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The 3 and Out: Team by Team Opportunity, Expected Points, and Actual Results

The 3 and Out uses a number of RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics.

Welcome back to The 3 and Out! In this week’s edition, we’re going to look at fantasy points scored, snap percentages, opportunity shares, and expected points on a team by team basis. This information will be presented in tables that include per game data and are sorted by expected points per game (EPPG). The 10 players with the highest EPPG for each team will be included.  Opportunity totals the rushing attempts and receiving targets accumulated by each player. Teams not covered this week were highlighted heading into Week 8.1

Los Angeles Chargers

 
Team Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
LAC Philip Rivers QB 8 19.0 19.0 19.0 99% 0.9 2.00% 19.2 -0.2
LAC Austin Ekeler RB 8 21.9 18.7 15.5 65% 16 28.00% 17.2 4.7
LAC Keenan Allen WR 8 16.4 13.2 10.0 91% 10.2 18.00% 17.1 -0.7
LAC Melvin Gordon RB 4 9.5 8.1 6.7 53% 15 28.00% 13.8 -4.4
LAC Mike Williams WR 7 9.7 7.8 6.0 82% 7.1 13.00% 12.2 -2.5
LAC Hunter Henry TE 4 16.1 13.4 10.6 83% 7 13.00% 11 5.1
LAC Justin Jackson RB 3 7.2 6.2 5.2 30% 8.7 15.00% 6.7 0.5
LAC Travis Benjamin WR 5 1.8 1.2 0.6 57% 3.2 5.00% 5.2 -3.4
LAC Dontrelle Inman WR 4 5.3 4.3 3.3 51% 3.2 5.00% 4.8 0.5
LAC Jason Moore WR 1 6.3 5.3 4.3 8% 2 4.00% 3.6 2.7
  • Austin Ekeler has been awesome and one of the most valuable players in all formats; especially best ball.

  • Since Melvin Gordon returned in Week 5, Ekeler has scored 66 points to Gordon’s 38.
    • This is mainly due to Ekeler’s involvement as a receiver. He averaged nearly eight targets per game in this stretch.
      • In this time frame, only Mike Williams recorded more expected points for Los Angeles.
  • Speaking of Williams, it’s only a matter of time before he finds the end zone. He’s seen 10 red-zone targets.
    • Interestingly, the Chargers place three players in the top-20 of red-zone targets as Keenan Allen and Ekeler have seen nine.

Los Angeles Rams

 
Team Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
LAR Jared Goff QB 8 20.3 20.3 20.3 99% 2.1 3.00% 20.9 -0.6
LAR Cooper Kupp WR 8 21.0 17.3 13.7 84% 11.1 17.00% 18 3
LAR Todd Gurley RB 7 14.4 13.3 12.2 73% 16.6 25.00% 13.8 0.5
LAR Robert Woods WR 8 12.3 9.9 7.5 94% 9 14.00% 13.2 -0.9
LAR Brandin Cooks WR 8 9.8 8.1 6.4 87% 6.2 10.00% 9.5 0.2
LAR Gerald Everett TE 8 8.5 6.8 5.2 66% 5.8 9.00% 9.3 -0.8
LAR Darrell Henderson RB 4 4.9 4.4 3.9 22% 8.8 14.00% 6.4 -1.5
LAR Tyler Higbee TE 7 5.9 4.6 3.3 51% 3.3 5.00% 6 -0.2
LAR Malcolm Brown RB 6 4.9 4.8 4.7 29% 6.7 10.00% 5.3 -0.4
LAR Josh Reynolds WR 8 2.7 2.4 2.1 22% 2.2 4.00% 3.8 -1.1
  • Gerald Everett ranks 13th in points per game (PPG) and ninth in expected points per game (EPPG).
    • This is a nice surprise as there were concerns that the Ram’s passing attack would be overly crowded heading into the season.
  • Todd Gurley has paid off for the owners that a took a chance on him. However, it does seem that things are trending toward a situation where both he and Darrell Henderson could be usable.
    • Henderson’s workload has steadily increased throughout the season.

Miami Dolphins

 
Team Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
MIA Kenyan Drake RB 6 9.5 7.6 5.8 55% 13.3 24.00% 11.9 -2.5
MIA Preston Williams WR 6 10.1 8.2 6.2 80% 7.3 13.00% 11.8 -1.8
MIA Ryan Fitzpatrick QB 5 9.4 9.4 9.4 56% 2 3.00% 10.4 -1
MIA DeVante Parker WR 6 10.7 9.2 7.7 87% 6.3 11.00% 9.7 1.1
MIA Josh Rosen QB 5 4.7 4.7 4.7 63% 0.6 1.00% 9.3 -4.5
MIA Albert Wilson WR 3 4.4 3.0 1.7 26% 4.3 8.00% 6.3 -1.9
MIA Mark Walton RB 5 5.7 4.8 3.9 31% 8.2 15.00% 6 -0.3
MIA Kalen Ballage RB 6 3.7 3.5 3.2 22% 5.8 11.00% 6 -2.3
MIA Jakeem Grant WR 5 2.8 1.9 1.0 46% 4.2 8.00% 6 -3.2
MIA Mike Gesicki TE 6 4.6 3.5 2.4 52% 3.7 7.00% 5.3 -0.8
  • Kenyan Drake is now a Cardinal and Mark Walton figures to be the biggest beneficiary of this move.
    • Since Week 4, Walton leads the team in rushing attempts per game.
      • Even if he doesn’t absorb all of Drake’s vacated opportunity, Walton could still approach 10 EPPG.

Minnesota Vikings

 
Team Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
MIN Dalvin Cook RB 8 24.3 22.5 20.7 68% 23.8 41.00% 18.4 5.9
MIN Kirk Cousins QB 8 19.5 19.5 19.5 100% 2.9 5.00% 14.2 5.3
MIN Stefon Diggs WR 8 16.7 14.4 12.0 75% 6.4 11.00% 9.9 6.8
MIN Adam Thielen WR 7 15.5 13.5 11.6 77% 6 10.00% 9.4 6.1
MIN Alexander Mattison RB 8 5.4 5.2 5.0 22% 8.9 15.00% 5.5 -0.1
MIN Kyle Rudolph TE 8 4.7 3.7 2.6 90% 2.6 5.00% 4.2 0.5
MIN Olabisi Johnson WR 8 4.6 3.7 2.8 35% 2.4 4.00% 4.2 0.4
MIN Irv Smith Jr. TE 8 4.1 3.1 2.2 50% 2.1 4.00% 3.4 0.6
MIN C.J. Ham RB 7 2.0 1.6 1.2 38% 1.7 3.00% 2.4 -0.4
MIN Chad Beebe WR 3 3.0 2.7 2.3 24% 1 2.00% 1.5 1.5
  • Kirk Cousins’ EPPG of 14 speaks to the team’s preference to run the ball.
    • As expected, this has limited the potential for all players except Dalvin Cook whose stellar performance has given the team little reason to deviate from grinding things out in the ground game.
      • Stefon Diggs has come to life but it might not be sustainable.

New England Patriots

 
Team Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
NE Tom Brady QB 8 21.9 21.9 21.9 97% 1.8 3.00% 21.8 0.1
NE Julian Edelman WR 8 17.3 14.0 10.7 86% 10.6 16.00% 17.3 0
NE Antonio Brown WR 1 16.1 14.1 12.1 33% 9 14.00% 14.4 1.7
NE Sony Michel RB 8 11.7 11.3 11.0 41% 18.6 28.00% 13.5 -1.7
NE James White RB 7 12.9 9.9 6.9 43% 10.7 16.00% 12.8 0.1
NE Josh Gordon WR 6 9.1 7.5 5.8 73% 6.2 9.00% 10.1 -1
NE Mohamed Sanu WR 8 9.4 7.2 5.0 81% 6.1 10.00% 9.6 -0.2
NE Rex Burkhead RB 5 9.0 7.5 6.0 42% 9.2 15.00% 8.8 0.3
NE Phillip Dorsett WR 7 10.8 9.3 7.8 64% 5.1 8.00% 7.9 2.9
NE Benjamin Watson TE 2 4.2 3.2 2.2 76% 3 4.00% 6.3 -2.1
  • Ben Watson has played in just two games and while things could change, it doesn’t seem likely that he carves out a role that makes him usable for fantasy purposes.
    • To be fair, Watson did merit five targets in Week 7. Of course, this was followed up by a single target in Week 8.
      • The addition of Mohamed Sanu is offset by the subtraction of Josh Gordon which prevents him from picking up a significant opportunity,
  • Despite a workload of nearly 19 opportunities per game, Sony Michel, is averaging less than 14 EPPG.
      • In addition to being inefficient as a fantasy scorer, the second-year back is averaging just 3.3 yards per rushing attempt.
        • His six touchdowns account for nearly 40 percent of his fantasy points.

New Orleans Saints

 
Team Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
NO Michael Thomas WR 8 23.0 18.4 13.8 94% 11.2 19.00% 17.9 5
NO Alvin Kamara RB 6 18.4 15.7 12.9 72% 20.8 36.00% 17 1.4
NO Teddy Bridgewater QB 7 14.9 14.9 14.9 95% 3.1 5.00% 15.6 -0.7
NO Drew Brees QB 3 17.7 17.7 17.7 57% 0 0.00% 13.6 4.1
NO Latavius Murray RB 8 13.0 11.6 10.2 39% 13.5 22.00% 10.6 2.4
NO Jared Cook TE 6 7.3 6.1 4.8 63% 4.5 8.00% 8.1 -0.8
NO Ted Ginn WR 8 7.1 5.9 4.6 68% 4.2 7.00% 6.4 0.7
NO Taysom Hill QB 8 5.6 5.1 4.6 18% 2.9 5.00% 5.3 0.3
NO Josh Hill TE 8 4.6 3.7 2.8 59% 2.6 4.00% 4.5 0.1
NO Dan Arnold TE 2 2.3 1.8 1.3 24% 2 3.00% 2.8 -0.5
  • New Orleans’ opportunity is highly concentrated among Michael Thomas, Alvin Kamara, and Latavius Murray, leaving little room for the rest of the team to produce fantasy points.
    • Latavius Murray, who saw 12 targets over the weekend, should continue to see usage even when Kamara returns.
      • In two games as New Orleans’ featured back, Murray has averaged 111 rushing yards, 1.5 rushing touchdowns, nine targets, seven receptions, 43 receiving yards, and 0.5 receiving touchdowns.

New York Giants

 
Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
Eli Manning QB 2 16.3 16.3 16.3 96% 1 2.00% 19.1 -2.8
Saquon Barkley RB 5 18.7 16.5 14.3 73% 21.4 35.00% 17.9 0.8
Daniel Jones QB 7 18.1 18.1 18.1 84% 3.3 6.00% 16.7 1.4
Sterling Shepard WR 4 16.0 12.9 9.7 91% 9.8 16.00% 14.9 1
Evan Engram TE 7 14.1 11.3 8.6 80% 8.9 15.00% 13.8 0.2
Golden Tate WR 4 14.3 11.4 8.5 87% 9 16.00% 12.8 1.5
Darius Slayton WR 6 10.1 8.8 7.5 68% 4.5 8.00% 7.7 2.4
Bennie Fowler WR 6 5.9 4.4 2.9 63% 4.5 7.00% 7.1 -1.2
Jonathan Hilliman RB 3 4.1 3.6 3.1 52% 11.3 20.00% 6.4 -2.3
Wayne Gallman RB 7 6.9 6.2 5.5 30% 5.7 9.00% 5.9 1.1
  • Since 2018, Evan Engram has fared just slightly better when playing with Eli Manning.
  • Daniel Jones started off his career with a bang but cooled down until last weekend.

    • Jones ranks eighth in rushing yards among QBS but is struggling as a passer with a completion percentage of 62%.
      • Further, he ranks 42nd in converted air yard percentage despite ranking 19th in air yards thrown.
        • In comparison to other starters, he’s not taking many shots downfield but is still struggling to complete passes.

New York Jets

 
Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
Sam Darnold QB 4 12.2 12.2 12.2 100% 2.2 4.00% 16.6 -4.5
Le’Veon Bell RB 7 14.2 11.9 9.7 92% 21.6 43.00% 16.2 -2
Jamison Crowder WR 7 9.7 7.2 4.7 82% 7.3 15.00% 10.8 -1.1
Robby Anderson WR 7 8.3 6.8 5.3 92% 6.1 12.00% 9.7 -1.4
Demaryius Thomas WR 5 7.7 6.0 4.3 59% 6 12.00% 9.2 -1.5
Luke Falk QB 3 4.9 4.9 4.9 87% 0 0.00% 8.7 -3.8
Quincy Enunwa WR 1 0.6 0.1 (0.4) 92% 3 5.00% 4.6 -4
Ryan Griffin TE 7 6.3 5.4 4.5 90% 2.3 5.00% 4.5 1.8
Vyncint Smith WR 4 3.4 3.1 2.7 17% 2 4.00% 3 0.4
Ty Montgomery RB 7 1.9 1.5 1.0 16% 2.7 5.00% 2.3 -0.5
  • Le’Veon Bell’s inaugural season with the Jets has been quiet for a player with such a strong track record of fantasy success.
    • Bell opened the season with back to back 23-point performance but has averaged under 11 PPG since.
      • This means that 46% of his fantasy production was scored in the first two games of the season.
        • However, he has averaged an expectation of 14 points since Week 3.
  • Ryan Griffen scored two touchdowns Sunday and while he might be an appealing option for teams in desperate need of TE help he has yet to record more than four targets in a game and has recorded an expectation of more than eight points only a single time in 2019.

Oakland Raiders

 
Team Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
OAK Derek Carr QB 7 17.6 17.6 17.6 98% 1.7 3.00% 15 2.6
OAK Darren Waller TE 7 16.3 13.0 9.8 91% 8.4 14.00% 13.7 2.6
OAK Josh Jacobs RB 7 15.3 14.5 13.7 57% 19.7 34.00% 13.4 2
OAK Tyrell Williams WR 5 16.1 14.1 12.1 94% 6 11.00% 10.6 5.6
OAK Ryan Grant WR 2 2.7 1.7 0.7 73% 4.5 8.00% 7.2 -4.5
OAK Hunter Renfrow WR 7 6.3 5.0 3.8 51% 4.3 7.00% 6.7 -0.4
OAK DeAndre Washington RB 7 4.9 4.3 3.6 18% 6.3 11.00% 4.7 0.2
OAK Foster Moreau TE 7 5.4 4.5 3.6 46% 2.4 4.00% 4.3 1.2
OAK J.J. Nelson WR 2 6.8 5.8 4.8 46% 2.5 5.00% 4 2.8
OAK Jalen Richard RB 7 3.3 2.5 1.7 27% 3.9 7.00% 3.7 -0.4
  • The Raider’s offense has run through Josh Jacobs and Darren Waller.
    • It might be surprising to note that the team’s four top players in EPPG, and those likely being used in a variety of formats, have outpaced expectations.
  • Tyrell Williams missed Weeks 5 through 7 but scored 18 points in his first game back.
    • Williams has yet to finish a week as a WR1 but is averaging 16 PPG and ranks fourth among WRs in air yards per target.
      • Unfortunately, his efficiency in terms of FPOE will likely drop as the Raiders face a grueling schedule to close the season. Nonetheless, Williams remains an intriguing trade target that could likely be acquired for less than he is actually worth.

Philadelphia Eagles

 
Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
Carson Wentz QB 8 20.0 20.0 20.0 97% 4.1 7.00% 17.7 2.3
Zach Ertz TE 8 10.9 8.6 6.3 87% 7.9 13.00% 12.7 -1.8
Alshon Jeffery WR 7 12.3 10.1 8.0 72% 6.7 11.00% 11.3 1
Jordan Howard RB 8 12.0 11.5 10.9 38% 14.1 23.00% 10.6 1.4
Nelson Agholor WR 8 9.2 7.4 5.6 91% 6.1 10.00% 9.6 -0.4
Miles Sanders RB 8 11.2 10.0 8.9 41% 11.2 18.00% 9 2.2
DeSean Jackson WR 2 17.7 15.7 13.7 40% 5 7.00% 7.4 10.3
Dallas Goedert TE 7 7.6 6.4 5.2 55% 3.9 6.00% 6.5 1.1
Mack Hollins WR 7 3.2 2.5 1.8 60% 3 5.00% 4.9 -1.7
Darren Sproles RB 5 3.0 2.5 2.0 26% 4.6 7.00% 3.9 -0.9
  • Zach Ertz ranks second among TEs in targets but has been a disappointment ranking just ninth in PPG.
    • He’s scored just a single touchdown which contributes to his negative points over expectation.
      • However, he did finish as a TE1 in Weeks 4 through 7.
        • Ertz scored eight touchdowns in both 2017 and 2018 so it’s hard to imagine he won’t pick up at least another three or so touchdowns.
          • Ertz leads the Eagles in red-zone targets with nine. Alshon Jeffery, the team’s second option in short-range has seen seven.
            • In 2018, Carson Wentz threw a touchdown pass approximately once every 19 attempts. This rate has held in 2019.
              • However, he threw 36 passes per game last season and is averaging just 33 this year.
                • After the team’s Week 9 bye, Ertz will face favorable opponents in Weeks 12, 13, and 16, making the back half of his season much easier than the first.

Pittsburgh Steelers

 
Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
James Conner RB 6 17.1 14.9 12.8 60% 17 32.00% 14.5 2.6
Mason Rudolph QB 4 14.6 14.6 14.6 76% 2 4.00% 11.3 3.2
Juju Smith-Schuster WR 6 11.8 9.8 7.7 87% 6.3 12.00% 10.5 1.3
Devlin Hodges QB 2 7.4 7.4 7.4 72% 2.5 5.00% 9.2 -1.8
Diontae Johnson WR 6 9.0 7.3 5.6 64% 5.3 10.00% 8 0.9
Jaylen Samuels RB 5 6.4 5.1 3.8 34% 6.6 13.00% 6.6 -0.1
James Washington WR 5 4.6 3.7 2.8 66% 4 8.00% 6.3 -1.7
Vance McDonald TE 5 7.7 6.3 4.9 64% 3.4 6.00% 6.2 1.6
Donte Moncrief WR 4 1.5 1.0 0.5 40% 3.2 6.00% 5.7 -4.3
Benny Snell Jr. RB 4 3.2 3.1 3.0 18% 6.2 12.00% 3.2 0
  • Heading into Week 9, it seems that Benny Snell Jr. and James Conner will be at less than full health making Jaylen Samuels a hot commodity for the week.
  • 2019 will go down as a lost season for Juju Smith-Schuster.
    • Even if he wasn’t going to finish as top-five WR playing without Ben Roethlisberger, it’s hard to deny the added damages caused by Mason Rudolph missing time.
      • Smith-Schuster put together his first 100-yard performance of the season on Monday night while recording a season-high nine targets.
        • He’s not going to be a WR1 at season’s end but he should remain in lineups.

Seattle Seahawks

 
Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
Russell Wilson QB 8 26.1 26.1 26.1 100% 5.4 9.00% 18.6 7.5
Chris Carson RB 8 16.6 15.3 13.9 71% 23.2 38.00% 16.8 -0.1
Tyler Lockett WR 8 16.3 13.5 10.6 94% 7.1 12.00% 11.3 5
D.K. Metcalf WR 8 11.0 9.5 8.1 76% 5.8 9.00% 10 1
Will Dissly TE 6 12.3 10.4 8.5 59% 4.7 8.00% 7.9 4.4
Jaron Brown WR 7 6.6 5.6 4.6 60% 3.4 5.00% 6.1 0.5
C.J. Prosise RB 5 5.1 4.2 3.3 24% 4.8 7.00% 5 0.2
David Moore WR 6 4.4 3.7 3.1 30% 3 5.00% 4.9 -0.5
Jacob Hollister TE 3 2.9 2.1 1.3 43% 2.7 4.00% 4 -1
Rashaad Penny RB 5 5.5 5.2 4.9 19% 6.6 11.00% 3.9 1.7
  • The Seahawks pass less than owners of the team’s fantasy players would like. While this has limited Russell Wilson’s EPPG, which ranks 15 among passers his supreme efficiency makes him the second strongest passer in fantasy points over expectation.
    • Wilson ranks sixth in air yards thrown and third in air yards completed — he’s making the most of the opportunity he does have.
      • This has buoyed the success of rookie D.K. Metcalf who ranks 22nd in air yards per target.

San Francisco 49ers

 
Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
Jimmy Garoppolo QB 7 15.4 15.4 15.4 100% 3.6 5.00% 16 -0.6
Tevin Coleman RB 5 16.7 15.9 15.1 45% 16.2 25.00% 12.8 3.8
George Kittle TE 7 13.4 10.6 7.7 89% 7.4 11.00% 11.8 1.6
Emmanuel Sanders WR 8 11.7 9.5 7.4 77% 6 10.00% 10.6 1
Matt Breida RB 7 11.1 10.2 9.4 35% 14 21.00% 9.2 1.9
Deebo Samuel WR 6 9.1 7.6 6.1 57% 5 8.00% 8.6 0.5
Jeff Wilson RB 4 8.0 8.0 8.0 20% 6.5 10.00% 6.9 1.1
Raheem Mostert RB 6 9.0 8.6 8.3 29% 10 15.00% 6.9 2
Dante Pettis WR 7 3.7 2.9 2.2 53% 2.9 4.00% 5.1 -1.4
Marquise Goodwin WR 6 6.1 5.2 4.3 55% 2.8 4.00% 4.3 1.8
  • In his first game as a 49er, Emmanuel Sanders recorded five targets and nine expected points while scoring 12.5
    • This made Sanders the most heavily targeted WR in a group that has failed to produce a weekly go-to.

  • Tevin Coleman balled out against the Panthers with a four-touchdown,  38 point performance.
    • Keep in mind, however, that in this game Coleman was expected to score only 13 points given his workload.
      • Further, he’s recorded an expectation of 13 or more points just a single time this season.
        • Still, Coleman can be expected to lead San Francisco’s backfield in opportunity the rest of the way.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
Jameis Winston QB 7 21.5 21.5 21.5 100% 3.7 6.00% 20.4 1.2
Mike Evans WR 7 20.3 17.6 14.9 90% 9.6 15.00% 16.7 3.6
Chris Godwin WR 7 22.2 18.9 15.5 95% 8.9 14.00% 15 7.2
Peyton Barber RB 7 7.8 7.3 6.8 36% 13 21.00% 9 -1.2
Ronald Jones RB 7 8.6 8.2 7.8 29% 12 19.00% 7.6 1
Dare Ogunbowale RB 7 5.1 3.9 2.7 35% 4 6.00% 6.5 -1.4
Breshad Perriman WR 5 1.2 0.9 0.6 47% 3.4 5.00% 5.1 -4
Cameron Brate TE 7 6.0 4.9 3.9 34% 3 5.00% 5.1 0.9
O.J. Howard TE 6 5.1 4.0 2.9 81% 3 5.00% 4.7 0.4
Scott Miller WR 5 1.7 1.4 1.1 28% 2.4 4.00% 3.4 -1.7
  • Mike Evans and Chris Godwin are in an ideal situation.
    • Evans ranks sixth in targets and leads the league in air yards. Godwin ranks 10th in targets and 12th in air yards.
      • On a PPG basis, Evans ranks fourth and Godwin second among WRs.
        • Clearly, Jameis Winston, who has already thrown 12 interceptions, has no reservations about targeting his talented wideouts in any situation.
  •  An RB has yet to usurp the entirety of the team’s backfield and there’s little signal pointing to Ronald Jones, Peyton Barber, or even Dare Ogunbowale seeing a major increase in value.

Tennessee Titans

 
Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
Derrick Henry RB 8 14.4 13.9 13.4 60% 20.6 38.00% 13.5 0.9
Marcus Mariota QB 6 16.0 16.0 16.0 92% 4 7.00% 13.3 2.7
Ryan Tannehill QB 4 12.3 12.3 12.3 49% 3 5.00% 11.3 1
Corey Davis WR 8 8.6 7.1 5.6 81% 5 9.00% 8.1 0.5
Adam Humphries WR 8 6.7 4.9 3.2 53% 4.8 9.00% 7.4 -0.7
Delanie Walker TE 8 7.7 6.2 4.7 45% 4.6 8.00% 7.2 0.6
A.J. Brown WR 8 9.3 8.0 6.6 52% 4.4 8.00% 6.9 2.4
Dion Lewis RB 8 3.4 2.4 1.5 41% 4.6 8.00% 4.9 -1.5
Jonnu Smith TE 8 5.7 4.8 3.9 59% 2.5 5.00% 4.1 1.6
  • When both of the two QBs that have played for a team are averaging less than 14 EPPG it’s a compelling signal that there’s little fantasy value to be had.
    • None of the team’s WRs are averaging more than five targets per game and Derrick Henry is the only non-passer with the weekly potential of 10 or more points.
      • In fact, Corey Davis, Adam Humphries, and A.J. Brown have combined for just five 10-plus-point performances.

Washington

 
Player Pos GMs PPR 1/2 PPR STD Snap % Opps/G % Opps EP/G FPOE/G
Case Keenum QB 7 13.8 13.8 13.8 91% 1 2.00% 14.5 -0.8
Chris Thompson RB 6 10.4 8.2 5.9 49% 10.2 19.00% 12.7 -2.3
Terry McLaurin WR 7 14.8 12.8 10.8 93% 6.6 13.00% 11.5 3.3
Adrian Peterson RB 7 8.0 7.5 7.0 44% 15.1 31.00% 10 -2
Colt McCoy QB 1 5.4 5.4 5.4 100% 2 4.00% 9.8 -4.5
Derrius Guice RB 1 6.8 5.3 3.8 36% 13 23.00% 8.8 -2
Trey Quinn WR 8 5.8 4.4 3.0 75% 4.8 10.00% 7.8 -2
Paul Richardson WR 8 6.8 5.4 4.0 80% 4.5 9.00% 7.3 -0.5
Vernon Davis TE 4 7.1 5.8 4.6 75% 4.8 9.00% 7.2 -0.2
Dwayne Haskins QB 2 0.7 0.7 0.7 65% 1 2.00% 7.1 -6.5
  • Washington just doesn’t have enough opportunity available to make many of its players usable in a fantasy context.
    • Terry McLaurin leads the team in targets per game with under seven.
      • Even Adrian Peterson, the team’s opportunity leader, is getting just 15 touches per game.
        • Washington is running a league-worst 56 plays per game. The Steelers and Jets are tied for 31st at 60.
Image Credit: Gavin Baker/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Zach Ertz.

  1. Injured players have not been removed.  (back)

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Chris Godwin is So Hot Right Now

Chris Godwin is running extremely hot. He leads all WRs in fantasy points over expectation (FPOE) and is second in FPOE per game. He’s first in PPR per game among WRs, but just 11th in expected (EP) points per game. As you can see above, Godwin’s WOPR — his weighted market

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Week 7 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming

Rant Forgive me, but why in the world is Stephen Gostkowski still owned in 21% of Yahoo leagues? If you have him, please cut him and pick up your favorite running back handcuff, even if the starter is not on your team. Or check out my Do Not Cut List

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Week 7 QB Rankings, Streaming Options, and 2-QB Plays

Giana Pacinelli provides QB streaming options, 2-QB plays, and overall QB rankings for Week 7 of the 2019 fantasy football season. I’ve returned from the wild (literally) and I want to thank Shawn Siegele for holding down the QB streaming fort in my absence. I will try to maintain the enthusiasm

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