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The Waiver Wire Report: Monday Edition, Week 5, 2014

jariuswright

This is the Monday iteration of the Waiver Wire Report and contains my current thinking. If we get more injury information that affects other players then I’ll issue a Tuesday addendum as well (or, if I just flat out forget to mention a player in this piece).

Also, it was suggested in the comments last week that we bounce ideas off each other in terms of what amounts we’ll be bidding on players. That’s a great idea, so feel free to use the comments for that purpose.

Travaris Cadet

My Zero RB teams have been cycling through end of bench RBs thus far. I’m typically adding them for free or for very little, and then I’m cutting bait when I don’t think the opportunity is there any more. For instance, I added Damien Williams for free or for very cheap and then cut bait when Daniel Thomas played in front of Williams. I added Alfred Blue for free when Arian Foster first started missing practices, and now I’m holding him because Foster could go down at any time. I also won the race to the waiver wire in a few leagues to end up with Matt Asiata on the day that Adrian Peterson’s child abuse case was announced, so he’s taking up space in some leagues.

The reason I mention this is because Cadet could be an option to pick-up for a week to see what happens. Even though Pierre Thomas out-snapped Cadet, Thomas ended up with fewer catches on Sunday. You can’t really trust just one game, but I will be looking to add Cadet to see if a trend emerges. The pass catching back in the Saints offense is extremely valuable in PPR leagues. But this is a true flier, so you need to add him for free and also not drop any promising player, like Blue, in order to do it.

Darrin Reaves

I’m a little surprised that there isn’t more enthusiasm for Darrin Reaves. I don’t mean enthusiasm on the level of Jerick McKinnon, but I think the potential for another RB to at least take a shot at the Carolina backfield is interesting. I have Reaves on a bunch of teams now because I saw the injury uncertainty last week and figured that Reaves would be fine as a free add. So I’m biased when I say that I’d like to see him get a shot. There are some things to like about him, but he doesn’t have a spotless resume either.

There’s some potential that Carolina could add a veteran RB who would then be given the starting job. There’s also potential that either Jonathan Stewart or DeAngelo Williams could be healthy next week. Because of these possibilities you can’t break the bank for Reaves. I would bid about two to three percent of FAAAB to try to get him. You might be cutting him next week.

Austin Seferian-Jenkins

ASJ played in 71 of 71 offensive snaps for the Buccs on Sunday and was also targeted seven times. He’s available in a lot of leagues, but that should change this week despite a box score that really didn’t pop. Because ASJ has such a high physical upside, he could potentially be the breakout TE of the season now that he appears to be healthy. Additionally Mike Evans is going to miss time with an injured groin, so even more targets should be available.

This might sound overly aggressive, but I’m probably going to submit bids of about 10 to 15 percent for ASJ to ensure that I get him, or at least that’s what I’ll be doing in TE premium leagues. In a typical PPR I probably wouldn’t be as aggressive because the payoff even if ASJ hits isn’t as great. But full snap loads and seven targets per week is basically what you’re hoping a breakout TE candidate gets. ASJ has some Gronk traits, so I don’t mind getting a little more aggressive than usual in FAAB bidding.

ASJ has all of the elements I like in a waiver add. He’s physically talented. His opportunity should be fairly secure. He hasn’t popped yet, so his price should be cheap.

Jarius Wright

Wright is not the kind of player I typically like to pick up because I usually want some shot at getting a team’s top receiver. But Wright did see 10 targets on Sunday compared to four each for Cordarrelle Patterson and Greg Jennings. On the season Jennings has the target lead with 22, while CP has 21 and Wright has 16.

If you’ve read RotoViz for any length of time you know we actually kind of like Wright. In fact I kind of actually like Wright. But the tough thing for me to figure out is who I would drop to pick Wright up. I can’t think of a player on any of my rosters that I would drop to pick up Wright.

Eddie Royal

Eddie Royal has one more target than Keenan Allen through four weeks. It’s also worth remembering that the San Diego offense is not a Ken Whisenhunt run scheme any more, so we should have maybe been expecting some usage changes when Frank Reich took over. It’s difficult to know whether Royal’s scoring will persist, or whether this is a blip just like last year.

All I know is that every time I suggest that Ladarius Green should be playing in front of another San Diego pass catcher, that other pass catcher usually has a TD pretty soon after I make my bold pronouncement.

Jace Amaro

Despite the fact that his targets ticked up this week, Amaro has played 22 or 24 snaps every week for the Jets. You would think that a team with a dearth of viable pass catchers would try to get their promising young rookie TE onto the field more . . . but you would be wrong.

Amaro makes the most sense as a stash in a league where you have room for a TE that you can take a wait and see approach with. I wouldn’t personally feel comfortable starting him until I saw either an increase in snaps or an increase in targets. But I like to be a little early on waiver wire pickups, and I typically hope to get them for minimum FAAB bids if possible. So I’ll probably look to add Amaro where roster space allows it. In my mind that requires somewhere around 20-man rosters. I also wouldn’t drop anyone half promising to pick up Amaro.

Antone Smith

All we can really do now is salivate over the potential that Smith might get a full workload at some point. He’s a fast guy and has an astonishing number of big plays under his belt. But his usage is also going to be totally unpredictable and it would take more than a single injury in Atlanta to change that.

Logan Paulsen

I don’t think Paulsen will be a hot add this week because he’s probably a questionable add on his own, and then the potential that Jordan Reed or Niles Paul could return soon further damages his value. But if you’re in a TE premium league where you’re scrambling for a TE to play on a weekly basis, Paulsen’s name is one to keep an eye on. I can’t imagine Paulsen having relevance in most formats.

Roy Helu

Helu probably makes most sense as a stopgap RB2 in a PPR league where you’re strong everywhere else. But I’m not sure he even makes sense then. It’s worth noting that Alfred Morris is also catching more passes this year. I would probably prefer to add true fliers like Reaves rather than use waiver claims on roster space wasters like Helu. At least if Reaves hits, there’s some chance that without further catalysts he could have fantasy value. In Helu’s case he really needs an injury to Morris in order to be viable. If we ever heard that Morris was limited in practice, or might not play in any week, I would run to the waiver wire to grab Helu.

Clay Harbor

Harbor saw an uptick in usage this weekend and also now appears to be in an offense that can sort of move the ball sometimes. But Harbor doesn’t have the upside that ASJ has, so I don’t think you can be super excited to add him. It’s more likely that depending on matchup Harbor might make a bye week fill in.

Mike Williams

I would personally like to see Williams get more targets in Buffalo, but what I want and what will actually happen are two different things. Buffalo is going to start Kyle Orton next week and then Sammy Watkins appears to be the default lead receiver in that corps. Also, to further complicate things, Robert Woods actually led the receivers in targets yesterday.

I can’t think of a scenario where I could burn FAAB money on Williams.

Teddy Bridgewater

Teddy is a weekly streaming option. Pay attention to the SOS information in the Buy Low Machine to know whether his weekly matchup is a good one.

Marvin Jones

Jones should be owned in every league at this point based on his eventual return from his broken foot.

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