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4 Boom/Bust Picks You Need to Make at the End of MFL10s

In MFL10s, the later rounds of the draft can seem a little bleak. You’re often deciding between a backup running back or wide receiver and hoping for a possible injury in front of them that will open up a path to usage. But some of this year’s late round picks have greater value than those handcuffs looking for a break.

Using the RotoViz Best Ball ADP app, I found four players being drafted outside of the top 150 who, despite their late ADP, have “home run” potential. I’m here to give you one player each at quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end who can win you weeks.

These four players will all be inconsistent, but the “boom” weeks make them perfectly suited for the best-ball format.

Quarterback

Many quarterbacks have a couple weeks of QB1 scoring throughout the season, but Tyrod Taylor is the player going outside of the top 150 who could elevate a team to the top of an MFL10. Currently being drafted as the 20th QB and the 155th overall pick, Taylor’s rushing ability makes him a fantasy asset late in the draft. Last season, Taylor ranked second in the NFL in QB rush attempts, third in QB rushing yards, and fourth in QB rushing touchdowns; these rushing statistics allowed him to finish the season 15th in QB scoring despite missing two games. As for his boom potential, Taylor’s season featured seven weeks as a top 12 QB, which also included two weeks in the top five.

Running back

LeGarrette Blount saw a minor boost to his ADP after it was announced that he was resigning with the New England Patriots. Currently being drafted as RB57 and 184th overall, Blount’s situation and usage make him a prime boom-bust candidate for the 2016 season. As I previously mentioned while discussing Dion Lewis’s value, Blount led New England in rush attempts prior to the Lewis injury. Blount finished the season as RB40 (in PPR formats), but he finished tied for 11th in rushing TDs and was 12th in the league in red zone rush attempts. Those ranks show that Blount’s weekly value is heavily tied to his team’s ability to get close to the endzone – something that is not a problem for the Patriots offense (according to the RotoViz NFL Drive App, New England was tied for fifth in percentage of drives reaching the red zone in 2015, doing so at a 35 percent clip). Blount’s 2015 campaign featured three top 10 finishes, including two top five finishes. After losing Edelman to injury for seven games of the 2015 season, the New England offense often ran below full strength.  With Edelman back to full health, the Patriot offense will provide even more redzone opportunities for Blount.

Wide Receiver

Pierre Garcon is a non-traditional boom/bust player, but his target rate has turned him into a potential boom player in PPR formats. Garcon, who is currently being drafted at WR60 and 152nd overall, lead his team in targets, receptions, yards, and touchdowns in 2015. Garcon averaged 6.75 targets per game, including two games of 12 targets, and 4.5 receptions per game in 2016. During 2015, Garcon had two weeks of top 12 WR finishes, one additional week in the top 24, and four additional top 36 finishes. Garcon is far from a sexy pick, but based on his consistent baseline usage, he is always one touchdown away from being a starting WR in an MFL10 lineup.

Tight End

Will Tye has been turned into a value only because of his small sample size. Currently being drafted as TE 25 and 177th overall, Tye started only seven games last season and didn’t see consistent playing time until week ten. But he was able to make the most of that consistent playing time. From week ten until the end of the regular season, Tye ranked ninth in PPR scoring, eighth in TE yards, and tied for eighth in TE receptions. During Tye’s eight weeks of consistent usage, he finished in the top 12 five times, including one top five finish. Now poised as the top TE on the Giants, the former Giants practice squad member looks to be a valuable second TE who could out-produce your starter several times during the season.

BoomBust ADPs

In standard season long formats, each of these players would be a headache trying to pick out their weeks of production, but in MFL10s they could be the key to winning. I don’t advocate drafting them above their ADP because they best serve in a secondary role with a few big weeks; but I absolutely advocate drafting these players. Paired with more consistent starters, these late round picks can push a team up the season long leaderboard one big week at a time.

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