Every year, there are a handful of players whose selection leaves me scratching my head. Last year, I begged you not to draft D’Onta Foreman and his ruptured Achilles, which seems obvious looking back, but people were drafting him right up until opening weekend. The year before that, I implored you to avoid the trendy Martavis Bryant, and he finished as the WR50. This year, I don’t see any massive mistakes such as drafting an RB coming off a torn Achilles, but there are a few mysteries nonetheless. Here are three players I’m begging you not to draft at price. Le’Veon Bell…...

If you’ve been jumping the queue to draft Dante Pettis in the sixth round this summer, this article may not be for you. Then again, maybe it’s exactly what you need. Every year there are still some players getting a bit too much love while their cohorts with similar ranges of outcomes go at a discount. After all, as the Fantasy Douche explained years ago, it’s always better to get something for nothing. Here’s a look at our best discount plays for 2019, starting with one slight amendment from earlier this year. Dante Pettis Discount Play: Robert Foster This was the…...

Diversification is great if you’re playing 50 or more leagues, but you need to narrow your focus and give yourself the best chance at success if you’re only playing in a few fantasy drafts. Here are six players I think have the best shot at being league winners in 2019, along with some suggested alternatives in case you miss out. D.J. Moore Last year around this time, JuJu Smith-Schuster was a 22-year-old sophomore coming off a 79-58-917 yard line. While the breakout potential was obviously there, volume concerns while playing next to of the best receivers ever kept his ADP in…...

Am I the only one who gets a bit nervous when on the clock in the first round and Odell Beckham is the WR at the top of the draft queue? While he has the talent to overcome historical trends, I can’t help but harken back to Blair Andrews telling us that we should generally avoid WRs who change teams. Nor can I completely ignore the fact that Beckham will be playing across from Jarvis Landry, a volume monster who ranks fifth in targets (719) and third in receptions (482) among all WRs since he entered the league. That’s not to say I’m…...

“You pay for this, but they give you that.” That classic Neil Young lyric came to mind as I was researching this year’s “Why Buy?” series. We’re often so confident of what we’re going to get when we spend that sixth-round pick on the next big thing, but in reality, we rarely know what we’re buying. The solution? Pay less. That’s the concept behind our “Why Buy?” series, which is inspired by the Fantasy Douche’s Getting Something for Nothing article penned back in 2013. Whatever you want to call it — arbitrage, discount shopping, or simply fading overpriced players — there’s no…...

“You pay for this, but they give you that.” That classic Neil Young lyric came to mind as I was researching this year’s “Why Buy?” series. We’re often so confident of what we’re going to get when we spend that sixth-round pick on the next big thing, but in reality, we rarely know what we’re buying. The solution? Pay less. That’s the concept behind our “Why Buy?” series, which is inspired by the Fantasy Douche’s Getting Something for Nothing article penned back in 2013. Whatever you want to call it — arbitrage, discount shopping, or simply fading overpriced players — there’s no…...

“You pay for this, but they give you that.” That classic Neil Young lyric came to mind as I was researching this year’s “Why Buy?” series. We’re often so confident of what we’re going to get when we spend that sixth-round pick on the next big thing, but in reality, we rarely know what we’re buying. The solution? Pay less. That’s the concept behind our “Why Buy?” series, which is inspired by the Fantasy Douche’s Getting Something for Nothing article penned back in 2013. Whatever you want to call it — arbitrage, discount shopping, or simply fading overpriced players — there’s no…...

I’ve had a hard time getting much else accomplished since RotoViz released its latest tool, the Range of Outcomes App, this week. On Monday I looked at one of the underrated names that popped out as belonging in the elite-WR category in Dave Caban’s model. And I want to take a quick look at another WR who appears to belong in the same category according to the historical data, only he’s available at an even steeper discount. My Kupp Runneth Over Cooper Kupp has been getting virtually no heat this offseason. He missed the second half of last season with…...

The latest in a long line of new and beefed-up RotoViz apps has arrived — Dave Caban’s Range of Outcomes App. You might remember this as the Sim Scores App, which gathers the most comparable seasons for a player, and based on that, assigns them a range of outcomes for the coming season. I prefer considering a player’s range of outcomes, as they provide a more rounded picture compared to straight black-and-white projections, which tend to just be the median outcome. This gives us a more complete picture of the risk/reward we’re getting with each selection. Dave gave me the…...