RotoViz Dynasty Coordinator Curtis Patrick shares his top-100 dynasty fantasy football rankings for 2019.
People love lists. Perfect order. One thing above another. It’s the reason that dynasty fantasy football rankings (or other fantasy rankings) exist. That being said, rankings are imperfect, and I’m not the first fantasy analyst to bring this up.
Tiers are a great way to combat the issues with rankings, even though they still don’t fully solve them (more on this later). However, I think placing players in tiers (even as part of a rankings set) is the current industry best practice, which is why I’ve done that for you here with my Top-100. I also think it’s important to acknowledge that you can rank players in a certain order but actually prefer to own players listed lower in the tier. We can’t just ignore ADP and community-influence in rankings. Additionally, redraft value (read: single-year production value) could also influence how a player is ranked. For example — I can fully acknowledge that David Johnson is likely to be more valuable in 2019 than Brandin Cooks, but may prefer Cooks in the long run. I might also prefer Cooks plus the likely first-round pick I could get to move off of Johnson in a trade. To illustrate these sentiments for you, I’ve bolded my target players to own in each tier.
My Top-100 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings (and Tiers) for 2019
The Elite 11
These are players who can anchor your team for several years. I don’t expect any performance or age-based dynasty value loss in the near future. Collecting as many of these players on your team (particularly in a startup draft) should be a goal. Sans injury or off-the-field issues, these players should remain elite dynasty assets, which is why the entire tier is bold.
|Odell Beckham Jr.||WR||6|
These are players who are strong producers right now, but generally I’m trying to package these players together to buy players in the Elite 11. This is especially true of the backs in this tier. I prefer owning the back half of this tier even though from a market value perspective these players aren’t currently quite as valuable. I love owning elite players at the “onesie” positions, which is why you find George Kittle and Patrick Mahomes ranked so highly here.
As I noted in my rookie wide receiver hit-rate research, by playing in at least 10 games and averaging at least three receptions per game, D.J. Moore fits into an uber-elite 21-year-old rookie wide receiver cohort of which the following is true:
- 13/13 have a top-20 PPR season (100%)
- 11/13 have recorded a top-12 PPR season (84.6%)
- 5/13 have posted a top-5 PPR season (38.5%)
- 5/13 were PPR WR1s in their age-22 season (38.5%)
- The average positional finish for these wide receivers in their age-22 season was 13.8
He’s already lapped perennial studs T.Y. Hilton and A.J.Green and I expect he’ll pass Antonio Brown, Adam Thielen, and perhaps Kenny Golladay by season’s end. At this price, he’s definitely still in a buy-window.
The Prove It Tier
These players could easily be building blocks by answering a few questions on the field. For Gurley, it’s health. For Gordon, it’s actually showing up to play. For Johnson, it’s any shred of evidence that the offense will actually run through him. For the younger receivers, it’s showing that they can be consistently difference-making fantasy producers — I’d like to see early-season reproduction of 2018 numbers from Calvin Ridley, Tyler Boyd, Cooper Kupp, and Tyler Lockett before anointing any of them as building block players — but I could see moving any or all of them up a tier by the end of September. N’Keal Harry enjoys his status as my rookie 1.01 here. He was placed on injured reserve to begin the season, so take the opportunity to buy him at a discount if his owner flinches.
The Who Are You Tier
Dominated by early-career running backs at the top, owning the right players in this tier could be the key to winning dynasty titles in 2019 and 2020. I think Evan Engram is being massively undervalued by about a round in equivalent startup value right now. If what I think happens actually happens, which is that he’s going to continue to post ridiculous numbers without Beckham Jr. in the lineup, you’ll have to pounce quickly — and I mean immediately following week one. Ideally, you’ll even buy him before kickoff.
The Zero RB Tier
This tier has a little bit of everything, but all the players still have significant dynasty value. I wouldn’t trade away any of these players for less than a 2020 rookie 1st rounder, even the older ones like Mark Ingram and Julian Edelman. A contender is going to value those players pretty highly during the stretch run, so be patient if you’re looking to sell. The biggest potential early-season upside movers in this tier are Josh Gordon and Dede Westbrook. Gordon is obviously devalued for his lengthy off-the-field rap sheet, but he’s been gold in his limited time with Tom Brady. In 11 games with the senior signal caller, Gordon paced for 189 PPR. Somehow just 28 years old, if he can keep himself clean and available he has a chance to re-enter my top-50.
My favorite thing about this tier is the abundance of dynasty zero-RB values who can help you win but don’t cost a mint to acquire. If you’re somehow still in the midst of a dynasty startup draft, these are the guys you can pack your roster with after loading up on wide receivers and an elite tight end in earlier rounds.
I’m a firm believer in Darrell Henderson’s profile and his upside is immense in LA. I’m also still long on Rashaad Penny and believe his talent, profile, and draft pedigree will eventually win out over the impressive, but oft-banged up Chris Carson.
Matt Breida is listed as the 49ers starter for Week 1. If he gets even a 1A share of the running back work, look out. Check out his season-long pace when getting just 10 carries (a very low bar).
I also like Austin Ekeler in this tier and think he’ll be the beneficiary of any extended Melvin Gordon absence while still having preserved value even when Gordon returns (if he even does).
Ok, I ran out of clever names. Here are the rest of the players who round out my current top-100. There are a handful of attractive tight ends here, as well as an abundance of 2019 rookies. I expect plenty of trade market action in this tier and will be hunting for some values here myself in the coming weeks.
You’ll still have to get to know the trade market trends in your own league in order to fully leverage any analyst’s rankings, tiers, or buy/sell recommendations. For example, if your league mates consistently overpay for running backs, consider bumping that position up to the top of each of my tiers.
You can check out our full dynasty fantasy football rankings here.