Waiver Wire Dumpster Dives takes you beyond the obvious plays and helps you find undervalued gems for deep leagues.
Let’s talk transparency. Last week’s Dumpster Dives were a bit of a mixed bag. Virgil Green goose-egged. Raheem Mostert had another incredible day on the ground, averaging 6.6 yards-per-carry. But he didn’t record any receptions, limiting his Week 3 production. And I just hope to find someone who looks at me the way Carson Wentz looks at Nelson Agholor. Twelve targets turned into eight receptions for 50 yards and two touchdowns, for a whopping 23 fantasy points. The Eagles play early this week on Thursday night, giving Agholor a good chance at being a top target yet again.
With plenty of gems still left at the bottom of waiver wires, let’s take a look at Week 4.
Phillip Dorsett, WR (New England Patriots) Owned 11%
I know this seems like the easy pick and Dorsett might already be in a lot of Waiver Wire lists, so I’m going to highlight an extra receiver in this weeks column. But I can’t ignore a wideout whose offensive snap percent has gone up to 92% with the exit of Antonio Brown and is currently the 18th best receiver in Fantasy after three weeks.
With that increase in on-field time has come an increase in targets as well. This Sunday Dorsett was the beneficiary of seven Tom Brady targets, a hefty jump from 10% Weeks 1 and 2 to 16.7% this past week.
With an incredibly friendly schedule thus far New England seems to be walking through a field of cupcakes and pixie sticks to start the season and the next four weeks don’t look to be anything different.
Dorsett has the trust of Tom Brady and matchups against some of the friendliest to Fantasy receivers, making him a must-start, and he must be rostered in more than 11% of leagues.
Preston Williams, WR (Miami Dolphins) Owned 3.2%
At 6 feet 5 inches and 218 pounds, Williams is the biggest receiver on the Dolphins and has been using that size to haul in some impressive catches. After three contests, Williams is also quietly leading the team in targets, receptions and receiving yards.
|Preston Williams||Opponent||Targets||Receptions||Yards||TDs||Fantasy Points|
Since the start of the season, the rookie has seen his snap share steadily rise each and every week. Williams has also scored double-digit fantasy points each and every week this season. So whereas there has been little to get excited about in terms of Miami’s offense. After three games, one thing is apparent, they will be in a lot of negative game scripts. And thusly needing to throw the ball. A lot. Williams as the top target in Miami makes his floor super safe, thanks to the ridiculous volume is going to see his rookie year.
C.J. Prosise, RB (Seattle Seahawks) Owned 0.4%
It was not long ago that Prosise was the darling of Zero-RB draftniks everywhere. Seemingly an afterthought in 2019, the cards are in place for a nice little resurgence.
Chris Carson has a fumble so far in every game this young season. And Rashaad Penny is banged up, yet again. That perfect storm gave Prosise an opportunity to get on the field for a season-high 55% of the teams’ offensive snaps in their contest against New Orleans this past weekend.
The upcoming slate of games also favors Prosise’s pass-catching ability more favorably than the other two backs. Even Arizona’s defense has been decent against the run. And it just gets harder for the ground game after that. With high likely point totals against the Rams, Browns, Ravens, and Falcons, Russell Wilson is going to have to air it out. Prosise is the far better pass catcher out of those three, as was apparent this past week versus the Saints.
On the season, Prosise has just three fewer targets and only eight fewer receiving yards than Carson, despite being on the field for less than half of the team’s offensive snaps up to now. I expect his snap counts to stay up near the 40% range during these tougher matchups, especially if Penny continues to miss time. “Catchup-Mode” is going be great for Prosise’s fantasy season.
This should go without saying. Wayne Gallman is owned in 1.2% of leagues and Saquon Barkley is going to be out for over a month. Pick him up. But since he is likely to be in every Waiver Wire column written this week, I wanted to dive in a little deeper.
Darren Fells, TE (Houston Texans) Owned 0%
While others burn their waiver pick on fellow Texan Jordan Akins who had a stellar Week 3, sit back and hold tight. Fells will likely be free after waivers go through and is the tight end to roster in Houston.
While Akins snap count has gone down every week, hitting a season-low 45% in week 3, Fells has stayed steady around 61%1 and has seen a steady increase in targets.
Carolina isn’t the best matchup for tight ends. But when your team has Deshaun Watson under center a play is almost never “dead” — Akins proved that this week. But I’d rather take my shot on a broken play with the guy on the field the majority of the game.
Weeks 5 and 6 are far more intriguing with likely shootouts against Atlanta — giving up an average of 12-plus fantasy points to the position — and Kansas City, who themselves allow 16.4 fantasy points to opposing TEs.
*Honorable mention – Any TE going against Arizona this season. After three weeks, the Cardinals are averaging 29-plus fantasy points to the TE position. In Week 4, Will Dissly (owned in only 27% of leagues) should be a top streaming option with that low of a rostered percentage.
Are you a fan of the column? What was most useful to you? Please leave a comment below, and follow me on Twitter @DumpsterDiveFF for other Fantasy Football nuggets.
Image Credit: Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Phillip Dorsett.
- 65% in Week 3 (back)