revolutionary tools.  groundbreaking articles.  proven results.

3 Players You Should Stop Drafting at ADP


Being player agnostic is one of the best edges you can find in fantasy football in 2019 — don’t fall in love with a player, fall in love with his price. With the suite of RotoViz tools, finding this year’s most mispriced players is easier than ever.

We already looked at some players that we think are being drafted too low. On the flip side, we now bring you some players whose ADPs are being powered by some irrational exuberance.

Here are three players you should strongly consider passing on at their current price.

Leonard Fournette

Positional ADP: 13

RV Positional Rank: 19

Difference: 7

This is a pretty lofty ranking for a guy whose team went out of its way to void the guaranteed money in his rookie contract and then was put on blast by football czar Tom Coughlin, who called him “disrespectful and childish.”

There were even rumors that with his guaranteed money voided, the Jaguars might move on from Fournette this offseason.

That won’t happen, but drafters are still too optimistic about the former fourth-overall pick, who is somehow more expensive than guys like Aaron Jones and Marlon Mack, who are better pass catchers in better offenses, and in the case of Mack, running behind a much better offensive line.

Fournette was brutal last year. He limped his way to 439 total rushing yards on 133 attempts while once again battling injuries, leading to a 3.3 YPC that was tied for the third-worst among all RBs with at least 100 attempts last year. His -13.3 rushing points over expectation was the 11th-worst in the league, while he pitched in just 22 receptions.

There’s nothing to suggest this year will be any different, and he looks like one of 2019’s most mispriced players in the high-leverage rounds.

Adam Humphries

Positional ADP: 61

RotoViz Positional Rank: 68

Difference: 7

Humphries is coming off a WR24 season, making his current positional ADP look like a screaming value.

Drafters are rightly dinging him for his move to the Music City this offseason, but not enough according to our rankers. It would be difficult to overstate just how much value he loses by leaving Tampa Bay.

Titans WRs had:

  • 41% fewer targets than Tampa’s
  • 53% fewer yards
  • 42% fewer expected points
  • And 49% fewer points

Titans wideouts also scored just seven TDs compared to 24 for the Bucs. Humphries has virtually no shot at repeating his five TDs from last season in Tennessee.

That’s before even touching on the fact that WRs moving to new teams tend to flop. Humphries has no upside, and even his floor is questionable in such a low volume offense.

C.J. Anderson

Positional ADP: 62

RotoViz Positional Rank: 74

Difference: 12

Anderson parlayed his late-season Rams cameo into a new contract in Detroit, ostensibly replacing the outgoing LeGarrette Blount as the backup to Kerryon Johnson.

If Anderson is indeed effectively replacing Blount’s role, it’s not much to get excited about.

Anderson will probably be more efficient than Blount was last year, but it’s fair to question how much more. He goes from one of the best offensive lines in the league in the Rams to a bottom-third group in Detroit.

I think the 154 carries Blount received last year is Anderson’s ceiling in this offense. I’ve already talked about why Johnson needs to be a big part of your portfolio; he was one of the most efficient runners in the league last year, and the Lions would be remiss not to get him significantly more involved in 2019.

Our rankers see Anderson as more of a straight handcuff to Johnson than a stand-alone value. If you can get him at a handcuff price, go ahead, but don’t reach expecting a repeat of his late-season resurgence in LA.

NFL subscribers, the time to get into PGA DFS is now! For a limited time, upgrade your subscription by adding a 2019 Rest of Season PGA subscription at a $10 discount. Click here for details!

recent and related...

in case you missed it...

Week 7 Waiver Wire Advice: Top Targets At Each Position

Looking for Week 7 waiver wire advice for fantasy football? You’ve come to the right place. We’ll give you some of the top targets at each position so that when you submit a waiver claim, you do it with confidence. This article will run through the top players available in

Read More

High Staked: Notes from Week 6

Veteran high stakes fantasy football player Monty Phan chronicles his season. I’m taking the easy way out this week: notes from a full Sunday of NFL football, which, for me, started at around 8 a.m., because 6:30 a.m. is way too early to get up on a Sunday:1 To how

Read More

Dumpster Dives: Deep Waiver Pickups for Week 7

Waiver Wire Dumpster Dives takes you beyond the obvious plays and helps you find undervalued gems for deep leagues. Bye weeks are creeping up and as that happens weekly fill-ins are becoming more and more important.  With high fantasy capital teams like the Panthers, Browns, Steelers and Buccaneers all on

Read More

Wide Receiver Target Report: Week 6

Week 6 saw the 2019 Stefon Diggs coming out party, as the Vikings wide receiver torched the Eagles secondary to the tune of seven receptions, 167 yards, and three touchdowns. The 43.5 PPR points he scored on Sunday more than doubled his entire 2019 production. Tyreek Hill also made his

Read More

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

© 2019 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.