After Week 11, these are the players I’m fading for the rest of 2016.
Most redraft trade deadlines have since passed. Instead of focusing on selling high, I’m going to highlight three players that I feel won’t help you make the playoffs or win in the playoffs.
This summer RotoViz did a series on select wide receivers and why they could lead the league in targets. I chose Jarvis Landry. Through the exercise of researching and writing the article, I went from a Landry skeptic to cautiously optimistic about his ADP cost versus reward.
Through the first four weeks things went as expected and Landry saw at least 10 targets in all four games. Since then, he hasn’t had more than 9 targets and in the past three weeks he’s been targeted 6, 6, and 5 times.
This is, of course, directly correlated to the rise of the Miami running game and the increase in Jay Ajayi’s usage. In his first two seasons, Landry was used as an extension of the passing game when the Dolphins refused to lean on Lamar Miller. The offensive line has greatly improved this season and they have a running back they are willing to hand the ball to 25+ times.
Landry relies heavily on yards after the catch. He’s not a prolific touchdown scorer so without the heavy target volume he’s a middling option in PPR for as long as the Dolphins running game is firing on all cylinders. If you’re looking to Landry as anything more than a flex, I’d explore other available options.
Bortles is a hard player to fade because his success is oftentimes built on his failure. We all know him as the king of garbage time. The Jaguars have the toughest remaining schedule for quarterbacks. What strikes me about their upcoming opponents is that none would be considered offensive juggernauts (except maybe the exotic Titans).
I expect all of their next four games to have low point totals. That means less second half prevent defense, less garbage time. Low scores, tough defenses and a struggling quarterback is not someone I want to bet my fantasy season on.
After returning from his two month layoff, Cook was the top tight end scorer in Week 11. I’m not buying it for the rest of the season.
There are far too many worthy receiving options on the Packers to expect Cook to see 11 targets again. In the first three weeks of the season, Cook topped out at four receptions for 31 yards versus the Vikings. Green Bay’s next four opponents are all in the top 10 for fewest PPR points allowed to tight ends this season.
Cook is probably on your waiver wire and that’s where he belongs.
I’m tracking production post-sell (abbreviated PS). The first half of the table is how the player fared until I’ve suggested selling. The second half is how they’ve produced from then on. I’ll keep updating the table as the season continues.
|Sell Week||Player Name||Rank||PPR/Gm||EP/Gm||FPOE/Gm||Rank PS||PS PPR/Gm||PS EP/Gm||PS FPOE/Gm|
|4||Rob Gronkowski||TE69 (nice)||1.1||1.2||-0.1||TE2||19.0||11.5||7.5|