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Week 9 QB Streaming: Three to Target and One to Avoid

Welcome back, Tom Brady owners! I know those 25 points per game were nice, but admit it, you missed us. 

We’ve been doing just fine without you. The only big miss in Week 8 was Alex Smith, and that’s only because he kept getting knocked out of the game. If you combined Smith’s points with backup Nick Foles‘s, they would have been the QB6. Alas, we don’t get bonus points for good process, so we’re stuck with Smith’s QB26 performance.

StatusQBFanDuel PointsQB Rank
Option 1Ryan Fitzpatrick14.418
Option 2Alex Smith10.026
Option 3Browns QB22.69
AvoidMarcus Mariota19.912

Streaming has been a challenge, not only because of bye weeks, but because the QBs we expected to perform well are living up to expectations. Plus, the early season surprises have been gobbled up and are no longer streaming eligible. Still, we’re streaming two top 12 QBs (among QBs who have started at least four games) and another in the top 18.

StatusFanDuel PPGSeason-long rank
Option 117.218
Option 218.812
Option 318.712

Week 9 brings more tough choices, but the matchups look a little better than last week’s. 

Option 1: Colin Kaepernick v. New Orleans

Rostered: 8.0 percent
Spread: +3
O/U: 51.5

In his two starts this season, Kaepernick has passed for 330 yards. Total. But he has also run for 150 yards and a touchdown. That’s more rushing yards than everyone except Marcus MariotaTyrod Taylor, and Blaine Gabbert. As long as Kaepernick is starting — and who knows how long that will be — he has to be considered as a streamer.

The Saints aren’t the cake matchup we thought they were before the season; they’ve surrendered just 54 yards on the ground to QBs, and they’ve only given up one QB rushing touchdown (to Cam Newton, naturally). But they’re still allowing 18.6 FanDuel points per game to opposing QBs, tenth most in the league.

Option 2: Ryan Tannehill v. New York Jets

Rostered: 15.7 percent
Spread: -3.5
O/U: 44.0

So, we’re doing this again. Tannehill hasn’t had a top-12 performance since Week 3 against the Browns, and last time we touted him he burned us with 8.6 FanDuel points against the Bengals, which is the only time the Bengals have allowed less than 15 points all season.

But … the Jets are really bad? They’re allowing 19.3 QB FanDuel points per game, ninth most in the league. Josh McCown just posted a top-12 performance against them, and they allowed Russell Wilson to score 23.9 FanDuel points, while everyone else has held Wilson below 15 points.

And Tannehill has actually looked decent recently. Heading into a Week 8 bye, he posted his best two adjusted yards per attempt numbers in Weeks 6 and 7 against the fairly stout Pittsburgh and Buffalo pass defenses. I’m not as bullish on Tannehill as I was going into the season, but I’m ready to try him again in a tough streaming week.

Option 3: Josh McCown v. Dallas

Rostered: 2.3 percent
Spread: +7.5
O/U: 44.5

Kaepernick is available in more than 90 percent of leagues, so I could have used him to satisfy the “desperation play” requirement. But I like McCown as much or more as any QB not listed above. Since the start of 2015, he’s averaged 20.8 FanDuel points per game over the nine games he didn’t leave early due to injury. Plus, Corey Coleman appears likely to return, adding to an already solid group of receivers (if you include Duke Johnson and Gary Barnidge).

The Cowboys aren’t a fun streaming matchup. They’re allowing just 17.0 FanDuel points per game, which ranks in the bottom half of the league. And they haven’t surrendered a top-6 QB performance all season. But they’ve faced just one top-12 QB (Aaron Rodgers), and they have allowed top-12 performances to Eli ManningBrian Hoyer, and Andy Dalton.

Avoid: Blake Bortles @ Kansas City

Rostered: 71.7 percent
Spread: +9.5
O/U: 45.5

Coming off a high-volume QB4 performance against the Titans, Bortles ranks as QB11 among QBs with at least four starts this season. But he’ll have to rely on garbage time again to produce against Kansas City.

The Chiefs have allowed 17.2 QB FanDuel points per game, which is respectable enough. But they allowed 59.6 points in two games against Drew Brees and Ben Roethlisberger. In their other five games, they allowed just 60.9 points. And that includes matchups against Andrew LuckDerek Carr, and Philip Rivers.

Bortles isn’t Brees or Roethlisberger. He’s not Luck, Carr, or Rivers, either. With the Jaguars on the road as big underdogs, I’m betting the over on 1.5 interceptions for Bortles. I’d start any of the streamers listed above over him.

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