeau ($11,000). We learned in this Part 1 of the PGA DFS Game Theory Series that the highest owned golfers…...

PGA DFS Game Theory: How To Pick Golfers in the $9,500 and Up Range

I’ve spent most of the past few years diving into different ways to model PGA Tour performance. As with most things, predicting golf exists on a spectrum. On the “most predictable” side of that spectrum, you have things like Driving Distance. It doesn’t really change from event to event with some, rare exceptions. On the other end, we have things like putting performance. The variance

PGA DFS: Justin Thomas is Locked and Loaded at the RBC Heritage

After a solid week down in Texas, the Tour turns its attention to Harbour Town Golf Links for the RBC Heritage. If you want an in-depth look at this week’s track, head over to last year’s preview article. Buy or Sell Webb Simpson ($9,000) is coming back off of a disappointing performance down in Texas, missing the cut as one of the most heavily owned

PGA DFS: Workday Charity Open Slate Breakdown

We are back once again this week to break down the DraftKings slate for the Workday Charity Open. It’s the first of two weeks at Muirfield Village CC. If you’re looking for a more in-depth look at the course itself, you can head over to last year’s course preview. Buy or Sell As we’ve learned, fading the expensive chalk is a viable strategy in PGA…...

Should We Fade Golfers Coming Off a Tournament Win?

Every week, there’s a discussion of whether or not to play golfers coming off of a victory. It’s easy to say “well, this guy has been celebrating so we should fade” or “he’s obviously playing great golf so we should keep riding them until the wheels fall off.” Those are narratives, though — the stories we tell ourselves with little to no proof. We’re going…...

Mega Chalk Is Rare in the $6,500-$7,400 Range, But Is It Worth Chasing When We Find It?

I’ve spent most of the past three months diving into different ways to model PGA Tour performance. As with most things, predicting golf exists on a spectrum. On the “most predictable” side of that spectrum, you have things like Driving Distance. It doesn’t really change from event to event with some, rare exceptions. On the other end, we have things like putting performance. The variance…...

The PGA DFS Optimizer Preview: Lineup Options for the Rocket Mortgage Classic

The PGA DFS Optimizer has been live here at RotoViz for some time now. I use it as a part of my lineup building process to see who the PRK Model likes each week. This week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic features a much weaker field than we’ve seen since the restart. After I run through a couple of different exercises with the optimizer, I get a…...

If You’re Going to Play Chalk, Get It at a Discount: Are We Good at Picking Golfers in the $8,400 to $7,500 Range?

I’ve spent most of the past three months diving into different ways to model PGA Tour performance. As with most things, predicting golf exists on a spectrum. On the “most predictable” side of that spectrum, you have things like Driving Distance. It doesn’t really change from event to event with some, rare exceptions. On the other end, we have things like putting performance. The variance…...

PGA DFS Game Theory: How To Pick Golfers in the $9,400 to $8,500 Range

I’ve spent most of the past three months diving into different ways to model PGA Tour performance. As with most things, predicting golf exists on a spectrum. On the “most predictable” side of that spectrum, you have things like Driving Distance. It doesn’t really change from event to event with some, rare exceptions. On the other end, we have things like putting performance. The variance…...

PGA DFS: Travelers Championship Slate Breakdown

We’re heading up to Cromwell, CT for the Travelers Championship. If you’re looking for a more in-depth statistical breakdown of the course, you can check out last year’s course preview article.  Buy or Sell The expensive chalk this week is shaping up to be Bryson DeChambeau ($11,000). We learned in this Part 1 of the PGA DFS Game Theory Series that the highest owned golfers…...

PGA DFS Game Theory: How To Pick Golfers in the $9,500 and Up Range

I’ve spent most of the past few years diving into different ways to model PGA Tour performance. As with most things, predicting golf exists on a spectrum. On the “most predictable” side of that spectrum, you have things like Driving Distance. It doesn’t really change from event to event with some, rare exceptions. On the other end, we have things like putting performance. The variance

PGA DFS: Justin Thomas is Locked and Loaded at the RBC Heritage

After a solid week down in Texas, the Tour turns its attention to Harbour Town Golf Links for the RBC Heritage. If you want an in-depth look at this week’s track, head over to last year’s preview article. Buy or Sell Webb Simpson ($9,000) is coming back off of a disappointing performance down in Texas, missing the cut as one of the most heavily owned

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