According to Bleacher Report’s Jason Cole, [Phillip] Dorsett indeed suffered a hamstring injury that is considered “just a ‘tweak.'”
If true, that’s good news for the Colts. It would hurt to lose a significant contributor on the second day of OTAs, but it sounds like Dorsett should be back out there soon – though there’s no sense in rushing him back at this point.
Source: Stephen Holder (@HolderStephen)
Donte Moncrief was out after he had surgery for turf toe. But that was not a surprise. They’re not worried about him long term.
Moncrief battled turf toe toward the end of 2015, which helps explain his lack of production in December. And, of course, there’s this:
Dorsett does not have a history of hamstring problems, so this injury shouldn’t raise red flags unless it lingers into training camp.
Both Moncrief and Dorsett stand to see an uptick in targets in 2016. Andrew Luck was on pace for 670 pass attempts in the seven games he played in 2015. That’s only a small bump over the 661 passes the Colts threw in 2014.
And the competition for targets has gotten notably lighter. Andre Johnson and Coby Fleener captured 161 targets in 2015, and neither is returning for 2016. Plus, the Colts didn’t draft a single pass catcher, and their most notable offseason WR acquisition was Josh Boyce. A healthy Dwayne Allen is the biggest threat for targets.
In short, Dorsett, Moncrief, and T.Y. Hilton will very likely see many more combined targets than they saw in 2015. Two of the three should be strong WR2 options in fantasy.
We’ve been trying to fix Moncrief’s ADP for a while with . . . let’s say limited success.
So take this as a reminder that Moncrief is still a favorite dynasty buy low. And reasonably priced in redraft too.
But don’t forget about Hilton and Dorsett. As a whole, the Colts WRs are undervalued. As Kevin Cole showed, Indianapolis had an above-average receiver opportunity score before the NFL draft. With the Colts not adding any pass catchers, their incumbent WRs should eat up that opportunity.
Despite our bullishness on Moncrief, 14Team Mocker reminds us that Hilton outproduced him in 2015, even when Luck started. And Dorsett is a John Brown arbitrage play (he’s even, like Brown, one of three viable fantasy receivers on a high-powered offense).
Finally, a shout out to Justin Winn, who predicted all of this — the opportunity, not the injuries — back in May 2015. Winn said the most likely scenario for the Colts was letting one of Coby Fleener or Dwayne Allen walk, and he recommended buying Hilton, Moncrief, and Dorsett. Luck’s injury-plagued 2015 has given us a second chance; let’s take it this time.