Fantasy football is about creating more WR firepower than your opponents. You can’t do it without numbers, but you can’t win tournaments with numbers if you don’t select the right guys. Nothing provides more fantasy upside than hitting on undervalued WRs.  That’s been the focus of my WR Breakout Series, a research project that hits this topic from a variety of important angles. The importance…...

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Houston Texans while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

Shawn Siegele breaks down four post-cliff wide receivers who help rescue any fantasy football build in 2024. In 2024 drafters are faced with a choice: hammer WR early . . . or lose? The evidence is pretty convincing. In his simulation of thousands of seasons and millions of teams, Jake Boes found that early WR was the best way to attack the new ADP environment in…...

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Green Bay Packers while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out…...

Blair Andrews pens Part 3 in a series helping you build super teams through a better understanding of wide receiver breakouts. Since the early days at RotoViz we’ve spilled plenty of words explaining why you wanted to take a fast and furious approach to WR drafting. But we’ve spent even more time helping you find the right WRs. Of course, the NFL continues to evolve and…...

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Detroit Lions while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

Shawn Siegele explores five key components he uses to build out the Zero RB draft board, and then breaks down 61 players using those criteria. As we move toward the 2024 Zero RB Candidates Countdown, I’ve been working on a series of articles that help place RB outcomes in the context of upside scenarios and downside risks. We Won’t Get Another Kyren Williams, But This…...

The running back position is as volatile as ever, and seemingly every year we see players at the position come out of nowhere to earn meaningful roles at all points of the season. What is perhaps flying under the radar is that all four teams in the AFC West have questions relating to the amount of depth, talent, or both in their RB depth charts…....

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Denver Broncos while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

Shawn Siegele investigates Kyren Williams’ league-crushing campaign to find out what it can tell us about fantasy running back drafting. Can two dark horse candidates follow in his footsteps? Every so often we get a lightning-strike player who completely turns the fantasy season on its head. In 2023 that was Kyren Williams. Searching for players like Williams can present problems. We don’t expect to get…...

Expected points (EP) correlate better to future fantasy success than fantasy points over expected (FPOE). FPOE is tied to big plays and TDs meaning it is also tied to missed tackles and blown assignments; in turn, it is generally more volatile. Some rightly source a degree of potential upcoming regression by comparing FPOE to EP; a massive disparity between them may signal that someone has…...

Shawn Siegele explains why the scariest RB Dead Zone profile is priced above the dead zone and threatens to torpedo your roster like Dalvin Cook in 2022 or Austin Ekeler in 2023. My most notorious player-related article came right at the beginning. In June 2013 I argued that Adrian Peterson was not worth a top-five pick. This was six months after he came within 9 yards…...

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Dallas Cowboys while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Cleveland Browns while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Cincinnati Bengals while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Chicago Bears while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

After the Dolphins’ RBs broke fantasy football in 2023, Shawn Siegele profiles the running game poised to deliver similar results in 2024. De’Von Achane and Raheem Mostert both found their way onto last year’s Zero RB Candidates Countdown. The two Miami stars were so good that you had great success drafting them individually . . . or even together. And despite a dramatic shift in Achane’s…...