We smashed cash again in the Week 3 writeup. My cash lineup hit 206 — we will look to continue that trend and get to 4-for-4 on the year this week.
We’re going to start with games to attack again this week. Every Chiefs game is going to be an obvious and wildly popular one. But his week offers another game that is generally viewed as unsexy but is just dripping with gobs and gobs of DFS goodness, and quietly has the second highest total on the slate. That game is Washington at the NY Giants, and it is the best game to attack this week.
Let’s start with the Washington side of the ball. The Giants have allowed 1,043 passing yards in the first three weeks — dead last in the league. Take a look at how soft they’ve been against quarterbacks, courtesy of the RotoViz NFLStat Explorer.
Case Keenum ($4,600) is reportedly good to go for this matchup. The recency bias of his “bad” game on Monday night will keep his ownership well below what it should be. The word bad was put in quotes because we know he turned it over five times and lost the game, but that matters not for DFS purposes. Despite the turnovers he was still right at 20 DK points, and the matchup flips from one of the most difficult to the stone easiest. He is an extremely strong play in both cash and tournaments.
The next question is where to go with the stacks. As one might expect with the ineptitude of the Giants against the pass, running backs have not had the same level of success, but wide receivers have been just as good as QBs (which makes perfect sense).
This leads us to Terry “F1” McLaurin ($4,500). At his inexplicable price, assuming he’s healthy, is an absolute necessity in cash and tournament builds, and the top Keenum stack. It is probably too thin for cash, but the next best stack is Paul Richardson (3700). In tournaments, Richardson is the ultimate leverage with a McLaurin fade, and brings the same or similar ceiling with salary savings. Also in play for tournaments at a lower level on Washington are Trey Quinn ($3,000) and Chris Thompson ($4,500).
***UPDATE*** With McLaurin questionable, news is our friend. If he misses the game, Paul Richardson becomes the cheaper McLaurin and Quinn should also see more exposure.
It might also be prudent to make a lineup or a few lineups with Adrian Peterson ($4,300) stacked with the Washington DST ($2,800) in the case of a rookie face plant on the other side.
Speaking of the other side, there is also quite a bit to love there. Rookie Daniel Jones ($5,300) is also favorably priced and also has a soft matchup. Be cautious with Jones however, as he will be the most owned quarterback on this slate and we have no sample size to speak of on him. I don’t yet have any trust in him for cash games but he is an absolute requirement for tournament builds in this matchup.
We also get the supreme running back value on the slate in this game in Wayne Gallman ($4,600) who has a complete skill set, and ascends into a bell-cow role after the Barkley injury. Gallman is a cash lock and a heavy tournament exposure at this price.
Evan Engram ($5,700) will remain an elite tight end throughout this season and will be a tournament play every single week, including this one. His price is still favorable but he isn’t necessary for cash. More quietly, Sterling Shepard ($5,800) returned last week, led the team in targets and dropped a beautiful line of 7/100/1 with an additional two-point conversion and 21 rushing yards. He is a cash candidate and a must in tournament builds, and has the best matchup to attack here as wide receivers have done real damage to Washington thus far.
Now we’ve arrived to the weekly section where we must cover the Chiefs game, as they visit Detroit this week. If you’ve been living under a rock, Patrick Mahomes ($7,500) is an every week tournament play. He’s not needed for cash this week but should have stacks in your build. Those options include Sammy Watkins ($6,700), Travis Kelce ($7,200), Demarcus Robinson ($5,200) and Mecole Hardman ($5,100). Any combination of two of these players is sound, as they all have real ceilings as does any pass catcher on the field with Mahomes. The running back situation remains dicey and is a situation to avoid until their top receiving back Damien Williams is healthy and back in the lineup.
On the other side of the ball, the Chiefs face the first quarterback and receiver combination that could threaten to keep pace with them so far this season. Matthew Stafford ($5,500) and his top receivers Marvin Jones ($5,400) and Kenny Golladay ($5,900) all have massive ceilings and are great tournament plays. Jones is the best play of this group and the one I’ll be using in the most stand alone spots.
The next best games to stack on this slate for tournaments are Carolina at Houston and Seattle at Arizona, but will cover the best plays under the positional sections.
Jared Goff ($6,300) has not yet had a splash game this year, but is in a sneaky soft matchup at home this week. His first home game this year was his best of the season so far, but the Saints offense was inept after losing Brees and Goff had just 28 attempts. The Buccaneers remain a pass funnel this year but it hasn’t risen to the point of common knowledge yet due to some odd occurrences in the first two weeks. In Week 1 the 49ers scored two defensive Ads, and didn’t need to pass in volume. In Week 2, Cam Newton’s shortcomings on full display in a game in which Kyle Allen ($5,200) could have thrown for 500 yards as wide open pass catchers were consistently missed. Newton still threw for 333 yards in that game. This leads us to last week where Jones threw for 336/2 in his NFL debut, and added a pair of rushing scores. This is truly an explosion spot for Goff and he should be stacked with two of his top three wide receivers in most lineups, with a minimum of one of them. The pricing is similar on Cooper Kupp ($6,500), Brandin Cooks ($6,200) and Robert Woods ($6,100) so shuffling the lineups and exposures should be a fairly easy feat.
The other side of the ball will not be able to keep pace, but there is a game stack to be had. With all the wide receivers in neutral to negative individual matchups, I want the pricing value and the historical volume role in the Arians offense. That belongs to Chris Godwin ($6,000) who is practicing Friday and likely sees lower ownership than he should.
The other quarterbacks to consider for tournament exposure are Kyle Allen, Deshaun Watson ($6,400), Russell Wilson ($6,100) and Kyler Murray ($6,000).
The running back position as a whole is rough this week, as there simply aren’t many great plays. This is another spot where paying up for the league’s premier back Christian McCaffrey ($8,800) is prudent in both cash and tournaments. Austin Ekeler ($8,000) is pricey, but he gets one more week before Melvin Gordon hits the field. He is cash viable and should certainly be included for tournaments. Dalvin Cook ($8,300) is too pricey for cash, as he is in a rough matchup, but has been exceptional through three weeks and should be in tournament builds.
The next group of RB plays are generally game-script dependent, but this group of players all carry a ceiling and should be included in builds. Mark Ingram ($6,600), Derrick Henry ($6,300) and Marlon Mack ($6,100) all carry similar prices, do the majority of their damage on the ground and all would need the rushing bonus and a score to find their way to the optimal. They all have the potential to hit these marks but it is less probable than not.
Not game-script dependent, but a train wreck so far, is Leonard Fournette ($6,000). He’s been subpar as a runner, which is shocking, but he enters a get-right spot in Denver where the defense should dominate the entirety of the game, with or without Jalen Ramsey. Additionally Fournette has seen at least six targets in every game this year and brings a floor and ceiling that won’t have proper ownership.
While running back is thin, we have a plethora of options at wide receiver in addition to the many we’ve already covered. Let’s start with the cash play — volume monster and overall WR1 to this point in the season Keenan Allen ($7,600). He still isn’t priced appropriately, has a cake individual matchup, is a cash lock and should be a large part of tournament builds, without a need for stacking.
Not quite on the level of Allen, but a borderline cash option and great tournament play is Julian Edelman ($6,500). Tre White, who I expect to shadow Josh Gordon, will continue to funnel targets into the slot against the Patriots, and with Edelman being the top option for the Pats in any event, his floor and ceiling are very real. Phillip Dorsett ($4,700) a leverage play in tournaments.
Two teams have great individual matchups for two separate wide receivers, and the ideal play when not stacking is to have just one of the two in each lineup. The two pairs of wide receivers are D.J. Moore ($5,600) and Curtis Samuel ($4,600) for Carolina, and Larry Fitzgerald ($5,600) and Christian Kirk ($5,100) for Arizona. The player that ends up on top for each team is likely to have a very good line.
The tight end position is likely to have a list of usual weekly suspects for the foreseeable future. Those will remain this week, but one player who won’t be a weekly play who is both a cash and tournament smash this week is Will Dissly ($3,600). He will be extremely popular in the god matchup with Arizona and is fully necessary for cash. Don’t be shy in tournaments either — this matchup is the best of any position against any team.
In addition to the already covered Engram and Kelce, Darren Waller ($5,200) and Mark Andrews ($5,000) will remain the top receiving option on their respective teams and bring a very real weekly ceiling and floor, with Waller having the more favorable matchup this week.
Austin Hooper ($4,300) remains a steady player who will continue to have spike weeks when the touchdowns come. In the same game, Delanie Walker ($4,800) has a sound matchup but has not practiced at the time of this writing. If he misses, a real value spot could be created for Jonnu Smith ($2,800).
My preferences in order: